MIL Bucks #29 of 30
Projected wins
24.7
FanDuel 25.5 (o-115 / u-110) · record 1-3
Net rating
-6.43
avg over remaining games · 50% DARKO DPM + 50% DARKO market · DARKO off -1.95 · def -2.65
Next game / full strength
-5.01 / -6.45
2026-10-28 vs HOU (Monster daily minutes) · out: nobody (role 12+ mpg)
DARKO vs market
-5.94 / -6.93
net on DPM alone / market alone · wins 25.9 / 23.6
Minutes covered
18,720
of 18,720 remaining · fill 0 @ replacement
Roster
18
0 rookies on model/prior
Schedule
+0.29
avg opp net · 2 games unscheduled
ETR minutes mix
70% ETR
20% MPG from ETR FPPG · 10% ETR depth fill
ETR box (rated players)
82 pts
30 reb · 17 ast · 9.8 3pm · 70% of minutes
Roster assumptions minutes: per game: role MPG = mean of ETR + Monster ROS + ros_return, availability from Monster ROS (injury timelines); slate 10-28 (24 teams) on Monster daily minutes, pulled 10-28 15:39 · ETR per-game stats · rating = 50% DARKO DPM + 50% DARKO market per 100 poss · contrib = 5 × rating × minute share · names link to DataBallr
| Player | ETR slot | Pos | Age | GP | MPG | Min | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | 3PM | TO | FG% z | FT% z | FPPG | 9-cat rk | Share % | DPM | Mkt | Rating | O | D | O ctb | D ctb | Contrib |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Rollins | PG1 | G | 24 | 65 | 30.7 | 1,999 | 15.8 | 4.0 | 5.2 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 2.3 | 2.4 | -0.20 | +0.15 | 31.5 | 75 | 10.7 | +0.96 | -2.79 | -0.91 | +1.05 | -0.08 | +0.56 | -0.04 | -0.49 |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | SF1 | F | 25 | 66 | 30.1 | 1,989 | 14.5 | 5.0 | 4.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 2.0 | +0.15 | -0.02 | 28.5 | 154 | 10.6 | -0.36 | -1.37 | -0.87 | +0.26 | -0.62 | +0.14 | -0.33 | -0.46 |
| Myles Turner | C1 | C | 30 | 64 | 28.9 | 1,838 | 13.1 | 5.7 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1.2 | -0.39 | -0.06 | 28.5 | 90 | 9.8 | +0.10 | +1.77 | +0.94 | -1.09 | +1.20 | -0.53 | +0.59 | +0.46 |
| Tyler Herro | SG1 | G | 26 | 56 | 32.8 | 1,828 | 22.9 | 4.9 | 4.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 3.2 | 2.4 | -0.37 | +0.93 | 36.7 | 60 | 9.8 | +0.76 | +1.33 | +1.04 | +2.15 | -1.40 | +1.05 | -0.68 | +0.51 |
| Kel'el Ware | PF2 | C | 22 | 67 | 24.3 | 1,621 | 12.6 | 9.4 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.0 | +0.69 | -0.12 | 30.6 | 53 | 8.7 | -0.65 | +0.17 | -0.24 | +0.06 | -0.71 | +0.02 | -0.31 | -0.10 |
| Kyle Kuzma | PF1 | F | 31 | 57 | 26.3 | 1,508 | 13.1 | 4.8 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 1.8 | -0.19 | -0.32 | 23.8 | 258 | 8.1 | -3.40 | -1.97 | -2.69 | -1.87 | -1.53 | -0.76 | -0.62 | -1.08 |
| Brayden Burries | SG3 | G | 21 | 65 | 22.2 | 1,444 | 10.6 | 2.8 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 1.1 | -0.22 | +0.19 | 19.3 | 229 | 7.7 | -1.39 | -3.79 | -2.59 | -1.03 | -0.36 | -0.40 | -0.14 | -1.00 |
| Kasparas JakucionisETR depth fill | PG3 | G | 20 | 65 | 18.2 | 1,185 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6.3 | -0.46 | -1.37 | -0.91 | -0.42 | -0.03 | -0.13 | -0.01 | -0.29 |
