NBA futures: sim fair value vs FanDuel
Simulated seasons
20,000
ran 2026-10-28 15:40 · 1.7s
FanDuel prices
2,147
pulled Oct 28 3:40 PM ET · 727 +EV
Team uncertainty
±2.5 net
Student-t, 5 df, per team per season
Shown
660
+EV bets passing the filters
Best by Kelly top 200 by full-Kelly fraction · ½ Kelly alongside
| Type | Market | Bet | FanDuel | FD % | Fair | Fair % | Edge | EV % | Kelly % | ½ Kelly % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| X+ wins | 30+ Regular Season Wins | Golden State Warriors | -360 | 78.3 | -2201 | 95.7 | +17.4 | +22.2 | +80.0 | +40.0 |
| More wins than | Golden State Warriors To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Washington Wizards tie = push | -160 | 61.5 | -952 | 90.5 | +29.0 | +46.3 | +75.3 | +37.6 |
| More wins than | Golden State Warriors To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Milwaukee Bucks tie = push | -500 | 83.3 | -2245 | 95.7 | +12.4 | +14.7 | +74.4 | +37.2 |
| More wins than | Denver Nuggets To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Washington Wizards tie = push | -1000 | 90.9 | -3843 | 97.5 | +6.6 | +7.2 | +72.1 | +36.1 |
| Make / miss playoffs | Eastern Conference to Miss the Playoffs | Washington Wizards | -550 | 84.6 | -2204 | 95.7 | +11.0 | +13.1 | +71.8 | +35.9 |
| Exact / top-N seed | Eastern Conference Top 6 Seed | Boston Celtics | -550 | 84.6 | -2034 | 95.3 | +10.7 | +12.6 | +69.5 | +34.8 |
| More wins than | Boston Celtics To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Indiana Pacers tie = push | -600 | 85.7 | -2064 | 95.4 | +9.7 | +11.2 | +67.7 | +33.8 |
| More wins than | Orlando Magic To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Washington Wizards tie = push | -300 | 75.0 | -1114 | 91.8 | +16.8 | +22.0 | +67.0 | +33.5 |
| X+ wins | 45+ Regular Season Wins | Boston Celtics | -750 | 88.2 | -2438 | 96.1 | +7.8 | +8.9 | +66.5 | +33.3 |
| More wins than | Golden State Warriors To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Utah Jazz tie = push | -280 | 73.7 | -943 | 90.4 | +16.7 | +22.3 | +63.6 | +31.8 |
| Exact / top-N seed | Eastern Conference Top 5 Seed | Boston Celtics | -360 | 78.3 | -1156 | 92.0 | +13.8 | +17.6 | +63.4 | +31.7 |
| More wins than | Charlotte Hornets To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Washington Wizards tie = push | -250 | 71.4 | -845 | 89.4 | +18.0 | +24.7 | +63.0 | +31.5 |
| More wins than | Boston Celtics To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Miami Heat tie = push | -700 | 87.5 | -2050 | 95.3 | +7.8 | +8.9 | +62.8 | +31.4 |
| Win totals | Golden State Warriors Regular Season Wins | Golden State Warriors Over 34.5 Wins | -140 | 58.3 | -535 | 84.2 | +25.9 | +44.4 | +62.2 | +31.1 |
| X+ wins | 35+ Regular Season Wins | Golden State Warriors | -140 | 58.3 | -535 | 84.2 | +25.9 | +44.4 | +62.2 | +31.1 |
| More wins than | Toronto Raptors To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Washington Wizards tie = push | -1000 | 90.9 | -2773 | 96.5 | +5.6 | +6.1 | +61.7 | +30.9 |
| More wins than | Golden State Warriors To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Dallas Mavericks tie = push | -155 | 60.8 | -564 | 84.9 | +24.2 | +38.8 | +61.6 | +30.8 |
| More wins than | Golden State Warriors To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | New Orleans Pelicans tie = push | -300 | 75.0 | -929 | 90.3 | +15.3 | +20.0 | +61.1 | +30.6 |
| More wins than | Golden State Warriors To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Chicago Bulls tie = push | -425 | 81.0 | -1231 | 92.5 | +11.5 | +14.0 | +60.5 | +30.3 |
| More wins than | Houston Rockets To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Indiana Pacers tie = push | -600 | 85.7 | -1636 | 94.2 | +8.5 | +9.8 | +59.7 | +29.8 |
| More wins than | Phoenix Suns To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Washington Wizards tie = push | -220 | 68.8 | -688 | 87.3 | +18.6 | +26.4 | +59.4 | +29.7 |
| More wins than | Denver Nuggets To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Dallas Mavericks tie = push | -1000 | 90.9 | -2587 | 96.3 | +5.4 | +5.9 | +59.1 | +29.5 |
| More wins than | Boston Celtics To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Atlanta Hawks tie = push | -400 | 80.0 | -1114 | 91.8 | +11.8 | +14.5 | +58.8 | +29.4 |
| X+ wins | 45+ Regular Season Wins | Houston Rockets | -700 | 87.5 | -1838 | 94.8 | +7.3 | +8.4 | +58.7 | +29.4 |
| X+ wins | 25+ Regular Season Wins | Los Angeles Clippers | -290 | 74.4 | -817 | 89.1 | +14.7 | +19.8 | +57.5 | +28.7 |
| Seed over/under | Golden State Warriors Seed | Golden State Warriors Under 10.5 Seed = top 10 | -160 | 61.5 | -507 | 83.5 | +22.0 | +35.7 | +57.2 | +28.6 |
| More wins than | Boston Celtics To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Philadelphia 76ers tie = push | -150 | 60.0 | -483 | 82.8 | +22.8 | +37.0 | +57.1 | +28.5 |
| Exact / top-N seed | Eastern Conference Top 4 Seed | Boston Celtics | -240 | 70.6 | -691 | 87.4 | +16.8 | +23.7 | +57.0 | +28.5 |
| More wins than | Golden State Warriors To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Brooklyn Nets tie = push | -750 | 88.2 | -1864 | 94.9 | +6.7 | +7.5 | +56.7 | +28.4 |
| Make / miss playoffs | Western Conference to Miss the Playoffs | Dallas Mavericks | -360 | 78.3 | -930 | 90.3 | +12.0 | +15.4 | +55.4 | +27.7 |
| More wins than | Atlanta Hawks To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Washington Wizards tie = push | -600 | 85.7 | -1434 | 93.5 | +7.8 | +8.9 | +54.4 | +27.2 |
| More wins than | Houston Rockets To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Miami Heat tie = push | -700 | 87.5 | -1641 | 94.3 | +6.8 | +7.7 | +54.1 | +27.0 |
| Win totals | Washington Wizards Regular Season Wins | Washington Wizards Under 34.5 Wins | -145 | 59.2 | -424 | 80.9 | +21.7 | +36.7 | +53.2 | +26.6 |
| More wins than | Orlando Magic To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Dallas Mavericks tie = push | -300 | 75.0 | -748 | 88.2 | +13.2 | +17.2 | +52.8 | +26.4 |
| More wins than | Boston Celtics To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Cleveland Cavaliers tie = push | -220 | 68.8 | -573 | 85.1 | +16.4 | +23.2 | +52.5 | +26.2 |
| X+ wins | 50+ Regular Season Wins | Boston Celtics | -260 | 72.2 | -652 | 86.7 | +14.5 | +20.0 | +52.1 | +26.1 |
| Make / miss playoffs | Western Conference to Miss the Playoffs | Utah Jazz | -800 | 88.9 | -1750 | 94.6 | +5.7 | +6.4 | +51.4 | +25.7 |
| More wins than | Houston Rockets To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Atlanta Hawks tie = push | -400 | 80.0 | -927 | 90.3 | +10.3 | +12.6 | +51.3 | +25.7 |
| More wins than | New York Knicks To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Indiana Pacers tie = push | -330 | 76.7 | -774 | 88.6 | +11.8 | +15.1 | +50.8 | +25.4 |
| More wins than | Charlotte Hornets To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Milwaukee Bucks tie = push | -900 | 90.0 | -1931 | 95.1 | +5.1 | +5.6 | +50.8 | +25.4 |
| Make / miss playoffs | Eastern Conference to Make the Playoffs | New York Knicks | -700 | 87.5 | -1499 | 93.7 | +6.2 | +7.1 | +50.0 | +25.0 |
| Simmons specials | Bill Simmons Specials | BOS 50+ Wins, HOU 45+ Wins in 2026-27 Regular Season 2 legs | -182 | 64.5 | -463 | 82.2 | +17.7 | +27.4 | +49.9 | +24.9 |
| More wins than | Houston Rockets To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Philadelphia 76ers tie = push | -150 | 60.0 | -394 | 79.8 | +19.8 | +32.0 | +49.4 | +24.7 |
| Seed over/under | Boston Celtics Seed | Boston Celtics Under 3.5 Seed = top 3 | -150 | 60.0 | -392 | 79.7 | +19.7 | +32.8 | +49.2 | +24.6 |
| Exact / top-N seed | Eastern Conference Top 3 Seed | Boston Celtics | -150 | 60.0 | -392 | 79.7 | +19.7 | +32.8 | +49.2 | +24.6 |
| More wins than | Miami Heat To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Washington Wizards tie = push | -350 | 77.8 | -770 | 88.5 | +10.7 | +13.5 | +48.3 | +24.1 |
| X+ wins | 30+ Regular Season Wins | Charlotte Hornets | -900 | 90.0 | -1832 | 94.8 | +4.8 | +5.4 | +48.2 | +24.1 |
| More wins than | Phoenix Suns To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Milwaukee Bucks tie = push | -800 | 88.9 | -1607 | 94.1 | +5.3 | +5.8 | +47.3 | +23.6 |
| More wins than | Charlotte Hornets To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Dallas Mavericks tie = push | -240 | 70.6 | -542 | 84.4 | +13.8 | +19.1 | +47.0 | +23.5 |
| Seed over/under | Washington Wizards Seed | Washington Wizards Over 11.5 Seed = 12th or worse | -120 | 54.5 | -315 | 75.9 | +21.4 | +39.2 | +47.0 | +23.5 |
| More wins than | Golden State Warriors To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Memphis Grizzlies tie = push | -115 | 53.5 | -304 | 75.3 | +21.8 | +39.4 | +46.8 | +23.4 |
