TOR Raptors #12 of 30
Roster assumptions minutes: per game: role MPG = mean of ETR + Monster ROS + ros_return, availability from Monster ROS (injury timelines); slate 10-28 (24 teams) on Monster daily minutes, pulled 10-28 15:39 · ETR per-game stats · rating = 50% DARKO DPM + 50% DARKO market per 100 poss · contrib = 5 × rating × minute share · names link to DataBallr
| Player | ETR slot | Pos | Age | GP | MPG | Min | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | 3PM | TO | FG% z | FT% z | FPPG | 9-cat rk | Share % | DPM | Mkt | Rating | O | D | O ctb | D ctb | Contrib |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Barnes | PF1 | F | 25 | 67 | 34.1 | 2,292 | 19.3 | 7.6 | 5.9 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 2.9 | +0.39 | +0.13 | 43.1 | 13 | 12.1 | +2.68 | +2.18 | +2.43 | +1.01 | +1.67 | +0.61 | +1.01 | +1.47 |
| Immanuel Quickley | PG1 | G | 27 | 63 | 32.2 | 2,019 | 17.8 | 3.9 | 5.4 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 2.8 | 1.6 | -0.91 | +0.47 | 32.7 | 74 | 10.6 | +0.87 | +1.12 | +0.99 | +1.10 | -0.23 | +0.58 | -0.12 | +0.53 |
| R.J. Barrett | SG1 | F | 26 | 61 | 31.5 | 1,928 | 21.1 | 5.5 | 3.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 2.3 | +0.13 | -0.98 | 33.6 | 156 | 10.2 | +1.27 | +1.00 | +1.14 | +1.77 | -0.50 | +0.90 | -0.26 | +0.58 |
| Collin Murray-Boyles | C2 | F | 21 | 66 | 26.4 | 1,748 | 12.7 | 6.5 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 1.3 | +1.25 | -0.69 | 30.2 | 81 | 9.2 | +0.78 | -0.78 | +0.00 | -0.16 | +0.94 | -0.07 | +0.43 | +0.00 |
| Jamal Shead | PG2 | G | 24 | 70 | 24.2 | 1,688 | 8.5 | 1.9 | 5.5 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 1.6 | -0.84 | -0.02 | 21.4 | 227 | 8.9 | +0.21 | -2.36 | -1.08 | -0.61 | +0.82 | -0.27 | +0.37 | -0.48 |
| Ja'Kobe Walter | SG2 | G | 22 | 67 | 24.5 | 1,643 | 9.8 | 3.1 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 0.8 | -0.42 | +0.03 | 19.0 | 191 | 8.7 | +0.35 | +0.11 | +0.23 | +0.01 | +0.35 | +0.00 | +0.15 | +0.10 |
| Jakob Poeltl | C1 | C | 31 | 60 | 25.9 | 1,562 | 11.4 | 7.3 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 1.3 | +1.49 | -0.78 | 27.2 | 139 | 8.2 | +2.17 | +0.86 | +1.52 | -0.32 | +2.50 | -0.13 | +1.02 | +0.63 |
| Kawhi LeonardINJ 9g · back 11-15 | SF1 | F | 35 | 49 | 31.0 | 1,505 | 25.9 | 6.0 | 3.4 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 2.1 | +0.58 | +1.34 | 42.5 | 15 | 7.9 | +5.61 | +5.87 | +5.74 | +4.79 | +0.83 | +1.89 | +0.33 | +2.28 |
| Allen Graves | PF2 | F | 20 | 62 | 19.1 | 1,190 | 8.2 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 | -0.06 | -0.10 | 19.1 | 235 | 6.3 | -0.96 | -0.28 | -0.62 | -1.45 | +0.49 | -0.46 | +0.15 | -0.20 |
| Kyle Andersonmpg from ETR FPPG | PF3 | F | 33 | 61 | 18.5 | 1,124 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 15.3 | – | 5.9 | -1.57 | -1.71 | -1.64 | -3.04 | +1.47 | -0.90 | +0.43 | -0.48 |
| Trayce Jackson-Davismpg from ETR FPPG | C3 | F | 26 | 53 | 16.5 | 882 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 4.7 | -0.71 | -1.40 | -1.06 | -0.74 | +0.02 | -0.17 | +0.01 | -0.25 |
| Jamison BattleETR depth fill | SF2 | F | 25 | 70 | 10.6 | 742 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 3.9 | -1.05 | -1.98 | -1.52 | -0.30 | -0.75 | -0.06 | -0.15 | -0.30 |