| Ousmane Diengmpg from ETR FPPG | PF3 | F | 23 | 62 | 18.8 | 1,162 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 16.0 | – | 6.2 | -3.52 | -1.61 | -2.56 | -2.06 | -1.46 | -0.64 | -0.45 | -0.80 |
| AJ Greenmpg from ETR FPPG | SG2 | G | 27 | 65 | 16.8 | 1,085 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 11.9 | – | 5.8 | -0.06 | -1.63 | -0.84 | +0.56 | -0.62 | +0.16 | -0.18 | -0.24 |
| Gary Trentmpg from ETR FPPG | SF2 | G | 27 | 49 | 17.4 | 850 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 13.0 | – | 4.5 | -2.48 | -1.52 | -2.00 | -0.48 | -2.00 | -0.11 | -0.45 | -0.45 |
| Nate Ament | PF4 | F | 19 | 46 | 17.5 | 810 | 7.9 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.9 | -0.50 | +0.15 | 16.8 | 295 | 4.3 | -3.13 | -2.54 | -2.83 | -2.98 | -0.15 | -0.64 | -0.03 | -0.61 |
| Jericho Simsmpg from ETR FPPG | C2 | C | 28 | 47 | 14.2 | 667 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 12.7 | – | 3.6 | -1.85 | -3.79 | -2.82 | -1.78 | -0.07 | -0.32 | -0.01 | -0.50 |
| Caris LeVertETR depth fill | SF3 | G | 32 | 41 | 7.6 | 313 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 1.7 | -2.26 | +0.23 | -1.02 | -2.77 | +0.51 | -0.24 | +0.04 | -0.09 |
| Bogoljub MarkovicETR depth fill | PF5 | F | 21 | 21 | 5.8 | 120 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 0.6 | -2.85 | -1.93 | -2.39 | -2.80 | -0.05 | -0.08 | -0.00 | -0.08 |
| Pete NanceETR depth fill | PF6 | F | 26 | 21 | 5.4 | 111 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 0.6 | -0.94 | -6.30 | -3.62 | -1.22 | +0.27 | -0.04 | +0.01 | -0.11 |
| Cormac RyanETR depth fill | SG5 | G | 28 | 21 | 5.1 | 106 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 0.6 | +0.31 | -4.39 | -2.04 | +0.64 | -0.33 | +0.02 | -0.01 | -0.06 |
| Kam JonesETR depth fill | SG4 | G | 24 | 16 | 5.1 | 81 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 0.4 | -1.60 | -0.94 | -1.27 | -0.93 | -0.68 | -0.02 | -0.01 | -0.03 |
| Team | 18,720 | 82.3 | 30.3 | 16.9 | 5.1 | 3.8 | 9.8 | 9.5 | 100 | -4.59 | -6.23 | -1.94 | -2.65 | -5.41 |
PTS–TO are ETR per-game projections (recovered from ETR's 9-cat z-scores; blank = outside ETR's 9-cat top 300; method on the Inputs page). Team row = Σ(per-game × games)/82. Rating = 50% DARKO DPM + 50% DARKO market rating (DARKO's player rating implied by closing betting spreads, per 100 poss); DPM alone where DARKO has no market rating. Team row under DPM / Mkt = Σ contrib on that rating alone. O/D ctb split DARKO's DPM (the market rating has no O/D split), so they add up to the DPM side, not the blended contrib. Fill of 0 minutes at replacement DPM (-2.2) contributes -0.00. GP / MPG / Min are expected over the remaining games: each game's 240 minutes go to whoever is available (see Injuries & availability), so a player's rating only counts in the games he is projected to play. League-relative centering shifts every team by the same constant.
