MEM Grizzlies #21 of 30
Roster assumptions minutes: per game: role MPG = mean of ETR + Monster ROS + ros_return, availability from Monster ROS (injury timelines); slate 10-28 (24 teams) on Monster daily minutes, pulled 10-28 15:39 · ETR per-game stats · rating = 50% DARKO DPM + 50% DARKO market per 100 poss · contrib = 5 × rating × minute share · names link to DataBallr
| Player | ETR slot | Pos | Age | GP | MPG | Min | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | 3PM | TO | FG% z | FT% z | FPPG | 9-cat rk | Share % | DPM | Mkt | Rating | O | D | O ctb | D ctb | Contrib |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Boozer | PF1 | F | 19 | 66 | 30.0 | 1,995 | 17.8 | 8.8 | 3.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.3 | +0.99 | +0.10 | 35.6 | 72 | 10.7 | -1.54 | +0.19 | -0.68 | -1.43 | -0.12 | -0.76 | -0.06 | -0.36 |
| Cedric Coward | SG1 | F | 23 | 64 | 29.2 | 1,866 | 15.9 | 6.2 | 3.4 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 1.9 | -0.20 | +0.42 | 30.5 | 102 | 10.0 | -0.39 | -1.48 | -0.93 | +0.35 | -0.74 | +0.17 | -0.37 | -0.47 |
| Jaylen Wells | SF1 | F | 23 | 66 | 27.3 | 1,802 | 11.6 | 3.2 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 1.1 | -0.58 | +0.13 | 19.8 | 244 | 9.6 | -0.72 | +2.34 | +0.81 | +0.31 | -1.03 | +0.15 | -0.49 | +0.39 |
| Ty Jerome | PG1 | G | 29 | 58 | 29.5 | 1,711 | 19.3 | 3.3 | 6.0 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 2.5 | 2.1 | -0.10 | +0.72 | 34.4 | 68 | 9.1 | +3.40 | +1.03 | +2.21 | +3.73 | -0.33 | +1.70 | -0.15 | +1.01 |
| Jerami Grant | SF2 | F | 32 | 57 | 26.3 | 1,499 | 15.7 | 2.9 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 1.5 | -0.56 | +0.40 | 24.4 | 189 | 8.0 | -1.03 | -0.01 | -0.52 | -0.99 | -0.04 | -0.40 | -0.01 | -0.21 |
| Zach Edey | C1 | C | 24 | 54 | 26.3 | 1,407 | 14.0 | 11.2 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 1.9 | +1.86 | -0.34 | 35.2 | 78 | 7.5 | +0.67 | -0.30 | +0.19 | -1.27 | +1.94 | -0.48 | +0.73 | +0.07 |
| Isaiah Stewart | C1 | C | 25 | 58 | 22.9 | 1,327 | 9.0 | 5.4 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 1.1 | +0.40 | -0.15 | 21.9 | 201 | 7.1 | -1.57 | +0.10 | -0.74 | -2.17 | +0.60 | -0.77 | +0.21 | -0.26 |
| Cam Spencer | PG2 | G | 26 | 64 | 19.9 | 1,282 | 9.8 | 2.4 | 5.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 1.2 | -0.34 | +0.52 | 22.1 | 159 | 6.8 | -0.13 | -1.58 | -0.85 | +0.84 | -0.97 | +0.29 | -0.33 | -0.29 |
| Scotty Pippen Jr. | SG2 | G | 25 | 54 | 22.0 | 1,199 | 12.5 | 3.2 | 5.2 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 2.2 | -0.20 | -0.09 | 27.8 | 141 | 6.4 | +0.34 | -1.20 | -0.43 | -0.17 | +0.51 | -0.05 | +0.16 | -0.14 |
