BKN Nets #28 of 30
Projected wins
25.2
FanDuel 23.5 (o-115 / u-110) · record 0-4
Net rating
-5.69
avg over remaining games · 50% DARKO DPM + 50% DARKO market · DARKO off -2.48 · def -0.99
Next game / full strength
-5.69 / -5.69
2026-10-30 vs DET · out: nobody (role 12+ mpg)
DARKO vs market
-4.81 / -6.57
net on DPM alone / market alone · wins 27.3 / 23.2
Minutes covered
18,720
of 18,720 remaining · fill 0 @ replacement
Roster
18
0 rookies on model/prior
Schedule
+0.47
avg opp net · 2 games unscheduled
ETR minutes mix
84% ETR
11% MPG from ETR FPPG · 5% ETR depth fill
ETR box (rated players)
90 pts
35 reb · 19 ast · 11.3 3pm · 78% of minutes
Roster assumptions minutes: per game: role MPG = mean of ETR + Monster ROS + ros_return, availability from Monster ROS (injury timelines); slate 10-28 (24 teams) on Monster daily minutes, pulled 10-28 15:39 · ETR per-game stats · rating = 50% DARKO DPM + 50% DARKO market per 100 poss · contrib = 5 × rating × minute share · names link to DataBallr
| Player | ETR slot | Pos | Age | GP | MPG | Min | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | 3PM | TO | FG% z | FT% z | FPPG | 9-cat rk | Share % | DPM | Mkt | Rating | O | D | O ctb | D ctb | Contrib |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Randle | PF1 | F | 31 | 66 | 32.7 | 2,172 | 20.2 | 8.1 | 4.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 2.9 | -0.13 | +0.21 | 36.7 | 107 | 11.6 | +0.17 | +0.83 | +0.50 | +0.70 | -0.54 | +0.41 | -0.31 | +0.29 |
| Michael Porter Jr. | SF1 | F | 28 | 61 | 32.8 | 2,002 | 22.7 | 6.9 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 3.3 | 2.2 | -0.25 | +0.50 | 36.6 | 56 | 10.7 | +1.98 | +0.94 | +1.46 | +2.68 | -0.70 | +1.43 | -0.37 | +0.78 |
| Egor Demin | PG1 | G | 20 | 63 | 30.6 | 1,929 | 13.4 | 3.7 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 2.9 | 2.1 | -0.96 | +0.22 | 25.9 | 127 | 10.3 | -1.52 | -1.22 | -1.37 | -1.11 | -0.41 | -0.57 | -0.21 | -0.71 |
| Day'Ron Sharpe | C1 | C | 24 | 62 | 27.9 | 1,727 | 12.3 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 2.2 | +1.06 | -0.79 | 33.2 | 96 | 9.2 | +1.67 | -0.74 | +0.46 | -0.11 | +1.78 | -0.05 | +0.82 | +0.21 |
| Mikel BrownOff Inj | PG2 | G | 20 | 60 | 27.5 | 1,665 | 14.2 | 2.9 | 4.8 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 1.9 | -1.22 | +0.31 | 26.5 | 176 | 8.9 | -2.17 | -1.26 | -1.72 | -1.35 | -0.82 | -0.60 | -0.36 | -0.76 |
| Keon Ellis | SG1 | G | 26 | 64 | 24.2 | 1,558 | 7.4 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 0.7 | -0.15 | -0.01 | 17.8 | 163 | 8.3 | +0.24 | -0.11 | +0.07 | -0.68 | +0.92 | -0.28 | +0.38 | +0.03 |
| Noah Clowney | SF2 | F | 22 | 61 | 23.6 | 1,438 | 10.9 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 1.2 | -0.85 | +0.20 | 20.1 | 247 | 7.7 | -1.60 | -3.63 | -2.62 | -0.97 | -0.63 | -0.37 | -0.24 | -1.01 |
| Nolan Traore | PG3 | G | 20 | 61 | 18.5 | 1,129 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 16.5 | – | 6.0 | -2.69 | -2.56 | -2.63 | -1.87 | -0.82 | -0.56 | -0.25 | -0.79 |