Injuries & availability Monster return dates · games played so far · chance to play each game = half Monster, half ETR preseason · role MPG = ETR + Monster
| Player | Inj | Risk | Out until | Games out | Played | Mon % | ETR % | Avail % | Next % | Exp GP | Season G | ETR G | Mon G | ETR MPG | Mon MPG | Role MPG | Exp min | Monster note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro | high | 0 | 4 | 70 | 72 | 71 | 100 | 55.8 | 59.8 | 60 | 55 | 33.6 | 32.0 | 32.8 | 1,828 | |||
| Ryan Rollins | med | 0 | 4 | 88 | 78 | 83 | 100 | 65.2 | 69.2 | 65 | 69 | 30.4 | 31.0 | 30.7 | 1,999 | |||
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | med | 0 | 4 | 88 | 81 | 85 | 100 | 66.2 | 70.2 | 67 | 69 | 29.2 | 31.0 | 30.1 | 1,989 | |||
| Myles Turner | med | 0 | 4 | 88 | 74 | 81 | 100 | 63.7 | 67.7 | 62 | 69 | 27.7 | 30.0 | 28.9 | 1,838 | |||
| Kyle Kuzma | med | 0 | 4 | 70 | 76 | 73 | 100 | 57.3 | 61.3 | 63 | 55 | 26.6 | 26.0 | 26.3 | 1,508 | |||
| Kel'el Ware | med | 0 | 4 | 88 | 82 | 85 | 100 | 66.6 | 70.6 | 68 | 69 | 25.8 | 23.0 | 24.4 | 1,621 | |||
| Brayden Burries | med | 0 | 4 | 88 | 78 | 83 | 100 | 65.2 | 69.2 | 65 | 69 | 22.5 | 22.0 | 22.2 | 1,444 | |||
| Ousmane Dieng | high | 0 | 3 | 83 | 77 | 80 | 0 | 61.7 | 64.7 | 63 | 65 | 19.7 | 18.0 | 18.8 | 1,162 | |||
| Kasparas Jakucionis | high | 0 | 4 | 83 | – | 83 | 100 | 65.2 | 69.2 | – | 65 | 12.2 | 24.0 | 18.1 | 1,185 | |||
| Nate Ament | med | 0 | 2 | 56 | 62 | 59 | 100 | 46.4 | 48.4 | 50 | 44 | 18.1 | 17.0 | 17.6 | 810 | |||
| Gary Trent | med | 0 | 0 | 56 | 70 | 64 | 0 | 48.9 | 48.9 | 55 | 44 | 16.8 | 18.0 | 17.4 | 850 | |||
| AJ Green | low | 0 | 4 | 94 | 72 | 83 | 100 | 64.7 | 68.7 | 60 | 73 | 15.5 | 18.0 | 16.8 | 1,085 | |||
| Jericho Sims | high | 0 | 1 | 54 | 68 | 61 | 0 | 46.9 | 47.9 | 54 | 42 | 16.4 | 14.0 | 15.2 | 667 | |||
| Caris LeVert | high | 0 | 0 | 54 | – | 54 | 0 | 41.5 | 41.5 | – | 42 | 12.2 | 18.0 | 15.1 | 313 | |||
| Bogoljub Markovic | med | 0 | 0 | 27 | – | 27 | 0 | 20.7 | 20.7 | – | 21 | 12.2 | 11.0 | 11.6 | 120 | |||
| Pete Nance | med | 0 | 0 | 27 | – | 27 | 0 | 20.7 | 20.7 | – | 21 | 11.4 | 10.0 | 10.7 | 111 | |||
| Cormac Ryan | med | 0 | 0 | 27 | – | 27 | 0 | 20.7 | 20.7 | – | 21 | 11.4 | 9.0 | 10.2 | 106 | |||
| Kam Jones | high | 0 | 0 | 20 | – | 20 | 0 | 15.8 | 15.8 | – | 16 | 11.4 | 9.0 | 10.2 | 81 |
Before his est. return a player gets none of this team's games (Q: half), so his rating comes out of exactly those games and his minutes go to whoever is available (bench first, starters stretch up to +20%). Once healthy he plays Avail % of games: half Monster's rest-of-season rate, half ETR's preseason games (less the games he has already played, which are settled; for a player coming back from an injury, ETR's per-game rate). Monster ROS dump 2026-10-27 11:46 ET (1.2 days old), 522 rostered, 58 with an est. return.
