ATL Hawks #14 of 30
Projected wins
43.3
FanDuel 44.5 (o-120 / u-105) · record 2-2
Net rating
+0.83
avg over remaining games · 50% DARKO DPM + 50% DARKO market · DARKO off +1.01 · def +1.16
Next game / full strength
+2.31 / +0.81
2026-10-28 vs MIA (Monster daily minutes) · out: Mouhamed Gueye
DARKO vs market
+0.84 / +0.82
net on DPM alone / market alone · wins 43.6 / 43.0
Minutes covered
18,720
of 18,720 remaining · fill 0 @ replacement
Roster
17
0 rookies on model/prior
Schedule
-0.03
avg opp net · 2 games unscheduled
ETR minutes mix
87% ETR
8% MPG from ETR FPPG · 5% ETR depth fill
ETR box (rated players)
104 pts
37 reb · 27 ast · 12.1 3pm · 87% of minutes
Roster assumptions minutes: per game: role MPG = mean of ETR + Monster ROS + ros_return, availability from Monster ROS (injury timelines); slate 10-28 (24 teams) on Monster daily minutes, pulled 10-28 15:39 · ETR per-game stats · rating = 50% DARKO DPM + 50% DARKO market per 100 poss · contrib = 5 × rating × minute share · names link to DataBallr
| Player | ETR slot | Pos | Age | GP | MPG | Min | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | 3PM | TO | FG% z | FT% z | FPPG | 9-cat rk | Share % | DPM | Mkt | Rating | O | D | O ctb | D ctb | Contrib |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson | PF1 | F | 24 | 65 | 34.9 | 2,272 | 22.0 | 10.0 | 8.0 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 3.2 | +0.21 | -0.22 | 48.1 | 14 | 12.1 | +1.20 | +1.81 | +1.50 | +1.45 | -0.25 | +0.88 | -0.15 | +0.91 |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | SG1 | G | 28 | 68 | 32.6 | 2,224 | 19.3 | 3.5 | 3.9 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 1.9 | -0.67 | +0.68 | 32.6 | 42 | 11.9 | +1.57 | +2.85 | +2.21 | +1.52 | +0.05 | +0.90 | +0.03 | +1.31 |
| Dyson Daniels | SF1 | G | 23 | 67 | 31.5 | 2,098 | 12.2 | 6.3 | 5.7 | 2.1 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 1.7 | +0.35 | -0.61 | 34.3 | 38 | 11.2 | +0.97 | +0.68 | +0.82 | -0.03 | +0.99 | -0.01 | +0.56 | +0.46 |
| Onyeka Okongwu | C1 | F | 25 | 65 | 29.4 | 1,903 | 14.8 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1.6 | -0.02 | -0.16 | 33.5 | 57 | 10.2 | +1.60 | +0.49 | +1.04 | +0.49 | +1.11 | +0.25 | +0.57 | +0.53 |
| C.J. McCollum | PG1 | G | 35 | 66 | 28.7 | 1,882 | 18.9 | 3.1 | 4.3 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 2.5 | 1.8 | -0.74 | +0.01 | 31.0 | 117 | 10.1 | +1.27 | +1.16 | +1.21 | +1.34 | -0.07 | +0.68 | -0.03 | +0.61 |
| Luguentz Dort | SF2 | G | 27 | 67 | 25.9 | 1,741 | 9.3 | 3.6 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 0.8 | -0.79 | +0.02 | 19.0 | 205 | 9.3 | -0.49 | +1.09 | +0.30 | -1.02 | +0.53 | -0.47 | +0.25 | +0.14 |
| Aaron Wiggins | PF2 | G | 27 | 65 | 25.3 | 1,636 | 12.2 | 3.6 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 1.2 | -0.18 | +0.04 | 22.2 | 172 | 8.7 | +0.97 | -0.93 | +0.03 | +0.61 | +0.37 | +0.26 | +0.16 | +0.01 |
