SAC Kings #30 of 30
Projected wins
19.9
FanDuel 18.5 (o-125 / u+100) · record 0-4
Net rating
-8.38
avg over remaining games · 50% DARKO DPM + 50% DARKO market · DARKO off -2.56 · def -3.99
Next game / full strength
-8.61 / -8.38
2026-10-29 @ NOP · out: Dylan Cardwell; Ben Simmons; Maxime Raynaud; Keegan Murray
DARKO vs market
-7.91 / -8.85
net on DPM alone / market alone · wins 20.8 / 19.2
Minutes covered
18,687
of 18,720 remaining · fill 32 @ replacement
Roster
17
0 rookies on model/prior
Schedule
+0.29
avg opp net · 2 games unscheduled
ETR minutes mix
86% ETR
0% MPG from ETR FPPG · 13% ETR depth fill
ETR box (rated players)
100 pts
38 reb · 21 ast · 9.8 3pm · 86% of minutes
Roster assumptions minutes: per game: role MPG = mean of ETR + Monster ROS + ros_return, availability from Monster ROS (injury timelines); slate 10-28 (24 teams) on Monster daily minutes, pulled 10-28 15:39 · ETR per-game stats · rating = 50% DARKO DPM + 50% DARKO market per 100 poss · contrib = 5 × rating × minute share · names link to DataBallr
| Player | ETR slot | Pos | Age | GP | MPG | Min | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | 3PM | TO | FG% z | FT% z | FPPG | 9-cat rk | Share % | DPM | Mkt | Rating | O | D | O ctb | D ctb | Contrib |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Acuff Jr. | PG1 | G | 19 | 68 | 34.1 | 2,322 | 18.2 | 2.6 | 6.3 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 2.8 | -0.97 | +0.39 | 30.9 | 157 | 12.4 | -3.02 | -3.94 | -3.48 | -0.97 | -2.05 | -0.60 | -1.27 | -2.16 |
| Domantas Sabonis | C1 | F | 30 | 66 | 33.8 | 2,217 | 17.6 | 11.4 | 5.3 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 2.8 | +1.72 | -0.56 | 39.8 | 61 | 11.8 | +0.00 | +1.30 | +0.65 | +0.32 | -0.31 | +0.19 | -0.19 | +0.39 |
| Zach LaVine | SG1 | G | 31 | 58 | 34.0 | 1,972 | 21.4 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 2.8 | 2.4 | +0.07 | +0.72 | 30.7 | 121 | 10.5 | -2.18 | -1.01 | -1.59 | +0.23 | -2.41 | +0.12 | -1.27 | -0.84 |
| Keegan MurrayINJ 8g · back 11-13 | PF1 | F | 26 | 59 | 32.0 | 1,886 | 14.8 | 5.5 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 2.1 | 1.0 | -0.47 | +0.10 | 28.6 | 83 | 10.1 | -0.01 | -0.04 | -0.03 | -0.21 | +0.20 | -0.11 | +0.10 | -0.01 |
| De'Andre Hunter | SF2 | F | 28 | 58 | 27.2 | 1,590 | 14.2 | 3.7 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 1.4 | -0.58 | +0.49 | 22.0 | 238 | 8.5 | -1.43 | +0.72 | -0.35 | -0.55 | -0.87 | -0.23 | -0.37 | -0.15 |
| Precious Achiuwa | PF2 | F | 27 | 64 | 24.8 | 1,586 | 9.2 | 6.2 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.9 | +0.40 | -0.74 | 22.1 | 228 | 8.5 | -0.24 | -2.99 | -1.61 | +0.03 | -0.27 | +0.01 | -0.11 | -0.68 |
| Malik Monk | PG2 | G | 28 | 62 | 20.7 | 1,274 | 13.0 | 2.3 | 3.7 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 1.7 | -0.61 | +0.36 | 22.6 | 219 | 6.8 | -1.04 | -0.58 | -0.81 | +0.36 | -1.40 | +0.12 | -0.47 | -0.28 |