ETR notes Gallagher Top 150 + ETR depth chart
| Ryan Rollins | Gallagher #85 | Doc ran him into the ground and now has a lot of competition at guard |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | Gallagher #131 | Makes sense as a late shot in an ambiguous situation; should fare well in up-tempo system |
| Myles Turner | Gallagher #112 | Thought he looked terrible in the preseason opener and maybe it just wasn't about Doc |
| Tyler Herro | Gallagher #73 | Jenkins likely spreads minutes, but the Bucks lack play-making to push up Herro's dime chances |
| Kel'el Ware | Gallagher #62 | A lot of talk that he could start next to Turner and role could be massive with Turner trade |
| Pete Nance | Depth chart | Not likely to make the team unless he wants a 2-way |
ETR depth chart ETR order · minutes the model uses
PG
Ryan Rollins
30.7 mpg × 65 g = 1,999
Kasparas Jakucionis
18.2 mpg × 65 g = 1,185
SG
Tyler Herro
32.8 mpg × 56 g = 1,828
AJ Green
16.8 mpg × 65 g = 1,085
Brayden Burries
22.2 mpg × 65 g = 1,444
Kam Jones 2W
5.1 mpg × 16 g = 81
Cormac Ryan 2W
5.1 mpg × 21 g = 106
SF
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
30.1 mpg × 66 g = 1,989
Gary Trent
17.4 mpg × 49 g = 850
Caris LeVert
7.6 mpg × 41 g = 313
PF
Kyle Kuzma
26.3 mpg × 57 g = 1,508
Kel'el Ware
24.3 mpg × 67 g = 1,621
Ousmane Dieng
18.8 mpg × 62 g = 1,162
Nate Ament
17.5 mpg × 46 g = 810
Bogoljub Markovic
5.8 mpg × 21 g = 120
Pete Nance
5.4 mpg × 21 g = 111
C
Myles Turner
28.9 mpg × 64 g = 1,838
Jericho Sims
14.2 mpg × 47 g = 667
Schedule 4 played · each remaining game uses both teams' nets for that date (who is out) · win prob from net-rating gap + 2.3 HCA, sd 12.5
| Date | Opp (net that game) | Our net | Win % | Result | Our players out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | @ WAS -5.1 | 38% | L 116-128 | ||
| 2026-10-23 | vs CHI -5.1 | 53% | L 125-132 | ||
| 2026-10-24 | @ PHI +2.5 | 18% | L 116-127 | ||
| 2026-10-26 | vs IND -0.1 | 37% | W 110-102 | ||
| 2026-10-28 | vs HOU +4.9 | -5.0 | 27% | Monster tonight | |
| 2026-10-31 | vs CLE +2.4 | -6.5 | 30% | ||
| 2026-11-02 | @ MIN +2.8 | -6.5 | 18% | ||
| 2026-11-04 | @ BOS +6.3 | -6.5 | 11% | ||
| 2026-11-06 | vs TOR +0.0 | -6.5 | 37% | ||
| 2026-11-08 | vs BOS +6.3 | -6.5 | 20% | ||
| 2026-11-10 | @ NYK +5.0 | -6.5 | 14% | ||
| 2026-11-11 | vs LAL +2.3 | -6.5 | 30% | ||
| 2026-11-13 | @ ORL -0.2 | -6.5 | 25% | ||
| 2026-11-15 | vs ATL +0.8 | -6.5 | 35% | ||
| 2026-11-18 | @ MIA +0.5 | -6.5 | 23% | ||
| 2026-11-19 | vs POR +2.4 | -6.5 | 30% | ||
| 2026-11-21 | @ PHI +2.5 | -6.5 | 18% | ||
| 2026-11-23 | @ TOR +2.8 | -6.5 | 18% | ||
| 2026-11-25 | vs BKN -5.7 | -6.5 | 55% | ||
| 2026-11-27 | @ DET +3.8 | -6.5 | 16% | ||
| 2026-11-28 | vs OKC +4.7 | -6.5 | 24% | ||
| 2026-11-30 | vs SAS +5.9 | -6.5 | 21% | ||
| 2026-12-02 | vs NYK +5.0 | -6.5 | 23% | ||
| 2026-12-12 | @ MEM -3.4 | -6.5 | 33% | ||
