PHI 76ers #10 of 30
Roster assumptions minutes: per game: role MPG = mean of ETR + Monster ROS + ros_return, availability from Monster ROS (injury timelines); slate 10-28 (24 teams) on Monster daily minutes, pulled 10-28 15:39 · ETR per-game stats · rating = 50% DARKO DPM + 50% DARKO market per 100 poss · contrib = 5 × rating × minute share · names link to DataBallr
| Player | ETR slot | Pos | Age | GP | MPG | Min | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | 3PM | TO | FG% z | FT% z | FPPG | 9-cat rk | Share % | DPM | Mkt | Rating | O | D | O ctb | D ctb | Contrib |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Maxey | PG1 | G | 25 | 66 | 36.9 | 2,442 | 25.6 | 3.8 | 5.7 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 3.1 | 2.0 | -0.49 | +1.26 | 43.1 | 5 | 13.0 | +2.56 | +2.85 | +2.70 | +2.67 | -0.11 | +1.73 | -0.07 | +1.76 |
| Jaylen Brown | SF1 | G | 30 | 66 | 35.7 | 2,343 | 24.0 | 6.9 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 2.7 | +0.08 | -0.10 | 40.5 | 49 | 12.5 | +2.19 | +2.85 | +2.52 | +2.90 | -0.71 | +1.82 | -0.45 | +1.58 |
| VJ EdgecombeQ | SG1 | G | 21 | 68 | 34.2 | 2,329 | 15.6 | 5.8 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 2.2 | 1.6 | -0.59 | +0.28 | 32.4 | 45 | 12.4 | -0.44 | -1.11 | -0.78 | -0.33 | -0.11 | -0.21 | -0.07 | -0.48 |
| LeBron James | PF1 | F | 41 | 58 | 32.7 | 1,886 | 19.1 | 6.8 | 7.1 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 2.6 | +0.70 | -0.31 | 40.1 | 65 | 10.1 | +1.82 | +2.86 | +2.34 | +1.73 | +0.09 | +0.88 | +0.04 | +1.18 |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | SG2 | G | 33 | 65 | 23.5 | 1,533 | 6.8 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 0.8 | -0.36 | +0.19 | 14.7 | 298 | 8.2 | -0.57 | -0.43 | -0.50 | -0.85 | +0.28 | -0.35 | +0.12 | -0.20 |
| Anfernee Simons | PG2 | G | 27 | 64 | 23.6 | 1,501 | 11.7 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 1.2 | -0.61 | +0.28 | 18.2 | 277 | 8.0 | -2.13 | +0.09 | -1.02 | -0.15 | -1.98 | -0.06 | -0.79 | -0.41 |
| Dean Wade | PF2 | F | 29 | 60 | 24.4 | 1,469 | 5.3 | 4.5 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 0.4 | -0.16 | -0.06 | 15.1 | 262 | 7.8 | +0.65 | +0.72 | +0.68 | -0.51 | +1.16 | -0.20 | +0.45 | +0.27 |
| Joel EmbiidIN | C1 | C | 32 | 44 | 32.0 | 1,408 | 25.7 | 9.1 | 3.7 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2.9 | +0.23 | +1.68 | 45.3 | 52 | 7.5 | +3.97 | +4.14 | +4.05 | +2.66 | +1.30 | +1.00 | +0.49 | +1.52 |
| Dominick BarlowD · back 10-30 | PF3 | F | 23 | 62 | 20.0 | 1,235 | 6.7 | 4.9 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | +0.25 | -0.22 | 17.6 | 270 | 6.6 | -0.28 | -0.70 | -0.49 | -0.94 | +0.66 | -0.31 | +0.22 | -0.16 |
| Adem Bona | C2 | C | 23 | 60 | 17.3 | 1,039 | 6.0 | 5.7 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.8 | +0.30 | -0.30 | 18.2 | 268 | 5.6 | -1.10 | -4.25 | -2.68 | -1.81 | +0.71 | -0.51 | +0.20 | -0.74 |
| Justin Edwardsmpg from ETR FPPG | SF2 | F | 22 | 49 | 11.5 | 569 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 11.3 | – | 3.0 | -0.98 | -2.81 | -1.90 | -0.41 | -0.57 | -0.06 | -0.09 | -0.29 |
| Jabari WalkerQETR depth fill | C3 | F | 24 | 68 | 6.8 | 461 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2.5 | -0.81 | -1.55 | -1.18 | -0.80 | -0.02 | -0.10 | -0.00 | -0.15 |