| Jaden BradleyETR depth fill | SG3 | G | 23 | 44 | 6.4 | 283 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 1.5 | -2.25 | -1.10 | -1.68 | -1.70 | -0.55 | -0.13 | -0.04 | -0.12 |
| Alijah Martin | G | 24 | 44 | 5.0 | 223 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 1.2 | -2.15 | -1.70 | -1.92 | -2.12 | -0.03 | -0.13 | -0.00 | -0.11 | |
| Malachi SmithETR depth fill | SF3 | G | 26 | 16 | 5.3 | 84 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 0.4 | -0.76 | -3.22 | -1.99 | -0.41 | -0.35 | -0.01 | -0.01 | -0.04 |
| Nate BittleINJ 9g · back 11-15 | C | 23 | 14 | 3.5 | 49 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 0.3 | -3.07 | – | -3.07 | -2.90 | -0.17 | -0.04 | -0.00 | -0.04 | |
| Team | 18,960 | 100.6 | 35.4 | 23.7 | 7.7 | 4.2 | 9.3 | 11.0 | 100 | +4.95 | +2.13 | +1.62 | +3.33 | +3.56 |
PTS–TO are ETR per-game projections (recovered from ETR's 9-cat z-scores; blank = outside ETR's 9-cat top 300; method on the Inputs page). Team row = Σ(per-game × games)/82. Rating = 50% DARKO DPM + 50% DARKO market rating (DARKO's player rating implied by closing betting spreads, per 100 poss); DPM alone where DARKO has no market rating. Team row under DPM / Mkt = Σ contrib on that rating alone. O/D ctb split DARKO's DPM (the market rating has no O/D split), so they add up to the DPM side, not the blended contrib. Fill of 0 minutes at replacement DPM (-2.2) contributes -0.00. GP / MPG / Min are expected over the remaining games: each game's 240 minutes go to whoever is available (see Injuries & availability), so a player's rating only counts in the games he is projected to play. League-relative centering shifts every team by the same constant.
Injuries & availability Monster return dates · games played so far · chance to play each game = half Monster, half ETR preseason · role MPG = ETR + Monster
| Player | Inj | Risk | Out until | Games out | Played | Mon % | ETR % | Avail % | Next % | Exp GP | Season G | ETR G | Mon G | ETR MPG | Mon MPG | Role MPG | Exp min | Monster note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawhi Leonard | INJ 9g | extreme | 2026-11-15 | 9 | 2 | 73 | 66 | 69 | 0 | 48.5 | 50.5 | 54 | 51 | 32.1 | 31.0 | 31.0 | 1,505 | Injured - left knee effusion / swelling (Injury) - Est. Return 11/15 |
| Nate Bittle | INJ 9g | high | 2026-11-15 | 9 | 0 | 20 | – | 20 | 0 | 14.0 | 14.0 | – | 14 | – | 7.0 | 7.0 | 49 | Injured - right avulsion (Injury) - Est. Return 11/15 |
| Scottie Barnes | med | 0 | 3 | 89 | 81 | 85 | 100 | 67.2 | 70.2 | 67 | 70 | 33.9 | 34.0 | 33.9 | 2,292 | |||
| Immanuel Quickley | high | 0 | 3 | 84 | 75 | 79 | 100 | 62.7 | 65.7 | 62 | 66 | 32.0 | 32.0 | 32.0 | 2,019 | |||
| R.J. Barrett | high | 0 | 3 | 84 | 71 | 77 | 100 | 61.2 | 64.2 | 59 | 66 | 31.6 | 31.0 | 31.3 | 1,928 | |||
| Collin Murray-Boyles | med | 0 | 3 | 89 | 78 | 84 | 100 | 66.2 | 69.2 | 65 | 70 | 27.6 | 25.0 | 26.3 | 1,748 | |||
| Jakob Poeltl | high | 0 | 3 | 84 | 68 | 76 | 100 | 60.2 | 63.2 | 57 | 66 | 25.6 | 26.0 | 25.8 | 1,562 | |||
| Ja'Kobe Walter | med | 0 | 3 | 89 | 81 | 85 | 100 | 67.2 | 70.2 | 67 | 70 | 24.5 | 24.0 | 24.2 | 1,643 | |||