| Moritz Wagner | C2 | C | 29 | 58 | 19.6 | 1,127 | 12.7 | 5.0 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 | +0.36 | +0.13 | 22.2 | 214 | 6.0 | -1.61 | +0.23 | -0.69 | -0.99 | -0.63 | -0.30 | -0.19 | -0.21 |
| Chaney Johnson | PF2 | F | 24 | 50 | 18.1 | 896 | 6.9 | 3.9 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.1 | +0.14 | +0.04 | 17.3 | 269 | 4.8 | -1.28 | -2.82 | -2.05 | -1.33 | +0.05 | -0.32 | +0.01 | -0.49 |
| Ben SarafGLGmpg from ETR FPPG | PG4 | G | 20 | 46 | 16.2 | 739 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 13.7 | – | 3.9 | -3.15 | -6.03 | -4.58 | -2.58 | -0.56 | -0.50 | -0.11 | -0.91 |
| Terance Mannmpg from ETR FPPG | SG3 | G | 30 | 46 | 13.7 | 639 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 12.7 | – | 3.4 | -2.67 | -1.04 | -1.85 | -1.78 | -0.89 | -0.30 | -0.15 | -0.32 |
| Josh MinottETR depth fill | SF3 | F | 23 | 66 | 7.5 | 495 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2.6 | +2.08 | -3.82 | -0.87 | +1.07 | +1.01 | +0.14 | +0.13 | -0.12 |
| Joshua JeffersonGLGmpg from ETR FPPG | PF3 | F | 22 | 24 | 16.0 | 376 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2.0 | -2.79 | -1.57 | -2.18 | -2.27 | -0.52 | -0.23 | -0.05 | -0.22 |
| Drake PowellGLGmpg from ETR FPPG | SG2 | G | 21 | 48 | 7.4 | 357 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 11.3 | – | 1.9 | -2.55 | -2.53 | -2.54 | -1.70 | -0.85 | -0.16 | -0.08 | -0.24 |
| Danny WolfETR depth fill | C3 | F | 22 | 43 | 7.5 | 322 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 1.7 | -1.28 | -1.63 | -1.45 | -1.35 | +0.07 | -0.11 | +0.01 | -0.12 |
| Tyler BilodeauGLGETR depth fill | PF4 | F | 22 | 16 | 5.2 | 84 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 0.4 | -2.60 | – | -2.60 | -2.19 | -0.41 | -0.04 | -0.01 | -0.06 |
| Grant NelsonGLG | F | 24 | 16 | 4.0 | 64 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 0.3 | -1.94 | -2.52 | -2.23 | -2.22 | +0.28 | -0.03 | +0.00 | -0.04 | |
| Team | 18,720 | 90.4 | 34.8 | 18.8 | 5.9 | 3.3 | 11.3 | 11.6 | 100 | -3.45 | -5.84 | -2.46 | -0.99 | -4.67 |
PTS–TO are ETR per-game projections (recovered from ETR's 9-cat z-scores; blank = outside ETR's 9-cat top 300; method on the Inputs page). Team row = Σ(per-game × games)/82. Rating = 50% DARKO DPM + 50% DARKO market rating (DARKO's player rating implied by closing betting spreads, per 100 poss); DPM alone where DARKO has no market rating. Team row under DPM / Mkt = Σ contrib on that rating alone. O/D ctb split DARKO's DPM (the market rating has no O/D split), so they add up to the DPM side, not the blended contrib. Fill of 0 minutes at replacement DPM (-2.2) contributes -0.00. GP / MPG / Min are expected over the remaining games: each game's 240 minutes go to whoever is available (see Injuries & availability), so a player's rating only counts in the games he is projected to play. League-relative centering shifts every team by the same constant.