| 2026-12-14 | @ DAL -4.3 | -6.5 | 36% | ||
| 2026-12-16 | @ HOU +5.3 | -6.5 | 13% | ||
| 2026-12-18 | vs PHX -0.8 | -6.5 | 39% | ||
| 2026-12-20 | vs GSW -0.3 | -6.5 | 38% | ||
| 2026-12-21 | @ SAS +5.9 | -6.5 | 12% | ||
| 2026-12-23 | vs MIN +2.8 | -6.5 | 29% | ||
| 2026-12-27 | @ ORL +1.0 | -6.5 | 22% | ||
| 2026-12-29 | @ OKC +4.7 | -6.5 | 14% | ||
| 2026-12-31 | @ ATL +0.8 | -6.5 | 22% | ||
| 2027-01-01 | vs PHI +2.5 | -6.5 | 30% | ||
| 2027-01-03 | vs CHA -0.2 | -6.5 | 38% | ||
| 2027-01-05 | @ CHI -5.2 | -6.5 | 39% | ||
| 2027-01-07 | vs LAC -3.2 | -6.5 | 47% | ||
| 2027-01-09 | @ IND -0.0 | -6.5 | 24% | ||
| 2027-01-12 | vs DEN +3.4 | -6.5 | 27% | ||
| 2027-01-13 | @ IND -0.0 | -6.5 | 24% | ||
| 2027-01-15 | vs CLE +2.3 | -6.5 | 30% | ||
| 2027-01-17 | @ LAL +2.3 | -6.5 | 19% | ||
| 2027-01-20 | @ SAC -8.4 | -6.5 | 49% | ||
| 2027-01-22 | @ GSW -0.2 | -6.5 | 25% | ||
| 2027-01-23 | @ DEN +3.4 | -6.5 | 17% | ||
| 2027-01-26 | @ UTA -4.4 | -6.5 | 36% | ||
| 2027-01-28 | vs MIA +0.5 | -6.5 | 36% | ||
| 2027-01-30 | vs ATL +0.8 | -6.5 | 35% | ||
| 2027-02-01 | vs MEM -3.4 | -6.5 | 48% | ||
| 2027-02-04 | @ MIA +0.5 | -6.5 | 23% | ||
| 2027-02-06 | @ TOR +2.8 | -6.5 | 18% | ||
| 2027-02-08 | vs ORL +1.0 | -6.5 | 34% | ||
| 2027-02-09 | vs SAC -8.4 | -6.5 | 63% | ||
| 2027-02-11 | @ CHA -0.2 | -6.5 | 25% | ||
| 2027-02-13 | @ WAS -5.1 | -6.5 | 38% | ||
| 2027-02-16 | @ CLE +2.3 | -6.5 | 19% | ||
| 2027-02-17 | @ CLE +2.3 | -6.5 | 19% | ||
| 2027-02-25 | vs WAS -5.1 | -6.5 | 53% | ||
| 2027-02-28 | @ NYK +5.0 | -6.5 | 14% | ||
| 2027-03-02 | vs DET +3.8 | -6.5 | 26% | ||
| 2027-03-03 | vs UTA -4.4 | -6.5 | 51% | ||
| 2027-03-05 | @ NOP -4.6 | -6.5 | 37% | ||
| 2027-03-09 | @ BKN -5.7 | -6.5 | 40% | ||
| 2027-03-11 | @ DET +3.8 | -6.5 | 16% | ||
| 2027-03-12 | vs MIA +0.5 | -6.5 | 36% | ||
| 2027-03-16 | vs ORL +1.0 | -6.5 | 34% | ||
| 2027-03-18 | vs DET +3.8 | -6.5 | 26% | ||
| 2027-03-20 | vs IND +0.0 | -6.5 | 37% | ||
| 2027-03-22 | vs WAS -5.1 | -6.5 | 53% | ||
| 2027-03-24 | @ LAC -3.0 | -6.5 | 32% | ||
| 2027-03-26 | @ PHX -0.5 | -6.5 | 26% | ||
| 2027-03-27 | @ POR +2.8 | -6.5 | 18% | ||
| 2027-03-29 | vs DAL -4.3 | -6.5 | 50% | ||
| 2027-03-31 | vs NOP -4.6 | -6.5 | 51% | ||
| 2027-04-02 | vs CHA -0.2 | -6.5 | 38% | ||
| 2027-04-04 | vs BKN -5.7 | -6.5 | 55% | ||
| 2027-04-06 | vs CHI -5.2 | -6.5 | 53% | ||
| 2027-04-08 | vs NYK +5.0 | -6.5 | 23% | ||
| 2027-04-09 | @ CHI -5.2 | -6.5 | 39% | ||
| 2027-04-11 | @ BOS +6.3 | -6.5 | 11% |
ETR preseason breakdown usage · minutes · who plays together · player by player · pace & shots, from Gallagher's game-by-game change log (Sept 28 – Oct 16)
Bottom line: ETR thinks Milwaukee may be as bad as Sacramento. Rollins and Herro run a classic 10-man rotation, Jenkins keeps experimenting with Kel'El Ware next to Myles Turner, and rookies Burries and Ament wait behind veterans.
