NOP Pelicans #26 of 30
Projected wins
28.6
FanDuel 28.5 (o-115 / u-110) · record 0-3
Net rating
-4.58
avg over remaining games · 50% DARKO DPM + 50% DARKO market · DARKO off +0.14 · def -2.78
Next game / full strength
-3.60 / -4.58
2026-10-28 vs DEN (Monster daily minutes) · out: Yves Missi
DARKO vs market
-3.98 / -5.18
net on DPM alone / market alone · wins 29.9 / 27.4
Minutes covered
18,960
of 18,960 remaining · fill 0 @ replacement
Roster
18
0 rookies on model/prior
Schedule
+0.13
avg opp net · 2 games unscheduled
ETR minutes mix
92% ETR
0% MPG from ETR FPPG · 8% ETR depth fill
ETR box (rated players)
111 pts
39 reb · 25 ast · 10.1 3pm · 92% of minutes
Roster assumptions minutes: per game: role MPG = mean of ETR + Monster ROS + ros_return, availability from Monster ROS (injury timelines); slate 10-28 (24 teams) on Monster daily minutes, pulled 10-28 15:39 · ETR per-game stats · rating = 50% DARKO DPM + 50% DARKO market per 100 poss · contrib = 5 × rating × minute share · names link to DataBallr
| Player | ETR slot | Pos | Age | GP | MPG | Min | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | 3PM | TO | FG% z | FT% z | FPPG | 9-cat rk | Share % | DPM | Mkt | Rating | O | D | O ctb | D ctb | Contrib |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy | SF1 | F | 26 | 63 | 34.6 | 2,171 | 20.1 | 5.2 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 3.2 | 1.6 | -0.35 | +0.76 | 35.1 | 26 | 11.5 | +0.28 | +0.08 | +0.18 | +1.21 | -0.93 | +0.70 | -0.53 | +0.10 |
| Dejounte Murray | PG1 | G | 30 | 63 | 32.1 | 2,016 | 16.9 | 5.7 | 6.6 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 3.0 | -0.51 | +0.41 | 36.2 | 79 | 10.6 | +0.14 | -0.04 | +0.05 | +0.80 | -0.65 | +0.42 | -0.34 | +0.03 |
| Saddiq Bey | PF2 | G | 27 | 69 | 27.6 | 1,906 | 14.0 | 4.9 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 0.8 | -0.64 | +0.43 | 24.9 | 130 | 10.1 | -0.20 | -0.31 | -0.26 | +1.00 | -1.20 | +0.51 | -0.61 | -0.13 |
| Jeremiah Fears | PG2 | G | 20 | 70 | 26.9 | 1,883 | 14.2 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 2.1 | -0.56 | +0.09 | 26.7 | 164 | 9.9 | -1.33 | -5.45 | -3.39 | -0.15 | -1.18 | -0.08 | -0.59 | -1.69 |
| Zion Williamson | PF1 | F | 26 | 58 | 30.8 | 1,794 | 21.8 | 6.0 | 3.6 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 2.2 | +2.14 | -1.27 | 37.3 | 111 | 9.5 | +1.35 | +3.30 | +2.32 | +1.73 | -0.38 | +0.82 | -0.18 | +1.10 |
| Derik Queen | C2 | C | 21 | 68 | 25.5 | 1,736 | 12.7 | 7.6 | 3.7 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 2.3 | +0.05 | +0.20 | 31.4 | 100 | 9.2 | -1.67 | -3.57 | -2.62 | -1.25 | -0.42 | -0.57 | -0.20 | -1.20 |
| Yves MissiINJ 8g · back 11-11 | C1 | C | 22 | 60 | 27.0 | 1,622 | 7.4 | 6.9 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 1.0 | +0.35 | -0.78 | 23.5 | 193 | 8.6 | -0.42 | -1.74 | -1.08 | -0.72 | +0.30 | -0.31 | +0.13 | -0.46 |
| Herbert Jones | SG1 | F | 28 | 61 | 25.0 | 1,534 | 8.6 | 3.2 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 1.1 | -0.58 | +0.09 | 21.3 | 158 | 8.1 | +0.49 | +0.71 | +0.60 | -0.51 | +1.00 | -0.21 | +0.41 | +0.24 |