| Quinten Post | C2 | C | 26 | 62 | 18.1 | 1,112 | 9.5 | 4.5 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 1.0 | -0.35 | +0.01 | 19.8 | 222 | 5.9 | -0.60 | -1.58 | -1.09 | -0.66 | +0.07 | -0.20 | +0.02 | -0.32 |
| G.G. Jackson | PF2 | F | 21 | 57 | 18.5 | 1,055 | 12.5 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 1.4 | -0.12 | -0.04 | 21.3 | 250 | 5.6 | -1.84 | -3.17 | -2.50 | -0.45 | -1.39 | -0.12 | -0.39 | -0.70 |
| Taylor Hendricks | SF3 | F | 22 | 41 | 18.3 | 750 | 7.8 | 4.1 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 0.9 | -0.21 | -0.10 | 17.6 | 255 | 4.0 | -0.70 | -2.70 | -1.70 | -0.42 | -0.28 | -0.08 | -0.06 | -0.34 |
| Javon Smallmpg from ETR FPPG | PG3 | G | 23 | 36 | 15.8 | 568 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 3.0 | +0.13 | -2.01 | -0.94 | +0.63 | -0.50 | +0.10 | -0.08 | -0.14 |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | PF3 | F | 24 | 49 | 8.5 | 415 | 9.3 | 3.9 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.8 | +0.14 | -0.30 | 18.2 | 272 | 2.2 | +0.37 | -3.23 | -1.43 | +0.50 | -0.13 | +0.05 | -0.01 | -0.16 |
| Karim LopezETR depth fill | PF4 | F | 19 | 44 | 6.6 | 289 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 1.5 | -2.00 | -1.60 | -1.80 | -2.08 | +0.09 | -0.16 | +0.01 | -0.14 |
| Jahmai MashackETR depth fill | SG4 | G | 23 | 44 | 5.3 | 234 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 1.2 | -2.66 | -3.72 | -3.19 | -2.70 | +0.04 | -0.16 | +0.00 | -0.20 |
| Kris MurrayETR depth fill | SF5 | F | 26 | 21 | 6.1 | 128 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 0.7 | +0.20 | -1.52 | -0.66 | -1.25 | +1.46 | -0.04 | +0.05 | -0.02 |
| Carson CooperETR depth fill | C3 | C | 22 | 16 | 5.1 | 81 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 0.4 | -3.57 | -1.48 | -2.53 | -3.31 | -0.26 | -0.07 | -0.01 | -0.06 |
| Team | 18,720 | 117.6 | 44.5 | 26.0 | 7.2 | 5.3 | 13.6 | 13.8 | 100 | -1.62 | -3.02 | -0.84 | -0.78 | -2.34 |
PTS–TO are ETR per-game projections (recovered from ETR's 9-cat z-scores; blank = outside ETR's 9-cat top 300; method on the Inputs page). Team row = Σ(per-game × games)/82. Rating = 50% DARKO DPM + 50% DARKO market rating (DARKO's player rating implied by closing betting spreads, per 100 poss); DPM alone where DARKO has no market rating. Team row under DPM / Mkt = Σ contrib on that rating alone. O/D ctb split DARKO's DPM (the market rating has no O/D split), so they add up to the DPM side, not the blended contrib. Fill of 0 minutes at replacement DPM (-2.2) contributes -0.00. GP / MPG / Min are expected over the remaining games: each game's 240 minutes go to whoever is available (see Injuries & availability), so a player's rating only counts in the games he is projected to play. League-relative centering shifts every team by the same constant.