| More wins than | Boston Celtics To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Toronto Raptors tie = push | -250 | 71.4 | -557 | 84.8 | +13.4 | +18.3 | +46.7 | +23.4 |
| Exact / top-N seed | Western Conference Top 6 Seed | Houston Rockets | -650 | 86.7 | -1300 | 92.9 | +6.2 | +7.1 | +46.4 | +23.2 |
| More wins than | Orlando Magic To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Utah Jazz tie = push | -600 | 85.7 | -1195 | 92.3 | +6.6 | +7.6 | +46.0 | +23.0 |
| X+ wins | 30+ Regular Season Wins | Phoenix Suns | -650 | 86.7 | -1287 | 92.8 | +6.1 | +7.1 | +45.9 | +23.0 |
| More wins than | Los Angeles Clippers To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Washington Wizards tie = push | +170 | 37.0 | -194 | 65.9 | +28.9 | +75.1 | +45.9 | +23.0 |
| Win totals | Oklahoma City Thunder Regular Season Wins | Oklahoma City Thunder Under 58.5 Wins | -110 | 52.4 | -282 | 73.8 | +21.5 | +41.0 | +45.1 | +22.5 |
| Win totals | San Antonio Spurs Regular Season Wins | San Antonio Spurs Under 58.5 Wins | +100 | 50.0 | -264 | 72.5 | +22.5 | +45.0 | +45.0 | +22.5 |
| More wins than | Boston Celtics To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Los Angeles Lakers tie = push | -270 | 73.0 | -569 | 85.1 | +12.1 | +16.1 | +44.7 | +22.4 |
| Division place | Southeast Division 5th Place | Washington Wizards | -115 | 53.5 | -287 | 74.1 | +20.6 | +38.6 | +44.4 | +22.2 |
| X+ wins | 35+ Regular Season Wins | Orlando Magic | -350 | 77.8 | -709 | 87.6 | +9.9 | +12.7 | +44.4 | +22.2 |
| Advance to conf semis | To Advance to Eastern Conference Semi Finals | Boston Celtics | -165 | 62.3 | -375 | 78.9 | +16.7 | +26.8 | +44.2 | +22.1 |
| Make / miss playoffs | Western Conference to Miss the Playoffs | New Orleans Pelicans | -900 | 90.0 | -1683 | 94.4 | +4.4 | +4.9 | +43.9 | +21.9 |
| More wins than | Los Angeles Clippers To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Milwaukee Bucks tie = push | -185 | 64.9 | -407 | 80.3 | +15.4 | +23.0 | +43.8 | +21.9 |
| Exact / top-N seed | Western Conference Top 5 Seed | Houston Rockets | -350 | 77.8 | -694 | 87.4 | +9.6 | +12.4 | +43.3 | +21.6 |
| More wins than | Boston Celtics To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Portland Trail Blazers tie = push | -230 | 69.7 | -481 | 82.8 | +13.1 | +18.2 | +43.2 | +21.6 |
| More wins than | Houston Rockets To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Cleveland Cavaliers tie = push | -220 | 68.8 | -463 | 82.2 | +13.5 | +19.1 | +43.2 | +21.6 |
| More wins than | New York Knicks To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Miami Heat tie = push | -400 | 80.0 | -771 | 88.5 | +8.5 | +10.4 | +42.6 | +21.3 |
| More wins than | Orlando Magic To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | New Orleans Pelicans tie = push | -650 | 86.7 | -1204 | 92.3 | +5.7 | +6.4 | +42.5 | +21.2 |
| Win totals | Los Angeles Clippers Regular Season Wins | Los Angeles Clippers Over 28.5 Wins | -120 | 54.5 | -281 | 73.8 | +19.2 | +35.2 | +42.2 | +21.1 |
| X+ wins | 40+ Regular Season Wins | Denver Nuggets | -550 | 84.6 | -1013 | 91.0 | +6.4 | +7.6 | +41.6 | +20.8 |
| More wins than | Phoenix Suns To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Dallas Mavericks tie = push | -210 | 67.7 | -421 | 80.8 | +13.1 | +18.7 | +40.5 | +20.2 |
| Win totals | Boston Celtics Regular Season Wins | Boston Celtics Over 52.5 Wins | -135 | 57.4 | -294 | 74.6 | +17.2 | +29.9 | +40.4 | +20.2 |
| More wins than | Boston Celtics To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Oklahoma City Thunder tie = push | +210 | 32.3 | -146 | 59.4 | +27.1 | +80.6 | +40.1 | +20.0 |
| Exact / top-N seed | Eastern Conference Top 6 Seed | New York Knicks | -270 | 73.0 | -514 | 83.7 | +10.7 | +14.7 | +39.7 | +19.9 |
| More wins than | Los Angeles Clippers To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Sacramento Kings tie = push | -600 | 85.7 | -1060 | 91.4 | +5.7 | +6.5 | +39.7 | +19.8 |
| More wins than | Charlotte Hornets To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Utah Jazz tie = push | -475 | 82.6 | -853 | 89.5 | +6.9 | +8.2 | +39.6 | +19.8 |
| X+ wins | 50+ Regular Season Wins | Houston Rockets | -240 | 70.6 | -460 | 82.2 | +11.6 | +16.4 | +39.3 | +19.7 |
| More wins than | Boston Celtics To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | San Antonio Spurs tie = push | +230 | 30.3 | -136 | 57.6 | +27.3 | +86.2 | +39.2 | +19.6 |
| X+ wins | 40+ Regular Season Wins | Golden State Warriors | +190 | 34.5 | -151 | 60.1 | +25.6 | +74.2 | +39.1 | +19.5 |
| More wins than | Denver Nuggets To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Memphis Grizzlies tie = push | -700 | 87.5 | -1210 | 92.4 | +4.9 | +5.5 | +38.9 | +19.5 |
| Exact / top-N seed | Eastern Conference Top 2 Seed | Boston Celtics | +120 | 45.5 | -200 | 66.6 | +21.2 | +46.6 | +38.9 | +19.4 |
| Exact / top-N seed | Western Conference Top 4 Seed | Houston Rockets | -195 | 66.1 | -380 | 79.2 | +13.1 | +19.8 | +38.6 | +19.3 |
| More wins than | Denver Nuggets To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Indiana Pacers tie = push | -230 | 69.7 | -434 | 81.3 | +11.6 | +16.2 | +38.2 | +19.1 |
| More wins than | Detroit Pistons To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Indiana Pacers tie = push | -380 | 79.2 | -676 | 87.1 | +7.9 | +9.8 | +38.2 | +19.1 |
| More wins than | Minnesota Timberwolves To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Indiana Pacers tie = push | -230 | 69.7 | -434 | 81.3 | +11.6 | +16.1 | +38.1 | +19.1 |
| More wins than | Indiana Pacers To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Washington Wizards tie = push | -450 | 81.8 | -787 | 88.7 | +6.9 | +8.3 | +38.0 | +19.0 |
| X+ wins | 30+ Regular Season Wins | Los Angeles Clippers | +105 | 48.8 | -214 | 68.2 | +19.4 | +39.8 | +37.9 | +18.9 |
| X+ wins | 20+ Regular Season Wins | Brooklyn Nets | -290 | 74.4 | -526 | 84.0 | +9.7 | +13.0 | +37.7 | +18.8 |
| X+ wins | 45+ Regular Season Wins | New York Knicks | -350 | 77.8 | -620 | 86.1 | +8.3 | +10.7 | +37.5 | +18.8 |
| More wins than | Houston Rockets To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Toronto Raptors tie = push | -250 | 71.4 | -459 | 82.1 | +10.7 | +14.5 | +37.4 | +18.7 |
| More wins than | New York Knicks To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Atlanta Hawks tie = push | -230 | 69.7 | -425 | 80.9 | +11.2 | +15.7 | +37.1 | +18.5 |
| More wins than | Boston Celtics To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Orlando Magic tie = push | -750 | 88.2 | -1249 | 92.6 | +4.3 | +4.9 | +37.0 | +18.5 |
| X+ wins | 35+ Regular Season Wins | Charlotte Hornets | -260 | 72.2 | -468 | 82.4 | +10.2 | +14.1 | +36.6 | +18.3 |
| More wins than | Orlando Magic To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Chicago Bulls tie = push | -900 | 90.0 | -1471 | 93.6 | +3.6 | +4.0 | +36.3 | +18.2 |
| Seed over/under | Dallas Mavericks Seed | Dallas Mavericks Over 10.5 Seed = 11th or worse | -120 | 54.5 | -244 | 71.0 | +16.4 | +30.1 | +36.1 | +18.1 |
| X+ wins | 40+ Regular Season Wins | Minnesota Timberwolves | -600 | 85.7 | -991 | 90.8 | +5.1 | +6.0 | +35.8 | +17.9 |
| More wins than | Minnesota Timberwolves To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Memphis Grizzlies tie = push | -750 | 88.2 | -1223 | 92.4 | +4.2 | +4.7 | +35.7 | +17.9 |
| More wins than | Golden State Warriors To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Indiana Pacers tie = push | +250 | 28.6 | -118 | 54.0 | +25.5 | +85.7 | +35.7 | +17.8 |
| More wins than | New York Knicks To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Philadelphia 76ers tie = push | +110 | 47.6 | -194 | 66.0 | +18.4 | +37.2 | +35.1 | +17.6 |
| Win totals | Philadelphia 76ers Regular Season Wins | Philadelphia 76ers Under 50.5 Wins | +110 | 47.6 | -190 | 65.6 | +18.0 | +37.7 | +34.3 | +17.1 |
| Exact / top-N seed | Eastern Conference Top 5 Seed | New York Knicks | -175 | 63.6 | -314 | 75.8 | +12.2 | +19.2 | +33.5 | +16.8 |
| Seed over/under | New York Knicks Seed | New York Knicks Under 5.5 Seed = top 5 | -175 | 63.6 | -314 | 75.8 | +12.2 | +19.2 | +33.5 | +16.8 |
| More wins than | Phoenix Suns To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Utah Jazz tie = push | -400 | 80.0 | -651 | 86.7 | +6.7 | +8.2 | +33.4 | +16.7 |
| More wins than | Houston Rockets To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Oklahoma City Thunder tie = push | +210 | 32.3 | -120 | 54.5 | +22.2 | +66.1 | +32.8 | +16.4 |
| More wins than | Houston Rockets To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Los Angeles Lakers tie = push | -250 | 71.4 | -421 | 80.8 | +9.4 | +12.7 | +32.8 | +16.4 |