| Maxime RaynaudINJ 8g · back 11-13 | C1 | C | 23 | 53 | 21.0 | 1,115 | 12.9 | 7.1 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.3 | +1.11 | +0.07 | 25.8 | 167 | 6.0 | -1.98 | -7.58 | -4.78 | -0.97 | -1.00 | -0.29 | -0.30 | -1.42 |
| Nique Clifford | SG2 | G | 24 | 54 | 20.8 | 1,115 | 9.1 | 3.5 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 1.5 | -0.52 | -0.12 | 19.3 | 275 | 6.0 | -1.81 | -1.69 | -1.75 | -1.59 | -0.22 | -0.48 | -0.07 | -0.52 |
| Emanuel SharpETR depth fill | PG3 | G | 22 | 70 | 15.2 | 1,064 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5.7 | -2.20 | -2.49 | -2.35 | -1.54 | -0.66 | -0.44 | -0.19 | -0.67 |
| Dylan CardwellINJ 4g · back 11-04 | C2 | C | 24 | 57 | 18.2 | 1,040 | 5.1 | 6.2 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.9 | +0.25 | -0.54 | 19.3 | 260 | 5.6 | -0.18 | -0.99 | -0.59 | -1.47 | +1.29 | -0.41 | +0.36 | -0.16 |
| Daeqwon PlowdenETR depth fill | SF3 | G | 28 | 70 | 13.1 | 920 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 4.9 | -1.57 | -2.64 | -2.10 | -0.49 | -1.08 | -0.12 | -0.26 | -0.52 |
| Jonathan MogboETR depth fill | C3 | F | 24 | 45 | 6.5 | 293 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 1.6 | -0.84 | -2.51 | -1.67 | -2.30 | +1.46 | -0.18 | +0.12 | -0.13 |
| Alex KarabanETR depth fill | SF4 | F | 23 | 21 | 6.7 | 141 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 0.8 | -2.61 | -1.76 | -2.19 | -1.98 | -0.64 | -0.08 | -0.03 | -0.08 |
| Sean PedullaGLG | G | 24 | 16 | 5.1 | 81 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 0.4 | -2.82 | -1.40 | -2.11 | -1.66 | -1.16 | -0.03 | -0.02 | -0.05 | |
| Leaky Black | F | 27 | 16 | 4.5 | 72 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 0.4 | -2.70 | -3.94 | -3.32 | -2.37 | -0.34 | -0.05 | -0.01 | -0.06 | |
| Ben SimmonsX | SF1 | G | 30 | 0 | – | 0 | 6.4 | 5.0 | 5.7 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 2.1 | +0.28 | -0.27 | 23.0 | 248 | 0.0 | -0.58 | +1.17 | +0.30 | -2.37 | +1.79 | -0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Team | 18,687 | 99.8 | 38.0 | 21.2 | 5.4 | 3.8 | 9.8 | 12.4 | 100 | -6.56 | -8.17 | -2.58 | -3.98 | -7.34 |
PTS–TO are ETR per-game projections (recovered from ETR's 9-cat z-scores; blank = outside ETR's 9-cat top 300; method on the Inputs page). Team row = Σ(per-game × games)/82. Rating = 50% DARKO DPM + 50% DARKO market rating (DARKO's player rating implied by closing betting spreads, per 100 poss); DPM alone where DARKO has no market rating. Team row under DPM / Mkt = Σ contrib on that rating alone. O/D ctb split DARKO's DPM (the market rating has no O/D split), so they add up to the DPM side, not the blended contrib. Fill of 32 minutes at replacement DPM (-2.2) contributes -0.02. GP / MPG / Min are expected over the remaining games: each game's 240 minutes go to whoever is available (see Injuries & availability), so a player's rating only counts in the games he is projected to play. League-relative centering shifts every team by the same constant.