| Jamal Shead | med | 0 | 3 | 89 | 87 | 88 | 100 | 69.6 | 72.6 | 72 | 70 | 25.3 | 23.0 | 24.2 | 1,688 | |||
| Allen Graves | med | 0 | 3 | 89 | 68 | 78 | 100 | 62.2 | 65.2 | 57 | 70 | 19.0 | 19.0 | 19.0 | 1,190 | |||
| Kyle Anderson | high | 0 | 2 | 84 | 70 | 77 | 100 | 60.7 | 62.7 | 57 | 66 | 19.1 | 18.0 | 18.6 | 1,124 | |||
| Trayce Jackson-Davis | high | 0 | 3 | 84 | 53 | 68 | 0 | 53.3 | 56.3 | 45 | 66 | 19.9 | 13.0 | 16.5 | 882 | |||
| Jamison Battle | med | 0 | 3 | 89 | – | 89 | 100 | 70.1 | 73.1 | – | 70 | 11.9 | 15.0 | 13.4 | 742 | |||
| Jaden Bradley | med | 0 | 3 | 57 | – | 57 | 0 | 44.4 | 47.4 | – | 45 | 11.9 | 11.0 | 11.4 | 283 |
Before his est. return a player gets none of this team's games (Q: half), so his rating comes out of exactly those games and his minutes go to whoever is available (bench first, starters stretch up to +20%). Once healthy he plays Avail % of games: half Monster's rest-of-season rate, half ETR's preseason games (less the games he has already played, which are settled; for a player coming back from an injury, ETR's per-game rate). Monster ROS dump 2026-10-27 11:46 ET (1.2 days old), 522 rostered, 58 with an est. return.
ETR notes Gallagher Top 150 + ETR depth chart
| Scottie Barnes | Gallagher #13 | Optimized offense getting Scottie to 50.7 FG% should be sticky; late-season assist may hold even with Kawhi |
| Immanuel Quickley | Gallagher #97 | Dropped him a decent bit with his lack of handling in the first preseason game |
| R.J. Barrett | Gallagher #127 | May not get enough shots with Kawhi in there and isn't a great category-based player |
| Collin Murray-Boyles | Gallagher #81 | Iced Poeltl in the postseason and might start out of the gate |
| Jakob Poeltl | Gallagher #143 | Really good preseason for him and he should still get low-20s minutes even if CMB breaks out |
| Kawhi Leonard | Gallagher #26 | Waived his trade kicker and looks ready to follow up on his best offensive season of career; lots of risk on health |
ETR depth chart ETR order · minutes the model uses
Not on ETR's depth chart: Alijah Martin, Nate Bittle
Schedule 3 played · each remaining game uses both teams' nets for that date (who is out) · win prob from net-rating gap + 2.3 HCA, sd 12.5
| Date | Opp (net that game) | Our net | Win % | Result | Our players out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | vs CHI -5.1 | 79% | W 135-92 | ||
| 2026-10-23 | @ WAS -5.1 | 66% | W 112-102 | ||
| 2026-10-25 | @ MIN +2.8 | 42% | L 94-117 | ||
| 2026-10-28 | vs ORL -0.1 | +1.6 | 63% | Monster tonight Kawhi Leonard | |
| 2026-10-30 | vs ORL -0.5 | +0.0 | 59% | Kawhi Leonard | |
| 2026-11-01 | @ LAL +2.8 | +0.0 | 34% | Kawhi Leonard | |
| 2026-11-02 | @ LAC -4.0 | +0.0 | 55% | Kawhi Leonard | |
| 2026-11-04 | @ DEN +3.4 | +0.0 | 32% | Kawhi Leonard | |
| 2026-11-06 | @ MIL -6.5 | +0.0 | 63% | Kawhi Leonard | |
| 2026-11-09 | vs MEM -3.4 | +0.0 | 68% | Kawhi Leonard | |
| 2026-11-11 | vs BOS +6.3 | +0.0 | 38% | Kawhi Leonard | |
| 2026-11-12 | @ PHI +2.5 | +0.0 | 35% | Kawhi Leonard | |
| 2026-11-15 | vs NYK +5.0 | +2.8 | 50% | ||
| 2026-11-17 | vs NYK +5.0 | +2.8 | 50% | ||
| 2026-11-18 | vs WAS -5.1 | +2.8 | 79% | ||
| 2026-11-20 | @ DET +3.8 | +2.8 | 40% | ||