| Jock Landale | C2 | C | 31 | 62 | 19.9 | 1,228 | 9.9 | 5.1 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.9 | +0.27 | -0.33 | 21.0 | 239 | 6.6 | -0.49 | -2.48 | -1.49 | -0.76 | +0.27 | -0.25 | +0.09 | -0.49 |
| Kingston Flemings | PG2 | G | 19 | 63 | 19.6 | 1,227 | 11.5 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 1.5 | -0.16 | +0.40 | 21.7 | 253 | 6.6 | -2.81 | -1.54 | -2.18 | -2.07 | -0.74 | -0.68 | -0.25 | -0.71 |
| Corey Kispertmpg from ETR FPPG | SG2 | F | 27 | 45 | 16.7 | 759 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 15.7 | – | 4.1 | -1.42 | -2.62 | -2.02 | +0.05 | -1.47 | +0.01 | -0.30 | -0.41 |
| Asa Newellmpg from ETR FPPG | SF3 | F | 21 | 59 | 12.3 | 727 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 14.2 | – | 3.9 | -0.63 | -2.77 | -1.70 | -0.55 | -0.08 | -0.11 | -0.02 | -0.33 |
| Mouhamed GueyeINJ 3g · back 11-01ETR depth fill | PF3 | F | 23 | 59 | 6.5 | 384 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2.0 | +1.14 | +0.43 | +0.79 | -0.94 | +2.08 | -0.09 | +0.21 | +0.08 |
| Dorian Finney-SmithETR depth fill | PF4 | F | 33 | 39 | 7.4 | 291 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 1.6 | -1.20 | -1.17 | -1.18 | -2.30 | +1.10 | -0.18 | +0.09 | -0.09 |
| Zuby EjioforETR depth fill | C3 | F | 22 | 21 | 5.8 | 120 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 0.6 | -2.73 | -1.18 | -1.95 | -2.31 | -0.42 | -0.07 | -0.01 | -0.06 |
| Jalen WilsonETR depth fill | SF4 | F | 25 | 21 | 5.2 | 107 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 0.6 | -1.95 | -3.45 | -2.70 | -1.52 | -0.44 | -0.05 | -0.01 | -0.08 |
| Keshon GilbertETR depth fill | SG3 | G | 23 | 16 | 5.2 | 81 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 0.4 | -2.05 | -1.09 | -1.57 | -1.85 | -0.20 | -0.04 | -0.00 | -0.03 |
| RayJ DennisETR depth fill | PG3 | G | 25 | 9 | 4.7 | 41 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 0.2 | -1.68 | +0.12 | -0.78 | -1.28 | -0.40 | -0.01 | -0.00 | -0.01 |
| Team | 18,720 | 103.7 | 36.9 | 26.8 | 7.4 | 3.6 | 12.1 | 11.6 | 100 | +2.17 | +1.50 | +1.01 | +1.16 | +1.84 |
PTS–TO are ETR per-game projections (recovered from ETR's 9-cat z-scores; blank = outside ETR's 9-cat top 300; method on the Inputs page). Team row = Σ(per-game × games)/82. Rating = 50% DARKO DPM + 50% DARKO market rating (DARKO's player rating implied by closing betting spreads, per 100 poss); DPM alone where DARKO has no market rating. Team row under DPM / Mkt = Σ contrib on that rating alone. O/D ctb split DARKO's DPM (the market rating has no O/D split), so they add up to the DPM side, not the blended contrib. Fill of 0 minutes at replacement DPM (-2.2) contributes -0.00. GP / MPG / Min are expected over the remaining games: each game's 240 minutes go to whoever is available (see Injuries & availability), so a player's rating only counts in the games he is projected to play. League-relative centering shifts every team by the same constant.