Injuries & availability Monster return dates · games played so far · chance to play each game = half Monster, half ETR preseason · role MPG = ETR + Monster
| Player | Inj | Risk | Out until | Games out | Played | Mon % | ETR % | Avail % | Next % | Exp GP | Season G | ETR G | Mon G | ETR MPG | Mon MPG | Role MPG | Exp min | Monster note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Porter Jr. | high | 0 | 4 | 85 | 72 | 78 | 78 | 61.0 | 65.0 | 60 | 66 | 32.6 | 33.0 | 32.8 | 2,002 | |||
| Julius Randle | med | 0 | 4 | 90 | 81 | 85 | 85 | 66.5 | 70.5 | 67 | 70 | 32.3 | 33.0 | 32.7 | 2,172 | |||
| Egor Demin | high | 0 | 4 | 85 | 77 | 81 | 81 | 63.0 | 67.0 | 64 | 66 | 31.2 | 30.0 | 30.6 | 1,929 | |||
| Day'Ron Sharpe | med | 0 | 4 | 90 | 69 | 80 | 80 | 62.0 | 66.0 | 58 | 70 | 27.7 | 28.0 | 27.9 | 1,727 | |||
| Mikel Brown | Off Inj | high | 0 | 3 | 80 | 76 | 78 | 78 | 60.5 | 63.5 | 62 | 62 | 28.0 | 27.0 | 27.5 | 1,665 | Off Injury Report | |
| Keon Ellis | med | 0 | 4 | 90 | 76 | 83 | 83 | 64.5 | 68.5 | 63 | 70 | 23.3 | 25.0 | 24.2 | 1,558 | |||
| Noah Clowney | high | 0 | 4 | 85 | 72 | 78 | 78 | 61.0 | 65.0 | 60 | 66 | 24.1 | 23.0 | 23.6 | 1,438 | |||
| Moritz Wagner | high | 0 | 4 | 80 | 68 | 74 | 74 | 57.5 | 61.5 | 57 | 62 | 21.2 | 18.0 | 19.6 | 1,127 | |||
| Nolan Traore | high | 0 | 4 | 85 | 72 | 78 | 78 | 61.0 | 65.0 | 60 | 66 | 21.0 | 16.0 | 18.5 | 1,129 | |||
| Chaney Johnson | med | 0 | 4 | 58 | 69 | 64 | 64 | 49.5 | 53.5 | 58 | 45 | 19.2 | 17.0 | 18.1 | 896 | |||
| Ben Saraf | GLG | high | 0 | 1 | 55 | 62 | 58 | 58 | 45.5 | 46.5 | 49 | 43 | 17.5 | 15.0 | 16.2 | 739 | G-League | |
| Joshua Jefferson | GLG | med | 0 | 1 | 27 | 33 | 30 | 30 | 23.5 | 24.5 | 27 | 21 | 20.0 | 12.0 | 16.0 | 376 | G-League | |
| Terance Mann | med | 0 | 0 | 58 | 62 | 60 | 60 | 46.5 | 46.5 | 48 | 45 | 16.5 | 15.0 | 15.7 | 639 | |||
| Josh Minott | high | 0 | 2 | 85 | – | 85 | 85 | 66.0 | 68.0 | – | 66 | 12.0 | 18.0 | 15.0 | 495 | |||
| Danny Wolf | high | 0 | 1 | 55 | – | 55 | 55 | 43.0 | 44.0 | – | 43 | 12.0 | 18.0 | 15.0 | 322 | |||
| Drake Powell | GLG | med | 0 | 1 | 58 | 65 | 62 | 62 | 48.0 | 49.0 | 52 | 45 | 14.7 | 15.0 | 14.9 | 357 | G-League | |
| Tyler Bilodeau | GLG | med | 0 | 0 | 20 | – | 20 | 20 | 16.0 | 16.0 | – | 16 | 12.0 | 9.0 | 10.5 | 84 | G-League | |
| Grant Nelson | GLG | med | 0 | 0 | 20 | – | 20 | 20 | 16.0 | 16.0 | – | 16 | – | 8.0 | 8.0 | 64 | G-League |
Before his est. return a player gets none of this team's games (Q: half), so his rating comes out of exactly those games and his minutes go to whoever is available (bench first, starters stretch up to +20%). Once healthy he plays Avail % of games: half Monster's rest-of-season rate, half ETR's preseason games (less the games he has already played, which are settled; for a player coming back from an injury, ETR's per-game rate). Monster ROS dump 2026-10-27 11:46 ET (1.2 days old), 522 rostered, 58 with an est. return.
ETR notes Gallagher Top 150 + ETR depth chart
| Julius Randle | Gallagher #98 | Paolo-esque as a guy who just won't crush in nine-cat and we've seen the Nets frontcourt guys struggle |
| Michael Porter Jr. | Gallagher #65 | Trade rumors and the Nets not having their pick are big concerns to me to get them to play their younger guys |
| Egor Demin | Gallagher #104 | Horrendous rookie year but did get into the paint more late; big Vegas run and minutes limit should be off from foot issue |
| Day'Ron Sharpe | Gallagher #95 | If he's capable of playing 27+ minutes in 65+ games, he might be one of the best values in fantasy |
| Mikel Brown | Gallagher #124 | Most talented younger guy on the team and looks to be healthy from issues in college |
ETR depth chart ETR order · minutes the model uses
PG
Egor Demin
30.6 mpg × 63 g = 1,929
Mikel Brown
27.5 mpg × 60 g = 1,665
Nolan Traore
18.5 mpg × 61 g = 1,129
Ben Saraf
16.2 mpg × 46 g = 739
SG
Keon Ellis
24.2 mpg × 64 g = 1,558
Drake Powell
7.4 mpg × 48 g = 357
Terance Mann
13.7 mpg × 46 g = 639
SF
Michael Porter Jr.
