HOU Rockets #2 of 30
Projected wins
55.5
FanDuel 52.5 (o-130 / u+105) · record 4-0
Net rating
+5.23
avg over remaining games · 50% DARKO DPM + 50% DARKO market · DARKO off +3.31 · def +3.97
Next game / full strength
+4.88 / +5.30
2026-10-28 @ MIL (Monster daily minutes) · out: Alperen Sengun; Marcus Smart; Steven Adams
DARKO vs market
+5.94 / +4.53
net on DPM alone / market alone · wins 56.9 / 54.1
Minutes covered
18,720
of 18,720 remaining · fill 0 @ replacement
Roster
17
0 rookies on model/prior
Schedule
-0.29
avg opp net · 2 games unscheduled
ETR minutes mix
94% ETR
0% MPG from ETR FPPG · 5% ETR depth fill
ETR box (rated players)
108 pts
42 reb · 25 ast · 11.4 3pm · 94% of minutes
Roster assumptions minutes: per game: role MPG = mean of ETR + Monster ROS + ros_return, availability from Monster ROS (injury timelines); slate 10-28 (24 teams) on Monster daily minutes, pulled 10-28 15:39 · ETR per-game stats · rating = 50% DARKO DPM + 50% DARKO market per 100 poss · contrib = 5 × rating × minute share · names link to DataBallr
| Player | ETR slot | Pos | Age | GP | MPG | Min | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | 3PM | TO | FG% z | FT% z | FPPG | 9-cat rk | Share % | DPM | Mkt | Rating | O | D | O ctb | D ctb | Contrib |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amen Thompson | SG1 | G | 23 | 67 | 36.5 | 2,451 | 18.3 | 8.3 | 4.6 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 2.2 | +1.28 | -0.28 | 39.9 | 21 | 13.1 | +1.53 | +1.17 | +1.35 | +1.14 | +0.39 | +0.74 | +0.26 | +0.88 |
| Kevin Durant | SF1 | F | 38 | 64 | 35.7 | 2,277 | 26.0 | 5.6 | 4.4 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 2.3 | 3.0 | +0.87 | +1.18 | 41.4 | 23 | 12.2 | +3.60 | +4.04 | +3.82 | +3.56 | +0.03 | +2.17 | +0.02 | +2.32 |
| Jabari Smith Jr. | PF1 | F | 23 | 69 | 32.8 | 2,269 | 14.7 | 6.9 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 1.2 | -0.48 | +0.10 | 28.4 | 99 | 12.1 | +0.54 | +0.30 | +0.42 | +0.38 | +0.16 | +0.23 | +0.10 | +0.25 |
| Alperen Sengun | C1 | C | 24 | 67 | 33.4 | 2,226 | 20.4 | 9.5 | 5.5 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 2.7 | +0.86 | -1.08 | 44.1 | 32 | 11.9 | +2.42 | +2.04 | +2.23 | +1.36 | +1.05 | +0.81 | +0.63 | +1.32 |
| Fred VanVleet | PG1 | G | 32 | 58 | 32.8 | 1,914 | 14.3 | 3.5 | 5.6 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 2.6 | 1.4 | -1.34 | +0.41 | 30.9 | 84 | 10.2 | +1.47 | +2.28 | +1.88 | +0.27 | +1.21 | +0.14 | +0.61 | +0.96 |
| Tari Eason | PF2 | F | 25 | 60 | 26.0 | 1,569 | 11.8 | 6.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 1.1 | -0.51 | -0.04 | 26.5 | 119 | 8.4 | +1.52 | +0.14 | +0.83 | -0.14 | +1.66 | -0.06 | +0.70 | +0.35 |
| Marcus SmartQ | SG2 | G | 32 | 60 | 25.6 | 1,528 | 9.1 | 2.6 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 1.3 | -0.66 | +0.05 | 19.9 | 212 | 8.2 | +1.20 | -1.24 | -0.02 | -0.04 | +1.24 | -0.02 | +0.51 | -0.01 |
