Futures after the time value of money cash not in futures turns over at the chosen rate until each bet settles · plain EV / Kelly
Cash turnover
1% / day
compounded: 37.8x a year · 30 days = 1.35x
+EV at the price
727
of 2,147 FanDuel prices, ignoring time
+EV after time value
6
beat turning the stake over until settlement
Valued as of
Oct 29
days to settlement count from today
Settlement calendar NBA schedule: regular season ends with the schedule, playoff rounds on the 2025-26 timeline, NBA Cup on its 2026 dates
| Settles | Date | Days | Hurdle x | Break-even EV % | Prices | +EV | +EV after time | Best after time value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| end of Cup group play | Fri Nov 27, 2026 | 29 | 1.33 | +33 | 60 | 18 | 4 | Golden State Warriors 2026 NBA Cup West Group C Winner · +1800 · TVM EV +63% |
| Cup quarterfinals | Sat Dec 5, 2026 | 37 | 1.45 | +45 | 30 | 10 | 1 | Golden State Warriors 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Semifinals · +2700 · TVM EV +33% |
| Cup semifinals | Wed Dec 9, 2026 | 41 | 1.50 | +50 | 30 | 10 | 1 | Golden State Warriors 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Final · +6500 · TVM EV +25% |
| Cup final | Fri Dec 11, 2026 | 43 | 1.53 | +53 | 30 | 7 | 0 | Golden State Warriors 2026 NBA Cup Winner · +12500 · TVM EV -4% |
| end of regular season | Sun Apr 11, 2027 | 164 | 5.11 | +411 | 1,755 | 627 | 0 | San Antonio Spurs Golden State Warriors To Have More Regular Season Wins Than · +4000 · TVM EV -39% |
| end of play-in | Fri Apr 16, 2027 | 169 | 5.37 | +437 | 60 | 26 | 0 | San Antonio Spurs Western Conference to Miss the Playoffs · +6500 · TVM EV -72% |
| end of 1st round | Sun May 2, 2027 | 185 | 6.30 | +530 | 31 | 6 | 0 | Golden State Warriors To Advance to Western Conference Semi Finals · +700 · TVM EV -79% |
| end of 2nd round | Sun May 16, 2027 | 199 | 7.24 | +624 | 30 | 6 | 0 | Boston Celtics To Advance to Eastern Conference Finals · +195 · TVM EV -78% |
| end of conf finals | Sat May 29, 2027 | 212 | 8.24 | +724 | 31 | 6 | 0 | Boston Celtics Eastern Conference Winner · +470 · TVM EV -76% |
| end of NBA Finals | Sat Jun 12, 2027 | 226 | 9.48 | +848 | 90 | 11 | 0 | Boston Celtics Finals Winner - East · +1200 · TVM EV -76% |
Best by time-adjusted Kelly 6 bets beat the turnover · top 6 by Kelly vs the turnover · ½ alongside
| Type | Market | Bet | FanDuel | Fair % | Settles | Days | Hurdle x | EV % | Daily ROI % | TVM EV % | TVM Kelly % | ½ TVM Kelly % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Quarterfinals | Golden State Warriors | +1100 | 16.7 | Nov 27 | 29 | 1.33 | +100.7 | +2.43 | +50.4 | +6.31 | +3.15 |
| NBA Cup group | 2026 NBA Cup West Group C Winner | Golden State Warriors | +1800 | 11.5 | Nov 27 | 29 | 1.33 | +117.5 | +2.72 | +63.0 | +4.76 | +2.38 |
| NBA Cup group | 2026 NBA Cup West Group B Winner | Minnesota Timberwolves | +390 | 30.5 | Nov 27 | 29 | 1.33 | +49.2 | +1.39 | +11.8 | +4.43 | +2.21 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Quarterfinals | Minnesota Timberwolves | +220 | 43.0 | Nov 27 | 29 | 1.33 | +37.5 | +1.10 | +3.0 | +2.16 | +1.08 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Semifinals | Golden State Warriors | +2700 | 6.9 | Dec 5 | 37 | 1.45 | +91.8 | +1.78 | +32.7 | +1.78 | +0.89 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Final | Golden State Warriors | +6500 | 2.9 | Dec 9 | 41 | 1.50 | +88.1 | +1.55 | +25.1 | +0.58 | +0.29 |
Best by time-adjusted EV top 200 by EV in today's money (negative = worse than the turnover)
| Type | Market | Bet | FanDuel | Fair % | Settles | Days | Hurdle x | EV % | Daily ROI % | TVM EV % | TVM Kelly % | ½ TVM Kelly % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBA Cup group | 2026 NBA Cup West Group C Winner | Golden State Warriors | +1800 | 11.5 | Nov 27 | 29 | 1.33 | +117.5 | +2.72 | +63.0 | +4.76 | +2.38 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Quarterfinals | Golden State Warriors | +1100 | 16.7 | Nov 27 | 29 | 1.33 | +100.7 | +2.43 | +50.4 | +6.31 | +3.15 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Semifinals | Golden State Warriors | +2700 | 6.9 | Dec 5 | 37 | 1.45 | +91.8 | +1.78 | +32.7 | +1.78 | +0.89 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Final | Golden State Warriors | +6500 | 2.9 | Dec 9 | 41 | 1.50 | +88.1 | +1.55 | +25.1 | +0.58 | +0.29 |
| NBA Cup group | 2026 NBA Cup West Group B Winner | Minnesota Timberwolves | +390 | 30.5 | Nov 27 | 29 | 1.33 | +49.2 | +1.39 | +11.8 | +4.43 | +2.21 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Quarterfinals | Minnesota Timberwolves | +220 | 43.0 | Nov 27 | 29 | 1.33 | +37.5 | +1.10 | +3.0 | +2.16 | +1.08 |