Injuries & availability Monster return dates · games played so far · chance to play each game = half Monster, half ETR preseason · role MPG = ETR + Monster
| Player | Inj | Risk | Out until | Games out | Played | Mon % | ETR % | Avail % | Next % | Exp GP | Season G | ETR G | Mon G | ETR MPG | Mon MPG | Role MPG | Exp min | Monster note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mouhamed Gueye | INJ 3g | high | 2026-11-01 | 3 | 0 | 79 | – | 79 | 0 | 59.0 | 59.0 | – | 59 | 12.1 | 13.0 | 13.0 | 384 | Injured - left foot (Injury) - Est. Return 11/01 |
| Jalen Johnson | med | 0 | 4 | 88 | 78 | 83 | 100 | 65.2 | 69.2 | 65 | 69 | 34.7 | 35.0 | 34.9 | 2,272 | |||
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | med | 0 | 4 | 88 | 86 | 87 | 100 | 68.1 | 72.1 | 71 | 69 | 32.3 | 33.0 | 32.7 | 2,224 | |||
| Dyson Daniels | med | 0 | 4 | 88 | 82 | 85 | 100 | 66.6 | 70.6 | 68 | 69 | 32.0 | 31.0 | 31.5 | 2,098 | |||
| Onyeka Okongwu | med | 0 | 4 | 88 | 77 | 83 | 100 | 64.7 | 68.7 | 64 | 69 | 29.9 | 29.0 | 29.4 | 1,903 | |||
| C.J. McCollum | med | 0 | 4 | 88 | 80 | 84 | 100 | 65.7 | 69.7 | 66 | 69 | 28.3 | 29.0 | 28.7 | 1,882 | |||
| Luguentz Dort | med | 0 | 4 | 88 | 83 | 86 | 100 | 67.1 | 71.1 | 69 | 69 | 25.9 | 26.0 | 25.9 | 1,741 | |||
| Aaron Wiggins | med | 0 | 4 | 88 | 77 | 83 | 90 | 64.6 | 68.6 | 64 | 69 | 23.6 | 27.0 | 25.3 | 1,636 | |||
| Jock Landale | med | 0 | 4 | 88 | 69 | 79 | 100 | 61.7 | 65.7 | 58 | 69 | 19.9 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 1,228 | |||
| Kingston Flemings | med | 0 | 4 | 88 | 72 | 80 | 100 | 62.7 | 66.7 | 60 | 69 | 22.2 | 17.0 | 19.6 | 1,227 | |||
| Corey Kispert | med | 0 | 2 | 56 | 62 | 59 | 0 | 45.4 | 47.4 | 50 | 44 | 19.4 | 14.0 | 16.7 | 759 | |||
| Asa Newell | med | 0 | 2 | 88 | 65 | 77 | 0 | 59.2 | 61.2 | 53 | 69 | 18.0 | 14.0 | 16.0 | 727 | |||
| Dorian Finney-Smith | high | 0 | 2 | 51 | – | 51 | 0 | 39.5 | 41.5 | – | 40 | 12.1 | 17.0 | 14.5 | 291 | |||
| Zuby Ejiofor | med | 0 | 2 | 27 | – | 27 | 0 | 20.7 | 22.7 | – | 21 | 12.1 | 11.0 | 11.5 | 120 | |||
| Jalen Wilson | med | 0 | 0 | 27 | – | 27 | 0 | 20.7 | 20.7 | – | 21 | 11.6 | 9.0 | 10.3 | 107 | |||
| Keshon Gilbert | med | 0 | 0 | 20 | – | 20 | 0 | 15.8 | 15.8 | – | 16 | 11.6 | 9.0 | 10.3 | 81 |
Before his est. return a player gets none of this team's games (Q: half), so his rating comes out of exactly those games and his minutes go to whoever is available (bench first, starters stretch up to +20%). Once healthy he plays Avail % of games: half Monster's rest-of-season rate, half ETR's preseason games (less the games he has already played, which are settled; for a player coming back from an injury, ETR's per-game rate). Monster ROS dump 2026-10-27 11:46 ET (1.2 days old), 522 rostered, 58 with an est. return.