| Make / miss playoffs | Eastern Conference to Make the Playoffs | Detroit Pistons | -750 | 88.2 | -1163 | 92.1 | +3.9 | +4.4 | +32.7 | +16.4 |
| Exact / top-N seed | Western Conference Top 3 Seed | Houston Rockets | -105 | 51.2 | -205 | 67.2 | +15.9 | +31.1 | +32.7 | +16.3 |
| Seed over/under | Houston Rockets Seed | Houston Rockets Under 3.5 Seed = top 3 | -105 | 51.2 | -205 | 67.2 | +15.9 | +31.1 | +32.7 | +16.3 |
| More wins than | Orlando Magic To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Memphis Grizzlies tie = push | -230 | 69.7 | -390 | 79.6 | +9.9 | +13.8 | +32.7 | +16.3 |
| More wins than | Los Angeles Clippers To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Dallas Mavericks tie = push | +190 | 34.5 | -126 | 55.7 | +21.2 | +59.0 | +32.4 | +16.2 |
| More wins than | Houston Rockets To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Portland Trail Blazers tie = push | -220 | 68.8 | -373 | 78.9 | +10.1 | +14.3 | +32.4 | +16.2 |
| More wins than | Charlotte Hornets To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | New Orleans Pelicans tie = push | -550 | 84.6 | -857 | 89.5 | +4.9 | +5.7 | +32.1 | +16.0 |
| Make / miss playoffs | Western Conference to Make the Playoffs | Golden State Warriors | +155 | 39.2 | -142 | 58.6 | +19.4 | +49.5 | +31.9 | +16.0 |
| More wins than | Houston Rockets To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | San Antonio Spurs tie = push | +230 | 30.3 | -111 | 52.5 | +22.2 | +69.8 | +31.9 | +15.9 |
| Advance to conf finals | To Advance to Eastern Conference Finals | Boston Celtics | +195 | 33.9 | -122 | 54.9 | +21.0 | +62.1 | +31.8 | +15.9 |
| More wins than | Memphis Grizzlies To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Washington Wizards tie = push | -160 | 61.5 | -281 | 73.8 | +12.2 | +19.2 | +31.8 | +15.9 |
| X+ wins | 55+ Regular Season Wins | Boston Celtics | +115 | 46.5 | -173 | 63.3 | +16.8 | +36.2 | +31.5 | +15.7 |
| More wins than | Denver Nuggets To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Miami Heat tie = push | -270 | 73.0 | -439 | 81.5 | +8.5 | +11.3 | +31.4 | +15.7 |
| Division place | Pacific Division 5th Place | Sacramento Kings | -500 | 83.3 | -773 | 88.5 | +5.2 | +6.3 | +31.3 | +15.6 |
| More wins than | Golden State Warriors To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Miami Heat tie = push | +200 | 33.3 | -118 | 54.1 | +20.8 | +59.7 | +31.1 | +15.6 |
| Make / miss playoffs | Western Conference to Make the Playoffs | Denver Nuggets | -550 | 84.6 | -842 | 89.4 | +4.8 | +5.6 | +31.0 | +15.5 |
| Win streak | Team 6+ Consecutive Regular Season Wins | Boston Celtics incl. games played | -900 | 90.0 | -1348 | 93.1 | +3.1 | +3.4 | +30.9 | +15.5 |
| More wins than | Boston Celtics To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Minnesota Timberwolves tie = push | -270 | 73.0 | -435 | 81.3 | +8.3 | +11.1 | +30.9 | +15.4 |
| Seed over/under | Charlotte Hornets Seed | Charlotte Hornets Under 10.5 Seed = top 10 | -180 | 64.3 | -305 | 75.3 | +11.0 | +17.1 | +30.8 | +15.4 |
| Seed over/under | Utah Jazz Seed | Utah Jazz Over 10.5 Seed = 11th or worse | -290 | 74.4 | -464 | 82.3 | +7.9 | +10.6 | +30.8 | +15.4 |
| Seed over/under | Oklahoma City Thunder Seed | Oklahoma City Thunder Over 1.5 Seed = 2nd or worse | -195 | 66.1 | -324 | 76.4 | +10.3 | +15.6 | +30.4 | +15.2 |
| Seed over/under | Los Angeles Clippers Seed | Los Angeles Clippers Under 12.5 Seed = top 12 | -135 | 57.4 | -237 | 70.3 | +12.9 | +22.4 | +30.3 | +15.1 |
| Division place | Southwest Division Winner | Houston Rockets | +210 | 32.3 | -111 | 52.6 | +20.4 | +63.2 | +30.1 | +15.0 |
| More wins than | Los Angeles Clippers To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Utah Jazz tie = push | -105 | 51.2 | -193 | 65.9 | +14.6 | +27.4 | +30.0 | +15.0 |
| More wins than | Boston Celtics To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Denver Nuggets tie = push | -270 | 73.0 | -423 | 80.9 | +7.9 | +10.5 | +29.3 | +14.6 |
| Division place | Atlantic Division Winner | Boston Celtics | +140 | 41.7 | -141 | 58.5 | +16.9 | +40.5 | +28.9 | +14.5 |
| More wins than | Phoenix Suns To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | New Orleans Pelicans tie = push | -450 | 81.8 | -673 | 87.1 | +5.2 | +6.3 | +28.8 | +14.4 |
| More wins than | Golden State Warriors To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Los Angeles Clippers tie = push | -290 | 74.4 | -444 | 81.6 | +7.3 | +9.5 | +28.3 | +14.1 |
| More wins than | Detroit Pistons To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Miami Heat tie = push | -475 | 82.6 | -701 | 87.5 | +4.9 | +5.8 | +28.3 | +14.1 |
| Make / miss playoffs | Western Conference to Miss the Playoffs | Memphis Grizzlies | -250 | 71.4 | -386 | 79.4 | +8.0 | +11.2 | +27.9 | +14.0 |
| More wins than | Charlotte Hornets To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Chicago Bulls tie = push | -750 | 88.2 | -1076 | 91.5 | +3.3 | +3.6 | +27.7 | +13.9 |
| Division place | Southwest Division 2nd Place | San Antonio Spurs | +220 | 31.2 | -101 | 50.3 | +19.1 | +61.0 | +27.7 | +13.9 |
| More wins than | Los Angeles Clippers To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | New Orleans Pelicans tie = push | -115 | 53.5 | -197 | 66.4 | +12.9 | +23.1 | +27.7 | +13.8 |
| More wins than | Charlotte Hornets To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Memphis Grizzlies tie = push | -180 | 64.3 | -287 | 74.1 | +9.9 | +14.8 | +27.6 | +13.8 |
| More wins than | Detroit Pistons To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Philadelphia 76ers tie = push | -105 | 51.2 | -183 | 64.6 | +13.4 | +25.2 | +27.5 | +13.8 |
| Division place | Northwest Division 5th Place | Utah Jazz | -900 | 90.0 | -1279 | 92.8 | +2.8 | +3.1 | +27.5 | +13.8 |
| X+ wins | 35+ Regular Season Wins | Phoenix Suns | -220 | 68.8 | -340 | 77.3 | +8.5 | +12.4 | +27.3 | +13.7 |
| Win totals | Houston Rockets Regular Season Wins | Houston Rockets Over 52.5 Wins | -130 | 56.5 | -215 | 68.3 | +11.8 | +20.8 | +27.0 | +13.5 |
| More wins than | Minnesota Timberwolves To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Miami Heat tie = push | -290 | 74.4 | -435 | 81.3 | +6.9 | +9.1 | +27.0 | +13.5 |
| More wins than | Boston Celtics To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Detroit Pistons tie = push | -165 | 62.3 | -263 | 72.5 | +10.2 | +15.8 | +27.0 | +13.5 |
| Exact / top-N seed | Western Conference Top 2 Seed | Houston Rockets | +210 | 32.3 | -102 | 50.5 | +18.2 | +56.5 | +26.9 | +13.4 |
| More wins than | New York Knicks To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Cleveland Cavaliers tie = push | -135 | 57.4 | -220 | 68.8 | +11.3 | +19.0 | +26.7 | +13.3 |
| More wins than | Los Angeles Clippers To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Chicago Bulls tie = push | -155 | 60.8 | -247 | 71.2 | +10.4 | +16.5 | +26.5 | +13.2 |
| More wins than | Portland Trail Blazers To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Indiana Pacers tie = push | -260 | 72.2 | -388 | 79.5 | +7.3 | +9.8 | +26.2 | +13.1 |
| More wins than | Orlando Magic To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Indiana Pacers tie = push | +120 | 45.5 | -147 | 59.6 | +14.1 | +29.7 | +25.9 | +12.9 |
| X+ wins | 20+ Regular Season Wins | Chicago Bulls | -700 | 87.5 | -972 | 90.7 | +3.2 | +3.6 | +25.4 | +12.7 |
| Make / miss playoffs | Western Conference to Make the Playoffs | Minnesota Timberwolves | -600 | 85.7 | -832 | 89.3 | +3.6 | +4.1 | +24.9 | +12.4 |
| Exact / top-N seed | Eastern Conference Top 4 Seed | New York Knicks | -115 | 53.5 | -185 | 64.9 | +11.4 | +21.4 | +24.6 | +12.3 |
| More wins than | Denver Nuggets To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Philadelphia 76ers tie = push | +165 | 37.7 | -113 | 53.0 | +15.3 | +38.8 | +24.5 | +12.3 |
| More wins than | Denver Nuggets To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Atlanta Hawks tie = push | -160 | 61.5 | -244 | 70.9 | +9.4 | +14.7 | +24.4 | +12.2 |
| More wins than | Detroit Pistons To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Atlanta Hawks tie = push | -280 | 73.7 | -400 | 80.0 | +6.3 | +8.3 | +24.0 | +12.0 |
| More wins than | Atlanta Hawks To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Dallas Mavericks tie = push | -650 | 86.7 | -887 | 89.9 | +3.2 | +3.6 | +24.0 | +12.0 |
| More wins than | Los Angeles Lakers To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Indiana Pacers tie = push | -240 | 70.6 | -346 | 77.6 | +7.0 | +9.6 | +23.8 | +11.9 |
| Win totals | Indiana Pacers Regular Season Wins | Indiana Pacers Under 42.5 Wins | -110 | 52.4 | -175 | 63.7 | +11.3 | +21.6 | +23.8 | +11.9 |