| Labaron PhilonETR depth fill | PG3 | G | 20 | 43 | 5.5 | 240 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 1.3 | -2.12 | -2.29 | -2.20 | -1.50 | -0.62 | -0.10 | -0.04 | -0.14 |
| Rayan RupertETR depth fill | SG3 | G | 22 | 21 | 5.5 | 114 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 0.6 | -2.60 | -4.16 | -3.38 | -2.13 | -0.48 | -0.06 | -0.01 | -0.10 |
| Caleb LoveETR depth fill | SG4 | G | 25 | 16 | 4.8 | 75 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 0.4 | -3.13 | -3.07 | -3.10 | -1.35 | -1.77 | -0.03 | -0.04 | -0.06 |
| Tacko FallINJ 1g · back 10-30 | C | 30 | 15 | 5.0 | 75 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 0.4 | -0.52 | -2.62 | -1.57 | -2.25 | +1.73 | -0.04 | +0.03 | -0.03 | |
| Team | 18,720 | 107.9 | 37.9 | 23.1 | 7.0 | 4.2 | 11.4 | 11.5 | 100 | +3.39 | +3.66 | +3.40 | -0.00 | +3.54 |
PTS–TO are ETR per-game projections (recovered from ETR's 9-cat z-scores; blank = outside ETR's 9-cat top 300; method on the Inputs page). Team row = Σ(per-game × games)/82. Rating = 50% DARKO DPM + 50% DARKO market rating (DARKO's player rating implied by closing betting spreads, per 100 poss); DPM alone where DARKO has no market rating. Team row under DPM / Mkt = Σ contrib on that rating alone. O/D ctb split DARKO's DPM (the market rating has no O/D split), so they add up to the DPM side, not the blended contrib. Fill of 0 minutes at replacement DPM (-2.2) contributes -0.00. GP / MPG / Min are expected over the remaining games: each game's 240 minutes go to whoever is available (see Injuries & availability), so a player's rating only counts in the games he is projected to play. League-relative centering shifts every team by the same constant.
Injuries & availability Monster return dates · games played so far · chance to play each game = half Monster, half ETR preseason · role MPG = ETR + Monster
| Player | Inj | Risk | Out until | Games out | Played | Mon % | ETR % | Avail % | Next % | Exp GP | Season G | ETR G | Mon G | ETR MPG | Mon MPG | Role MPG | Exp min | Monster note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominick Barlow | D | med | 2026-10-30 | 1 | 0 | 90 | 71 | 80 | 0 | 61.7 | 61.7 | 58 | 69 | 21.4 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 1,235 | Doubtful - low back stress reaction (Injury) - Est. Return 10/30 - status for next game not specified yet |
| Tacko Fall | INJ 1g | high | 2026-10-30 | 1 | 0 | 20 | – | 20 | 0 | 15.0 | 15.0 | – | 15 | – | 10.0 | 10.0 | 75 | Injured - left quadriceps strain (Injury) - Est. Return 10/30 |
| Tyrese Maxey | med | 0 | 4 | 88 | 81 | 85 | 100 | 66.2 | 70.2 | 67 | 69 | 36.9 | 37.0 | 36.9 | 2,442 | |||
| Jaylen Brown | med | 0 | 4 | 88 | 80 | 84 | 100 | 65.7 | 69.7 | 66 | 69 | 35.4 | 36.0 | 35.7 | 2,343 | |||
| VJ Edgecombe | Q | med | 0 | 3 | 88 | 86 | 87 | 100 | 68.1 | 71.1 | 70 | 69 | 34.4 | 34.0 | 34.2 | 2,329 | Questionable - abdominal contusion (Injury) - status for next game not specified yet | |
| LeBron James | high | 0 | 3 | 80 | 68 | 74 | 100 | 57.8 | 60.8 | 56 | 62 | 32.3 | 33.0 | 32.6 | 1,886 | |||
| Joel Embiid | IN | extreme | 0 | 3 | 56 | 55 | 56 | 100 | 43.9 | 46.9 | 46 | 44 | 32.0 | 32.0 | 32.0 | 1,408 | Playing - right plantar fasciitis management (Injury Maintenance) | |