ETR notes Gallagher Top 150 + ETR depth chart
| Jalen Johnson | Gallagher #14 | Small hit to per-minute output next to McCollum, but Snyder has to play him a ton with lack of PF depth |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | Gallagher #43 | Ludicrous post-break 52/46/49 shooting line for 70 TS% and has missed just four games combined last three years |
| Dyson Daniels | Gallagher #58 | Lu Dort in the mix could lead to tighter leash after abysmal shooting year from Daniels |
| Onyeka Okongwu | Gallagher #61 | Healthy for two years and adding 3s in fast offense makes him a strong target |
| C.J. McCollum | Gallagher #126 | Was their lead guy in the postseason and he cruised to 19/3/4 with 2.4 treys post-break |
ETR depth chart ETR order · minutes the model uses
PG
C.J. McCollum
28.7 mpg × 66 g = 1,882
Kingston Flemings
19.6 mpg × 63 g = 1,227
RayJ Dennis 2W
4.7 mpg × 9 g = 41
SG
Nickeil Alexander-Walker
32.6 mpg × 68 g = 2,224
Corey Kispert
16.7 mpg × 45 g = 759
Keshon Gilbert 2W
5.2 mpg × 16 g = 81
SF
Dyson Daniels
31.5 mpg × 67 g = 2,098
Luguentz Dort
25.9 mpg × 67 g = 1,741
Asa Newell
12.3 mpg × 59 g = 727
Jalen Wilson 2W
5.2 mpg × 21 g = 107
PF
Jalen Johnson
34.9 mpg × 65 g = 2,272
Aaron Wiggins
25.3 mpg × 65 g = 1,636
Mouhamed Gueye
6.5 mpg × 59 g = 384
Dorian Finney-Smith
7.4 mpg × 39 g = 291
C
Onyeka Okongwu
29.4 mpg × 65 g = 1,903
Jock Landale
19.9 mpg × 62 g = 1,228
Zuby Ejiofor
5.8 mpg × 21 g = 120
Schedule 4 played · each remaining game uses both teams' nets for that date (who is out) · win prob from net-rating gap + 2.3 HCA, sd 12.5
| Date | Opp (net that game) | Our net | Win % | Result | Our players out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | @ ORL +0.7 | 43% | W 132-125 | ||
| 2026-10-23 | @ CHA -0.3 | 46% | W 128-81 | ||
| 2026-10-24 | vs HOU +5.2 | 43% | L 114-121 | ||
| 2026-10-26 | @ HOU +5.2 | 30% | L 110-120 | ||
| 2026-10-28 | vs MIA +2.5 | +2.3 | 57% | Monster tonight Mouhamed Gueye | |
| 2026-10-29 | vs CLE +2.4 | +0.6 | 51% | Mouhamed Gueye | |
| 2026-10-31 | @ NOP -4.7 | +0.6 | 60% | Mouhamed Gueye | |
| 2026-11-02 | @ IND -0.5 | +0.8 | 47% | ||
| 2026-11-04 | @ WAS -5.2 | +0.8 | 62% | ||
| 2026-11-06 | vs WAS -5.2 | +0.8 | 75% | ||
| 2026-11-07 | vs BKN -5.7 | +0.8 | 76% | ||
| 2026-11-09 | vs LAL +2.3 | +0.8 | 52% | ||
| 2026-11-13 | @ CHI -5.2 | +0.8 | 62% | ||
| 2026-11-15 | @ MIL -6.5 | +0.8 | 65% | ||
| 2026-11-18 | @ OKC +4.7 | +0.8 | 31% | ||
| 2026-11-20 | vs CHA -0.2 | +0.8 | 60% | ||
| 2026-11-22 | vs DET +3.8 | +0.8 | 48% | ||
| 2026-11-27 | @ BOS +6.3 | +0.8 | 27% | ||
| 2026-11-29 | @ NYK +5.0 | +0.8 | 30% | ||
| 2026-12-01 | @ MIA +0.5 | +0.8 | 44% | ||
| 2026-12-03 | vs IND -0.0 | +0.8 | 60% | ||
| 2026-12-12 | @ POR +2.4 | +0.8 | 38% | ||
| 2026-12-14 | @ PHX -0.8 | +0.8 | 48% | ||
| 2026-12-17 | @ DEN +3.4 | +0.8 | 35% | ||
| 2026-12-19 | vs ORL +1.0 | +0.8 | 57% | ||
| 2026-12-20 | vs OKC +4.7 | +0.8 | 45% | ||