| More wins than | Phoenix Suns To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Chicago Bulls tie = push | -650 | 86.7 | -883 | 89.8 | +3.2 | +3.6 | +23.7 | +11.9 |
| More wins than | Miami Heat To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Dallas Mavericks tie = push | -360 | 78.3 | -502 | 83.4 | +5.1 | +6.4 | +23.5 | +11.8 |
| Seed over/under | San Antonio Spurs Seed | San Antonio Spurs Over 2.5 Seed = 3rd or worse | +150 | 40.0 | -118 | 54.0 | +14.0 | +35.1 | +23.4 | +11.7 |
| More wins than | Golden State Warriors To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Atlanta Hawks tie = push | +340 | 22.7 | +148 | 40.4 | +17.7 | +74.8 | +22.9 | +11.4 |
| Seed over/under | Indiana Pacers Seed | Indiana Pacers Over 7.5 Seed = 8th or worse | -135 | 57.4 | -205 | 67.2 | +9.7 | +16.9 | +22.8 | +11.4 |
| More wins than | Minnesota Timberwolves To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Atlanta Hawks tie = push | -165 | 62.3 | -243 | 70.9 | +8.6 | +13.3 | +22.8 | +11.4 |
| More wins than | Golden State Warriors To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Phoenix Suns tie = push | +125 | 44.4 | -133 | 57.1 | +12.6 | +27.2 | +22.7 | +11.3 |
| More wins than | Los Angeles Clippers To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Brooklyn Nets tie = push | -260 | 72.2 | -366 | 78.5 | +6.3 | +8.5 | +22.7 | +11.3 |
| Win streak | Team 6+ Consecutive Regular Season Wins | Golden State Warriors incl. games played | +170 | 37.0 | -105 | 51.3 | +14.2 | +38.4 | +22.6 | +11.3 |
| Exact / top-N seed | Eastern Conference 1st Seed | Boston Celtics regular-season seed | +270 | 27.0 | +130 | 43.5 | +16.4 | +60.8 | +22.5 | +11.3 |
| Seed over/under | Philadelphia 76ers Seed | Philadelphia 76ers Over 4.5 Seed = 5th or worse | +120 | 45.5 | -137 | 57.7 | +12.3 | +27.0 | +22.5 | +11.3 |
| More wins than | Minnesota Timberwolves To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Philadelphia 76ers tie = push | +155 | 39.2 | -112 | 52.7 | +13.5 | +33.0 | +22.3 | +11.1 |
| Win totals | New York Knicks Regular Season Wins | New York Knicks Over 48.5 Wins | -150 | 60.0 | -221 | 68.9 | +8.9 | +14.8 | +22.2 | +11.1 |
| More wins than | Toronto Raptors To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Indiana Pacers tie = push | -230 | 69.7 | -324 | 76.4 | +6.7 | +9.3 | +22.1 | +11.1 |
| Exact / top-N seed | Eastern Conference Top 6 Seed | Detroit Pistons | -340 | 77.3 | -464 | 82.3 | +5.0 | +6.5 | +22.0 | +11.0 |
| More wins than | Charlotte Hornets To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Indiana Pacers tie = push | +160 | 38.5 | -107 | 51.6 | +13.2 | +32.8 | +21.4 | +10.7 |
| Conference winner | Eastern Conference Winner | Boston Celtics | +470 | 17.5 | +186 | 35.0 | +17.5 | +99.6 | +21.2 | +10.6 |
| X+ wins | 40+ Regular Season Wins | Orlando Magic | -140 | 58.3 | -204 | 67.2 | +8.8 | +15.1 | +21.2 | +10.6 |
| Win totals | Dallas Mavericks Regular Season Wins | Dallas Mavericks Under 32.5 Wins | +115 | 46.5 | -137 | 57.8 | +11.3 | +24.3 | +21.1 | +10.6 |
| X+ wins | 20+ Regular Season Wins | New Orleans Pelicans | -1000 | 90.9 | -1293 | 92.8 | +1.9 | +2.1 | +21.0 | +10.5 |
| More wins than | New York Knicks To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Toronto Raptors tie = push | -155 | 60.8 | -223 | 69.0 | +8.2 | +13.0 | +21.0 | +10.5 |
| More wins than | New Orleans Pelicans To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Washington Wizards tie = push | +180 | 35.7 | +104 | 49.0 | +13.3 | +35.7 | +20.7 | +10.4 |
| Win totals | Charlotte Hornets Regular Season Wins | Charlotte Hornets Over 38.5 Wins | -115 | 53.5 | -170 | 63.0 | +9.5 | +17.7 | +20.4 | +10.2 |
| X+ wins | 45+ Regular Season Wins | Detroit Pistons | -425 | 81.0 | -558 | 84.8 | +3.9 | +4.8 | +20.3 | +10.1 |
| More wins than | Chicago Bulls To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Washington Wizards tie = push | +230 | 30.3 | +126 | 44.3 | +14.0 | +44.2 | +20.1 | +10.0 |
| More wins than | New York Knicks To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | San Antonio Spurs tie = push | +420 | 19.2 | +182 | 35.4 | +16.2 | +80.7 | +20.1 | +10.0 |
| More wins than | New York Knicks To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Oklahoma City Thunder tie = push | +370 | 21.3 | +170 | 37.0 | +15.8 | +71.1 | +20.0 | +10.0 |
| X+ wins | 45+ Regular Season Wins | Denver Nuggets | -200 | 66.7 | -274 | 73.2 | +6.6 | +9.9 | +19.7 | +9.9 |
| X+ wins | 55+ Regular Season Wins | Houston Rockets | +120 | 45.5 | -128 | 56.2 | +10.7 | +23.6 | +19.7 | +9.8 |
| More wins than | Houston Rockets To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Orlando Magic tie = push | -800 | 88.9 | -1017 | 91.1 | +2.2 | +2.4 | +19.5 | +9.7 |
| More wins than | Phoenix Suns To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Memphis Grizzlies tie = push | -165 | 62.3 | -228 | 69.5 | +7.2 | +11.2 | +19.2 | +9.6 |
| X+ wins | 50+ Regular Season Wins | New York Knicks | -120 | 54.5 | -172 | 63.2 | +8.7 | +15.9 | +19.1 | +9.6 |
| Win totals | Brooklyn Nets Regular Season Wins | Brooklyn Nets Over 23.5 Wins | -115 | 53.5 | -165 | 62.3 | +8.8 | +16.4 | +18.9 | +9.4 |
| Exact / top-N seed | Eastern Conference Top 3 Seed | New York Knicks | +150 | 40.0 | -105 | 51.2 | +11.2 | +27.9 | +18.6 | +9.3 |
| More wins than | New York Knicks To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Phoenix Suns tie = push | -700 | 87.5 | -879 | 89.8 | +2.3 | +2.6 | +18.3 | +9.2 |
| Win streak | Team 8+ Consecutive Regular Season Wins | Boston Celtics incl. games played | -210 | 67.7 | -279 | 73.6 | +5.9 | +8.7 | +18.2 | +9.1 |
| More wins than | Toronto Raptors To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Memphis Grizzlies tie = push | -750 | 88.2 | -939 | 90.4 | +2.1 | +2.4 | +18.2 | +9.1 |
| More wins than | Brooklyn Nets To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Washington Wizards tie = push | +390 | 20.4 | +187 | 34.8 | +14.4 | +67.9 | +18.1 | +9.1 |
| X+ wins | 35+ Regular Season Wins | Los Angeles Clippers | +300 | 25.0 | +159 | 38.6 | +13.6 | +54.3 | +18.1 | +9.0 |
| More wins than | Houston Rockets To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Minnesota Timberwolves tie = push | -260 | 72.2 | -338 | 77.2 | +5.0 | +6.7 | +17.9 | +8.9 |
Best by EV top 200 by expected return per $1
| Type | Market | Bet | FanDuel | FD % | Fair | Fair % | Edge | EV % | Kelly % | ½ Kelly % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| More wins than | Golden State Warriors To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | San Antonio Spurs tie = push | +4000 | 2.4 | +1208 | 7.6 | +5.2 | +210.0 | +5.3 | +2.7 |
| More wins than | Golden State Warriors To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Oklahoma City Thunder tie = push | +3300 | 2.9 | +1109 | 8.3 | +5.3 | +178.1 | +5.5 | +2.7 |
| Exact / top-N seed | Western Conference Top 2 Seed | Golden State Warriors | +10000 | 1.0 | +3783 | 2.6 | +1.6 | +160.1 | +1.6 | +0.8 |
| Finals winner | Finals Winner - East | Boston Celtics | +1200 | 7.7 | +470 | 17.5 | +9.8 | +127.9 | +10.7 | +5.3 |
| Finals winner | Finals Winner | Boston Celtics | +1200 | 7.7 | +470 | 17.5 | +9.8 | +127.9 | +10.7 | +5.3 |
| More wins than | Golden State Warriors To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Philadelphia 76ers tie = push | +850 | 10.5 | +321 | 23.7 | +13.2 | +121.5 | +14.8 | +7.4 |
| NBA Cup group | 2026 NBA Cup West Group C Winner | Golden State Warriors | +1800 | 5.3 | +773 | 11.5 | +6.2 | +117.5 | +6.5 | +3.3 |
| More wins than | Charlotte Hornets To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | San Antonio Spurs tie = push | +3000 | 3.2 | +1342 | 6.9 | +3.7 | +113.4 | +3.8 | +1.9 |
| Exact / top-N seed | Western Conference 7th Seed | San Antonio Spurs regular-season seed | +5500 | 1.8 | +2528 | 3.8 | +2.0 | +113.1 | +2.1 | +1.0 |
| X+ wins | 50+ Regular Season Wins | Golden State Warriors | +1800 | 5.3 | +809 | 11.0 | +5.7 | +109.1 | +6.1 | +3.0 |
| X+ wins | 55+ Regular Season Wins | Golden State Warriors | +7000 | 1.4 | +3336 | 2.9 | +1.5 | +106.6 | +1.5 | +0.8 |
| Exact / top-N seed | Western Conference 2nd Seed | Golden State Warriors regular-season seed | +12500 | 0.8 | +6111 | 1.6 | +0.8 | +102.9 | +0.8 | +0.4 |
| Simmons specials | Bill Simmons Specials | Atlantic Division Exact Order: BOS 1st, NYK 2nd, TOR 3rd, PHI 4th, BKN 5th 5 legs | +1400 | 6.7 | +643 | 13.5 | +6.8 | +101.8 | +7.3 | +3.6 |
| Most wins | Most Regular Season Wins | Boston Celtics ties dead-heat | +850 | 10.5 | +373 | 21.1 | +10.6 | +100.8 | +11.9 | +5.9 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Quarterfinals | Golden State Warriors | +1100 | 8.3 | +498 | 16.7 | +8.4 | +100.7 | +9.2 | +4.6 |