| Bennedict Mathurin | SF2 | G | 24 | 63 | 23.5 | 1,483 | 15.5 | 4.6 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 1.8 | -0.34 | +0.91 | 24.9 | 200 | 7.8 | -1.99 | -1.18 | -1.59 | -0.48 | -1.51 | -0.19 | -0.59 | -0.62 |
| Jordan Poole | SG2 | G | 27 | 61 | 19.7 | 1,207 | 11.5 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 1.5 | -0.89 | +0.50 | 19.0 | 271 | 6.4 | -2.19 | -0.56 | -1.38 | -0.93 | -1.26 | -0.30 | -0.40 | -0.44 |
| Karlo MatkovicETR depth fill | PF4 | F | 25 | 45 | 11.9 | 542 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2.9 | +0.36 | +0.35 | +0.35 | -0.61 | +0.97 | -0.09 | +0.14 | +0.05 |
| Bryce McGowensETR depth fill | SF3 | G | 23 | 42 | 6.5 | 277 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 1.5 | -1.63 | -2.61 | -2.12 | -1.16 | -0.47 | -0.09 | -0.04 | -0.15 |
| Trendon WatfordETR depth fill | PF3 | F | 25 | 42 | 6.5 | 277 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 1.5 | -1.87 | -0.87 | -1.37 | -1.98 | +0.11 | -0.15 | +0.01 | -0.10 |
| DeAndre JordanETR depth fill | C4 | C | 38 | 22 | 7.3 | 159 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 0.8 | -1.79 | +0.50 | -0.65 | -3.29 | +1.50 | -0.13 | +0.06 | -0.03 |
| A.J. JohnsonETR depth fill | SG3 | G | 21 | 16 | 6.0 | 94 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 0.5 | -3.19 | -3.42 | -3.31 | -1.92 | -1.27 | -0.05 | -0.03 | -0.08 |
| Julian ReeseETR depth fill | C3 | F | 23 | 16 | 5.6 | 88 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 0.5 | -2.60 | -3.95 | -3.27 | -2.32 | -0.28 | -0.06 | -0.01 | -0.08 |
| Jaron PierreETR depth fill | PG3 | G | 24 | 16 | 5.6 | 88 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 0.5 | -2.57 | – | -2.57 | -1.97 | -0.60 | -0.05 | -0.01 | -0.06 |
| Malik DiaETR depth fill | SF4 | F | 22 | 16 | 5.3 | 84 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 0.4 | -2.48 | – | -2.48 | -2.40 | -0.08 | -0.05 | -0.00 | -0.06 |
| Team | 18,960 | 110.8 | 38.5 | 24.6 | 8.0 | 4.3 | 10.1 | 13.5 | 100 | -2.65 | -4.50 | +0.14 | -2.79 | -3.57 |
PTS–TO are ETR per-game projections (recovered from ETR's 9-cat z-scores; blank = outside ETR's 9-cat top 300; method on the Inputs page). Team row = Σ(per-game × games)/82. Rating = 50% DARKO DPM + 50% DARKO market rating (DARKO's player rating implied by closing betting spreads, per 100 poss); DPM alone where DARKO has no market rating. Team row under DPM / Mkt = Σ contrib on that rating alone. O/D ctb split DARKO's DPM (the market rating has no O/D split), so they add up to the DPM side, not the blended contrib. Fill of 0 minutes at replacement DPM (-2.2) contributes -0.00. GP / MPG / Min are expected over the remaining games: each game's 240 minutes go to whoever is available (see Injuries & availability), so a player's rating only counts in the games he is projected to play. League-relative centering shifts every team by the same constant.