| 2026-12-23 | vs DET +3.8 | +0.8 | 48% | ||
| 2026-12-26 | vs CHA -0.2 | +0.8 | 60% | ||
| 2026-12-27 | @ SAS +5.9 | +0.8 | 28% | ||
| 2026-12-29 | vs CHI -5.2 | +0.8 | 75% | ||
| 2026-12-31 | vs MIL -6.5 | +0.8 | 78% | ||
| 2027-01-02 | vs DAL -4.3 | +0.8 | 72% | ||
| 2027-01-04 | @ PHI +2.5 | +0.8 | 38% | ||
| 2027-01-05 | @ CHA -0.2 | +0.8 | 46% | ||
| 2027-01-07 | vs IND -0.0 | +0.8 | 60% | ||
| 2027-01-10 | vs SAS +5.9 | +0.8 | 41% | ||
| 2027-01-11 | @ WAS -5.1 | +0.8 | 61% | ||
| 2027-01-13 | vs CLE +2.3 | +0.8 | 53% | ||
| 2027-01-15 | vs GSW -0.2 | +0.8 | 60% | ||
| 2027-01-18 | vs PHI +2.5 | +0.8 | 52% | ||
| 2027-01-20 | vs POR +2.4 | +0.8 | 52% | ||
| 2027-01-22 | vs NYK +5.0 | +0.8 | 44% | ||
| 2027-01-23 | @ MIA +0.5 | +0.8 | 44% | ||
| 2027-01-26 | @ DET +3.8 | +0.8 | 34% | ||
| 2027-01-28 | @ NYK +5.0 | +0.8 | 30% | ||
| 2027-01-30 | @ MIL -6.5 | +0.8 | 65% | ||
| 2027-02-01 | vs WAS -5.1 | +0.8 | 74% | ||
| 2027-02-03 | @ IND +0.1 | +0.8 | 45% | ||
| 2027-02-05 | vs BOS +6.3 | +0.8 | 40% | ||
| 2027-02-07 | vs DEN +3.4 | +0.8 | 49% | ||
| 2027-02-08 | vs MIA +0.5 | +0.8 | 58% | ||
| 2027-02-10 | vs NOP -4.6 | +0.8 | 73% | ||
| 2027-02-12 | vs PHX -0.8 | +0.8 | 62% | ||
| 2027-02-14 | vs SAC -8.4 | +0.8 | 82% | ||
| 2027-02-16 | vs TOR +2.8 | +0.8 | 51% | ||
| 2027-02-17 | @ BKN -5.7 | +0.8 | 63% | ||
| 2027-02-25 | @ CHI -5.2 | +0.8 | 62% | ||
| 2027-02-26 | @ TOR +2.8 | +0.8 | 36% | ||
| 2027-02-28 | @ ORL +1.0 | +0.8 | 42% | ||
| 2027-03-03 | vs CHI -5.2 | +0.8 | 75% | ||
| 2027-03-04 | vs MEM -3.4 | +0.8 | 70% | ||
| 2027-03-06 | @ CLE +2.3 | +0.8 | 38% | ||
| 2027-03-08 | @ MEM -3.4 | +0.8 | 56% | ||
| 2027-03-10 | @ MIN +2.8 | +0.8 | 36% | ||
| 2027-03-11 | vs BKN -5.7 | +0.8 | 76% | ||
| 2027-03-13 | vs ORL +1.0 | +0.8 | 57% | ||
| 2027-03-15 | @ DAL -4.3 | +0.8 | 59% | ||
| 2027-03-17 | @ UTA -4.4 | +0.8 | 59% | ||
| 2027-03-19 | @ LAL +2.3 | +0.8 | 38% | ||
| 2027-03-20 | @ LAC -3.0 | +0.8 | 55% | ||
| 2027-03-22 | @ GSW +1.2 | +0.8 | 42% | ||
| 2027-03-24 | @ SAC -8.4 | +0.8 | 71% | ||
| 2027-03-27 | vs UTA -4.4 | +0.8 | 73% | ||
| 2027-03-29 | vs MIN +2.8 | +0.8 | 51% | ||
| 2027-03-31 | vs LAC -3.0 | +0.8 | 69% | ||
| 2027-04-02 | @ TOR +2.8 | +0.8 | 36% | ||
| 2027-04-04 | @ PHI +2.5 | +0.8 | 38% | ||
| 2027-04-06 | vs NYK +5.0 | +0.8 | 44% | ||
| 2027-04-09 | vs BOS +6.3 | +0.8 | 40% | ||
| 2027-04-11 | @ CLE +2.3 | +0.8 | 38% |
ETR preseason breakdown usage · minutes · who plays together · player by player · pace & shots, from Gallagher's game-by-game change log (Sept 28 – Oct 16)
Bottom line: Snyder hid his starters until the finale, then showed the expected five (McCollum, Alexander-Walker, Daniels, Johnson, Okongwu) in a nine-man rotation. McCollum runs the offense, and rookie Kingston Flemings already owns the backup-PG minutes.
Usage & ball-handling
- CJ McCollum was the lead handler, by a wide margin, in every game he played. Snyder wants a classic handler on the floor.