| Dean Wade | high | 0 | 2 | 83 | 70 | 77 | 100 | 60.2 | 62.2 | 57 | 65 | 21.9 | 27.0 | 24.4 | 1,469 | |||
| Anfernee Simons | med | 0 | 4 | 88 | 74 | 81 | 100 | 63.7 | 67.7 | 62 | 69 | 22.3 | 25.0 | 23.7 | 1,501 | |||
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | med | 0 | 4 | 88 | 78 | 83 | 100 | 65.2 | 69.2 | 65 | 69 | 23.2 | 24.0 | 23.6 | 1,533 | |||
| Adem Bona | high | 0 | 4 | 83 | 70 | 77 | 100 | 60.2 | 64.2 | 59 | 65 | 19.7 | 15.0 | 17.4 | 1,039 | |||
| Justin Edwards | med | 0 | 0 | 56 | 72 | 64 | 0 | 49.4 | 49.4 | 56 | 44 | 14.8 | 13.0 | 13.9 | 569 | |||
| Jabari Walker | Q | med | 0 | 3 | 88 | – | 88 | 0 | 68.1 | 71.1 | – | 69 | 12.1 | 15.0 | 13.5 | 461 | Questionable - left knee soreness (Injury) - status for next game not specified yet | |
| Labaron Philon | med | 0 | 2 | 56 | – | 56 | 0 | 43.4 | 45.4 | – | 44 | 12.1 | 10.0 | 11.0 | 240 | |||
| Rayan Rupert | med | 0 | 0 | 27 | – | 27 | 0 | 20.7 | 20.7 | – | 21 | 12.1 | 10.0 | 11.0 | 114 |
Before his est. return a player gets none of this team's games (Q: half), so his rating comes out of exactly those games and his minutes go to whoever is available (bench first, starters stretch up to +20%). Once healthy he plays Avail % of games: half Monster's rest-of-season rate, half ETR's preseason games (less the games he has already played, which are settled; for a player coming back from an injury, ETR's per-game rate). Monster ROS dump 2026-10-27 11:46 ET (1.2 days old), 522 rostered, 58 with an est. return.
ETR notes Gallagher Top 150 + ETR depth chart
| Tyrese Maxey | Gallagher #6 | One of the league's best C&S guys will fit in just fine despite usage/handling hit; Nurse can't help himself |
| Jaylen Brown | Gallagher #44 | Might need an Embiid injury to get enough usage to be a top-25 guy but he'll fill it up with Nurse running up mins |
| VJ Edgecombe | Gallagher #68 | Will still play a ton and has shown he can scale up in the games the 76ers are shorthanded |
| LeBron James | Gallagher #60 | March usage fell below 22% in March and should be in the lower 20s, but will still fill stat sheets at 41 |
| Joel Embiid | Gallagher #53 | Worth the risk for teams picking 9-12 in draft, but just so unlikely he plays 65 games |
ETR depth chart ETR order · minutes the model uses
Not on ETR's depth chart: Tacko Fall
Schedule 4 played · each remaining game uses both teams' nets for that date (who is out) · win prob from net-rating gap + 2.3 HCA, sd 12.5
| Date | Opp (net that game) | Our net | Win % | Result | Our players out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-20 | @ NYK +5.0 | 35% | W 106-100 | ||
| 2026-10-22 | vs CLE +2.3 | 58% | W 114-106 | ||
| 2026-10-24 | vs MIL -6.4 | 82% | W 127-116 | ||
| 2026-10-25 | vs DET +3.7 | 54% | L 93-106 | ||
| 2026-10-28 | @ IND -2.9 | +5.9 | 70% | Monster tonight Jabari Walker; Dominick Barlow | |
| 2026-10-30 | vs NYK +5.0 | +2.5 | 49% | ||
| 2026-10-31 | @ CHA -0.2 | +2.5 | 51% | ||
| 2026-11-02 | vs CHI -5.2 | +2.5 | 79% | ||
| 2026-11-04 | @ DET +2.2 | +2.5 | 44% | ||
| 2026-11-06 | @ CLE +2.4 | +2.5 | 43% | ||
| 2026-11-08 | @ CHI -5.2 | +2.5 | 67% | ||
| 2026-11-10 | vs BOS +6.3 | +2.5 | 45% | ||
| 2026-11-12 | vs TOR +0.0 | +2.5 | 65% | ||
| 2026-11-15 | vs IND -0.0 | +2.5 | 65% | ||
| 2026-11-16 | @ BKN -5.7 | +2.5 | 68% | ||