Injuries & availability Monster return dates · games played so far · chance to play each game = half Monster, half ETR preseason · role MPG = ETR + Monster
| Player | Inj | Risk | Out until | Games out | Played | Mon % | ETR % | Avail % | Next % | Exp GP | Season G | ETR G | Mon G | ETR MPG | Mon MPG | Role MPG | Exp min | Monster note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Boozer | med | 0 | 4 | 88 | 82 | 85 | 85 | 66.5 | 70.5 | 68 | 69 | 28.0 | 32.0 | 30.0 | 1,995 | |||
| Ty Jerome | high | 0 | 4 | 83 | 65 | 74 | 74 | 58.0 | 62.0 | 55 | 65 | 28.0 | 31.0 | 29.5 | 1,711 | |||
| Cedric Coward | med | 0 | 3 | 88 | 76 | 82 | 82 | 64.0 | 67.0 | 62 | 69 | 28.3 | 30.0 | 29.2 | 1,866 | |||
| Jaylen Wells | med | 0 | 4 | 88 | 81 | 85 | 85 | 66.0 | 70.0 | 67 | 69 | 26.6 | 28.0 | 27.3 | 1,802 | |||
| Jerami Grant | high | 0 | 4 | 83 | 63 | 73 | 73 | 57.0 | 61.0 | 53 | 65 | 26.6 | 26.0 | 26.3 | 1,499 | |||
| Zach Edey | extreme | 0 | 3 | 76 | 62 | 69 | 69 | 53.5 | 56.5 | 51 | 59 | 27.6 | 25.0 | 26.3 | 1,407 | |||
| Isaiah Stewart | high | 0 | 3 | 83 | 65 | 74 | 74 | 58.0 | 61.0 | 54 | 65 | 22.8 | 23.0 | 22.9 | 1,327 | |||
| Scotty Pippen Jr. | high | 0 | 4 | 83 | 56 | 70 | 70 | 54.5 | 58.5 | 48 | 65 | 25.0 | 19.0 | 22.0 | 1,199 | |||
| Cam Spencer | med | 0 | 4 | 88 | 77 | 83 | 83 | 64.5 | 68.5 | 64 | 69 | 22.8 | 17.0 | 19.9 | 1,282 | |||
| G.G. Jackson | high | 0 | 4 | 83 | 63 | 73 | 73 | 57.0 | 61.0 | 53 | 65 | 21.0 | 16.0 | 18.5 | 1,055 | |||
| Taylor Hendricks | high | 0 | 1 | 54 | 51 | 53 | 53 | 41.0 | 42.0 | 41 | 42 | 20.6 | 16.0 | 18.3 | 750 | |||
| Quinten Post | med | 0 | 4 | 88 | 69 | 79 | 79 | 61.5 | 65.5 | 58 | 69 | 20.2 | 16.0 | 18.1 | 1,112 | |||
| Javon Small | med | 0 | 0 | 56 | 36 | 46 | 46 | 36.0 | 36.0 | 28 | 44 | 21.2 | 13.0 | 17.1 | 568 | |||
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | med | 0 | 0 | 56 | 69 | 63 | 63 | 49.0 | 49.0 | 54 | 44 | 19.9 | 14.0 | 17.0 | 415 | |||
| Karim Lopez | med | 0 | 0 | 56 | – | 56 | 56 | 44.0 | 44.0 | – | 44 | 12.2 | 14.0 | 13.1 | 289 | |||
| Kris Murray | med | 0 | 1 | 27 | – | 27 | 27 | 21.0 | 22.0 | – | 21 | 12.2 | – | 12.2 | 128 | |||
| Jahmai Mashack | med | 0 | 0 | 56 | – | 56 | 56 | 44.0 | 44.0 | – | 44 | 12.2 | 9.0 | 10.6 | 234 | |||
| Carson Cooper | med | 0 | 0 | 20 | – | 20 | 20 | 16.0 | 16.0 | – | 16 | 12.2 | 8.0 | 10.1 | 81 |
Before his est. return a player gets none of this team's games (Q: half), so his rating comes out of exactly those games and his minutes go to whoever is available (bench first, starters stretch up to +20%). Once healthy he plays Avail % of games: half Monster's rest-of-season rate, half ETR's preseason games (less the games he has already played, which are settled; for a player coming back from an injury, ETR's per-game rate). Monster ROS dump 2026-10-27 11:46 ET (1.2 days old), 522 rostered, 58 with an est. return.