| NBA Cup winner | 2026 NBA Cup Winner | Golden State Warriors | +12500 | 1.2 | Dec 11 | 43 | 1.53 | +47.4 | +0.91 | -3.9 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Semifinals | Minnesota Timberwolves | +550 | 21.1 | Dec 5 | 37 | 1.45 | +36.8 | +0.85 | -5.3 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Final | Minnesota Timberwolves | +1300 | 10.0 | Dec 9 | 41 | 1.50 | +39.7 | +0.82 | -7.1 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup group | 2026 NBA Cup East Group B Winner | Indiana Pacers | +850 | 12.6 | Nov 27 | 29 | 1.33 | +19.9 | +0.63 | -10.2 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Quarterfinals | Indiana Pacers | +650 | 15.8 | Nov 27 | 29 | 1.33 | +18.9 | +0.60 | -10.9 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup group | 2026 NBA Cup East Group A Winner | Orlando Magic | +430 | 21.5 | Nov 27 | 29 | 1.33 | +13.8 | +0.45 | -14.7 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup group | 2026 NBA Cup West Group B Winner | Los Angeles Clippers | +1300 | 8.0 | Nov 27 | 29 | 1.33 | +11.6 | +0.38 | -16.4 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Final | Houston Rockets | +600 | 17.9 | Dec 9 | 41 | 1.50 | +25.6 | +0.56 | -16.5 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup winner | 2026 NBA Cup Winner | Houston Rockets | +1200 | 9.8 | Dec 11 | 43 | 1.53 | +27.9 | +0.57 | -16.7 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Quarterfinals | Orlando Magic | +270 | 30.1 | Nov 27 | 29 | 1.33 | +11.2 | +0.37 | -16.7 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Quarterfinals | Los Angeles Clippers | +950 | 10.5 | Nov 27 | 29 | 1.33 | +10.0 | +0.33 | -17.6 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup winner | 2026 NBA Cup Winner | Boston Celtics | +750 | 14.6 | Dec 11 | 43 | 1.53 | +23.9 | +0.50 | -19.2 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup group | 2026 NBA Cup East Group B Winner | New York Knicks | +220 | 33.2 | Nov 27 | 29 | 1.33 | +6.3 | +0.21 | -20.4 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup group | 2026 NBA Cup East Group C Winner | Charlotte Hornets | +550 | 16.1 | Nov 27 | 29 | 1.33 | +4.7 | +0.16 | -21.5 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup group | 2026 NBA Cup West Group C Winner | Sacramento Kings | +5500 | 1.8 | Nov 27 | 29 | 1.33 | +3.6 | +0.12 | -22.4 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup group | 2026 NBA Cup West Group C Winner | Los Angeles Lakers | +380 | 21.5 | Nov 27 | 29 | 1.33 | +3.4 | +0.12 | -22.5 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Quarterfinals | New York Knicks | +145 | 41.9 | Nov 27 | 29 | 1.33 | +2.5 | +0.09 | -23.2 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Quarterfinals | Charlotte Hornets | +360 | 22.3 | Nov 27 | 29 | 1.33 | +2.5 | +0.08 | -23.2 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Semifinals | Orlando Magic | +700 | 13.8 | Dec 5 | 37 | 1.45 | +10.3 | +0.26 | -23.7 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup group | 2026 NBA Cup East Group C Winner | Boston Celtics | -105 | 51.7 | Nov 27 | 29 | 1.33 | +0.9 | +0.03 | -24.4 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup winner | 2026 NBA Cup Winner | New York Knicks | +1500 | 7.2 | Dec 11 | 43 | 1.53 | +15.8 | +0.34 | -24.5 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Quarterfinals | Boston Celtics | -185 | 65.3 | Nov 27 | 29 | 1.33 | +0.6 | +0.02 | -24.6 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Semifinals | New York Knicks | +340 | 24.6 | Dec 5 | 37 | 1.45 | +8.3 | +0.22 | -25.1 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup group | 2026 NBA Cup East Group A Winner | Brooklyn Nets | +1400 | 6.6 | Nov 27 | 29 | 1.33 | -0.4 | -0.01 | -25.4 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Final | Phoenix Suns | +4000 | 2.7 | Dec 9 | 41 | 1.50 | +12.1 | +0.28 | -25.4 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Quarterfinals | Chicago Bulls | +1200 | 7.6 | Nov 27 | 29 | 1.33 | -1.1 | -0.04 | -25.9 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Quarterfinals | Brooklyn Nets | +1000 | 9.0 | Nov 27 | 29 | 1.33 | -1.4 | -0.05 | -26.1 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Final | Boston Celtics | +330 | 25.7 | Dec 9 | 41 | 1.50 | +10.3 | +0.24 | -26.6 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Final | New York Knicks | +700 | 13.7 | Dec 9 | 41 | 1.50 | +9.4 | +0.22 | -27.3 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup group | 2026 NBA Cup West Group A Winner | Houston Rockets | +135 | 41.3 | Nov 27 | 29 | 1.33 | -3.0 | -0.10 | -27.3 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup group | 2026 NBA Cup East Group A Winner | Toronto Raptors | +240 | 28.5 | Nov 27 | 29 | 1.33 | -3.2 | -0.11 | -27.5 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Semifinals | Boston Celtics | +150 | 41.8 | Dec 5 | 37 | 1.45 | +4.6 | +0.12 | -27.6 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Semifinals | Houston Rockets | +230 | 31.5 | Dec 5 | 37 | 1.45 | +3.9 | +0.10 | -28.1 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Final | Orlando Magic | +1700 | 6.0 | Dec 9 | 41 | 1.50 | +7.6 | +0.18 | -28.4 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Semifinals | Charlotte Hornets | +1000 | 9.4 | Dec 5 | 37 | 1.45 | +3.3 | +0.09 | -28.5 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Semifinals | Los Angeles Clippers | +3300 | 3.0 | Dec 5 | 37 | 1.45 | +2.2 | +0.06 | -29.3 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Final | Denver Nuggets | +850 | 11.2 | Dec 9 | 41 | 1.50 | +6.1 | +0.14 | -29.5 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Semifinals | Indiana Pacers | +1400 | 6.8 | Dec 5 | 37 | 1.45 | +1.9 | +0.05 | -29.5 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Quarterfinals | Houston Rockets | -135 | 54.0 | Nov 27 | 29 | 1.33 | -5.9 | -0.21 | -29.5 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Quarterfinals | Toronto Raptors | +135 | 39.7 | Nov 27 | 29 | 1.33 | -6.8 | -0.24 | -30.2 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Semifinals | Denver Nuggets | +350 | 22.4 | Dec 5 | 37 | 1.45 | +0.7 | +0.02 | -30.3 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup winner | 2026 NBA Cup Winner | Minnesota Timberwolves | +2200 | 4.6 | Dec 11 | 43 | 1.53 | +6.7 | +0.15 | -30.4 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Final | Los Angeles Lakers | +1400 | 6.9 | Dec 9 | 41 | 1.50 | +4.1 | +0.10 | -30.8 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup winner | 2026 NBA Cup Winner | Orlando Magic | +4000 | 2.6 | Dec 11 | 43 | 1.53 | +6.2 | +0.14 | -30.8 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup group | 2026 NBA Cup West Group A Winner | Denver Nuggets | +175 | 33.5 | Nov 27 | 29 | 1.33 | -7.8 | -0.28 | -30.9 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Quarterfinals | Los Angeles Lakers | +200 | 30.7 | Nov 27 | 29 | 1.33 | -7.9 | -0.28 | -31.0 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Quarterfinals | Denver Nuggets | +110 | 43.4 | Nov 27 | 29 | 1.33 | -8.9 | -0.32 | -31.7 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Semifinals | Los Angeles Lakers | +550 | 15.1 | Dec 5 | 37 | 1.45 | -1.8 | -0.05 | -32.1 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Final | Los Angeles Clippers | +10000 | 1.0 | Dec 9 | 41 | 1.50 | +2.0 | +0.05 | -32.2 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup group | 2026 NBA Cup East Group C Winner | Chicago Bulls | +1700 | 5.0 | Nov 27 | 29 | 1.33 | -9.6 | -0.35 | -32.2 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Quarterfinals | Sacramento Kings | +4000 | 2.2 | Nov 27 | 29 | 1.33 | -10.0 | -0.36 | -32.6 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Semifinals | Phoenix Suns | +1300 | 7.0 | Dec 5 | 37 | 1.45 | -2.6 | -0.07 | -32.6 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup group | 2026 NBA Cup West Group A Winner | Utah Jazz | +1400 | 6.0 | Nov 27 | 29 | 1.33 | -10.3 | -0.37 | -32.8 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Final | Charlotte Hornets | +2500 | 3.8 | Dec 9 | 41 | 1.50 | -0.2 | -0.00 | -33.6 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup group | 2026 NBA Cup West Group C Winner | Portland Trail Blazers | +270 | 23.9 | Nov 27 | 29 | 1.33 | -11.5 | -0.42 | -33.7 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Quarterfinals | Phoenix Suns | +380 | 18.2 | Nov 27 | 29 | 1.33 | -12.5 | -0.46 | -34.4 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Quarterfinals | Utah Jazz | +1000 | 8.0 | Nov 27 | 29 | 1.33 | -12.6 | -0.46 | -34.5 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup winner | 2026 NBA Cup Winner | Denver Nuggets | +1700 | 5.6 | Dec 11 | 43 | 1.53 | +0.3 | +0.01 | -34.6 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup winner | 2026 NBA Cup Winner | Charlotte Hornets | +6500 | 1.5 | Dec 11 | 43 | 1.53 | -0.3 | -0.01 | -35.0 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup group | 2026 NBA Cup West Group A Winner | Phoenix Suns | +550 | 13.2 | Nov 27 | 29 | 1.33 | -14.4 | -0.54 | -35.9 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Quarterfinals | Portland Trail Blazers | +160 | 32.9 | Nov 27 | 29 | 1.33 | -14.4 | -0.54 | -35.9 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Semifinals | Utah Jazz | +3500 | 2.5 | Dec 5 | 37 | 1.45 | -8.4 | -0.24 | -36.6 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup group | 2026 NBA Cup West Group B Winner | New Orleans Pelicans | +1200 | 6.5 | Nov 27 | 29 | 1.33 | -15.6 | -0.58 | -36.7 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Semifinals | Toronto Raptors | +350 | 20.0 | Dec 5 | 37 | 1.45 | -9.8 | -0.28 | -37.6 