Injuries & availability Monster return dates · games played so far · chance to play each game = half Monster, half ETR preseason · role MPG = ETR + Monster
| Player | Inj | Risk | Out until | Games out | Played | Mon % | ETR % | Avail % | Next % | Exp GP | Season G | ETR G | Mon G | ETR MPG | Mon MPG | Role MPG | Exp min | Monster note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Simmons | X | extreme | 78 | 0 | – | – | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 40 | 0 | 23.9 | – | 23.9 | 0 | Out for season - torn achilles (Injury) | |
| Keegan Murray | INJ 8g | high | 2026-11-13 | 7 | 2 | 83 | 83 | 83 | 0 | 58.9 | 60.9 | 68 | 59 | 33.7 | 32.0 | 32.0 | 1,886 | Injured - left ankle capsulitis (Injury) - Est. Return 11/13 |
| Maxime Raynaud | INJ 8g | high | 2026-11-13 | 7 | 0 | 79 | 71 | 75 | 0 | 53.1 | 53.1 | 58 | 56 | 26.8 | 21.0 | 21.0 | 1,115 | Injured - right kneecap (Injury) - Est. Return 11/13 |
| Dylan Cardwell | INJ 4g | med | 2026-11-04 | 3 | 0 | 89 | 63 | 76 | 0 | 57.3 | 57.3 | 52 | 67 | 18.9 | 18.0 | 18.0 | 1,040 | Injured - calf strain (Injury) - Est. Return 11/04 |
| Darius Acuff Jr. | med | 0 | 4 | 90 | 85 | 87 | 87 | 68.0 | 72.0 | 70 | 70 | 32.2 | 35.0 | 33.6 | 2,322 | |||
| Zach LaVine | high | 0 | 4 | 85 | 64 | 74 | 74 | 58.0 | 62.0 | 54 | 66 | 32.9 | 34.0 | 33.4 | 1,972 | |||
| Domantas Sabonis | med | 0 | 4 | 90 | 78 | 84 | 84 | 65.5 | 69.5 | 65 | 70 | 31.6 | 35.0 | 33.3 | 2,217 | |||
| De'Andre Hunter | high | 0 | 4 | 85 | 65 | 75 | 75 | 58.5 | 62.5 | 55 | 66 | 26.5 | 27.0 | 26.7 | 1,590 | |||
| Precious Achiuwa | med | 0 | 4 | 90 | 74 | 82 | 82 | 64.0 | 68.0 | 62 | 70 | 22.7 | 26.0 | 24.4 | 1,586 | |||
| Nique Clifford | med | 0 | 3 | 58 | 80 | 69 | 69 | 53.5 | 56.5 | 65 | 45 | 25.0 | 16.0 | 20.5 | 1,115 | |||
| Malik Monk | high | 0 | 3 | 85 | 73 | 79 | 79 | 61.5 | 64.5 | 60 | 66 | 22.7 | 18.0 | 20.4 | 1,274 | |||
| Emanuel Sharp | med | 0 | 4 | 90 | – | 90 | 90 | 70.0 | 74.0 | – | 70 | 11.9 | 18.0 | 15.0 | 1,064 | |||
| Daeqwon Plowden | med | 0 | 4 | 90 | – | 90 | 90 | 70.0 | 74.0 | – | 70 | 11.9 | 15.0 | 13.5 | 920 | |||
| Alex Karaban | med | 0 | 2 | 27 | – | 27 | 27 | 21.0 | 23.0 | – | 21 | 11.9 | 12.0 | 12.0 | 141 | |||
| Jonathan Mogbo | med | 0 | 3 | 58 | – | 58 | 58 | 45.0 | 48.0 | – | 45 | 12.2 | 11.0 | 11.6 | 293 | |||
| Sean Pedulla | GLG | med | 0 | 0 | 20 | – | 20 | 20 | 16.0 | 16.0 | – | 16 | – | 9.0 | 9.0 | 81 | G-League |
Before his est. return a player gets none of this team's games (Q: half), so his rating comes out of exactly those games and his minutes go to whoever is available (bench first, starters stretch up to +20%). Once healthy he plays Avail % of games: half Monster's rest-of-season rate, half ETR's preseason games (less the games he has already played, which are settled; for a player coming back from an injury, ETR's per-game rate). Monster ROS dump 2026-10-27 11:46 ET (1.2 days old), 522 rostered, 58 with an est. return.
ETR notes Gallagher Top 150 + ETR depth chart
| Darius Acuff Jr. | Gallagher #107 | Likely will bury you on FG% but he likely leads rookies in MPG; could have absurd role if Kings thin out team |
| Domantas Sabonis | Gallagher #45 | Finally couldn't stay on the court after missing just 15 games combined in last three years; trade rumors could alter value |
| Zach LaVine | Gallagher #113 | That $49 million contract won't be tradeable and that should keep LaVine on the floor until the deadline |
| Keegan Murray | Gallagher #82 | Christie can't help himself to play him huge minutes and role could expand massively should Kings unload players |
| Maxime Raynaud | Gallagher #142 | Should be back in late November from scary knee injury |
| Maxime Raynaud | Depth chart | Out to start season for knee issue, targeting mid-November return |
ETR depth chart ETR order · minutes the model uses
PG
Darius Acuff Jr.