Usage & ball-handling
- Ryan Rollins: 32.4% usage with one turnover, and he led the team in first-half minutes in the closest thing to a dress rehearsal. ETR boosted his projection.
- Tyler Herro: 28.6% usage in an up-tempo opener, falling to 23.5% later.
- Myles Turner: worked away from the basket more (19 points in 22 minutes at OKC) but fouled out in 24.5 minutes another night. ETR: "He just isn't the same player anymore."
- Kel'El Ware: 18/12/1 in 24.5 minutes when he started. Jenkins wants to unlock more of his offense.
- Brayden Burries was the top scoring option in the B-team game, sharing the handling with Kasparas Jakucionis.
Minutes & rotation
- Starters: Rollins, Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kyle Kuzma, Turner. Ware started over Kuzma on Oct 7.
- Classic 10-man rotation: Kevin Porter Jr. (PG2), AJ Green (SG2 behind Herro), Gary Trent Jr. (SF2 behind Jaquez), Ware (behind Kuzma), Jericho Sims (behind Turner).
- Ware played into the fourth quarter of the B-team game as the only rotation regular, which is not a good sign for his role.
- Burries moved up in the finale and led the bench at 12:44. Jakucionis and Nate Ament (ankle) are behind. Caris LeVert (8.3 minutes) may not make the team, Sims won't go away, and Ousmane Dieng is a fringe guy.
- ETR moves: Ware cut slightly, a bigger lineup with more Sims minutes, Turner down.
Who plays together
- Two-big looks with Ware and Turner: Jenkins "definitely" wants more of them, but OKC's Mara and Jalen Williams ran them off the floor, and Ware struggled guarding fours.
- Ware is straight behind Kuzma and Sims straight behind Turner. Those four covered all 48 first-half frontcourt minutes in the opener.
- Porter Jr. never overlaps with Rollins.
- With Sims out in the finale, Ware and Turner didn't share the floor in the first half.
Pace & shot selection
- Up-tempo with Herro. ETR expects a lot of blowouts, which would cap the starters' minutes.
Player by player
| Player | Model GP | Model MPG | Model min | Preseason read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Rollins | 65 | 30.7 | 1,999 | High-usage starting PG. Led the team in minutes in the rehearsal. |
| Tyler Herro | 56 | 32.8 | 1,828 | Starter. Usage drifted down to about 23.5%. |
| Myles Turner | 64 | 28.9 | 1,838 | Starting C, declining. Foul trouble. |
| Kel'El Ware | 67 | 24.3 | 1,621 | Bench big who may start. The pairing with Turner is still an experiment. |
| Kyle Kuzma | 57 | 26.3 | 1,508 | Favorite to start at the four. |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 66 | 30.1 | 1,989 | Starting wing. |
| Kevin Porter Jr.not in model | – | – | – | PG2, straight behind Rollins. |
| AJ Green | 65 | 16.8 | 1,085 | SG2 behind Herro. |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 49 | 17.4 | 850 | SF2 behind Jaquez. |
| Brayden Burries | 65 | 22.2 | 1,444 | Rookie scorer climbing the bench order. |
Preseason starting lineups
| Game | Opp | Starters | Out (ETR's noteworthy inactives) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5 | MIN | Ryan Rollins, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kyle Kuzma, Myles Turner | |
| Oct 7 | OKC | Tyler Herro, Ryan Rollins, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kel’El Ware, Myles Turner | Kyle Kuzma, AJ Green, Gary Trent Jr., Kevin Porter Jr. |
| Oct 11 | CHA | Ryan Rollins, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kyle Kuzma, Myles Turner | |
| Oct 14 | CHI | Brayden Burries, Kasparas Jakucionis, Ousmane Dieng, Pete Nance, Jericho Sims | Tyler Herro, Myles Turner, Kyle Kuzma, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Ryan Rollins, AJ Green, Kevin Porter Jr., Gary Trent Jr., Nate Ament |
Summarized from ETR's 2026-27 Change Log and Preseason News (pulled Oct 18). Preseason minutes are mostly first-half numbers since starters rarely play second halves. Model GP/MPG/min are the ETR season projections this model uses, so the read shows where preseason usage agrees or disagrees with the minutes driving the win total. Projection moves ETR made during the preseason are noted under Minutes.