| 2026-11-18 | @ ORL -0.2 | +2.5 | 51% | ||
| 2026-11-21 | vs MIL -6.5 | +2.5 | 82% | ||
| 2026-11-23 | vs POR +2.4 | +2.5 | 57% | ||
| 2026-11-25 | vs MIA +0.5 | +2.5 | 63% | ||
| 2026-11-27 | @ IND -0.0 | +2.5 | 51% | ||
| 2026-11-28 | @ HOU +5.3 | +2.5 | 34% | ||
| 2026-12-01 | vs MEM -3.4 | +2.5 | 74% | ||
| 2026-12-02 | vs DEN +3.4 | +2.5 | 54% | ||
| 2026-12-12 | vs ORL +1.0 | +2.5 | 62% | ||
| 2026-12-14 | @ ORL +1.0 | +2.5 | 47% | ||
| 2026-12-17 | vs DAL -4.3 | +2.5 | 77% | ||
| 2026-12-21 | @ CHA -0.2 | +2.5 | 51% | ||
| 2026-12-23 | vs HOU +5.3 | +2.5 | 48% | ||
| 2026-12-25 | @ LAL +2.3 | +2.5 | 43% | ||
| 2026-12-27 | @ LAC -3.2 | +2.5 | 61% | ||
| 2026-12-29 | @ SAC -8.4 | +2.5 | 75% | ||
| 2026-12-30 | @ PHX -0.8 | +2.5 | 53% | ||
| 2027-01-01 | @ MIL -6.5 | +2.5 | 70% | ||
| 2027-01-04 | vs ATL +0.8 | +2.5 | 62% | ||
| 2027-01-06 | vs OKC +4.7 | +2.5 | 50% | ||
| 2027-01-08 | vs MIA +0.5 | +2.5 | 63% | ||
| 2027-01-10 | @ TOR +2.8 | +2.5 | 42% | ||
| 2027-01-12 | vs WAS -5.1 | +2.5 | 78% | ||
| 2027-01-14 | vs BKN -5.7 | +2.5 | 80% | ||
| 2027-01-16 | vs MIN +2.8 | +2.5 | 56% | ||
| 2027-01-18 | @ ATL +0.8 | +2.5 | 48% | ||
| 2027-01-19 | vs IND -0.0 | +2.5 | 65% | ||
| 2027-01-21 | @ BOS +6.3 | +2.5 | 31% | ||
| 2027-01-23 | @ CHI -5.2 | +2.5 | 66% | ||
| 2027-01-25 | vs LAC -3.2 | +2.5 | 74% | ||
| 2027-01-27 | vs SAC -8.4 | +2.5 | 85% | ||
| 2027-01-28 | @ NOP -4.6 | +2.5 | 65% | ||
| 2027-01-30 | @ MIA +0.5 | +2.5 | 49% | ||
| 2027-02-01 | vs NOP -4.6 | +2.5 | 77% | ||
| 2027-02-03 | @ MEM -3.4 | +2.5 | 61% | ||
| 2027-02-05 | vs DET +3.8 | +2.5 | 53% | ||
| 2027-02-07 | vs BOS +6.3 | +2.5 | 45% | ||
| 2027-02-08 | vs BKN -5.7 | +2.5 | 80% | ||
| 2027-02-11 | vs NYK +5.0 | +2.5 | 49% | ||
| 2027-02-13 | @ OKC +4.7 | +2.5 | 36% | ||
| 2027-02-15 | @ DAL -4.3 | +2.5 | 64% | ||
| 2027-02-17 | vs PHX -0.8 | +2.5 | 67% | ||
| 2027-02-25 | @ BKN -5.7 | +2.5 | 68% | ||
| 2027-02-27 | @ NYK +5.0 | +2.5 | 35% | ||
| 2027-03-01 | @ CLE +2.3 | +2.5 | 43% | ||
| 2027-03-03 | vs CHA -0.2 | +2.5 | 66% | ||
| 2027-03-04 | vs LAL +2.3 | +2.5 | 58% | ||
| 2027-03-07 | @ BOS +6.3 | +2.5 | 31% | ||
| 2027-03-08 | vs UTA -4.4 | +2.5 | 77% | ||
| 2027-03-11 | @ SAS +5.9 | +2.5 | 32% | ||
| 2027-03-13 | @ MIN +2.8 | +2.5 | 42% | ||
| 2027-03-15 | vs TOR +2.8 | +2.5 | 56% | ||
| 2027-03-17 | vs CHI -5.2 | +2.5 | 79% | ||
| 2027-03-18 | @ WAS -5.1 | +2.5 | 66% | ||
| 2027-03-21 | vs SAS +5.9 | +2.5 | 46% | ||
| 2027-03-23 | @ UTA -4.4 | +2.5 | 64% | ||
| 2027-03-24 | @ GSW +1.2 | +2.5 | 47% | ||
| 2027-03-26 | @ POR +2.8 | +2.5 | 42% | ||
| 2027-03-28 | @ DEN +3.4 | +2.5 | 40% | ||
| 2027-03-31 | vs GSW +1.2 | +2.5 | 61% | ||
| 2027-04-02 | @ WAS -5.1 | +2.5 | 66% | ||
| 2027-04-04 | vs ATL +0.8 | +2.5 | 62% | ||
| 2027-04-06 | @ TOR +2.8 | +2.5 | 42% | ||
| 2027-04-08 | @ MIA +0.5 | +2.5 | 49% | ||
| 2027-04-11 | vs CHA -0.2 | +2.5 | 66% |
ETR preseason breakdown usage · minutes · who plays together · player by player · pace & shots, from Gallagher's game-by-game change log (Sept 28 – Oct 16)
Bottom line: The star five (Maxey, Edgecombe, Brown, LeBron, Embiid) spreads usage, with LeBron as a low-usage playmaker. Center depth collapsed with Hukporti's Achilles injury, leaving Adem Bona and Jabari Walker as the backups.