32.8 mpg × 61 g = 2,002
Noah Clowney
23.6 mpg × 61 g = 1,438
Josh Minott
7.5 mpg × 66 g = 495
PF
Julius Randle
32.7 mpg × 66 g = 2,172
Chaney Johnson 2W
18.1 mpg × 50 g = 896
Joshua Jefferson
16.0 mpg × 24 g = 376
Tyler Bilodeau
5.2 mpg × 16 g = 84
C
Day'Ron Sharpe
27.9 mpg × 62 g = 1,727
Moritz Wagner
19.6 mpg × 58 g = 1,127
Danny Wolf
7.5 mpg × 43 g = 322
Not on ETR's depth chart: Grant Nelson
Schedule 4 played · each remaining game uses both teams' nets for that date (who is out) · win prob from net-rating gap + 2.3 HCA, sd 12.5
| Date | Opp (net that game) | Our net | Win % | Result | Our players out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | vs CHA -0.3 | 40% | L 103-110 | ||
| 2026-10-24 | @ CLE +2.3 | 20% | L 121-125 | ||
| 2026-10-25 | vs IND -0.1 | 40% | L 109-136 | ||
| 2026-10-27 | @ BOS +6.3 | 13% | L 124-125 | ||
| 2026-10-30 | vs DET +2.2 | -5.7 | 33% | ||
| 2026-11-01 | @ IND -0.5 | -5.7 | 28% | ||
| 2026-11-02 | @ NYK +5.0 | -5.7 | 15% | ||
| 2026-11-04 | vs CHA -0.2 | -5.7 | 40% | ||
| 2026-11-07 | @ ATL +0.8 | -5.7 | 24% | ||
| 2026-11-08 | @ DAL -4.6 | -5.7 | 39% | ||
| 2026-11-11 | @ NOP -4.6 | -5.7 | 39% | ||
| 2026-11-14 | @ MEM -3.4 | -5.7 | 36% | ||
| 2026-11-16 | vs PHI +2.5 | -5.7 | 32% | ||
| 2026-11-18 | vs CHI -5.2 | -5.7 | 56% | ||
| 2026-11-20 | vs ORL -0.2 | -5.7 | 40% | ||
| 2026-11-23 | @ MIN +2.8 | -5.7 | 19% | ||
| 2026-11-25 | @ MIL -6.5 | -5.7 | 45% | ||
| 2026-11-27 | @ TOR +2.8 | -5.7 | 19% | ||
| 2026-11-28 | @ CHA -0.2 | -5.7 | 27% | ||
| 2026-11-30 | vs OKC +4.7 | -5.7 | 26% | ||
| 2026-12-02 | @ OKC +4.7 | -5.7 | 16% | ||
| 2026-12-13 | vs BOS +6.3 | -5.7 | 22% | ||
| 2026-12-14 | @ DET +3.8 | -5.7 | 17% | ||
| 2026-12-16 | vs DAL -4.3 | -5.7 | 53% | ||
| 2026-12-18 | vs ORL +1.0 | -5.7 | 36% | ||
| 2026-12-20 | vs WAS -5.1 | -5.7 | 55% | ||
| 2026-12-21 | vs POR +2.4 | -5.7 | 32% | ||
| 2026-12-23 | vs SAS +5.9 | -5.7 | 23% | ||
| 2026-12-26 | vs NOP -4.6 | -5.7 | 54% | ||
| 2026-12-27 | @ NYK +5.0 | -5.7 | 15% | ||
| 2026-12-29 | @ POR +2.4 | -5.7 | 20% | ||
| 2026-12-31 | @ SAC -8.4 | -5.7 | 51% | ||
| 2027-01-02 | @ GSW -0.2 | -5.7 | 26% | ||
| 2027-01-04 | @ UTA -4.4 | -5.7 | 39% | ||
| 2027-01-06 | vs UTA -4.4 | -5.7 | 53% | ||
| 2027-01-07 | vs MIA +0.5 | -5.7 | 38% | ||
| 2027-01-09 | vs HOU +5.3 | -5.7 | 24% | ||
| 2027-01-11 | @ IND -0.0 | -5.7 | 26% | ||
| 2027-01-12 | @ MIA +0.5 | -5.7 | 25% | ||
| 2027-01-14 | @ PHI +2.5 | -5.7 | 20% | ||