ETR notes Gallagher Top 150 + ETR depth chart
| Cameron Boozer | Gallagher #48 | Outrageous college stats and looked the part in Summer League; ROY betting favorite for good reason |
| Cedric Coward | Gallagher #102 | Had minutes limit on him for most of season due to managed offseason, but could be let loose more often |
| Ty Jerome | Gallagher #71 | Had a 34.1 USG% and 61.6 TS% after his tidy 64.1 TS% with CLE; would be steal if he's on the floor for 65 games |
| Zach Edey | Gallagher #70 | Was going nuts in last six games at 17/14/1 with 2.2 blocks; could explode with health |
| Isaiah Stewart | Depth chart | Ankle tweak may cost him start of season |
ETR depth chart ETR order · minutes the model uses
Schedule 4 played · each remaining game uses both teams' nets for that date (who is out) · win prob from net-rating gap + 2.3 HCA, sd 12.5
| Date | Opp (net that game) | Our net | Win % | Result | Our players out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | vs UTA -4.5 | 61% | W 123-103 | ||
| 2026-10-23 | @ GSW +0.3 | 32% | W 111-108 | ||
| 2026-10-25 | @ SAC -8.4 | 59% | W 123-112 | ||
| 2026-10-26 | @ UTA -4.5 | 46% | W 110-105 | ||
| 2026-10-29 | @ POR +2.6 | -3.4 | 25% | ||
| 2026-10-31 | vs SAC -8.6 | -3.4 | 73% | ||
| 2026-11-02 | vs NOP -4.7 | -3.4 | 62% | ||
| 2026-11-04 | vs IND -0.0 | -3.4 | 47% | ||
| 2026-11-06 | vs OKC +4.7 | -3.4 | 32% | ||
| 2026-11-09 | @ TOR +0.0 | -3.4 | 32% | ||
| 2026-11-11 | vs DEN +3.4 | -3.4 | 36% | ||
| 2026-11-13 | @ NOP -4.6 | -3.4 | 47% | ||
| 2026-11-14 | vs BKN -5.7 | -3.4 | 64% | ||
| 2026-11-16 | @ WAS -5.1 | -3.4 | 48% | ||
| 2026-11-18 | @ CLE +2.3 | -3.4 | 26% | ||
| 2026-11-19 | vs GSW -0.3 | -3.4 | 48% | ||
| 2026-11-21 | @ MIN +2.8 | -3.4 | 25% | ||
| 2026-11-23 | @ CHA -0.2 | -3.4 | 33% | ||
| 2026-11-25 | vs LAC -4.4 | -3.4 | 61% | ||
| 2026-11-27 | @ MIN +2.8 | -3.4 | 25% | ||
| 2026-11-29 | vs LAL +2.3 | -3.4 | 39% | ||
| 2026-12-01 | @ PHI +2.5 | -3.4 | 26% | ||
| 2026-12-02 | @ DET +3.8 | -3.4 | 22% | ||
| 2026-12-12 | vs MIL -6.5 | -3.4 | 67% | ||
| 2026-12-14 | vs GSW -0.3 | -3.4 | 48% | ||
| 2026-12-16 | vs MIA +0.5 | -3.4 | 45% | ||
| 2026-12-18 | vs HOU +5.3 | -3.4 | 31% | ||
| 2026-12-20 | vs PHX -0.8 | -3.4 | 49% | ||
| 2026-12-21 | @ NOP -4.6 | -3.4 | 47% | ||
| 2026-12-23 | vs TOR +2.8 | -3.4 | 38% | ||
| 2026-12-26 | @ LAC -3.2 | -3.4 | 42% | ||
| 2026-12-27 | @ LAL +2.3 | -3.4 | 26% | ||
| 2026-12-29 | vs SAS +5.9 | -3.4 | 29% | ||