- Jalen Johnson had the ball a lot when he played. ETR still treats him as a top-10 player.
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker is scoring first (14 points in 16 minutes in the opener). Castle's ball pressure gave him trouble.
- Corey Kispert fired away in the opener (19 points in 20 minutes). His role shrank once the full rotation played.
Minutes & rotation
- Opening-night look (Oct 16): McCollum, Alexander-Walker, Daniels, Johnson and Okongwu start. Lu Dort comes off the bench.
- Nine-man rotation: Flemings (PG2), Dort and Aaron Wiggins (wings), Jock Landale (C2). Kispert looks like the 10th man unless Mo Gueye passes him.
- Flemings started three games while McCollum and Dort were banged up, and Snyder used him as the point-of-attack defender. ETR has him in the top 10 over Gueye, Dorian Finney-Smith and Asa Newell.
- Landale gets nearly all the non-Okongwu center minutes. Zuby Ejiofor was the next big in the bench game.
- ETR moves: Flemings' projection went up. Kispert was bumped early, then lost his spot. Wiggins was pushed up after his start vs SAS, then trimmed for a lip injury and Flemings' rise.
Who plays together
- Straight swaps behind the starters: Flemings covers the non-McCollum minutes and Landale the non-Okongwu minutes.
- Atlanta went very small in McCollum's debut vs San Antonio (McCollum, Alexander-Walker, Daniels, Wiggins, Okongwu).
- Dort and Wiggins fill the wing gaps around the starters, which squeezed Kispert out.
Pace & shot selection
- Snyder teams play fast. ETR expects plenty of possessions, which helps volume across the roster.
- Memphis scored 132 (81 in the first half) against them in the opener, an early warning on defense.
Player by player
| Player | Model GP | Model MPG | Model min | Preseason read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. McCollum | 66 | 28.7 | 1,882 | Starter and primary handler. ETR now expects him to start over Dort. |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 68 | 32.6 | 2,224 | Starter. Snyder trusts him to build on last year's Most Improved season. |
| Dyson Daniels | 67 | 31.5 | 2,098 | Starter in every game he played. |
| Jalen Johnson | 65 | 34.9 | 2,272 | Starter with on-ball reps. Quiet preseason, but his role is not in question. |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 65 | 29.4 | 1,903 | Starting center. Landale backs him up straight. |
| Kingston Flemings | 63 | 19.6 | 1,227 | Rookie PG2. Started three times, brings the ball up and defends at the point of attack. Snyder already trusts him. |
| Luguentz Dort | 67 | 25.9 | 1,741 | Came off the bench in the dress rehearsal. One of two wing fill-ins. |
| Aaron Wiggins | 65 | 25.3 | 1,636 | Started once and was the first sub in the opener. A bench wing lock. |
| Jock Landale | 62 | 19.9 | 1,228 | C2 lock, good offensively. Gets the vast majority of non-Okongwu minutes. |
| Corey Kispert | 45 | 16.7 | 759 | 19 points in 20 minutes early, then pushed to the 10th spot by the Dort/Wiggins wing minutes. |
Preseason starting lineups
| Game | Opp | Starters | Out (ETR's noteworthy inactives) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5 | MEM | Kingston Flemings, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Dyson Daniels, Jalen Johnson, Onyeka Okongwu | CJ McCollum |
| Oct 8 | SAS | CJ McCollum, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Dyson Daniels, Aaron Wiggins, Onyeka Okongwu | Jalen Johnson |
| Oct 10 | IND | CJ McCollum, Dyson Daniels, Lu Dort, Jalen Johnson, Onyeka Okongwu | Nickeil Alexander-Walker |
| Oct 12 | OKC | Kingston Flemings, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Corey Kispert, Asa Newell, Jock Landale | Dyson Daniels, CJ McCollum, Jalen Johnson, Onyeka Okongwu, Aaron Wiggins |
Summarized from ETR's 2026-27 Change Log and Preseason News (pulled Oct 18). Preseason minutes are mostly first-half numbers since starters rarely play second halves. Model GP/MPG/min are the ETR season projections this model uses, so the read shows where preseason usage agrees or disagrees with the minutes driving the win total. Projection moves ETR made during the preseason are noted under Minutes.