34.1 mpg × 68 g = 2,322
Malik Monk
20.7 mpg × 62 g = 1,274
Emanuel Sharp
15.2 mpg × 70 g = 1,064
SG
Zach LaVine
34.0 mpg × 58 g = 1,972
Nique Clifford
20.8 mpg × 54 g = 1,115
SF
Ben Simmons
nan mpg × 0 g = 0
De'Andre Hunter
27.2 mpg × 58 g = 1,590
Daeqwon Plowden
13.1 mpg × 70 g = 920
Alex Karaban
6.7 mpg × 21 g = 141
PF
Keegan Murray
32.0 mpg × 59 g = 1,886
Precious Achiuwa
24.8 mpg × 64 g = 1,586
C
Domantas Sabonis
33.8 mpg × 66 g = 2,217
Dylan Cardwell
18.2 mpg × 57 g = 1,040
Jonathan Mogbo 2W
6.5 mpg × 45 g = 293
Maxime Raynaud IR
21.0 mpg × 53 g = 1,115
Not on ETR's depth chart: Sean Pedulla, Leaky Black
Schedule 4 played · each remaining game uses both teams' nets for that date (who is out) · win prob from net-rating gap + 2.3 HCA, sd 12.5
| Date | Opp (net that game) | Our net | Win % | Result | Our players out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | @ LAC -3.4 | 28% | L 96-121 | ||
| 2026-10-23 | vs POR +2.5 | 24% | L 120-128 | ||
| 2026-10-25 | vs MEM -3.4 | 41% | L 112-123 | ||
| 2026-10-27 | @ SAS +5.9 | 9% | L 103-130 | ||
| 2026-10-29 | @ NOP -4.7 | -8.6 | 31% | Dylan Cardwell; Ben Simmons; Maxime Raynaud; Keegan Murray | |
| 2026-10-31 | @ MEM -3.4 | -8.6 | 27% | Dylan Cardwell; Ben Simmons; Maxime Raynaud; Keegan Murray | |
| 2026-11-02 | @ DAL -4.9 | -8.6 | 31% | Dylan Cardwell; Ben Simmons; Maxime Raynaud; Keegan Murray | |
| 2026-11-04 | vs LAL +2.3 | -8.2 | 26% | Ben Simmons; Maxime Raynaud; Keegan Murray | |
| 2026-11-06 | vs SAS +5.9 | -8.2 | 17% | Ben Simmons; Maxime Raynaud; Keegan Murray | |
| 2026-11-08 | vs MIA +0.5 | -8.2 | 31% | Ben Simmons; Maxime Raynaud; Keegan Murray | |
| 2026-11-10 | vs ORL -0.2 | -8.2 | 32% | Ben Simmons; Maxime Raynaud; Keegan Murray | |
| 2026-11-13 | vs POR +2.4 | -8.4 | 25% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2026-11-15 | vs OKC +4.7 | -8.4 | 19% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2026-11-18 | vs PHX -0.8 | -8.4 | 34% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2026-11-20 | @ LAL +2.3 | -8.4 | 15% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2026-11-21 | vs BOS +6.3 | -8.4 | 16% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2026-11-23 | vs SAS +5.9 | -8.4 | 17% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2026-11-25 | @ GSW -0.3 | -8.4 | 20% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2026-11-29 | vs MIN +2.8 | -8.4 | 24% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2026-11-30 | vs NOP -4.6 | -8.4 | 45% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2026-12-02 | @ PHX -0.8 | -8.4 | 21% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2026-12-13 | vs NOP -4.6 | -8.4 | 45% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2026-12-16 | @ OKC +4.7 | -8.4 | 11% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2026-12-18 | @ NOP -4.6 | -8.4 | 31% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2026-12-20 | @ MIA +0.5 | -8.4 | 19% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2026-12-21 | @ ORL +1.0 | -8.4 | 18% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2026-12-23 | vs DAL -4.3 | -8.4 | 44% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2026-12-27 | vs UTA -4.4 | -8.4 | 45% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2026-12-29 | vs PHI +2.5 | -8.4 | 25% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2026-12-31 | vs BKN -5.7 | -8.4 | 49% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2027-01-02 | @ PHX -0.8 | -8.4 | 21% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2027-01-03 | @ OKC +4.7 | -8.4 | 11% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2027-01-05 | vs DET +3.8 | -8.4 | 21% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2027-01-07 | vs CHI -5.2 | -8.4 | 47% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2027-01-08 | vs NYK +5.0 | -8.4 | 19% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2027-01-10 | vs CHA -0.2 | -8.4 | 32% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2027-01-12 | @ GSW -0.2 | -8.4 | 20% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2027-01-14 | vs LAC -3.2 | -8.4 | 41% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2027-01-15 | @ POR +2.4 | -8.4 | 15% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2027-01-17 | @ UTA -4.4 | -8.4 | 31% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2027-01-19 | vs LAL +2.3 | -8.4 | 25% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2027-01-20 | vs MIL -6.5 | -8.4 | 51% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2027-01-22 | @ LAL +2.3 | -8.4 | 15% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2027-01-25 | @ DEN +3.4 | -8.4 | 13% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2027-01-27 | @ PHI +2.5 | -8.4 | 15% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2027-01-28 | @ WAS -5.1 | -8.4 | 33% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2027-01-31 | @ DET +3.8 | -8.4 | 12% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2027-02-04 | vs MIN +2.8 | -8.4 | 24% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2027-02-06 | vs PHX -0.8 | -8.4 | 34% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2027-02-07 | vs HOU +5.3 | -8.4 | 18% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2027-02-09 | @ MIL -6.5 | -8.4 | 37% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2027-02-11 | @ HOU +5.3 | -8.4 | 10% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2027-02-13 | @ IND +0.1 | -8.4 | 19% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2027-02-14 | @ ATL +0.8 | -8.4 | 18% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2027-02-17 | vs IND +0.1 | -8.4 | 31% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2027-02-25 | @ CLE +2.3 | -8.4 | 15% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2027-02-27 | @ MEM -3.4 | -8.4 | 28% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2027-02-28 | @ CHA -0.2 | -8.4 | 20% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2027-03-02 | vs WAS -5.1 | -8.4 | 47% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2027-03-04 | vs OKC +4.7 | -8.4 | 19% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2027-03-06 | vs LAC -3.0 | -8.4 | 40% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2027-03-08 | vs DEN +3.4 | -8.4 | 22% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2027-03-10 | vs GSW +1.2 | -8.4 | 28% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2027-03-12 | @ UTA -4.4 | -8.4 | 31% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2027-03-14 | vs CLE +2.3 | -8.4 | 25% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2027-03-16 | @ BOS +6.3 | -8.4 | 9% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2027-03-17 | @ NYK +5.0 | -8.4 | 10% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2027-03-19 | @ TOR +2.8 | -8.4 | 14% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2027-03-21 | @ BKN -5.7 | -8.4 | 34% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2027-03-22 | @ CHI -5.2 | -8.4 | 33% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2027-03-24 | vs ATL +0.8 | -8.4 | 29% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2027-03-27 | vs TOR +2.8 | -8.4 | 24% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2027-03-29 | vs DEN +3.4 | -8.4 | 22% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2027-03-31 | @ MIN +2.8 | -8.4 | 14% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2027-04-02 | @ DAL -4.3 | -8.4 | 31% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2027-04-04 | vs GSW +1.2 | -8.4 | 28% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2027-04-06 | @ SAS +5.9 | -8.4 | 9% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2027-04-07 | @ HOU +5.3 | -8.4 | 10% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2027-04-09 | vs DAL -4.3 | -8.4 | 44% | Ben Simmons | |
| 2027-04-11 | @ LAC -3.0 | -8.4 | 27% | Ben Simmons |
ETR preseason breakdown usage · minutes · who plays together · player by player · pace & shots, from Gallagher's game-by-game change log (Sept 28 – Oct 16)
Bottom line: Rookie Darius Acuff Jr. has a 30–36% usage role from day one, and an inefficient one. Sabonis looked bad, the frontcourt is decimated (Raynaud and Cardwell hurt), and ETR calls the team terrible: first in transition, last in shot quality.
Usage & ball-handling
- Darius Acuff Jr.: first-half usage of 34.3%, 30.8%, 28.6% and 36.4% across his games, with a 45.9 TS% and 4.0 turnovers per game. Christie wasn't even calling plays for him. He put up 25/4/8 in 27 minutes once.