| 2027-01-03 | @ ORL +1.0 | -3.4 | 30% | ||
| 2027-01-05 | @ MIA +0.5 | -3.4 | 31% | ||
| 2027-01-07 | @ HOU +5.3 | -3.4 | 19% | ||
| 2027-01-08 | @ SAS +5.9 | -3.4 | 18% | ||
| 2027-01-10 | vs DAL -4.3 | -3.4 | 60% | ||
| 2027-01-12 | vs DAL -4.3 | -3.4 | 60% | ||
| 2027-01-14 | @ DEN +3.4 | -3.4 | 23% | ||
| 2027-01-16 | vs CLE +2.3 | -3.4 | 40% | ||
| 2027-01-18 | vs HOU +5.3 | -3.4 | 31% | ||
| 2027-01-20 | @ PHX -0.8 | -3.4 | 35% | ||
| 2027-01-22 | @ OKC +4.7 | -3.4 | 20% | ||
| 2027-01-25 | vs MIN +2.8 | -3.4 | 38% | ||
| 2027-01-28 | @ OKC +4.7 | -3.4 | 20% | ||
| 2027-01-30 | @ UTA -4.4 | -3.4 | 46% | ||
| 2027-02-01 | @ MIL -6.5 | -3.4 | 52% | ||
| 2027-02-03 | vs PHI +2.5 | -3.4 | 39% | ||
| 2027-02-06 | vs POR +2.4 | -3.4 | 39% | ||
| 2027-02-08 | vs POR +2.4 | -3.4 | 39% | ||
| 2027-02-10 | vs ORL +1.0 | -3.4 | 44% | ||
| 2027-02-12 | vs LAC -3.2 | -3.4 | 57% | ||
| 2027-02-15 | vs NYK +5.0 | -3.4 | 31% | ||
| 2027-02-17 | vs SAS +5.9 | -3.4 | 29% | ||
| 2027-02-18 | vs BOS +6.3 | -3.4 | 28% | ||
| 2027-02-26 | @ SAS +5.9 | -3.4 | 18% | ||
| 2027-02-27 | vs SAC -8.4 | -3.4 | 72% | ||
| 2027-03-02 | @ NYK +5.0 | -3.4 | 20% | ||
| 2027-03-04 | @ ATL +0.8 | -3.4 | 30% | ||
| 2027-03-06 | vs NOP -4.6 | -3.4 | 61% | ||
| 2027-03-08 | vs ATL +0.8 | -3.4 | 44% | ||
| 2027-03-09 | @ DAL -4.3 | -3.4 | 46% | ||
| 2027-03-11 | @ BOS +6.3 | -3.4 | 17% | ||
| 2027-03-13 | @ CHI -5.2 | -3.4 | 48% | ||
| 2027-03-15 | vs PHX -0.5 | -3.4 | 48% | ||
| 2027-03-17 | @ GSW +1.2 | -3.4 | 29% | ||
| 2027-03-18 | @ LAC -3.0 | -3.4 | 42% | ||
| 2027-03-20 | vs OKC +4.7 | -3.4 | 32% | ||
| 2027-03-22 | vs CHA -0.2 | -3.4 | 47% | ||
| 2027-03-24 | @ IND +0.0 | -3.4 | 32% | ||
| 2027-03-25 | vs CHI -5.2 | -3.4 | 63% | ||
| 2027-03-28 | @ BKN -5.7 | -3.4 | 50% | ||
| 2027-03-30 | vs LAL +2.3 | -3.4 | 39% | ||
| 2027-04-02 | @ HOU +5.3 | -3.4 | 19% | ||
| 2027-04-04 | @ DEN +3.4 | -3.4 | 23% | ||
| 2027-04-06 | vs DET +3.8 | -3.4 | 35% | ||
| 2027-04-07 | vs WAS -5.1 | -3.4 | 63% | ||
| 2027-04-09 | @ PHX -0.5 | -3.4 | 34% | ||
| 2027-04-11 | @ DAL -4.3 | -3.4 | 46% |
ETR preseason breakdown usage · minutes · who plays together · player by player · pace & shots, from Gallagher's game-by-game change log (Sept 28 – Oct 16)
Bottom line: Memphis had the preseason's best shot profile (first in rim frequency and location eFG%, almost no mid-range). Ty Jerome runs it at about 30% usage, Cam Boozer is a hub as a rookie, and Edey is ramping toward 24–25 minutes.