| 2027-01-16 | @ BOS +6.3 | -5.7 | 13% | ||
| 2027-01-20 | vs CHI -5.2 | -5.7 | 56% | ||
| 2027-01-21 | vs CLE +2.3 | -5.7 | 32% | ||
| 2027-01-23 | vs TOR +2.8 | -5.7 | 31% | ||
| 2027-01-25 | vs MIA +0.5 | -5.7 | 38% | ||
| 2027-01-27 | vs PHX -0.8 | -5.7 | 42% | ||
| 2027-01-29 | vs LAC -3.2 | -5.7 | 50% | ||
| 2027-01-31 | @ ORL +1.0 | -5.7 | 24% | ||
| 2027-02-01 | vs NYK +5.0 | -5.7 | 25% | ||
| 2027-02-04 | vs LAL +2.3 | -5.7 | 32% | ||
| 2027-02-06 | vs WAS -5.1 | -5.7 | 55% | ||
| 2027-02-08 | @ PHI +2.5 | -5.7 | 20% | ||
| 2027-02-09 | vs MIN +2.8 | -5.7 | 31% | ||
| 2027-02-12 | @ WAS -5.1 | -5.7 | 41% | ||
| 2027-02-14 | @ MIA +0.5 | -5.7 | 25% | ||
| 2027-02-17 | vs ATL +0.8 | -5.7 | 37% | ||
| 2027-02-25 | vs PHI +2.5 | -5.7 | 32% | ||
| 2027-02-27 | @ CHI -5.2 | -5.7 | 41% | ||
| 2027-03-01 | @ DEN +3.4 | -5.7 | 18% | ||
| 2027-03-03 | @ PHX -0.5 | -5.7 | 28% | ||
| 2027-03-04 | @ LAC -3.0 | -5.7 | 34% | ||
| 2027-03-07 | @ LAL +2.3 | -5.7 | 20% | ||
| 2027-03-09 | vs MIL -6.5 | -5.7 | 60% | ||
| 2027-03-11 | @ ATL +0.8 | -5.7 | 24% | ||
| 2027-03-13 | @ DET +3.8 | -5.7 | 17% | ||
| 2027-03-15 | vs IND +0.0 | -5.7 | 39% | ||
| 2027-03-17 | @ HOU +5.3 | -5.7 | 14% | ||
| 2027-03-18 | @ SAS +5.9 | -5.7 | 13% | ||
| 2027-03-21 | vs SAC -8.4 | -5.7 | 66% | ||
| 2027-03-23 | vs BOS +6.3 | -5.7 | 22% | ||
| 2027-03-25 | vs DEN +3.4 | -5.7 | 29% | ||
| 2027-03-28 | vs MEM -3.4 | -5.7 | 50% | ||
| 2027-03-29 | vs GSW +1.2 | -5.7 | 36% | ||
| 2027-03-31 | vs CLE +2.3 | -5.7 | 32% | ||
| 2027-04-02 | vs NYK +5.0 | -5.7 | 25% | ||
| 2027-04-04 | @ MIL -6.5 | -5.7 | 45% | ||
| 2027-04-05 | @ CLE +2.3 | -5.7 | 21% | ||
| 2027-04-07 | @ TOR +2.8 | -5.7 | 19% | ||
| 2027-04-09 | @ CHA -0.2 | -5.7 | 27% | ||
| 2027-04-11 | vs TOR +2.8 | -5.7 | 31% |
ETR preseason breakdown usage · minutes · who plays together · player by player · pace & shots, from Gallagher's game-by-game change log (Sept 28 – Oct 16)
Bottom line: The offense runs through Randle and Porter Jr., with Demin as the nominal point guard. Mikel Brown Jr. arrived late and should come off the bench on a managed workload. The bench behind the starters is very weak.
Usage & ball-handling
- Michael Porter Jr.: 37.1% first-half usage vs WAS and 21.7 PPG over three games (third in the preseason).
- Julius Randle: Brooklyn played through him. He had 9 assists in 15.3 first-half minutes vs WAS, and Fernandez compared his passing to Jokic.