| Reed Sheppard | PG2 | G | 22 | 69 | 21.9 | 1,504 | 12.0 | 2.7 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 2.4 | 1.3 | -0.75 | +0.07 | 23.6 | 118 | 8.0 | +0.80 | -1.75 | -0.47 | +0.51 | +0.29 | +0.20 | +0.12 | -0.19 |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | SF2 | G | 34 | 54 | 18.4 | 991 | 8.8 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 1.2 | -0.41 | +0.13 | 16.2 | 299 | 5.3 | -0.45 | +0.17 | -0.14 | -0.54 | +0.10 | -0.14 | +0.03 | -0.04 |
| Steven AdamsINJ 6g · back 11-09 | C2 | C | 33 | 42 | 22.0 | 920 | 5.8 | 8.1 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.9 | +0.16 | -1.24 | 20.5 | 292 | 4.9 | +2.08 | +3.17 | +2.62 | -1.23 | +3.31 | -0.30 | +0.81 | +0.64 |
| Clint CapelaETR depth fill | C3 | C | 32 | 44 | 6.8 | 304 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 1.6 | +0.89 | +1.02 | +0.95 | -2.02 | +2.92 | -0.16 | +0.23 | +0.08 |
| Bruce ThorntonETR depth fill | PG3 | G | 23 | 44 | 5.8 | 257 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 1.4 | -2.42 | -1.37 | -1.90 | -1.62 | -0.80 | -0.11 | -0.06 | -0.13 |
| Jae'Sean TateETR depth fill | SF3 | F | 31 | 41 | 5.8 | 242 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 1.3 | -1.79 | -0.69 | -1.25 | -2.11 | +0.32 | -0.14 | +0.02 | -0.08 |
| Isaiah CrawfordETR depth fill | SG3 | F | 24 | 16 | 5.3 | 84 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 0.4 | -0.69 | -2.12 | -1.40 | -0.59 | -0.10 | -0.01 | -0.00 | -0.03 |
| Quadir CopelandETR depth fill | PF3 | G | 23 | 16 | 5.0 | 80 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 0.4 | -2.21 | – | -2.21 | -1.76 | -0.44 | -0.04 | -0.01 | -0.05 |
| Oscar Tshiebwe | C | 26 | 17 | 3.2 | 54 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 0.3 | +1.20 | -5.30 | -2.05 | +0.96 | +0.24 | +0.01 | +0.00 | -0.03 | |
| Julian Phillips | F | 22 | 16 | 3.2 | 50 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 0.3 | -0.32 | -1.22 | -0.77 | -0.41 | +0.09 | -0.01 | +0.00 | -0.01 | |
| Team | 18,720 | 108.4 | 41.7 | 24.8 | 7.9 | 4.7 | 11.4 | 12.5 | 100 | +7.29 | +5.23 | +3.32 | +3.97 | +6.25 |
PTS–TO are ETR per-game projections (recovered from ETR's 9-cat z-scores; blank = outside ETR's 9-cat top 300; method on the Inputs page). Team row = Σ(per-game × games)/82. Rating = 50% DARKO DPM + 50% DARKO market rating (DARKO's player rating implied by closing betting spreads, per 100 poss); DPM alone where DARKO has no market rating. Team row under DPM / Mkt = Σ contrib on that rating alone. O/D ctb split DARKO's DPM (the market rating has no O/D split), so they add up to the DPM side, not the blended contrib. Fill of 0 minutes at replacement DPM (-2.2) contributes -0.00. GP / MPG / Min are expected over the remaining games: each game's 240 minutes go to whoever is available (see Injuries & availability), so a player's rating only counts in the games he is projected to play. League-relative centering shifts every team by the same constant.