Injuries & availability Monster return dates · games played so far · chance to play each game = half Monster, half ETR preseason · role MPG = ETR + Monster
| Player | Inj | Risk | Out until | Games out | Played | Mon % | ETR % | Avail % | Next % | Exp GP | Season G | ETR G | Mon G | ETR MPG | Mon MPG | Role MPG | Exp min | Monster note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yves Missi | INJ 8g | med | 2026-11-11 | 8 | 2 | 89 | 80 | 85 | 0 | 60.1 | 62.1 | 66 | 63 | 23.8 | 27.0 | 27.0 | 1,622 | Injured - left knee contusion / bone bruise (Injury) - Est. Return 11/11 |
| Trey Murphy | high | 0 | 3 | 84 | 75 | 79 | 100 | 62.7 | 65.7 | 62 | 66 | 35.0 | 34.0 | 34.5 | 2,171 | |||
| Dejounte Murray | high | 0 | 3 | 84 | 75 | 79 | 100 | 62.7 | 65.7 | 62 | 66 | 31.0 | 33.0 | 32.0 | 2,016 | |||
| Zion Williamson | extreme | 0 | 3 | 80 | 67 | 73 | 100 | 58.3 | 61.3 | 56 | 63 | 31.4 | 30.0 | 30.7 | 1,794 | |||
| Saddiq Bey | med | 0 | 3 | 89 | 86 | 87 | 100 | 69.1 | 72.1 | 71 | 70 | 29.0 | 26.0 | 27.5 | 1,906 | |||
| Jeremiah Fears | med | 0 | 3 | 89 | 89 | 89 | 100 | 70.1 | 73.1 | 73 | 70 | 26.6 | 27.0 | 26.8 | 1,883 | |||
| Derik Queen | med | 0 | 3 | 89 | 84 | 86 | 100 | 68.1 | 71.1 | 69 | 70 | 26.8 | 24.0 | 25.4 | 1,736 | |||
| Herbert Jones | high | 0 | 3 | 84 | 71 | 77 | 100 | 61.2 | 64.2 | 59 | 66 | 28.2 | 22.0 | 25.1 | 1,534 | |||
| Bennedict Mathurin | high | 0 | 3 | 84 | 76 | 80 | 100 | 63.2 | 66.2 | 63 | 66 | 27.0 | 20.0 | 23.5 | 1,483 | |||
| Jordan Poole | med | 0 | 3 | 89 | 66 | 77 | 100 | 61.2 | 64.2 | 55 | 70 | 20.3 | 19.0 | 19.7 | 1,207 | |||
| Karlo Matkovic | med | 0 | 2 | 57 | – | 57 | 100 | 45.4 | 47.4 | – | 45 | 11.8 | 15.0 | 13.4 | 542 | |||
| DeAndre Jordan | med | 0 | 1 | 27 | – | 27 | 100 | 21.7 | 22.7 | – | 21 | 11.8 | 13.0 | 12.4 | 159 | |||
| Bryce McGowens | high | 0 | 0 | 54 | – | 54 | 0 | 42.5 | 42.5 | – | 43 | 11.8 | 12.0 | 11.9 | 277 | |||
| Trendon Watford | high | 0 | 0 | 54 | – | 54 | 0 | 42.5 | 42.5 | – | 43 | 11.8 | 12.0 | 11.9 | 277 | |||
| A.J. Johnson | med | 0 | 0 | 20 | – | 20 | 0 | 15.8 | 15.8 | – | 16 | 11.8 | 10.0 | 10.9 | 94 | |||
| Julian Reese | med | 0 | 0 | 20 | – | 20 | 0 | 15.8 | 15.8 | – | 16 | 12.3 | 8.0 | 10.1 | 88 | |||
| Jaron Pierre | med | 0 | 0 | 20 | – | 20 | 0 | 15.8 | 15.8 | – | 16 | 12.3 | 8.0 | 10.1 | 88 |
Before his est. return a player gets none of this team's games (Q: half), so his rating comes out of exactly those games and his minutes go to whoever is available (bench first, starters stretch up to +20%). Once healthy he plays Avail % of games: half Monster's rest-of-season rate, half ETR's preseason games (less the games he has already played, which are settled; for a player coming back from an injury, ETR's per-game rate). Monster ROS dump 2026-10-27 11:46 ET (1.2 days old), 522 rostered, 58 with an est. return.