- LeBron James: low usage (ETR's guide is the 21.5% he had with the Lakers in March), but he pushes the tempo and racks up assists. He ran with the second unit more than the other stars.
- Tyrese Maxey: 25.0% usage, losing some handling to LeBron.
- Jaylen Brown: 22.6% usage for the game with no turnovers, after a quiet first half.
- Joel Embiid: rough debut with eight turnovers, slow and sloppy.
- With the stars out, VJ Edgecombe (12/4/7) and Brown (22/2/2) had all the usage they wanted.
- ETR moves: cut LeBron's usage and raised his passing.
- Starters: Maxey, Edgecombe, Brown, LeBron, Embiid.
- Ariel Hukporti likely tore his Achilles and is out for the season (ETR took him to zero). Adem Bona (left foot) is the clear C2 and should play in the opener, taking most of the non-Embiid minutes. Jabari Walker backed up Embiid in the finale, and Dominick Barlow and Dean Wade also gain minutes.
- Nurse ran just eight deep until mid-second quarter (Philon at 9:41, Justin Edwards at 6:30).
- LeBron was cut two games for a chronic foot issue.
- Edgecombe (20.5 first-half minutes) and Wade (20.3) played heavy minutes when the frontcourt sat.
- LeBron's minutes lean toward the second unit, so a star is always on the floor.
- Nurse didn't go small behind Embiid; he kept a big (Walker) out there.
- Wade played center vs KAT in one game.
- Philadelphia played fast off rebounds, with Maxey, LeBron and Brown all pushing.
- ETR: "only one basketball" is the main concern, though touches were fairly spread early.
Player by player
| Player | Model GP | Model MPG | Model min | Preseason read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Maxey | 66 | 36.9 | 2,442 | 25% usage, slightly less handling. |
| Joel Embiid | 44 | 32.0 | 1,408 | Starting C. Sloppy debut. |
| LeBron James | 58 | 32.7 | 1,886 | Low-usage playmaker. Foot issue (two games docked). |
| Jaylen Brown | 66 | 35.7 | 2,343 | About 23% usage, efficient. |
| VJ Edgecombe | 68 | 34.2 | 2,329 | Starter. Big role when stars rest. |
| Adem Bona | 60 | 17.3 | 1,039 | C2 after the Hukporti injury. Foot issue. |
| Jabari Walker | 68 | 6.8 | 461 | Backup C in the finale. |
| Dean Wade | 60 | 24.4 | 1,469 | Forward/backup C, heavy minutes when stars sat. |
| Dominick Barlow | 62 | 20.0 | 1,235 | Gains minutes from the frontcourt injuries. |
| Ariel Hukportinot in model | – | – | – | Achilles. Likely out for the season. |
Preseason starting lineups
| Game | Opp | Starters | Out (ETR's noteworthy inactives) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5 | NYK | VJ Edgecombe, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Jaylen Brown, Dean Wade, Ariel Hukporti | Tyrese Maxey, Joel Embiid, LeBron James, Adem Bona, Anfernee Simons, Dominick Barlow |
| Oct 8 | BKN | Tyrese Maxey, VJ Edgecombe, Jaylen Brown, LeBron James, Joel Embiid | Adem Bona, Dominick Barlow |
| Oct 10 | BOS | Tyrese Maxey, VJ Edgecombe, Justin Edwards, Dean Wade, Jabari Walker | LeBron James, Jaylen Brown, Joel Embiid, Adem Bona, Anfernee Simons, Dominick Barlow |
Summarized from ETR's 2026-27 Change Log and Preseason News (pulled Oct 18). Preseason minutes are mostly first-half numbers since starters rarely play second halves. Model GP/MPG/min are the ETR season projections this model uses, so the read shows where preseason usage agrees or disagrees with the minutes driving the win total. Projection moves ETR made during the preseason are noted under Minutes.