Injuries & availability Monster return dates · games played so far · chance to play each game = half Monster, half ETR preseason · role MPG = ETR + Monster
| Player | Inj | Risk | Out until | Games out | Played | Mon % | ETR % | Avail % | Next % | Exp GP | Season G | ETR G | Mon G | ETR MPG | Mon MPG | Role MPG | Exp min | Monster note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Adams | INJ 6g | extreme | 2026-11-09 | 6 | 1 | 62 | 54 | 58 | 0 | 41.8 | 42.8 | 44 | 45 | 20.4 | 22.0 | 22.0 | 920 | Injured - right soleus strain (Injury Maintenance) - Est. Return 11/09 |
| Amen Thompson | med | 0 | 4 | 88 | 83 | 86 | 100 | 67.1 | 71.1 | 69 | 69 | 36.0 | 37.0 | 36.5 | 2,451 | |||
| Kevin Durant | med | 0 | 4 | 88 | 74 | 81 | 100 | 63.7 | 67.7 | 62 | 69 | 35.4 | 36.0 | 35.7 | 2,277 | |||
| Alperen Sengun | med | 0 | 4 | 88 | 85 | 86 | 0 | 66.6 | 70.6 | 70 | 69 | 32.8 | 34.0 | 33.4 | 2,226 | |||
| Fred VanVleet | high | 0 | 3 | 80 | 69 | 74 | 100 | 58.3 | 61.3 | 57 | 62 | 32.7 | 33.0 | 32.9 | 1,914 | |||
| Jabari Smith Jr. | med | 0 | 4 | 88 | 88 | 88 | 100 | 69.1 | 73.1 | 73 | 69 | 32.5 | 33.0 | 32.8 | 2,269 | |||
| Tari Eason | high | 0 | 4 | 83 | 70 | 77 | 100 | 60.2 | 64.2 | 59 | 65 | 25.9 | 26.0 | 26.0 | 1,569 | |||
| Marcus Smart | Q | high | 0 | 2 | 83 | 72 | 78 | 0 | 59.7 | 61.7 | 58 | 65 | 25.2 | 26.0 | 25.6 | 1,528 | Questionable - left forearm strain (Injury) - status for next game not specified yet | |
| Reed Sheppard | med | 0 | 3 | 88 | 87 | 88 | 100 | 68.6 | 71.6 | 71 | 69 | 22.8 | 21.0 | 21.9 | 1,504 | |||
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | high | 0 | 4 | 83 | 54 | 69 | 100 | 53.8 | 57.8 | 46 | 65 | 19.9 | 17.0 | 18.4 | 991 | |||
| Clint Capela | med | 0 | 3 | 56 | – | 56 | 100 | 44.4 | 47.4 | – | 44 | 11.9 | 11.0 | 11.5 | 304 | |||
| Bruce Thornton | med | 0 | 3 | 56 | – | 56 | 100 | 44.4 | 47.4 | – | 44 | 11.9 | 10.0 | 11.0 | 257 | |||
| Jae'Sean Tate | high | 0 | 3 | 54 | – | 54 | 0 | 41.5 | 44.5 | – | 42 | 11.9 | 10.0 | 11.0 | 242 |
Before his est. return a player gets none of this team's games (Q: half), so his rating comes out of exactly those games and his minutes go to whoever is available (bench first, starters stretch up to +20%). Once healthy he plays Avail % of games: half Monster's rest-of-season rate, half ETR's preseason games (less the games he has already played, which are settled; for a player coming back from an injury, ETR's per-game rate). Monster ROS dump 2026-10-27 11:46 ET (1.2 days old), 522 rostered, 58 with an est. return.
ETR notes Gallagher Top 150 + ETR depth chart
| Amen Thompson | Gallagher #21 | NBA's total minutes leader and was paid in offseason; Rockets hired shooting guru Chip Englland |
| Kevin Durant | Gallagher #22 | Second in total minutes last year with Udoka running him into the ground and was still top 15 per game in 9 cat (8th total) |
| Jabari Smith Jr. | Gallagher #99 | Career-high usage with healthy Amen, Sengun and KD and has massive minutes ceiling if HOU gets thinner |
| Alperen Sengun | Gallagher #20 | Udoka trust him again and the 1.1 blocks helped his value a ton; expecting FVV to not impact him much |
| Fred VanVleet | Gallagher #87 | Udoka probably can't help himself to play him 34-plus minutes again |
| Tari Eason | Gallagher #108 | Got to 33 MPG in playoffs (KD injury) and maybe he's over the stress fracture issue |
ETR depth chart ETR order · minutes the model uses
PG
Fred VanVleet
32.8 mpg × 58 g = 1,914
Reed Sheppard
21.9 mpg × 69 g = 1,504
Bruce Thornton
5.8 mpg × 44 g = 257
SG
Amen Thompson
36.5 mpg × 67 g = 2,451
Marcus Smart
25.6 mpg × 60 g = 1,528
Isaiah Crawford
5.3 mpg × 16 g = 84
SF
Kevin Durant
35.7 mpg × 64 g = 2,277
Bogdan Bogdanovic
18.4 mpg × 54 g = 991
Jae'Sean Tate
5.8 mpg × 41 g = 242
PF
Jabari Smith Jr.