- Ty Jerome: lead handler at 29.3%, then 36.1% in a first half with no turnovers. He was at 29.5% usage through 33 preseason minutes with a 90.1 TS%, and third in FGA per 100 among rotation players.
- Cam Boozer: plays like a shooting guard and gets the ball on the move. Memphis will play through him, and he got some center minutes.
- Zach Edey: 3.6% usage in his debut, but the offense ran through him more by game three.
- GG Jackson's big usage numbers came in garbage minutes. ETR calls it a preseason mirage.
- Starters: Jerome, Cedric Coward, Jaylen Wells, Boozer, Edey.
- Edey ramp: 10, then 16, then 21 minutes. He might reach 24–25 on opening night after being rushed back last year.
- Coward went from 18 to 22 minutes and looks healthy.
- Top 10 bench: Cam Spencer (behind Jerome), Scotty Pippen Jr. (behind Wells), Jerami Grant, GG Jackson, Isaiah Stewart (Edey's backup, minor ankle tweak). Quinten Post covered the non-Edey minutes while Stewart was out. Taylor Hendricks is 11th.
- Possible cuts: Kris Murray (started the finale for a last look), Walter Clayton Jr., Micah Peavy.
- Boozer and Jerome look great together.
- Spencer for Jerome and Pippen for Wells are straight swaps.
- Grant is a second-unit staple.
- Up-tempo movement offense: 81 first-half points at ATL, with assists on 74.4% of makes.
- 103.1 halfcourt offensive rating and only 1.1% of possessions scored in the mid-range. ETR: "full Morey ball."
- First in location eFG% and rim frequency in the preseason.
- Pippen Jr. led rotation players in steals per 100.
Player by player
| Player | Model GP | Model MPG | Model min | Preseason read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Jerome | 58 | 29.5 | 1,711 | Primary handler with about 30% usage and elite efficiency. |
| Cameron Boozer | 66 | 30.0 | 1,995 | Rookie hub. Rookie of the Year favorite. |
| Zach Edey | 54 | 26.3 | 1,407 | Ramping 10, 16, then 21 minutes. More post touches. |
| Cedric Coward | 64 | 29.2 | 1,866 | Healthy starting wing, minutes rising. |
| Jaylen Wells | 66 | 27.3 | 1,802 | Starting wing. |
| Isaiah Stewart | 58 | 22.9 | 1,327 | Edey's backup. |
| Scotty Pippen Jr. | 54 | 22.0 | 1,199 | Backup wing, steals leader. |
| Cam Spencer | 64 | 19.9 | 1,282 | Backup PG. |
| Jerami Grant | 57 | 26.3 | 1,499 | Second-unit staple. |
| GG Jackson II | 57 | 18.5 | 1,055 | 10th man. His usage was inflated by garbage time. |
Preseason starting lineups
| Game | Opp | Starters | Out (ETR's noteworthy inactives) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5 | ATL | Ty Jerome, Cedric Coward, Jaylen Wells, Cam Boozer, Quinten Post | Zach Edey |
| Oct 7 | ORL | Ty Jerome, Cedric Coward, Jaylen Wells, Cam Boozer, Zach Edey | Isaiah Stewart |
| Oct 9 | CHI | Ty Jerome, Cedric Coward, Jaylen Wells, Cam Boozer, Zach Edey | Isaiah Stewart |
Summarized from ETR's 2026-27 Change Log and Preseason News (pulled Oct 18). Preseason minutes are mostly first-half numbers since starters rarely play second halves. Model GP/MPG/min are the ETR season projections this model uses, so the read shows where preseason usage agrees or disagrees with the minutes driving the win total. Projection moves ETR made during the preseason are noted under Minutes.