| 2026-11-23 | vs MIL -6.5 | +2.8 | 82% | ||
| 2026-11-27 | vs BKN -5.7 | +2.8 | 81% | ||
| 2026-11-29 | vs DEN +3.4 | +2.8 | 55% | ||
| 2026-12-01 | @ HOU +5.3 | +2.8 | 35% | ||
| 2026-12-03 | @ SAS +5.9 | +2.8 | 33% | ||
| 2026-12-13 | @ OKC +4.7 | +2.8 | 37% | ||
| 2026-12-14 | @ CHA -0.2 | +2.8 | 52% | ||
| 2026-12-16 | vs SAS +5.9 | +2.8 | 47% | ||
| 2026-12-18 | vs GSW -0.3 | +2.8 | 67% | ||
| 2026-12-20 | vs HOU +5.3 | +2.8 | 50% | ||
| 2026-12-22 | @ WAS -5.1 | +2.8 | 67% | ||
| 2026-12-23 | @ MEM -3.4 | +2.8 | 62% | ||
| 2026-12-26 | @ ORL +1.0 | +2.8 | 48% | ||
| 2026-12-28 | vs NOP -4.6 | +2.8 | 78% | ||
| 2026-12-30 | vs WAS -5.1 | +2.8 | 79% | ||
| 2027-01-01 | vs LAC -3.2 | +2.8 | 75% | ||
| 2027-01-03 | vs LAL +2.3 | +2.8 | 59% | ||
| 2027-01-05 | @ CLE +2.3 | +2.8 | 44% | ||
| 2027-01-07 | vs MIN +2.8 | +2.8 | 57% | ||
| 2027-01-08 | vs UTA -4.4 | +2.8 | 78% | ||
| 2027-01-10 | vs PHI +2.5 | +2.8 | 58% | ||
| 2027-01-12 | vs DET +3.8 | +2.8 | 54% | ||
| 2027-01-13 | vs PHX -0.8 | +2.8 | 68% | ||
| 2027-01-15 | vs MIA +0.5 | +2.8 | 64% | ||
| 2027-01-17 | @ CHI -5.2 | +2.8 | 68% | ||
| 2027-01-19 | vs CHI -5.2 | +2.8 | 80% | ||
| 2027-01-20 | @ NYK +5.0 | +2.8 | 36% | ||
| 2027-01-23 | @ BKN -5.7 | +2.8 | 69% | ||
| 2027-01-25 | @ BOS +6.3 | +2.8 | 32% | ||
| 2027-01-27 | vs DAL -4.3 | +2.8 | 78% | ||
| 2027-01-29 | vs CLE +2.3 | +2.8 | 59% | ||
| 2027-01-31 | vs BOS +6.3 | +2.8 | 46% | ||
| 2027-02-02 | @ DAL -4.3 | +2.8 | 65% | ||
| 2027-02-04 | @ NYK +5.0 | +2.8 | 36% | ||
| 2027-02-06 | vs MIL -6.5 | +2.8 | 82% | ||
| 2027-02-07 | vs CHA -0.2 | +2.8 | 66% | ||
| 2027-02-09 | @ CLE +2.3 | +2.8 | 44% | ||
| 2027-02-12 | vs CLE +2.3 | +2.8 | 59% | ||
| 2027-02-14 | @ BOS +6.3 | +2.8 | 32% | ||
| 2027-02-16 | @ ATL +0.8 | +2.8 | 49% | ||
| 2027-02-17 | @ CHA -0.2 | +2.8 | 52% | ||
| 2027-02-26 | vs ATL +0.8 | +2.8 | 64% | ||
| 2027-02-28 | @ IND +0.1 | +2.8 | 51% | ||
| 2027-03-02 | @ MIA +0.5 | +2.8 | 50% | ||
| 2027-03-03 | @ MIA +0.5 | +2.8 | 50% | ||
| 2027-03-05 | vs POR +2.8 | +2.8 | 57% | ||
| 2027-03-10 | vs OKC +4.7 | +2.8 | 51% | ||
| 2027-03-12 | @ NOP -4.6 | +2.8 | 66% | ||
| 2027-03-14 | vs DET +3.8 | +2.8 | 54% | ||
| 2027-03-15 | @ PHI +2.5 | +2.8 | 44% | ||
| 2027-03-18 | @ IND +0.0 | +2.8 | 52% | ||
| 2027-03-19 | vs SAC -8.4 | +2.8 | 86% | ||
| 2027-03-21 | @ UTA -4.4 | +2.8 | 65% | ||
| 2027-03-23 | @ POR +2.8 | +2.8 | 43% | ||
| 2027-03-25 | @ GSW +1.2 | +2.8 | 48% | ||
| 2027-03-27 | @ SAC -8.4 | +2.8 | 76% | ||
| 2027-03-28 | @ PHX -0.5 | +2.8 | 53% | ||
| 2027-03-31 | @ DET +3.8 | +2.8 | 40% | ||
| 2027-04-02 | vs ATL +0.8 | +2.8 | 64% | ||
| 2027-04-04 | vs IND +0.0 | +2.8 | 66% | ||
| 2027-04-06 | vs PHI +2.5 | +2.8 | 58% | ||
| 2027-04-07 | vs BKN -5.7 | +2.8 | 81% | ||
| 2027-04-09 | @ ORL +1.0 | +2.8 | 49% | ||
| 2027-04-11 | @ BKN -5.7 | +2.8 | 69% |
ETR preseason breakdown usage · minutes · who plays together · player by player · pace & shots, from Gallagher's game-by-game change log (Sept 28 – Oct 16)
Bottom line: Scottie Barnes is the primary handler (44% usage in the opener) and Kawhi Leonard is healthy, but Collin Murray-Boyles is a low-20s-minutes player once everyone is back. The Raptors push the pace.
