NBA 2026-27 Wins Model

built 2026-10-28 15:40 · darko 2026-10-28 15:40 · rosters 2026-10-28 15:40 · schedule 2026-10-28 15:40 · build 2026-10-28 15:40 · etr 2026-10-28 15:40 · monster_ros 2026-10-28 15:40 · fanduel 2026-10-28 15:40 · sim 2026-10-28 15:40
Games played
56 / 1200
Oct 29, 2026
Minutes source
Per game
per game: role MPG = mean of ETR + Monster ROS + ros_return, availability from Monster ROS (injury timelines); slate 10-28 (24 teams) on Monster daily minutes, pulled 10-28 15:39 · Monster dump 2026-10-27 11:46 ET (1.2 days old), 522 rostered, 58 with an est. return
Player rating
50 DPM · 50 Mkt
DARKO ratings through 2026-10-26 · market as of 2026-10-27 · market covers 99% of minutes
Rookies
0 model · 0 prior
college BPM + age + pick
Rating spread
+6.3 / -8.4
net rating, best / worst

East

#TeamNetNextFullDARKOMktOffDefProj WProj LRecordRem WFanDuelvs FDSOSPlyrsFill minRookies
1BOS Celtics+6.3+5.9+6.3+6.0+6.6+4.7+2.656.825.23-153.852.5
o-135 u+110
+4.3-0.281700
2NYK Knicks+5.0+6.8+5.0+4.0+6.0+3.6+1.851.830.21-350.848.5
o-150 u+120
+3.3-0.091700
3DET Pistons+3.7+3.6+3.8+3.0+4.5+1.5+2.851.530.53-148.551.5
o+100 u-130
+0.0-0.141800
4PHI 76ers+2.5+5.9+2.5+2.1+3.0+3.4-0.048.034.03-145.050.5
o-135 u+110
-2.5-0.031600
5TOR Raptors+2.5+1.6+2.8+3.6+1.4+1.6+3.347.134.92-145.147.5
o-120 u-105
-0.4+0.051600
6CLE Cavaliers+2.3+4.8+2.3+2.7+2.0+3.9+0.147.035.02-145.048.5
o-120 u-105
-1.5-0.131700
7ATL Hawks+0.8+2.3+0.8+0.8+0.8+1.0+1.243.338.72-241.344.5
o-120 u-105
-1.2-0.031700
8ORL Magic+0.7-0.1+1.0+0.5+1.0-0.3+2.142.639.41-241.640.5
o-115 u-110
+2.1-0.0217740
9CHA Hornets-0.3-3.2-0.2-1.5+0.9+1.0-1.140.741.33-137.738.5
o-115 u-110
+2.2+0.081860
10IND Pacers-0.1-2.9+0.0-0.5+0.4+1.9-1.040.341.72-238.342.5
o-115 u-110
-2.2-0.061720
11MIA Heat+0.5+2.5+0.5-0.7+1.8+0.8-0.240.341.70-440.342.5
o+115 u-140
-2.2-0.121700
12WAS Wizards-5.1-3.6-5.1-5.3-4.8-1.2-2.828.753.32-226.734.5
o+115 u-145
-5.8+0.201700
13CHI Bulls-5.1-4.2-5.2-5.7-4.6-1.2-3.127.554.51-326.527.5
o+100 u-130
+0.0+0.271700
14BKN Nets-5.7-5.7-5.7-4.8-6.6-2.5-1.025.256.80-425.223.5
o-115 u-110
+1.7+0.471800
15MIL Bucks-6.4-5.0-6.5-5.9-6.9-1.9-2.624.757.31-323.725.5
o-115 u-110
-0.8+0.291800

West

#TeamNetNextFullDARKOMktOffDefProj WProj LRecordRem WFanDuelvs FDSOSPlyrsFill minRookies
1HOU Rockets+5.2+4.9+5.3+5.9+4.5+3.3+4.055.526.54-051.552.5
o-130 u+105
+3.0-0.291700
2SAS Spurs+5.9+6.8+5.9+4.9+7.0+4.1+2.155.226.82-253.258.5
o-125 u+100
-3.3-0.411700
3OKC Thunder+4.7+3.3+7.1+4.6+4.8+2.4+3.554.627.44-050.658.5
o-115 u-110
-3.9-0.401700
4DEN Nuggets+3.4+4.1+3.4+3.4+3.5+5.3-0.548.833.21-247.847.5
o-110 u-115
+1.3-0.161700
5MIN Timberwolves+2.8+1.1+3.5+3.6+2.1+3.5+1.448.633.43-145.650.5
o+165 u-195
-1.9+0.111700
6POR Trail Blazers+2.5+2.6+2.8+2.6+2.4+3.2+0.848.133.93-045.148.5
o-110 u-115
-0.4+0.021700
7LAL Lakers+2.4+4.6+2.3+3.6+1.2+3.2+1.747.434.63-144.448.5
o+105 u-130
-1.1-0.091800
8GSW Warriors+0.3+1.2+1.2+1.2-0.6+1.5+1.141.340.71-340.334.5
o-140 u+110
+6.8-0.161800
9PHX Suns-0.7-1.1-0.5-1.0-0.4+1.1-0.839.442.61-238.437.5
o-125 u-105
+1.9-0.131700
10MEM Grizzlies-3.4-3.4-3.4-3.0-3.7-0.8-0.834.647.44-030.634.5
o-135 u+110
+0.1+0.141800
11LAC Clippers-3.4-3.1-3.0-2.3-4.5-0.9-0.032.549.51-231.528.5
o-120 u-105
+4.0+0.0418160
12DAL Mavericks-4.4-4.8-4.3-5.5-3.3-2.2-1.931.150.92-229.132.5
o-140 u+115
-1.4+0.171800
13UTA Jazz-4.5-7.5-4.4-4.4-4.6-0.8-2.228.753.31-327.731.5
o+145 u-175
-2.8+0.271900
14NOP Pelicans-4.6-3.6-4.6-4.0-5.2+0.1-2.828.653.40-328.628.5
o-115 u-110
+0.1+0.131800
15SAC Kings-8.4-8.6-8.4-7.9-8.8-2.6-4.019.962.00-419.918.5
o-125 u+100
+1.4+0.2917320

Projected wins

BOS
56.8
HOU
55.5
SAS
55.2
OKC
54.6
NYK
51.8
DET
51.5
DEN
48.8
MIN
48.6
POR
48.1
PHI
48.0
LAL
47.4
TOR
47.1
CLE
47.0
ATL
43.3
ORL
42.6
GSW
41.3
CHA
40.7
IND
40.3
MIA
40.3
PHX
39.4
MEM
34.6
LAC
32.5
DAL
31.1
WAS
28.7
UTA
28.7
NOP
28.6
CHI
27.5
BKN
25.2
MIL
24.7
SAC
19.9
bar = projected wins · white tick = FanDuel win total