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Semifinals | Portland Trail Blazers | +440 | 16.5 | Dec 5 | 37 | 1.45 | -10.7 | -0.30 | -38.2 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Quarterfinals | Miami Heat | +370 | 17.3 | Nov 27 | 29 | 1.33 | -18.6 | -0.71 | -39.0 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Quarterfinals | Detroit Pistons | -165 | 50.4 | Nov 27 | 29 | 1.33 | -19.0 | -0.73 | -39.3 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| More wins than | Golden State Warriors To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | San Antonio Spurs tie = push | +4000 | 7.5 | Apr 11 | 164 | 5.11 | +210.0 | +0.69 | -39.4 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup group | 2026 NBA Cup East Group B Winner | Cleveland Cavaliers | +310 | 19.5 | Nov 27 | 29 | 1.33 | -19.9 | -0.76 | -40.0 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Quarterfinals | New Orleans Pelicans | +800 | 8.9 | Nov 27 | 29 | 1.33 | -20.1 | -0.77 | -40.1 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Quarterfinals | Cleveland Cavaliers | +210 | 25.8 | Nov 27 | 29 | 1.33 | -20.1 | -0.77 | -40.1 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup group | 2026 NBA Cup East Group A Winner | Detroit Pistons | +110 | 38.0 | Nov 27 | 29 | 1.33 | -20.2 | -0.77 | -40.2 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup winner | 2026 NBA Cup Winner | Los Angeles Lakers | +2700 | 3.3 | Dec 11 | 43 | 1.53 | -8.3 | -0.20 | -40.2 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Quarterfinals | Atlanta Hawks | +160 | 30.4 | Nov 27 | 29 | 1.33 | -21.0 | -0.81 | -40.8 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Semifinals | Chicago Bulls | +4000 | 2.1 | Dec 5 | 37 | 1.45 | -14.5 | -0.42 | -40.8 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup group | 2026 NBA Cup East Group B Winner | Miami Heat | +500 | 13.1 | Nov 27 | 29 | 1.33 | -21.1 | -0.82 | -40.9 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Quarterfinals | Oklahoma City Thunder | -290 | 57.1 | Nov 27 | 29 | 1.33 | -23.2 | -0.90 | -42.4 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Semifinals | Brooklyn Nets | +3500 | 2.3 | Dec 5 | 37 | 1.45 | -16.8 | -0.50 | -42.5 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup winner | 2026 NBA Cup Winner | Brooklyn Nets | +40000 | 0.2 | Dec 11 | 43 | 1.53 | -11.8 | -0.29 | -42.5 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Final | Portland Trail Blazers | +1000 | 7.8 | Dec 9 | 41 | 1.50 | -13.9 | -0.37 | -42.8 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Quarterfinals | San Antonio Spurs | -240 | 53.8 | Nov 27 | 29 | 1.33 | -23.8 | -0.93 | -42.9 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Quarterfinals | Philadelphia 76ers | +180 | 27.0 | Nov 27 | 29 | 1.33 | -24.3 | -0.96 | -43.3 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup group | 2026 NBA Cup West Group C Winner | San Antonio Spurs | -120 | 41.2 | Nov 27 | 29 | 1.33 | -24.4 | -0.96 | -43.4 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup group | 2026 NBA Cup East Group A Winner | Milwaukee Bucks | +1300 | 5.4 | Nov 27 | 29 | 1.33 | -24.5 | -0.96 | -43.4 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup group | 2026 NBA Cup East Group C Winner | Atlanta Hawks | +280 | 19.8 | Nov 27 | 29 | 1.33 | -24.8 | -0.98 | -43.6 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup group | 2026 NBA Cup East Group B Winner | Philadelphia 76ers | +250 | 21.5 | Nov 27 | 29 | 1.33 | -24.8 | -0.98 | -43.7 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Quarterfinals | Memphis Grizzlies | +500 | 12.5 | Nov 27 | 29 | 1.33 | -24.8 | -0.98 | -43.7 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup group | 2026 NBA Cup West Group B Winner | Memphis Grizzlies | +700 | 9.3 | Nov 27 | 29 | 1.33 | -25.3 | -1.00 | -44.0 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup group | 2026 NBA Cup West Group B Winner | Oklahoma City Thunder | -160 | 45.7 | Nov 27 | 29 | 1.33 | -25.7 | -1.02 | -44.3 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Final | Utah Jazz | +10000 | 0.8 | Dec 9 | 41 | 1.50 | -16.7 | -0.44 | -44.6 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Quarterfinals | Milwaukee Bucks | +900 | 7.3 | Nov 27 | 29 | 1.33 | -26.5 | -1.06 | -44.9 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Semifinals | Detroit Pistons | +190 | 27.3 | Dec 5 | 37 | 1.45 | -20.9 | -0.63 | -45.2 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Final | Toronto Raptors | +750 | 9.7 | Dec 9 | 41 | 1.50 | -17.9 | -0.48 | -45.4 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup group | 2026 NBA Cup West Group A Winner | Dallas Mavericks | +1100 | 6.1 | Nov 27 | 29 | 1.33 | -27.3 | -1.10 | -45.6 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| More