| Exact / top-N seed | Western Conference 1st Seed | Houston Rockets regular-season seed | +600 | 14.3 | +250 | 28.6 | +14.3 | +99.9 | +16.7 | +8.3 |
| Conference winner | Eastern Conference Winner | Boston Celtics | +470 | 17.5 | +186 | 35.0 | +17.5 | +99.6 | +21.2 | +10.6 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Semifinals | Golden State Warriors | +2700 | 3.6 | +1360 | 6.9 | +3.3 | +91.8 | +3.4 | +1.7 |
| Make play-in | Western Conference to Make the Play In | San Antonio Spurs | +2500 | 3.8 | +1275 | 7.3 | +3.4 | +89.1 | +3.6 | +1.8 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Final | Golden State Warriors | +6500 | 1.5 | +3409 | 2.9 | +1.3 | +88.1 | +1.4 | +0.7 |
| Exact / top-N seed | Western Conference Top 4 Seed | Golden State Warriors | +1900 | 5.0 | +971 | 9.3 | +4.3 | +86.7 | +4.6 | +2.3 |
| More wins than | Boston Celtics To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | San Antonio Spurs tie = push | +230 | 30.3 | -136 | 57.6 | +27.3 | +86.2 | +39.2 | +19.6 |
| Exact / top-N seed | Western Conference Top 3 Seed | Golden State Warriors | +3500 | 2.8 | +1836 | 5.2 | +2.4 | +85.9 | +2.5 | +1.2 |
| More wins than | Golden State Warriors To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Indiana Pacers tie = push | +250 | 28.6 | -118 | 54.0 | +25.5 | +85.7 | +35.7 | +17.8 |
| X+ wins | 45+ Regular Season Wins | Golden State Warriors | +500 | 16.7 | +223 | 30.9 | +14.3 | +85.5 | +17.1 | +8.6 |
| More wins than | Golden State Warriors To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Cleveland Cavaliers tie = push | +600 | 14.3 | +273 | 26.8 | +12.5 | +84.5 | +14.6 | +7.3 |
| More wins than | New York Knicks To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | San Antonio Spurs tie = push | +420 | 19.2 | +182 | 35.4 | +16.2 | +80.7 | +20.1 | +10.0 |
| More wins than | Los Angeles Clippers To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Philadelphia 76ers tie = push | +3000 | 3.2 | +1606 | 5.9 | +2.6 | +80.7 | +2.7 | +1.4 |
| More wins than | Boston Celtics To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Oklahoma City Thunder tie = push | +210 | 32.3 | -146 | 59.4 | +27.1 | +80.6 | +40.1 | +20.0 |
| More wins than | Orlando Magic To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | San Antonio Spurs tie = push | +1800 | 5.3 | +954 | 9.5 | +4.2 | +78.9 | +4.5 | +2.2 |
| More wins than | Los Angeles Clippers To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Washington Wizards tie = push | +170 | 37.0 | -194 | 65.9 | +28.9 | +75.1 | +45.9 | +23.0 |
| More wins than | Golden State Warriors To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Atlanta Hawks tie = push | +340 | 22.7 | +148 | 40.4 | +17.7 | +74.8 | +22.9 | +11.4 |
| Exact / top-N seed | Western Conference Top 5 Seed | Golden State Warriors | +1000 | 9.1 | +531 | 15.8 | +6.8 | +74.3 | +7.4 | +3.7 |
| X+ wins | 40+ Regular Season Wins | Golden State Warriors | +190 | 34.5 | -151 | 60.1 | +25.6 | +74.2 | +39.1 | +19.5 |
| More wins than | Golden State Warriors To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Toronto Raptors tie = push | +550 | 15.4 | +270 | 27.0 | +11.6 | +73.0 | +13.7 | +6.9 |
| More wins than | Phoenix Suns To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | San Antonio Spurs tie = push | +3000 | 3.2 | +1697 | 5.6 | +2.3 | +71.6 | +2.4 | +1.2 |
| More wins than | Los Angeles Clippers To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Indiana Pacers tie = push | +750 | 11.8 | +389 | 20.4 | +8.7 | +71.4 | +9.8 | +4.9 |
| More wins than | New York Knicks To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Oklahoma City Thunder tie = push | +370 | 21.3 | +170 | 37.0 | +15.8 | +71.1 | +20.0 | +10.0 |
| Exact / top-N seed | Western Conference 7th Seed | Oklahoma City Thunder regular-season seed | +4000 | 2.4 | +2310 | 4.2 | +1.7 | +70.2 | +1.8 | +0.9 |
| More wins than | Charlotte Hornets To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Oklahoma City Thunder tie = push | +2200 | 4.3 | +1246 | 7.4 | +3.1 | +69.9 | +3.2 | +1.6 |
| More wins than | Houston Rockets To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | San Antonio Spurs tie = push | +230 | 30.3 | -111 | 52.5 | +22.2 | +69.8 | +31.9 | +15.9 |
| More wins than | Denver Nuggets To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | San Antonio Spurs tie = push | +600 | 14.3 | +308 | 24.5 | +10.2 | +69.1 | +11.9 | +6.0 |
| Fewest wins | Least Regular Season Wins | Washington Wizards ties dead-heat | +3300 | 2.9 | +1915 | 5.0 | +2.0 | +68.7 | +2.1 | +1.0 |
| More wins than | Brooklyn Nets To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Washington Wizards tie = push | +390 | 20.4 | +187 | 34.8 | +14.4 | +67.9 | +18.1 | +9.1 |
| Finals runner-up | Finals Runner Up | Boston Celtics | +850 | 10.5 | +472 | 17.5 | +7.0 | +66.2 | +7.8 | +3.9 |
| Exact / top-N seed | Western Conference 1st Seed | Phoenix Suns regular-season seed | +22500 | 0.4 | +13505 | 0.7 | +0.3 | +66.1 | +0.3 | +0.1 |
| More wins than | Houston Rockets To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Oklahoma City Thunder tie = push | +210 | 32.3 | -120 | 54.5 | +22.2 | +66.1 | +32.8 | +16.4 |
| Exact / top-N seed | Western Conference Top 6 Seed | Golden State Warriors | +550 | 15.4 | +292 | 25.5 | +10.1 | +65.9 | +12.0 | +6.0 |
| Division place | Southwest Division Winner | Houston Rockets | +210 | 32.3 | -111 | 52.6 | +20.4 | +63.2 | +30.1 | +15.0 |
| More wins than | Orlando Magic To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Oklahoma City Thunder tie = push | +1500 | 6.2 | +874 | 10.3 | +4.0 | +63.0 | +4.3 | +2.1 |
| Advance to conf finals | To Advance to Eastern Conference Finals | Boston Celtics | +195 | 33.9 | -122 | 54.9 | +21.0 | +62.1 | +31.8 | +15.9 |
| More wins than | Sacramento Kings To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Washington Wizards tie = push | +1000 | 9.1 | +572 | 14.9 | +5.8 | +62.0 | +6.4 | +3.2 |
| Division place | Pacific Division Winner | Golden State Warriors | +700 | 12.5 | +397 | 20.1 | +7.6 | +61.1 | +8.7 | +4.4 |
| Division place | Southwest Division 2nd Place | San Antonio Spurs | +220 | 31.2 | -101 | 50.3 | +19.1 | +61.0 | +27.7 | +13.9 |
| Exact / top-N seed | Eastern Conference 1st Seed | Boston Celtics regular-season seed | +270 | 27.0 | +130 | 43.5 | +16.4 | +60.8 | +22.5 | +11.3 |
| Make play-in | Western Conference to Make the Play In | Oklahoma City Thunder | +1900 | 5.0 | +1144 | 8.0 | +3.0 | +60.8 | +3.2 | +1.6 |
| X+ wins | 65+ Regular Season Wins | Boston Celtics | +1700 | 5.6 | +1024 | 8.9 | +3.3 | +60.2 | +3.5 | +1.8 |
| More wins than | Phoenix Suns To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Oklahoma City Thunder tie = push | +2500 | 3.8 | +1517 | 6.2 | +2.3 | +60.1 | +2.4 | +1.2 |
| Exact / top-N seed | Western Conference 8th Seed | San Antonio Spurs regular-season seed | +8000 | 1.2 | +4963 | 2.0 | +0.7 | +60.0 | +0.8 | +0.4 |
| More wins than | Golden State Warriors To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Miami Heat tie = push | +200 | 33.3 | -118 | 54.1 | +20.8 | +59.7 | +31.1 | +15.6 |
| More wins than | Los Angeles Clippers To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Dallas Mavericks tie = push | +190 | 34.5 | -126 | 55.7 | +21.2 | +59.0 | +32.4 | +16.2 |
| X+ wins | 40+ Regular Season Wins | Los Angeles Clippers | +950 | 9.5 | +562 | 15.1 | +5.6 | +58.7 | +6.2 | +3.1 |
| Division place | Northwest Division 4th Place | Oklahoma City Thunder | +2000 | 4.8 | +1237 | 7.5 | +2.7 | +57.1 | +2.9 | +1.4 |
| Exact / top-N seed | Western Conference Top 2 Seed | Houston Rockets | +210 | 32.3 | -102 | 50.5 | +18.2 | +56.5 | +26.9 | +13.4 |
| More wins than | Minnesota Timberwolves To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | San Antonio Spurs tie = push | +550 | 15.4 | +311 | 24.3 | +8.9 | +56.3 | +10.6 | +5.3 |
| X+ wins | 35+ Regular Season Wins | Los Angeles Clippers | +300 | 25.0 | +159 | 38.6 | +13.6 | +54.3 | +18.1 | +9.0 |
| More wins than | Denver Nuggets To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Oklahoma City Thunder tie = push | +500 | 16.7 | +285 | 26.0 | +9.3 | +54.2 | +11.2 | +5.6 |
| Most wins | Most Regular Season Wins | Houston Rockets ties dead-heat | +800 | 11.1 | +486 | 17.1 | +6.0 | +53.6 | +6.7 | +3.4 |
| More wins than | Golden State Warriors To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Los Angeles Lakers tie = push | +500 | 16.7 | +290 | 25.7 | +9.0 | +52.1 | +10.8 | +5.4 |
| More wins than | Minnesota Timberwolves To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Oklahoma City Thunder tie = push | +500 | 16.7 | +292 | 25.5 | +8.9 | +51.4 | +10.6 | +5.3 |