- Zach LaVine: 26.5% usage, playing off the ball next to Acuff, who has taken some of his handling.
- Domantas Sabonis: awful early (4/3/3 with five fouls in 10 minutes), played only one or two preseason games, and was better in the second half of the finale (with no Wemby out there).
- Ben Simmons: reportedly starting next to Acuff (via Marc Spears). He played 14 first-half minutes at -26 in the finale, with managed minutes ("we're going to do what's best for Ben Simmons").
- De'Andre Hunter (0.0%, then 15.8% usage, missing every shot) and Precious Achiuwa (8.3%) barely touched it.
- Nique Clifford gets a handling role but not enough minutes.
Minutes & rotation
- Expected starters: Acuff, LaVine, Simmons, Keegan Murray, Sabonis.
- Murray played 19:09 in one first half, but had a disappointing preseason.
- Injuries: Maxime Raynaud (knee, out at least two weeks; ETR took him way down), Dylan Cardwell (calf, at least two weeks, doubtful for the opener), Achiuwa (ankle), Malik Monk (missed the preseason).
- Bench: Elfrid Payton is PG2. Emanuel Sharp backs up LaVine (Christie loves him, and he might play opening night). Clifford backs up Simmons, Hunter backs up Murray, and Alex Karaban is 10th. Jonathan Mogbo is behind Achiuwa.
Who plays together
- Acuff-LaVine backcourt, with LaVine off the ball.
- Sharp overlaps with LaVine and Clifford overlaps with Simmons.
- Achiuwa takes the primary defensive assignments (he guarded Luka).
Pace & shot selection
- First in transition frequency but last in location eFG% (shot profile). ETR: "Some things never change."
- Acuff's high-volume, inefficient creation drives the shot diet.
Player by player
| Player | Model GP | Model MPG | Model min | Preseason read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Acuff Jr. | 68 | 34.1 | 2,322 | Rookie with 30%+ usage. Inefficient and turnover-prone. |
| Zach LaVine | 58 | 34.0 | 1,972 | Off-ball No. 2. |
| Domantas Sabonis | 66 | 33.8 | 2,217 | Barely played, looked bad. ETR moved him down. |
| Keegan Murray | 59 | 32.0 | 1,886 | Big minutes, disappointing preseason. |
| Ben Simmons | 0 | – | 0 | Projected starter, managed minutes. |
| Precious Achiuwa | 64 | 24.8 | 1,586 | Defensive stopper, ankle sprain. |
| Malik Monk | 62 | 20.7 | 1,274 | Missed the preseason. |
| Emanuel Sharp | 70 | 15.2 | 1,064 | Backup SG. Might play opening night. |
| Nique Clifford | 54 | 20.8 | 1,115 | Bench wing. |
| Maxime Raynaud | 53 | 21.0 | 1,115 | Knee. Out at least two weeks. |
Preseason starting lineups
| Game | Opp | Starters | Out (ETR's noteworthy inactives) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5 | LAL | Darius Acuff, Zach LaVine, De’Andre Hunter, Precious Achiuwa, Domantas Sabonis | Keegan Murray, Malik Monk, Ben Simmons |
| Oct 8 | LAL | Darius Acuff Jr., Zach LaVine, De’Andre Hunter, Precious Achiuwa, Maxime Raynaud | Keegan Murray, Domantas Sabonis, Malik Monk, Ben Simmons |
| Oct 10 | GSW | Darius Acuff Jr., Zach LaVine, Ben Simmons, Keegan Murray, Precious Achiuwa | |
| Oct 13 | POR | Elfrid Payton, Leaky Black, Nique Clifford, Keegan Murray, Precious Achiuwa | Darius Acuff, Dylan Cardwell, De’Andre Hunter, Zach LaVine, Malik Monk, Maxime Raynaud, Domantas Sabonis, Ben Simmons |
Summarized from ETR's 2026-27 Change Log and Preseason News (pulled Oct 18). Preseason minutes are mostly first-half numbers since starters rarely play second halves. Model GP/MPG/min are the ETR season projections this model uses, so the read shows where preseason usage agrees or disagrees with the minutes driving the win total. Projection moves ETR made during the preseason are noted under Minutes.