- Egor Demin: primary handler (13/1/5 in 22 minutes vs PHI), but his role shrinks when the offense runs through Randle. He scored better (17/3/3 in 23 minutes in the finale), and Fernandez wants him shooting more threes.
- Day'Ron Sharpe: the Nets ran some offense through him early, including mid-clock threes, but his preseason ended poorly (three fouls in four minutes).
- Mikel Brown Jr.: 15/3/3 in 18 minutes in his debut, with five FTAs and two rim attempts, playing off the ball next to Traore.
Minutes & rotation
- Starters: Demin, Keon Ellis, Porter Jr., Randle, Sharpe. Ellis is now close to a lock to start.
- Center: Sharpe and Moe Wagner cover the 48 minutes, with Wagner taking all the non-Sharpe minutes.
- Second unit: Nolan Traore, Brown Jr., Noah Clowney, Chaney Johnson, Wagner.
- Heavy first-half minutes for the core: Randle 18, Demin 18, Porter Jr. 17 in the opener.
- Brown Jr. should start on the bench with limited minutes. ETR points to Demin's managed start in 2025 as the template.
- ETR moves: Ellis and Porter Jr. boosted. Brown Jr. trimmed. Danny Wolf cut heavily after falling behind Chaney Johnson.
Who plays together
- Brown Jr. subbed in for Porter Jr., barely overlapped with Randle and never shared the floor with Demin. His backcourt partner was Traore.
- When Porter Jr. sat, Randle and Clowney played the two forward spots.
- Traore won the PG2 job over Ben Saraf after the opener.
- With Sharpe out, Chaney Johnson backed up center without overlapping Wagner. He could pass Clowney.
Pace & shot selection
- Aggressive defensive coverages: 25 forced turnovers in the opener, plus 31 assists and a 127.8 offensive rating (against an injured Charlotte).
- Early stints had Porter Jr. and Randle firing with little ball movement.
Player by player
| Player | Model GP | Model MPG | Model min | Preseason read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Randle | 66 | 32.7 | 2,172 | Offensive hub and passer. 18 first-half minutes in the opener. |
| Michael Porter Jr. | 61 | 32.8 | 2,002 | 37% usage in the dress rehearsal. ETR dropped its fade. |
| Egor Demin | 63 | 30.6 | 1,929 | Starting PG. Usage drops when Randle handles. Better scorer this year. |
| Keon Ellis | 64 | 24.2 | 1,558 | Near-lock starter, low usage. |
| Day'Ron Sharpe | 62 | 27.9 | 1,727 | Starting C, paced for about 26 minutes early. Rough finish. |
| Moritz Wagner | 58 | 19.6 | 1,127 | C2 lock. Takes every non-Sharpe center minute. |
| Mikel Brown Jr. | 60 | 27.5 | 1,665 | Late debut. Expect a bench role and managed minutes at first. |
| Noah Clowney | 61 | 23.6 | 1,438 | SF2 behind Porter Jr. |
| Chaney Johnson | 50 | 18.1 | 896 | Second-unit staple. Can play backup C. |
| Nolan Traore | 61 | 18.5 | 1,129 | Won PG2 over Saraf. Squeezed if Brown Jr. takes those minutes. |
Preseason starting lineups
| Game | Opp | Starters | Out (ETR's noteworthy inactives) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6 | CHA | Egor Demin, Keon Ellis, Michael Porter Jr., Julius Randle, Day’Ron Sharpe | Mikel Brown Jr. |
| Oct 8 | PHI | Egor Demin, Keon Ellis, Noah Clowney., Julius Randle, Moritz Wagner | Michael Porter Jr., DayRon Sharpe, Mikel Brown Jr. |
| Oct 12 | WAS | Egor Demin, Keon Ellis, Michael Porter Jr., Julius Randle, Day’Ron Sharpe | Mikel Brown Jr. |
| Oct 14 | MIA | Egor Demin, Keon Ellis, Michael Porter Jr., Julius Randle, Day’Ron Sharpe |
Summarized from ETR's 2026-27 Change Log and Preseason News (pulled Oct 18). Preseason minutes are mostly first-half numbers since starters rarely play second halves. Model GP/MPG/min are the ETR season projections this model uses, so the read shows where preseason usage agrees or disagrees with the minutes driving the win total. Projection moves ETR made during the preseason are noted under Minutes.