| More wins than | Golden State Warriors To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Portland Trail Blazers tie = push | +550 | 15.4 | +325 | 23.5 | +8.2 | +51.3 | +9.6 | +4.8 |
| Exact / top-N seed | Western Conference 6th Seed | San Antonio Spurs regular-season seed | +2500 | 3.8 | +1624 | 5.8 | +2.0 | +50.8 | +2.0 | +1.0 |
| Make / miss playoffs | Western Conference to Miss the Playoffs | San Antonio Spurs | +6500 | 1.5 | +4305 | 2.3 | +0.8 | +49.8 | +0.8 | +0.4 |
| Exact / top-N seed | Western Conference 5th Seed | Golden State Warriors regular-season seed | +2200 | 4.3 | +1436 | 6.5 | +2.2 | +49.7 | +2.3 | +1.1 |
| Make / miss playoffs | Western Conference to Make the Playoffs | Golden State Warriors | +155 | 39.2 | -142 | 58.6 | +19.4 | +49.5 | +31.9 | +16.0 |
| Most wins | Most Regular Season Wins | Charlotte Hornets ties dead-heat | +35000 | 0.3 | +23420 | 0.4 | +0.1 | +49.2 | +0.1 | +0.1 |
| NBA Cup group | 2026 NBA Cup West Group B Winner | Minnesota Timberwolves | +390 | 20.4 | +228 | 30.5 | +10.0 | +49.2 | +12.6 | +6.3 |
| Win streak | Team 8+ Consecutive Regular Season Wins | Golden State Warriors incl. games played | +650 | 13.3 | +404 | 19.9 | +6.5 | +48.9 | +7.5 | +3.8 |
| More wins than | Orlando Magic To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Philadelphia 76ers tie = push | +420 | 19.2 | +246 | 28.9 | +9.6 | +48.3 | +11.9 | +6.0 |
| More wins than | Golden State Warriors To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Detroit Pistons tie = push | +950 | 9.5 | +603 | 14.2 | +4.7 | +48.2 | +5.2 | +2.6 |
| Division place | Atlantic Division 4th Place | Philadelphia 76ers | +330 | 23.3 | +190 | 34.4 | +11.2 | +48.0 | +14.6 | +7.3 |
| More wins than | Detroit Pistons To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | San Antonio Spurs tie = push | +340 | 22.7 | +193 | 34.1 | +11.4 | +48.0 | +14.7 | +7.4 |
| Exact / top-N seed | Western Conference 8th Seed | Oklahoma City Thunder regular-season seed | +6500 | 1.5 | +4364 | 2.2 | +0.7 | +47.8 | +0.7 | +0.4 |
| NBA Cup winner | 2026 NBA Cup Winner | Golden State Warriors | +12500 | 0.8 | +8447 | 1.2 | +0.4 | +47.4 | +0.4 | +0.2 |
| More wins than | Los Angeles Clippers To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Atlanta Hawks tie = push | +1100 | 8.3 | +709 | 12.4 | +4.0 | +47.3 | +4.4 | +2.2 |
| X+ wins | 60+ Regular Season Wins | Boston Celtics | +370 | 21.3 | +220 | 31.3 | +10.0 | +47.0 | +12.7 | +6.4 |
| Division place | Northwest Division Winner | Denver Nuggets | +800 | 11.1 | +513 | 16.3 | +5.2 | +46.7 | +5.8 | +2.9 |
| Exact / top-N seed | Western Conference 5th Seed | San Antonio Spurs regular-season seed | +1500 | 6.2 | +991 | 9.2 | +2.9 | +46.7 | +3.1 | +1.6 |
| Exact / top-N seed | Eastern Conference Top 2 Seed | Boston Celtics | +120 | 45.5 | -200 | 66.6 | +21.2 | +46.6 | +38.9 | +19.4 |
| More wins than | Golden State Warriors To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Washington Wizards tie = push | -160 | 61.5 | -952 | 90.5 | +29.0 | +46.3 | +75.3 | +37.6 |
| More wins than | Los Angeles Clippers To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Cleveland Cavaliers tie = push | +2000 | 4.8 | +1337 | 7.0 | +2.2 | +45.5 | +2.3 | +1.2 |
| Exact / top-N seed | Western Conference 6th Seed | Golden State Warriors regular-season seed | +1400 | 6.7 | +934 | 9.7 | +3.0 | +45.1 | +3.2 | +1.6 |
| Exact / top-N seed | Western Conference 3rd Seed | Golden State Warriors regular-season seed | +5500 | 1.8 | +3761 | 2.6 | +0.8 | +45.0 | +0.8 | +0.4 |
| Win totals | San Antonio Spurs Regular Season Wins | San Antonio Spurs Under 58.5 Wins | +100 | 50.0 | -264 | 72.5 | +22.5 | +45.0 | +45.0 | +22.5 |
| More wins than | Detroit Pistons To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Oklahoma City Thunder tie = push | +310 | 24.4 | +179 | 35.8 | +11.4 | +44.9 | +15.1 | +7.6 |
| More wins than | Charlotte Hornets To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Philadelphia 76ers tie = push | +550 | 15.4 | +344 | 22.5 | +7.1 | +44.7 | +8.4 | +4.2 |
| X+ wins | 35+ Regular Season Wins | Golden State Warriors | -140 | 58.3 | -535 | 84.2 | +25.9 | +44.4 | +62.2 | +31.1 |
| Win totals | Golden State Warriors Regular Season Wins | Golden State Warriors Over 34.5 Wins | -140 | 58.3 | -535 | 84.2 | +25.9 | +44.4 | +62.2 | +31.1 |
| More wins than | Chicago Bulls To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Washington Wizards tie = push | +230 | 30.3 | +126 | 44.3 | +14.0 | +44.2 | +20.1 | +10.0 |
| Exact / top-N seed | Western Conference Top 4 Seed | Los Angeles Clippers | +12500 | 0.8 | +8711 | 1.1 | +0.3 | +43.0 | +0.3 | +0.2 |
| Exact / top-N seed | Western Conference 4th Seed | Golden State Warriors regular-season seed | +3300 | 2.9 | +2298 | 4.2 | +1.2 | +41.8 | +1.3 | +0.6 |
| More wins than | Phoenix Suns To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Philadelphia 76ers tie = push | +650 | 13.3 | +425 | 19.0 | +5.7 | +41.6 | +6.6 | +3.3 |
| More wins than | Brooklyn Nets To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Dallas Mavericks tie = push | +460 | 17.9 | +292 | 25.5 | +7.7 | +41.5 | +9.3 | +4.7 |
| Win totals | Oklahoma City Thunder Regular Season Wins | Oklahoma City Thunder Under 58.5 Wins | -110 | 52.4 | -282 | 73.8 | +21.5 | +41.0 | +45.1 | +22.5 |
| Division place | Atlantic Division Winner | Boston Celtics | +140 | 41.7 | -141 | 58.5 | +16.9 | +40.5 | +28.9 | +14.5 |
| More wins than | Los Angeles Clippers To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Miami Heat tie = push | +600 | 14.3 | +395 | 20.2 | +5.9 | +40.2 | +6.9 | +3.5 |
| X+ wins | 30+ Regular Season Wins | Los Angeles Clippers | +105 | 48.8 | -214 | 68.2 | +19.4 | +39.8 | +37.9 | +18.9 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Final | Minnesota Timberwolves | +1300 | 7.1 | +902 | 10.0 | +2.8 | +39.7 | +3.1 | +1.5 |
| Exact / top-N seed | Western Conference 1st Seed | Denver Nuggets regular-season seed | +2200 | 4.3 | +1547 | 6.1 | +1.7 | +39.6 | +1.8 | +0.9 |
| More wins than | Golden State Warriors To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Memphis Grizzlies tie = push | -115 | 53.5 | -304 | 75.3 | +21.8 | +39.4 | +46.8 | +23.4 |
| Seed over/under | Washington Wizards Seed | Washington Wizards Over 11.5 Seed = 12th or worse | -120 | 54.5 | -315 | 75.9 | +21.4 | +39.2 | +47.0 | +23.5 |
| More wins than | Golden State Warriors To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Dallas Mavericks tie = push | -155 | 60.8 | -564 | 84.9 | +24.2 | +38.8 | +61.6 | +30.8 |
| More wins than | Denver Nuggets To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Philadelphia 76ers tie = push | +165 | 37.7 | -113 | 53.0 | +15.3 | +38.8 | +24.5 | +12.3 |
| More wins than | Los Angeles Clippers To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Memphis Grizzlies tie = push | +240 | 29.4 | +142 | 41.3 | +11.9 | +38.7 | +16.8 | +8.4 |
| Win streak | Team 10+ Consecutive Regular Season Wins | Golden State Warriors incl. games played | +2000 | 4.8 | +1414 | 6.6 | +1.8 | +38.7 | +1.9 | +1.0 |
| Division place | Southeast Division 5th Place | Washington Wizards | -115 | 53.5 | -287 | 74.1 | +20.6 | +38.6 | +44.4 | +22.2 |
| X+ wins | 45+ Regular Season Wins | Los Angeles Clippers | +3000 | 3.2 | +2137 | 4.5 | +1.2 | +38.6 | +1.3 | +0.6 |
| Win streak | Team 6+ Consecutive Regular Season Wins | Golden State Warriors incl. games played | +170 | 37.0 | -105 | 51.3 | +14.2 | +38.4 | +22.6 | +11.3 |
| Exact / top-N seed | Western Conference 6th Seed | Oklahoma City Thunder regular-season seed | +2000 | 4.8 | +1420 | 6.6 | +1.8 | +38.2 | +1.9 | +1.0 |
| Win totals | Philadelphia 76ers Regular Season Wins | Philadelphia 76ers Under 50.5 Wins | +110 | 47.6 | -190 | 65.6 | +18.0 | +37.7 | +34.3 | +17.1 |
| Finals winner | Finals Winner - West | Oklahoma City Thunder | +380 | 20.8 | +249 | 28.7 | +7.8 | +37.6 | +9.9 | +4.9 |
| Finals winner | Finals Winner | Oklahoma City Thunder | +380 | 20.8 | +249 | 28.7 | +7.8 | +37.6 | +9.9 | +4.9 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Quarterfinals | Minnesota Timberwolves | +220 | 31.2 | +133 | 43.0 | +11.7 | +37.5 | +17.0 | +8.5 |
| More wins than | New York Knicks To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Philadelphia 76ers tie = push | +110 | 47.6 | -194 | 66.0 | +18.4 | +37.2 | +35.1 | +17.6 |
| More wins than | Boston Celtics To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Philadelphia 76ers tie = push | -150 | 60.0 | -483 | 82.8 | +22.8 | +37.0 | +57.1 | +28.5 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Semifinals | Minnesota Timberwolves | +550 | 15.4 | +375 | 21.1 | +5.7 | +36.8 | +6.7 | +3.3 |