wins than | Golden State Warriors To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Oklahoma City Thunder tie = push | +3300 | 8.1 | Apr 11 | 164 | 5.11 | +178.1 | +0.63 | -45.6 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Quarterfinals | Dallas Mavericks | +800 | 8.1 | Nov 27 | 29 | 1.33 | -27.6 | -1.11 | -45.7 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Final | Indiana Pacers | +2700 | 2.9 | Dec 9 | 41 | 1.50 | -19.4 | -0.52 | -46.4 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup winner | 2026 NBA Cup Winner | Phoenix Suns | +8000 | 1.0 | Dec 11 | 43 | 1.53 | -17.8 | -0.45 | -46.4 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Semifinals | Miami Heat | +850 | 8.0 | Dec 5 | 37 | 1.45 | -24.5 | -0.76 | -47.7 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Semifinals | Atlanta Hawks | +470 | 13.2 | Dec 5 | 37 | 1.45 | -25.0 | -0.78 | -48.1 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Final | Detroit Pistons | +450 | 14.0 | Dec 9 | 41 | 1.50 | -22.8 | -0.63 | -48.7 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Semifinals | Sacramento Kings | +15000 | 0.5 | Dec 5 | 37 | 1.45 | -26.0 | -0.81 | -48.8 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Final | Chicago Bulls | +12500 | 0.6 | Dec 9 | 41 | 1.50 | -23.1 | -0.64 | -48.9 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup winner | 2026 NBA Cup Winner | Portland Trail Blazers | +2000 | 3.7 | Dec 11 | 43 | 1.53 | -21.7 | -0.57 | -48.9 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup winner | 2026 NBA Cup Winner | Detroit Pistons | +1000 | 7.1 | Dec 11 | 43 | 1.53 | -21.9 | -0.57 | -49.1 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Exact / top-N seed | Western Conference Top 2 Seed | Golden State Warriors | +10000 | 2.6 | Apr 11 | 164 | 5.11 | +160.1 | +0.58 | -49.1 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup winner | 2026 NBA Cup Winner | Toronto Raptors | +1600 | 4.6 | Dec 11 | 43 | 1.53 | -22.5 | -0.59 | -49.5 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Final | New Orleans Pelicans | +10000 | 0.8 | Dec 9 | 41 | 1.50 | -24.2 | -0.68 | -49.6 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Semifinals | Cleveland Cavaliers | +480 | 12.4 | Dec 5 | 37 | 1.45 | -28.1 | -0.89 | -50.2 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup winner | 2026 NBA Cup Winner | Miami Heat | +4500 | 1.6 | Dec 11 | 43 | 1.53 | -24.3 | -0.65 | -50.7 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Semifinals | Memphis Grizzlies | +1700 | 3.9 | Dec 5 | 37 | 1.45 | -29.1 | -0.92 | -50.9 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Final | Miami Heat | +1900 | 3.7 | Dec 9 | 41 | 1.50 | -26.8 | -0.76 | -51.3 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Semifinals | Dallas Mavericks | +2700 | 2.5 | Dec 5 | 37 | 1.45 | -31.0 | -1.00 | -52.2 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup winner | 2026 NBA Cup Winner | Indiana Pacers | +6000 | 1.2 | Dec 11 | 43 | 1.53 | -27.1 | -0.73 | -52.5 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Semifinals | New Orleans Pelicans | +2700 | 2.4 | Dec 5 | 37 | 1.45 | -31.7 | -1.02 | -52.7 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup group | 2026 NBA Cup East Group C Winner | Washington Wizards | +750 | 7.4 | Nov 27 | 29 | 1.33 | -37.1 | -1.58 | -52.8 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup winner | 2026 NBA Cup Winner | Los Angeles Clippers | +30000 | 0.2 | Dec 11 | 43 | 1.53 | -27.8 | -0.75 | -52.9 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Semifinals | San Antonio Spurs | +105 | 32.7 | Dec 5 | 37 | 1.45 | -32.9 | -1.07 | -53.6 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Semifinals | Philadelphia 76ers | +390 | 13.7 | Dec 5 | 37 | 1.45 | -33.1 | -1.08 | -53.7 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Quarterfinals | Washington Wizards | +500 | 10.2 | Nov 27 | 29 | 1.33 | -39.1 | -1.70 | -54.4 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Semifinals | Oklahoma City Thunder | +105 | 32.0 | Dec 5 | 37 | 1.45 | -34.4 | -1.13 | -54.6 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup winner | 2026 NBA Cup Winner | Utah Jazz | +25000 | 0.3 | Dec 11 | 43 | 1.53 | -32.2 | -0.90 | -55.8 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| More wins than | Golden State Warriors To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Philadelphia 76ers tie = push | +850 | 23.0 | Apr 11 | 164 | 5.11 | +121.5 | +0.49 | -56.7 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Final | Brooklyn Nets | +10000 | 0.6 | Dec 9 | 41 | 1.50 | -35.4 | -1.06 | -57.0 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Semifinals | Milwaukee Bucks | +3300 | 1.8 | Dec 5 | 37 | 1.45 | -38.0 | -1.28 | -57.1 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Final | Cleveland Cavaliers | +1000 | 5.8 | Dec 9 | 41 | 1.50 | -36.3 | -1.09 | -57.6 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Final | Atlanta Hawks | +1000 | 5.8 | Dec 9 | 41 | 1.50 | -36.6 | -1.11 | -57.9 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| More wins than | Charlotte Hornets To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | San Antonio Spurs tie = push | +3000 | 6.8 | Apr 11 | 164 | 5.11 | +113.4 | +0.46 | -58.3 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Exact / top-N seed | Western Conference 7th Seed | San Antonio Spurs regular-season seed | +5500 | 3.8 | Apr 11 | 164 | 5.11 | +113.1 | +0.46 | -58.3 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Final | San Antonio Spurs | +230 | 18.9 | Dec 9 | 41 | 1.50 | -37.6 | -1.14 | -58.5 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup winner | 2026 NBA Cup Winner | Memphis Grizzlies | +12500 | 0.5 | Dec 11 | 43 | 1.53 | -36.4 | -1.05 | -58.5 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| X+ wins | 50+ Regular Season Wins | Golden State Warriors | +1800 | 11.0 | Apr 11 | 164 | 5.11 | +109.1 | +0.45 | -59.1 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| X+ wins | 55+ Regular Season Wins | Golden State Warriors | +7000 | 2.9 | Apr 11 | 164 | 5.11 | +106.6 | +0.44 | -59.6 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Final | Memphis Grizzlies | +5000 | 1.2 | Dec 9 | 41 | 1.50 | -39.3 | -1.21 | -59.6 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Final | Sacramento Kings | +50000 | 0.1 | Dec 9 | 41 | 1.50 | -39.9 | -1.23 | -60.0 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup winner | 2026 NBA Cup Winner | Atlanta Hawks | +2500 | 2.4 | Dec 11 | 43 | 1.53 | -38.8 | -1.13 | -60.1 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Final | Oklahoma City Thunder | +250 | 17.1 | Dec 9 | 41 | 1.50 | -40.3 | -1.25 | -60.3 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Exact / top-N seed | Western Conference 2nd Seed | Golden State Warriors regular-season seed | +12500 | 1.6 | Apr 11 | 164 | 5.11 | +102.9 | +0.43 | -60.3 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Simmons specials | Bill Simmons Specials | Atlantic Division Exact Order: BOS 1st, NYK 2nd, TOR 3rd, PHI 4th, BKN 5th 5 legs | +1400 | 13.5 | Apr 11 | 164 | 5.11 | +101.8 | +0.43 | -60.5 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Most wins | Most Regular Season Wins | Boston Celtics ties dead-heat | +850 | 21.1 | Apr 11 | 164 | 5.11 | +100.8 | +0.43 | -60.7 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Final | Philadelphia 76ers | +800 | 6.5 | Dec 9 | 41 | 1.50 | -41.2 | -1.29 | -60.9 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Exact / top-N seed | Western Conference 1st Seed | Houston Rockets regular-season seed | +600 | 28.6 | Apr 11 | 164 | 5.11 | +99.9 | +0.42 | -60.9 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup winner | 2026 NBA Cup Winner | Cleveland Cavaliers | +2000 | 2.8 | Dec 11 | 43 | 1.53 | -41.1 | -1.22 | -61.6 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup winner | 2026 NBA Cup Winner | Chicago Bulls | +35000 | 0.2 | Dec 11 | 43 | 1.53 | -42.1 | -1.26 | -62.2 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Final | Dallas Mavericks | +8000 | 0.7 | Dec 9 | 41 | 1.50 | -43.3 | -1.37 | -62.3 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Make play-in | Western Conference to Make the Play In | San Antonio Spurs | +2500 | 7.3 | Apr 11 | 164 | 5.11 | +89.1 | +0.39 | -63.0 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup winner | 2026 NBA Cup Winner | San Antonio Spurs | +430 | 10.6 | Dec 11 | 43 | 1.53 | -44.0 | -1.34 | -63.5 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Exact / top-N seed | Western Conference Top 4 Seed | Golden State Warriors | +1900 | 9.3 | Apr 11 | 164 | 5.11 | +86.7 | +0.38 | -63.5 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| More wins than | Boston Celtics To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | San Antonio Spurs tie = push | +230 | 55.1 | Apr 11 | 164 | 5.11 | +86.2 | +0.38 | -63.6 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Exact / top-N seed | Western Conference Top 3 Seed | Golden State Warriors | +3500 | 5.2 | Apr 11 | 164 | 5.11 | +85.9 | +0.38 | -63.6 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| More wins than | Golden State Warriors To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Indiana Pacers tie = push | +250 | 52.0 | Apr 11 | 164 | 5.11 | +85.7 | +0.38 | -63.7 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| X+ wins | 45+ Regular Season Wins | Golden State Warriors | +500 | 30.9 | Apr 11 | 164 | 5.11 | +85.5 | +0.38 | -63.7 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup winner | 2026 NBA Cup Winner | Oklahoma City Thunder | +500 | 9.3 | Dec 11 | 43 | 1.53 | -44.4 | -1.35 | -63.7 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| More wins than | Golden State Warriors To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Cleveland Cavaliers tie = push | +600 | 25.9 | Apr 11 | 164 | 5.11 | +84.5 | +0.37 | -63.9 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup winner | 2026 NBA Cup Winner | Philadelphia 76ers | +1700 | 3.1 | Dec 11 | 43 | 1.53 | -45.0 | -1.38 | -64.2 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Semifinals | Washington Wizards | +1700 | 2.9 | Dec 5 | 37 | 1.45 | -48.4 | -1.77 | -64.3 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| More wins than | New York Knicks To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | San Antonio Spurs tie = push | +420 | 34.0 | Apr 11 | 164 | 5.11 | +80.7 | +0.36 | -64.7 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| More wins than | Los Angeles Clippers To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Philadelphia 76ers tie = push | +3000 | 5.8 | Apr 11 | 164 | 5.11 | +80.7 | +0.36 | -64.7 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| More wins than | Boston Celtics To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Oklahoma City Thunder tie = push | +210 | 56.9 | Apr 11 | 164 | 5.11 | +80.6 | +0.36 | -64.7 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| More wins than | Orlando Magic To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | San Antonio Spurs tie = push | +1800 | 9.3 | Apr 11 | 164 | 5.11 | +78.9 | +0.36 | -65.0 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| More wins than | Los Angeles Clippers To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Washington Wizards tie = push | +170 | 63.5 | Apr 11 | 164 | 5.11 | +75.1 | +0.34 | -65.8 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| More wins than | Golden State Warriors To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Atlanta Hawks tie = push | +340 | 38.8 | Apr 11 | 164 | 5.11 | +74.8 | +0.34 | -65.8 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Exact / top-N seed | Western Conference Top 5 Seed | Golden State Warriors | +1000 | 15.8 | Apr 11 | 164 | 5.11 | +74.3 | +0.34 | -65.9 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| X+ wins | 40+ Regular Season Wins | Golden State Warriors | +190 | 60.1 | Apr 11 | 164 | 5.11 | +74.2 | +0.34 | -65.9 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| More wins than | Golden State Warriors To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Toronto Raptors tie = push | +550 | 26.1 | Apr 11 | 164 | 5.11 | +73.0 | +0.33 | -66.2 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| More wins than | Phoenix Suns To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | San Antonio Spurs tie = push | +3000 | 5.5 | Apr 11 | 164 | 5.11 | +71.6 | +0.33 | -66.4 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| More wins than | Los Angeles Clippers To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Indiana Pacers tie = push | +750 | 19.8 | Apr 11 | 164 | 5.11 | +71.4 | +0.33 | -66.5 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| More wins than | New York Knicks To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Oklahoma City Thunder tie = push | +370 | 35.5 | Apr 11 | 164 | 5.11 | +71.1 | +0.33 | -66.5 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Exact / top-N seed | Western Conference 7th Seed | Oklahoma City Thunder regular-season seed | +4000 | 4.2 | Apr 11 | 164 | 5.11 | +70.2 | +0.32 | -66.7 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| More wins than | Charlotte Hornets To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Oklahoma City Thunder tie = push | +2200 | 7.3 | Apr 11 | 164 | 5.11 | +69.9 | +0.32 | -66.8 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| More wins than | Houston Rockets To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | San Antonio Spurs tie = push | +230 | 50.0 | Apr 11 | 164 | 5.11 | +69.8 | +0.32 | -66.8 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| More wins than | Denver Nuggets To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | San Antonio Spurs tie = push | +600 | 23.7 | Apr 11 | 164 | 5.11 | +69.1 | +0.32 | -66.9 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Fewest wins | Least Regular Season Wins | Washington Wizards ties dead-heat | +3300 | 5.0 | Apr 11 | 164 | 5.11 | +68.7 | +0.32 | -67.0 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| More wins than | Brooklyn Nets To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Washington Wizards tie = push | +390 | 33.4 | Apr 11 | 164 | 5.11 | +67.9 | +0.32 | -67.2 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Exact / top-N seed | Western Conference 1st Seed | Phoenix