ETR notes Gallagher Top 150 + ETR depth chart
| Trey Murphy | Gallagher #35 | Incredible 9-cat player and can scale up if the Pels do unload Zion |
| Dejounte Murray | Gallagher #69 | Ceiling case may be gone as Pels want long look at Fears, but Dejounte can |
| Saddiq Bey | Gallagher #133 | Extremely durable besides ACL tear and fits any system; could be traded or could crush if Zion is out/gone |
| Jeremiah Fears | Gallagher #138 | Likely will be annoying to have on fantasy roster, but could really open up if Pels fall out of it |
| Zion Williamson | Gallagher #90 | Actually stayed healthy last year but the usage fell off in a big way; could be traded |
| Derik Queen | Gallagher #96 | Borrego didn't want to play him with Zion but maybe Mosley does |
ETR depth chart ETR order · minutes the model uses
PG
Dejounte Murray
32.1 mpg × 63 g = 2,016
Jeremiah Fears
26.9 mpg × 70 g = 1,883
Jaron Pierre 2W
5.6 mpg × 16 g = 88
SG
Herbert Jones
25.0 mpg × 61 g = 1,534
Jordan Poole
19.7 mpg × 61 g = 1,207
A.J. Johnson
6.0 mpg × 16 g = 94
SF
Trey Murphy
34.6 mpg × 63 g = 2,171
Bennedict Mathurin
23.5 mpg × 63 g = 1,483
Bryce McGowens
6.5 mpg × 42 g = 277
Malik Dia 2W
5.3 mpg × 16 g = 84
PF
Zion Williamson
30.8 mpg × 58 g = 1,794
Saddiq Bey
27.6 mpg × 69 g = 1,906
Trendon Watford
6.5 mpg × 42 g = 277
Karlo Matkovic
11.9 mpg × 45 g = 542
C
Yves Missi
27.0 mpg × 60 g = 1,622
Derik Queen
25.5 mpg × 68 g = 1,736
Julian Reese 2W
5.6 mpg × 16 g = 88
DeAndre Jordan
7.3 mpg × 22 g = 159
Schedule 3 played · each remaining game uses both teams' nets for that date (who is out) · win prob from net-rating gap + 2.3 HCA, sd 12.5
| Date | Opp (net that game) | Our net | Win % | Result | Our players out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | vs IND -0.1 | 43% | L 120-123 | ||
| 2026-10-23 | @ UTA -4.5 | 42% | L 119-120 | ||
| 2026-10-24 | @ DEN +3.4 | 20% | L 135-141 | ||
| 2026-10-28 | vs DEN +4.1 | -3.6 | 33% | Monster tonight Yves Missi | |
| 2026-10-29 | vs SAC -8.6 | -4.7 | 69% | Yves Missi | |
| 2026-10-31 | vs ATL +0.6 | -4.7 | 40% | Yves Missi | |
| 2026-11-02 | @ MEM -3.4 | -4.7 | 38% | Yves Missi | |
| 2026-11-04 | vs UTA -4.7 | -4.7 | 57% | Yves Missi | |
| 2026-11-06 | vs MIN +2.8 | -4.7 | 34% | Yves Missi | |
| 2026-11-08 | @ LAC -3.9 | -4.7 | 40% | Yves Missi | |
| 2026-11-09 | @ GSW -0.3 | -4.7 | 30% | Yves Missi | |
| 2026-11-11 | vs BKN -5.7 | -4.6 | 61% | ||
| 2026-11-13 | vs MEM -3.4 | -4.6 | 53% | ||
| 2026-11-14 | vs DEN +3.4 | -4.6 | 32% | ||
| 2026-11-16 | vs GSW -0.3 | -4.6 | 44% | ||
| 2026-11-18 | vs DET +3.8 | -4.6 | 31% | ||
| 2026-11-20 | @ OKC +4.7 | -4.6 | 18% | ||
| 2026-11-21 | @ SAS +5.9 | -4.6 | 15% | ||
| 2026-11-23 | vs PHX -0.8 | -4.6 | 45% | ||
| 2026-11-27 | @ LAC -4.4 | -4.6 | 42% | ||
| 2026-11-29 | @ POR +2.4 | -4.6 | 23% | ||
| 2026-11-30 | @ SAC -8.4 | -4.6 | 55% | ||
| 2026-12-02 | vs LAL +2.3 | -4.6 | 36% | ||