| Win totals | Washington Wizards Regular Season Wins | Washington Wizards Under 34.5 Wins | -145 | 59.2 | -424 | 80.9 | +21.7 | +36.7 | +53.2 | +26.6 |
| Division place | Northwest Division 3rd Place | Oklahoma City Thunder | +850 | 10.5 | +597 | 14.3 | +3.8 | +36.3 | +4.3 | +2.1 |
| X+ wins | 55+ Regular Season Wins | Boston Celtics | +115 | 46.5 | -173 | 63.3 | +16.8 | +36.2 | +31.5 | +15.7 |
| Seed over/under | Golden State Warriors Seed | Golden State Warriors Under 10.5 Seed = top 10 | -160 | 61.5 | -507 | 83.5 | +22.0 | +35.7 | +57.2 | +28.6 |
| More wins than | New Orleans Pelicans To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Washington Wizards tie = push | +180 | 35.7 | +104 | 49.0 | +13.3 | +35.7 | +20.7 | +10.4 |
| Win totals | Los Angeles Clippers Regular Season Wins | Los Angeles Clippers Over 28.5 Wins | -120 | 54.5 | -281 | 73.8 | +19.2 | +35.2 | +42.2 | +21.1 |
| Seed over/under | San Antonio Spurs Seed | San Antonio Spurs Over 2.5 Seed = 3rd or worse | +150 | 40.0 | -118 | 54.0 | +14.0 | +35.1 | +23.4 | +11.7 |
| Most wins | Most Regular Season Wins | Phoenix Suns ties dead-heat | +35000 | 0.3 | +25930 | 0.4 | +0.1 | +34.8 | +0.1 | +0.1 |
| Win streak | Team 6+ Consecutive Regular Season Wins | Los Angeles Clippers incl. games played | +550 | 15.4 | +387 | 20.5 | +5.2 | +33.5 | +6.1 | +3.0 |
| Most wins | Most Regular Season Wins | New York Knicks ties dead-heat | +2000 | 4.8 | +1477 | 6.3 | +1.6 | +33.2 | +1.7 | +0.8 |
| More wins than | Minnesota Timberwolves To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Philadelphia 76ers tie = push | +155 | 39.2 | -112 | 52.7 | +13.5 | +33.0 | +22.3 | +11.1 |
| Seed over/under | Boston Celtics Seed | Boston Celtics Under 3.5 Seed = top 3 | -150 | 60.0 | -392 | 79.7 | +19.7 | +32.8 | +49.2 | +24.6 |
| Exact / top-N seed | Eastern Conference Top 3 Seed | Boston Celtics | -150 | 60.0 | -392 | 79.7 | +19.7 | +32.8 | +49.2 | +24.6 |
| More wins than | Charlotte Hornets To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Indiana Pacers tie = push | +160 | 38.5 | -107 | 51.6 | +13.2 | +32.8 | +21.4 | +10.7 |
| More wins than | Houston Rockets To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Philadelphia 76ers tie = push | -150 | 60.0 | -394 | 79.8 | +19.8 | +32.0 | +49.4 | +24.7 |
| More wins than | Los Angeles Lakers To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | San Antonio Spurs tie = push | +550 | 15.4 | +391 | 20.4 | +5.0 | +31.4 | +5.9 | +2.9 |
| Seed over/under | Houston Rockets Seed | Houston Rockets Under 3.5 Seed = top 3 | -105 | 51.2 | -205 | 67.2 | +15.9 | +31.1 | +32.7 | +16.3 |
| Exact / top-N seed | Western Conference Top 3 Seed | Houston Rockets | -105 | 51.2 | -205 | 67.2 | +15.9 | +31.1 | +32.7 | +16.3 |
| Exact / top-N seed | Western Conference 1st Seed | Minnesota Timberwolves regular-season seed | +2000 | 4.8 | +1503 | 6.2 | +1.5 | +31.0 | +1.6 | +0.8 |
| Conference winner | Western Conference Winner | Oklahoma City Thunder | +210 | 32.3 | +137 | 42.1 | +9.9 | +30.6 | +14.6 | +7.3 |
| More wins than | Portland Trail Blazers To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | San Antonio Spurs tie = push | +480 | 17.2 | +341 | 22.7 | +5.4 | +30.6 | +6.6 | +3.3 |
| Exact / top-N seed | Western Conference 5th Seed | Oklahoma City Thunder regular-season seed | +1300 | 7.1 | +974 | 9.3 | +2.2 | +30.3 | +2.3 | +1.2 |
| Division place | Northwest Division Winner | Minnesota Timberwolves | +700 | 12.5 | +515 | 16.3 | +3.8 | +30.1 | +4.3 | +2.2 |
| Seed over/under | Dallas Mavericks Seed | Dallas Mavericks Over 10.5 Seed = 11th or worse | -120 | 54.5 | -244 | 71.0 | +16.4 | +30.1 | +36.1 | +18.1 |
| Advance to conf semis | To Advance to Western Conference Semi Finals | Golden State Warriors | +700 | 12.5 | +515 | 16.3 | +3.8 | +30.1 | +4.3 | +2.1 |
| Win totals | Boston Celtics Regular Season Wins | Boston Celtics Over 52.5 Wins | -135 | 57.4 | -294 | 74.6 | +17.2 | +29.9 | +40.4 | +20.2 |
| More wins than | Orlando Magic To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Indiana Pacers tie = push | +120 | 45.5 | -147 | 59.6 | +14.1 | +29.7 | +25.9 | +12.9 |
| More wins than | Phoenix Suns To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Indiana Pacers tie = push | +180 | 35.7 | +114 | 46.7 | +11.0 | +29.5 | +17.1 | +8.5 |
| More wins than | Golden State Warriors To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Minnesota Timberwolves tie = push | +500 | 16.7 | +360 | 21.7 | +5.1 | +29.4 | +6.1 | +3.0 |
| More wins than | Portland Trail Blazers To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Oklahoma City Thunder tie = push | +430 | 18.9 | +307 | 24.6 | +5.7 | +29.2 | +7.0 | +3.5 |
| Win streak | Team 15+ Consecutive Regular Season Wins | Boston Celtics incl. games played | +1000 | 9.1 | +756 | 11.7 | +2.6 | +28.5 | +2.8 | +1.4 |
| More wins than | Los Angeles Lakers To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Oklahoma City Thunder tie = push | +500 | 16.7 | +365 | 21.5 | +4.8 | +28.0 | +5.8 | +2.9 |
| Exact / top-N seed | Eastern Conference Top 3 Seed | New York Knicks | +150 | 40.0 | -105 | 51.2 | +11.2 | +27.9 | +18.6 | +9.3 |
| NBA Cup winner | 2026 NBA Cup Winner | Houston Rockets | +1200 | 7.7 | +917 | 9.8 | +2.1 | +27.9 | +2.3 | +1.2 |
| More wins than | Los Angeles Clippers To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Utah Jazz tie = push | -105 | 51.2 | -193 | 65.9 | +14.6 | +27.4 | +30.0 | +15.0 |
| Simmons specials | Bill Simmons Specials | BOS 50+ Wins, HOU 45+ Wins in 2026-27 Regular Season 2 legs | -182 | 64.5 | -463 | 82.2 | +17.7 | +27.4 | +49.9 | +24.9 |
| More wins than | Golden State Warriors To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Phoenix Suns tie = push | +125 | 44.4 | -133 | 57.1 | +12.6 | +27.2 | +22.7 | +11.3 |
| Seed over/under | Philadelphia 76ers Seed | Philadelphia 76ers Over 4.5 Seed = 5th or worse | +120 | 45.5 | -137 | 57.7 | +12.3 | +27.0 | +22.5 | +11.3 |
| Exact / top-N seed | Eastern Conference 8th Seed | Philadelphia 76ers regular-season seed | +1500 | 6.2 | +1161 | 7.9 | +1.7 | +26.9 | +1.8 | +0.9 |
| More wins than | Golden State Warriors To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Denver Nuggets tie = push | +500 | 16.7 | +370 | 21.3 | +4.6 | +26.8 | +5.5 | +2.8 |
| Advance to conf semis | To Advance to Eastern Conference Semi Finals | Boston Celtics | -165 | 62.3 | -375 | 78.9 | +16.7 | +26.8 | +44.2 | +22.1 |
| More wins than | Charlotte Hornets To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Cleveland Cavaliers tie = push | +400 | 20.0 | +292 | 25.5 | +5.5 | +26.5 | +6.9 | +3.4 |
| More wins than | Los Angeles Clippers To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Toronto Raptors tie = push | +1700 | 5.6 | +1319 | 7.0 | +1.5 | +26.5 | +1.6 | +0.8 |
| Division place | Southeast Division Winner | Charlotte Hornets | +550 | 15.4 | +414 | 19.4 | +4.1 | +26.4 | +4.8 | +2.4 |
| More wins than | Phoenix Suns To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Washington Wizards tie = push | -220 | 68.8 | -688 | 87.3 | +18.6 | +26.4 | +59.4 | +29.7 |
| X+ wins | 60+ Regular Season Wins | Houston Rockets | +390 | 20.4 | +288 | 25.8 | +5.4 | +26.3 | +6.7 | +3.4 |
| More wins than | Brooklyn Nets To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Indiana Pacers tie = push | +2000 | 4.8 | +1561 | 6.0 | +1.3 | +26.2 | +1.3 | +0.7 |
| More wins than | Utah Jazz To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Washington Wizards tie = push | +155 | 39.2 | +100 | 49.9 | +10.7 | +26.1 | +17.6 | +8.8 |
| Make play-in | Western Conference to Make the Play In | Los Angeles Clippers | +280 | 26.3 | +202 | 33.1 | +6.8 | +25.9 | +9.3 | +4.6 |
| Win streak | Team 12+ Consecutive Regular Season Wins | Boston Celtics incl. games played | +350 | 22.2 | +258 | 27.9 | +5.7 | +25.6 | +7.3 | +3.7 |
| NBA Cup advance | 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Final | Houston Rockets | +600 | 14.3 | +457 | 17.9 | +3.7 | +25.6 | +4.3 | +2.1 |
| Exact / top-N seed | Eastern Conference 7th Seed | Philadelphia 76ers regular-season seed | +1200 | 7.7 | +936 | 9.7 | +2.0 | +25.5 | +2.1 | +1.1 |
| More wins than | Detroit Pistons To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Philadelphia 76ers tie = push | -105 | 51.2 | -183 | 64.6 | +13.4 | +25.2 | +27.5 | +13.8 |
| More wins than | Charlotte Hornets To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Washington Wizards tie = push | -250 | 71.4 | -845 | 89.4 | +18.0 | +24.7 | +63.0 | +31.5 |
| Make play-in | Eastern Conference to Make the Play In | Philadelphia 76ers | +340 | 22.7 | +253 | 28.3 | +5.6 | +24.6 | +7.2 | +3.6 |