Suns regular-season seed | +22500 | 0.7 | Apr 11 | 164 | 5.11 | +66.1 | +0.31 | -67.5 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| More wins than | Houston Rockets To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Oklahoma City Thunder tie = push | +210 | 52.3 | Apr 11 | 164 | 5.11 | +66.1 | +0.31 | -67.5 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Exact / top-N seed | Western Conference Top 6 Seed | Golden State Warriors | +550 | 25.5 | Apr 11 | 164 | 5.11 | +65.9 | +0.31 | -67.6 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Division place | Southwest Division Winner | Houston Rockets | +210 | 52.6 | Apr 11 | 164 | 5.11 | +63.2 | +0.30 | -68.1 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| More wins than | Orlando Magic To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Oklahoma City Thunder tie = push | +1500 | 10.1 | Apr 11 | 164 | 5.11 | +63.0 | +0.30 | -68.1 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| More wins than | Sacramento Kings To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Washington Wizards tie = push | +1000 | 14.5 | Apr 11 | 164 | 5.11 | +62.0 | +0.29 | -68.3 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Division place | Pacific Division Winner | Golden State Warriors | +700 | 20.1 | Apr 11 | 164 | 5.11 | +61.1 | +0.29 | -68.5 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Division place | Southwest Division 2nd Place | San Antonio Spurs | +220 | 50.3 | Apr 11 | 164 | 5.11 | +61.0 | +0.29 | -68.5 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Exact / top-N seed | Eastern Conference 1st Seed | Boston Celtics regular-season seed | +270 | 43.5 | Apr 11 | 164 | 5.11 | +60.8 | +0.29 | -68.6 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Make play-in | Western Conference to Make the Play In | Oklahoma City Thunder | +1900 | 8.0 | Apr 11 | 164 | 5.11 | +60.8 | +0.29 | -68.6 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| X+ wins | 65+ Regular Season Wins | Boston Celtics | +1700 | 8.9 | Apr 11 | 164 | 5.11 | +60.2 | +0.29 | -68.7 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| More wins than | Phoenix Suns To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Oklahoma City Thunder tie = push | +2500 | 6.1 | Apr 11 | 164 | 5.11 | +60.1 | +0.29 | -68.7 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Exact / top-N seed | Western Conference 8th Seed | San Antonio Spurs regular-season seed | +8000 | 2.0 | Apr 11 | 164 | 5.11 | +60.0 | +0.29 | -68.7 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| More wins than | Golden State Warriors To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Miami Heat tie = push | +200 | 51.9 | Apr 11 | 164 | 5.11 | +59.7 | +0.29 | -68.8 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| More wins than | Los Angeles Clippers To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Dallas Mavericks tie = push | +190 | 53.3 | Apr 11 | 164 | 5.11 | +59.0 | +0.28 | -68.9 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| NBA Cup winner | 2026 NBA Cup Winner | New Orleans Pelicans | +25000 | 0.2 | Dec 11 | 43 | 1.53 | -52.3 | -1.71 | -68.9 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| X+ wins | 40+ Regular Season Wins | Los Angeles Clippers | +950 | 15.1 | Apr 11 | 164 | 5.11 | +58.7 | +0.28 | -69.0 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Division place | Northwest Division 4th Place | Oklahoma City Thunder | +2000 | 7.5 | Apr 11 | 164 | 5.11 | +57.1 | +0.28 | -69.3 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Exact / top-N seed | Western Conference Top 2 Seed | Houston Rockets | +210 | 50.5 | Apr 11 | 164 | 5.11 | +56.5 | +0.27 | -69.4 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| More wins than | Minnesota Timberwolves To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | San Antonio Spurs tie = push | +550 | 23.5 | Apr 11 | 164 | 5.11 | +56.3 | +0.27 | -69.4 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
A bet at decimal d that wins with probability p (push s) and settles in T days returns p x d + s per $1 at settlement; the same $1 left in turnover grows to (1 + rate)^T. TVM EV = (p x d + s) / (1 + rate)^T - 1. Daily ROI = (p x d + s)^(1/T) - 1, to compare with the rate. TVM Kelly maximizes growth against leaving the stake in turnover; with no push it is plain Kelly at the discounted price d / (1 + rate)^T, so a bet whose best case can't beat the hurdle gets 0. No early settlement: every bet is assumed to pay on its settlement date. Settlement dates: last regular-season date on the schedule; play-in +5 days, 1st round +21, 2nd round +35, conference finals +48, Finals +62 (2025-26 round ends after its regular season); NBA Cup group play ends on the last Cup night, QF Dec 5, SF Dec 9, final Dec 11.