| 2026-12-13 | @ SAC -8.4 | -4.6 | 55% | ||
| 2026-12-14 | @ LAL +2.3 | -4.6 | 23% | ||
| 2026-12-16 | vs NYK +5.0 | -4.6 | 28% | ||
| 2026-12-18 | vs SAC -8.4 | -4.6 | 69% | ||
| 2026-12-20 | vs SAS +5.9 | -4.6 | 26% | ||
| 2026-12-21 | vs MEM -3.4 | -4.6 | 53% | ||
| 2026-12-23 | vs OKC +4.7 | -4.6 | 29% | ||
| 2026-12-26 | @ BKN -5.7 | -4.6 | 46% | ||
| 2026-12-28 | @ TOR +2.8 | -4.6 | 22% | ||
| 2026-12-30 | @ DET +3.8 | -4.6 | 20% | ||
| 2026-12-31 | vs LAL +2.3 | -4.6 | 36% | ||
| 2027-01-02 | vs MIA +0.5 | -4.6 | 41% | ||
| 2027-01-04 | vs DAL -4.3 | -4.6 | 56% | ||
| 2027-01-06 | vs POR +2.4 | -4.6 | 35% | ||
| 2027-01-08 | vs ORL +1.0 | -4.6 | 40% | ||
| 2027-01-10 | @ MIA +0.5 | -4.6 | 28% | ||
| 2027-01-14 | @ SAS +5.9 | -4.6 | 15% | ||
| 2027-01-17 | vs SAS +5.9 | -4.6 | 26% | ||
| 2027-01-20 | vs OKC +4.7 | -4.6 | 29% | ||
| 2027-01-22 | vs DAL -4.3 | -4.6 | 56% | ||
| 2027-01-25 | vs CLE +2.3 | -4.6 | 36% | ||
| 2027-01-27 | @ HOU +5.3 | -4.6 | 17% | ||
| 2027-01-28 | vs PHI +2.5 | -4.6 | 35% | ||
| 2027-01-30 | @ CLE +2.3 | -4.6 | 23% | ||
| 2027-02-01 | @ PHI +2.5 | -4.6 | 23% | ||
| 2027-02-02 | @ ORL +1.0 | -4.6 | 26% | ||
| 2027-02-04 | @ WAS -5.1 | -4.6 | 44% | ||
| 2027-02-06 | @ CHI -5.2 | -4.6 | 44% | ||
| 2027-02-08 | @ IND +0.1 | -4.6 | 29% | ||
| 2027-02-10 | @ ATL +0.8 | -4.6 | 27% | ||
| 2027-02-12 | vs HOU +5.3 | -4.6 | 27% | ||
| 2027-02-14 | vs LAC -3.2 | -4.6 | 53% | ||
| 2027-02-16 | @ POR +2.4 | -4.6 | 23% | ||
| 2027-02-17 | @ GSW +1.2 | -4.6 | 26% | ||
| 2027-02-25 | vs PHX -0.8 | -4.6 | 45% | ||
| 2027-02-27 | @ PHX -0.8 | -4.6 | 31% | ||
| 2027-03-01 | vs UTA -4.4 | -4.6 | 57% | ||
| 2027-03-03 | @ HOU +5.3 | -4.6 | 17% | ||
| 2027-03-05 | vs MIL -6.5 | -4.6 | 63% | ||
| 2027-03-06 | @ MEM -3.4 | -4.6 | 39% | ||
| 2027-03-08 | @ MIN +2.8 | -4.6 | 22% | ||
| 2027-03-10 | @ CHA -0.2 | -4.6 | 30% | ||
| 2027-03-12 | vs TOR +2.8 | -4.6 | 34% | ||
| 2027-03-13 | @ DAL -4.3 | -4.6 | 42% | ||
| 2027-03-16 | vs MIN +2.8 | -4.6 | 34% | ||
| 2027-03-18 | vs CHA -0.2 | -4.6 | 43% | ||
| 2027-03-19 | vs HOU +5.3 | -4.6 | 27% | ||
| 2027-03-21 | @ BOS +6.3 | -4.6 | 15% | ||
| 2027-03-23 | @ NYK +5.0 | -4.6 | 17% | ||
| 2027-03-26 | @ DAL -4.3 | -4.6 | 42% | ||
| 2027-03-28 | vs BOS +6.3 | -4.6 | 25% | ||
| 2027-03-31 | @ MIL -6.5 | -4.6 | 49% | ||
| 2027-04-03 | @ OKC +5.0 | -4.6 | 17% | ||
| 2027-04-05 | vs WAS -5.1 | -4.6 | 59% | ||
| 2027-04-06 | @ DEN +3.4 | -4.6 | 20% | ||
| 2027-04-08 | @ UTA -4.4 | -4.6 | 42% | ||
| 2027-04-11 | vs CHI -5.2 | -4.6 | 59% |
ETR preseason breakdown usage · minutes · who plays together · player by player · pace & shots, from Gallagher's game-by-game change log (Sept 28 – Oct 16)
Bottom line: Mosley runs straight one-for-one substitutions, prizes rim protection (Missi starts), and experimented with bringing Zion and Trey Murphy off the bench. ETR projects one of the league's worst defenses.