| Simmons specials | Bill Simmons Specials | BKN u25.5 wins, MIL u25.5 wins, NOP u28.5 wins, and WAS u34.5 wins in 2026-27 Regular Season 4 legs | +1200 | 7.7 | +945 | 9.6 | +1.9 | +24.3 | +2.0 | +1.0 |
| Win totals | Dallas Mavericks Regular Season Wins | Dallas Mavericks Under 32.5 Wins | +115 | 46.5 | -137 | 57.8 | +11.3 | +24.3 | +21.1 | +10.6 |
| NBA Cup winner | 2026 NBA Cup Winner | Boston Celtics | +750 | 11.8 | +586 | 14.6 | +2.8 | +23.9 | +3.2 | +1.6 |
| Exact / top-N seed | Eastern Conference Top 4 Seed | Boston Celtics | -240 | 70.6 | -691 | 87.4 | +16.8 | +23.7 | +57.0 | +28.5 |
| More wins than | Golden State Warriors To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Charlotte Hornets tie = push | +140 | 41.7 | -108 | 51.9 | +10.2 | +23.6 | +17.6 | +8.8 |
| X+ wins | 55+ Regular Season Wins | Houston Rockets | +120 | 45.5 | -128 | 56.2 | +10.7 | +23.6 | +19.7 | +9.8 |
| Division place | Southeast Division Winner | Orlando Magic | +340 | 22.7 | +256 | 28.1 | +5.4 | +23.6 | +6.9 | +3.5 |
| Exact / top-N seed | Eastern Conference Top 2 Seed | New York Knicks | +260 | 27.8 | +192 | 34.3 | +6.5 | +23.4 | +9.0 | +4.5 |
| More wins than | Boston Celtics To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Cleveland Cavaliers tie = push | -220 | 68.8 | -573 | 85.1 | +16.4 | +23.2 | +52.5 | +26.2 |
| More wins than | Los Angeles Clippers To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | New Orleans Pelicans tie = push | -115 | 53.5 | -197 | 66.4 | +12.9 | +23.1 | +27.7 | +13.8 |
| More wins than | Los Angeles Clippers To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Milwaukee Bucks tie = push | -185 | 64.9 | -407 | 80.3 | +15.4 | +23.0 | +43.8 | +21.9 |
| Exact / top-N seed | Eastern Conference 6th Seed | Philadelphia 76ers regular-season seed | +950 | 9.5 | +755 | 11.7 | +2.2 | +22.8 | +2.4 | +1.2 |
| Exact / top-N seed | Western Conference Top 2 Seed | Denver Nuggets | +750 | 11.8 | +593 | 14.4 | +2.7 | +22.7 | +3.0 | +1.5 |
| More wins than | Golden State Warriors To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Orlando Magic tie = push | +180 | 35.7 | +126 | 44.2 | +8.4 | +22.7 | +13.1 | +6.6 |
| More wins than | Charlotte Hornets To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Atlanta Hawks tie = push | +220 | 31.2 | +159 | 38.6 | +7.4 | +22.6 | +10.7 | +5.3 |
| Seed over/under | Los Angeles Clippers Seed | Los Angeles Clippers Under 12.5 Seed = top 12 | -135 | 57.4 | -237 | 70.3 | +12.9 | +22.4 | +30.3 | +15.1 |
| More wins than | Golden State Warriors To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Utah Jazz tie = push | -280 | 73.7 | -943 | 90.4 | +16.7 | +22.3 | +63.6 | +31.8 |
| X+ wins | 30+ Regular Season Wins | Golden State Warriors | -360 | 78.3 | -2201 | 95.7 | +17.4 | +22.2 | +80.0 | +40.0 |
| More wins than | Orlando Magic To Have More Regular Season Wins Than | Washington Wizards tie = push | -300 | 75.0 | -1114 | 91.8 | +16.8 | +22.0 | +67.0 | +33.5 |
Every market pick a type for all of its prices
| Type | Markets | Prices | +EV | Best EV % | Best EV bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finals winner | 3 | 60 | 6 | +127.9 | Boston Celtics Finals Winner |
| Finals runner-up | 1 | 30 | 5 | +66.2 | Boston Celtics Finals Runner Up |
| Conference winner | 2 | 30 | 6 | +99.6 | Boston Celtics Eastern Conference Winner |
| Advance to conf finals | 2 | 30 | 6 | +62.1 | Boston Celtics To Advance to Eastern Conference Finals |
| Advance to conf semis | 2 | 30 | 6 | +30.1 | Golden State Warriors To Advance to Western Conference Semi Finals |
| Make / miss playoffs | 4 | 60 | 26 | +49.8 | San Antonio Spurs Western Conference to Miss the Playoffs |
| Make play-in | 2 | 30 | 13 | +89.1 | San Antonio Spurs Western Conference to Make the Play In |
| Exact / top-N seed | 26 | 338 | 111 | +160.1 | Golden State Warriors Western Conference Top 2 Seed |
| Seed over/under | 30 | 60 | 27 | +39.2 | Washington Wizards Over 11.5 Seed Washington Wizards Seed |
| Win totals | 30 | 60 | 27 | +45.0 | San Antonio Spurs Under 58.5 Wins San Antonio Spurs Regular Season Wins |
| X+ wins | 11 | 194 | 78 | +109.1 | Golden State Warriors 50+ Regular Season Wins |
| More wins than | 30 | 759 | 297 | +210.0 | San Antonio Spurs Golden State Warriors To Have More Regular Season Wins Than |
| Division place | 30 | 150 | 42 | +63.2 | Houston Rockets Southwest Division Winner |
| Most wins | 1 | 19 | 5 | +100.8 | Boston Celtics Most Regular Season Wins |
| Fewest wins | 1 | 16 | 4 | +68.7 | Washington Wizards Least Regular Season Wins |
| Win streak | 5 | 123 | 20 | +48.9 | Golden State Warriors Team 8+ Consecutive Regular Season Wins |
| NBA Cup winner | 1 | 30 | 7 | +47.4 | Golden State Warriors 2026 NBA Cup Winner |
| NBA Cup advance | 3 | 90 | 28 | +100.7 | Golden State Warriors 2026 NBA Cup to Advance to Quarterfinals |
| NBA Cup group | 6 | 30 | 10 | +117.5 | Golden State Warriors 2026 NBA Cup West Group C Winner |
| Simmons specials | 1 | 8 | 3 | +101.8 | Atlantic Division Exact Order: BOS 1st, NYK 2nd, TOR 3rd, PHI 4th, BKN 5th Bill Simmons Specials |
Simulated season by team means over the simulated seasons
| Team | Wins | ± sd | Seed | Play-in % | Playoffs % | 2nd rd % | Conf finals % | Finals % | Title % | Playoff net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OKC | 54.3 | 6.6 | 3.3 | 8 | 98 | 82 | 60 | 42.1 | 28.7 | +9.2 |
| BOS | 56.3 | 6.4 | 2.4 | 4 | 98 | 79 | 55 | 35.0 | 17.5 | +7.3 |
| SAS | 54.7 | 6.5 | 3.2 | 7 | 98 | 72 | 42 | 22.1 | 12.5 | +6.9 |
| NYK | 51.4 | 6.7 | 4.0 | 14 | 94 | 65 | 39 | 20.6 | 8.8 | +5.9 |
| HOU | 55.2 | 6.6 | 3.0 | 7 | 98 | 62 | 29 | 11.0 | 5.5 | +4.8 |
| TOR | 46.9 | 6.9 | 5.8 | 32 | 82 | 45 | 22 | 10.7 | 4.1 | +4.4 |
| PHI | 47.8 | 6.9 | 5.4 | 28 | 85 | 47 | 23 | 10.6 | 4.0 | +4.3 |
| DET | 51.1 | 6.8 | 4.1 | 16 | 92 | 54 | 25 | 10.7 | 3.8 | +4.0 |
| DEN | 48.5 | 6.9 | 5.3 | 29 | 89 | 45 | 19 | 7.4 | 3.5 | +4.3 |
| MIN | 48.4 | 6.9 | 5.3 | 29 | 89 | 43 | 18 | 6.8 | 3.3 | +4.2 |
| POR | 48.0 | 6.9 | 5.5 | 31 | 87 | 37 | 14 | 4.9 | 2.3 | +3.3 |
| LAL | 47.2 | 6.9 | 5.8 | 35 | 85 | 31 | 11 | 3.5 | 1.5 | +2.5 |
| CLE | 46.9 | 7.0 | 5.8 | 33 | 80 | 34 | 13 | 4.7 | 1.3 | +2.2 |
| GSW | 41.2 | 6.9 | 8.1 | 58 | 59 | 16 | 5 | 1.6 | 0.7 | +1.4 |
| ATL | 43.4 | 7.0 | 7.2 | 46 | 63 | 20 | 7 | 2.2 | 0.7 | +0.6 |
| MIA | 40.3 | 7.0 | 8.6 | 50 | 46 | 14 | 5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | +0.5 |
| IND | 40.3 | 7.0 | 8.6 | 50 | 46 | 14 | 4 | 1.5 | 0.4 | +0.5 |
| CHA | 40.7 | 7.0 | 8.4 | 50 | 47 | 12 | 4 | 1.1 | 0.3 | -0.4 |
| ORL | 42.5 | 7.1 | 7.6 | 47 | 56 | 14 | 4 | 1.1 | 0.3 | -0.7 |
| PHX | 39.5 | 7.1 | 8.7 | 58 | 42 | 5 | 1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | -3.0 |
| MEM | 34.8 | 6.8 | 10.3 | 44 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | -3.5 |
| WAS | 29.1 | 6.6 | 12.5 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | -5.2 |
| LAC | 32.7 | 6.9 | 11.1 | 33 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | -4.5 |
| BKN | 25.7 | 6.5 | 13.4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | -6.6 |
| DAL | 31.4 | 6.8 | 11.5 | 26 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | -5.3 |
| CHI | 27.8 | 6.6 | 12.8 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | -6.5 |
| UTA | 29.1 | 6.6 | 12.3 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -6.5 |
| NOP | 28.9 | 6.7 | 12.3 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -6.1 |
| MIL | 25.2 | 6.3 | 13.5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -7.4 |
| SAC | 20.5 | 6.0 | 14.3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -10.5 |
Each simulated season draws a fat-tailed rating shock per team, then plays every remaining game with that date's team nets (who is out, from the minutes model) + 2.3 home court, sd 12.5; the 2 unscheduled games sit in the Dec 4-11 Cup window. Standings: wins, 2-team head-to-head, conference record, point differential. NBA Cup: FanDuel's groups, group record / head-to-head / point differential, best 2nd place per conference as wild card. Play-in, then best-of-7 series with home court to the better seed; playoff nets use DARKO's market playoff rating, a tighter rotation, and anyone back from injury by 2027-04-18. Seeds and division places are regular-season standings. "More wins than" ties are treated as a push and most / fewest wins ties as dead heats (check FanDuel's rules). Kelly = (p x decimal - 1) / (decimal - 1). Not priced (not team outcomes): Clutch Player Of The Year (1), Coach Of The Year (1), Defensive Player Of The Year (1), Eastern Conference Finals Mvp (1), Finals Mvp (1), In Season Tournament Mvp (1), Most Improved Player (1), Most Valuable Player (1), Rookie Of The Year (1), Sixth Man Of The Year (1), Western Conference Finals Mvp (1).