- Scottie Barnes: lead handler with 44.1% usage in the opener. He had 23/3/4 with four blocks vs NYK while guarding Brunson full court, and Kawhi isn't cutting into his role.
- Kawhi Leonard: 32.6% usage in his debut (16:40 first half) and led the team in first-half minutes in the finale. He looks fit and will be managed at times, with low-30s minutes when he plays.
- RJ Barrett: 65 TS% in the preseason, and his usage held up in the Kawhi games.
- Immanuel Quickley: squeezed by Barnes' handling (ETR cut his projection).
- Collin Murray-Boyles: 12/5/2 with three steals, a three and a block in the finale.
- Starters: Quickley, Barrett, Leonard, Barnes, Jakob Poeltl. Ja'Kobe Walter started while Kawhi sat.
- Bench: Murray-Boyles (first sub, for Barnes), Jamal Shead (non-Quickley minutes), Walter (mostly behind Kawhi). Jamison Battle is ninth for now, and Allen Graves should pass him.
- Poeltl looks healthy (17 first-half minutes) and is a bounce-back candidate.
- Murray-Boyles played next to Poeltl a lot while Kawhi and Graves were out, but only about one minute together once the team was healthy. He is mostly Barnes' backup now.
- Rajakovic kept the starters together for long stretches, with Quickley staggered the most.
- Murray-Boyles picked up Giannis full court in the opener, and Barnes picked up Brunson.
- Seventh-lowest halfcourt frequency in the preseason. The Raptors push the pace as usual.
Player by player
| Player | Model GP | Model MPG | Model min | Preseason read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Barnes | 67 | 34.1 | 2,292 | Primary handler, huge usage, defensive versatility. |
| Kawhi Leonard | 49 | 31.0 | 1,505 | Healthy, about 33% usage, managed minutes. |
| RJ Barrett | 61 | 31.5 | 1,928 | Efficient, usage holding. |
| Immanuel Quickley | 63 | 32.2 | 2,019 | Starting PG, squeezed by Barnes. |
| Jakob Poeltl | 60 | 25.9 | 1,562 | Starting C, healthy. |
| Collin Murray-Boyles | 66 | 26.4 | 1,748 | First big off the bench, low-20s minutes. |
| Jamal Shead | 70 | 24.2 | 1,688 | Backup PG. |
| Ja'Kobe Walter | 67 | 24.5 | 1,643 | Backup wing behind Kawhi. |
| Jamison Battle | 70 | 10.6 | 742 | Ninth man for now. |
| Allen Graves | 62 | 19.1 | 1,190 | Expected to pass Battle. |
Preseason starting lineups
| Game | Opp | Starters | Out (ETR's noteworthy inactives) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | LAC | Immanuel Quickley, Ja’Kone Walter, RJ Barrett, Scottie Barnes, Jakob Poeltl | Kawhi Leonard, Allen Graves |
| Oct 13 | NYK | Immanuel Quickley, RJ Barrett, Kawhi Leonard, Scottie Barnes, Jakob Poeltl | Jamison Battle |
| Oct 15 | NYK | Immanuel Quickley, RJ Barrett, Kawhi Leonard, Scottie Barnes, Jakob Poeltl | Allen Graves |
Summarized from ETR's 2026-27 Change Log and Preseason News (pulled Oct 18). Preseason minutes are mostly first-half numbers since starters rarely play second halves. Model GP/MPG/min are the ETR season projections this model uses, so the read shows where preseason usage agrees or disagrees with the minutes driving the win total. Projection moves ETR made during the preseason are noted under Minutes.