Usage & ball-handling
- Zion Williamson: modest usage. New Orleans tried to raise his three-point rate, and he went 1-of-7 from deep in the preseason. He showed he can carry a bigger workload (16.3 first-half minutes) but hasn't looked the same offensively.
- Dejounte Murray: solid handling role. He missed late games, which put Jeremiah Fears in his spot.
- Jordan Poole: Mosley wants him on the floor (he ran with the starters in practice) and moved him to PG2, which adds another usage mouth.
- Bennedict Mathurin: more of a points-league type than a category contributor.
Minutes & rotation
- ETR's top 10: Murray, Herb Jones, Trey Murphy III, Zion, Yves Missi, Fears, Poole, Mathurin, Saddiq Bey, Derik Queen.
- Missi has locked down the starting C job (Mosley needs rim protection) but wasn't productive. Queen is off the bench and off to a poor start.
- Lineup shuffling: Mathurin started over Jones once, and Zion and Murphy came off the bench on Oct 14. Mosley pointed to 31 different starting lineups last year as his reason to try combinations.
- ETR moves: Missi up, Bey and Queen down (pre-camp).
Who plays together
- Straight rotation with almost no overlap: Fears for Murray, Poole for Jones, Mathurin for Murphy, Bey for Zion, Queen for Missi.
- Fears and Murray rarely share the floor (17 minutes together last year).
- Zion and Queen got some overlap and won a six-minute stretch by six, though against Dallas' third string.
- Small lineup: Fears, Poole, Mathurin, Bey, Zion.
Pace & shot selection
- Opener: 47 FTAs, zero mid-range points, assists on 80% of makes and 23 forced turnovers.
- Defense is the big problem: 30 fastbreak and 58 paint points allowed vs MIA. Mosley's take-away-threes scheme needs foot speed this roster doesn't have.
Player by player
| Player | Model GP | Model MPG | Model min | Preseason read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy III | 63 | 34.6 | 2,171 | Best piece. Came off the bench once in the experiments. |
| Zion Williamson | 58 | 30.8 | 1,794 | Bigger minutes, but offense down. The three-point experiment failed (1-of-7). |
| Dejounte Murray | 63 | 32.1 | 2,016 | Starting PG with a solid handling role. Missed late games. |
| Herbert Jones | 61 | 25.0 | 1,534 | Starter, lost his spot to Mathurin once. |
| Yves Missi | 60 | 27.0 | 1,622 | Starting C (rim protection), unproductive. |
| Jeremiah Fears | 70 | 26.9 | 1,883 | Pure backup to Murray. Starts when Murray sits. |
| Jordan Poole | 61 | 19.7 | 1,207 | Mosley likes him. PG2, adds a usage squeeze. |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 63 | 23.5 | 1,483 | Backup to Murphy, sometimes a starter. |
| Saddiq Bey | 69 | 27.6 | 1,906 | Backup to Zion. Could gain from blowout minutes. |
| Derik Queen | 68 | 25.5 | 1,736 | Backup C, poor start. |
Preseason starting lineups
| Game | Opp | Starters | Out (ETR's noteworthy inactives) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6 | OKC | Dejounte Murray, Herb Jones, Trey Murphy III, Zion Williamson, Yves Missi | |
| Oct 8 | MIA | Jeremiah Fears, Bennedict Mathurin, Trey Murphy, Zion Williamson, Yves Missi | Dejounte Murray |
| Oct 14 | DAL | Jeremiah Fears, Bennedict Mathurin, Saddiq Bey, Karl Matkovic, Yves Missi | Dejounte Murray |
Summarized from ETR's 2026-27 Change Log and Preseason News (pulled Oct 18). Preseason minutes are mostly first-half numbers since starters rarely play second halves. Model GP/MPG/min are the ETR season projections this model uses, so the read shows where preseason usage agrees or disagrees with the minutes driving the win total. Projection moves ETR made during the preseason are noted under Minutes.