32.8 mpg × 69 g = 2,269
Tari Eason
26.0 mpg × 60 g = 1,569
Quadir Copeland 2W
5.0 mpg × 16 g = 80
C
Alperen Sengun
33.4 mpg × 67 g = 2,226
Steven Adams
22.0 mpg × 42 g = 920
Clint Capela
6.8 mpg × 44 g = 304
Not on ETR's depth chart: Oscar Tshiebwe, Julian Phillips
Schedule 4 played · each remaining game uses both teams' nets for that date (who is out) · win prob from net-rating gap + 2.3 HCA, sd 12.5
| Date | Opp (net that game) | Our net | Win % | Result | Our players out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | vs DAL -4.4 | 83% | W 128-110 | ||
| 2026-10-23 | @ SAS +5.9 | 40% | W 114-110 | ||
| 2026-10-24 | @ ATL +0.8 | 57% | W 121-114 | ||
| 2026-10-26 | vs ATL +0.8 | 70% | W 120-110 | ||
| 2026-10-28 | @ MIL -5.0 | +4.9 | 73% | Monster tonight Alperen Sengun; Marcus Smart; Steven Adams | |
| 2026-10-30 | @ DAL -4.9 | +4.4 | 71% | Steven Adams | |
| 2026-10-31 | vs OKC +4.7 | +4.4 | 56% | Steven Adams | |
| 2026-11-02 | vs BOS +6.3 | +4.4 | 51% | Steven Adams | |
| 2026-11-04 | vs MIN +2.8 | +4.4 | 62% | Steven Adams | |
| 2026-11-07 | @ PHX -0.8 | +4.4 | 59% | Steven Adams | |
| 2026-11-09 | vs DEN +3.4 | +5.3 | 63% | ||
| 2026-11-11 | vs GSW -0.3 | +5.3 | 74% | ||
| 2026-11-13 | vs UTA -4.4 | +5.3 | 83% | ||
| 2026-11-15 | @ WAS -5.1 | +5.3 | 74% | ||
| 2026-11-16 | @ MIA +0.5 | +5.3 | 58% | ||
| 2026-11-18 | @ IND -0.0 | +5.3 | 60% | ||
| 2026-11-20 | @ DEN +3.4 | +5.3 | 49% | ||
| 2026-11-23 | vs LAC -4.4 | +5.3 | 83% | ||
| 2026-11-25 | vs PHX -0.8 | +5.3 | 75% | ||
| 2026-11-28 | vs PHI +2.5 | +5.3 | 66% | ||
| 2026-11-30 | vs LAL +2.3 | +5.3 | 66% | ||
| 2026-12-01 | vs TOR +2.8 | +5.3 | 65% | ||
| 2026-12-13 | @ CHI -5.2 | +5.3 | 74% | ||
| 2026-12-14 | vs NYK +5.0 | +5.3 | 58% | ||
| 2026-12-16 | vs MIL -6.5 | +5.3 | 87% | ||
| 2026-12-18 | @ MEM -3.4 | +5.3 | 69% | ||
| 2026-12-20 | @ TOR +2.8 | +5.3 | 50% | ||
| 2026-12-23 | @ PHI +2.5 | +5.3 | 52% | ||
| 2026-12-27 | vs OKC +4.7 | +5.3 | 59% | ||
| 2026-12-29 | @ LAL +2.3 | +5.3 | 52% | ||
| 2026-12-30 | @ GSW -0.2 | +5.3 | 60% | ||
| 2027-01-01 | vs DAL -4.3 | +5.3 | 83% | ||
| 2027-01-03 | vs CLE +2.3 | +5.3 | 66% | ||
| 2027-01-05 | vs MIN +2.8 | +5.3 | 65% | ||
| 2027-01-07 | vs MEM -3.4 | +5.3 | 81% | ||
| 2027-01-09 | @ BKN -5.7 | +5.3 | 76% | ||
| 2027-01-11 | @ BOS +6.3 | +5.3 | 40% | ||
| 2027-01-13 | @ OKC +4.7 | +5.3 | 45% | ||
| 2027-01-15 | vs WAS -5.1 | +5.3 | 84% | ||
| 2027-01-16 | vs DET +3.8 | +5.3 | 62% | ||
| 2027-01-18 | @ MEM -3.4 | +5.3 | 69% | ||
| 2027-01-20 | @ MIN +2.8 | +5.3 | 50% | ||
| 2027-01-22 | @ CHA -0.2 | +5.3 | 60% | ||
| 2027-01-24 | @ ORL +1.0 | +5.3 | 56% | ||
| 2027-01-26 | @ SAS +5.9 | +5.3 | 41% | ||
| 2027-01-27 | vs NOP -4.6 | +5.3 | 84% | ||
| 2027-01-29 | vs ORL +1.0 | +5.3 | 70% | ||
| 2027-01-31 | @ DAL -4.3 | +5.3 | 72% | ||
| 2027-02-03 | vs UTA -4.4 | +5.3 | 83% | ||
| 2027-02-05 | @ PHX -0.8 | +5.3 | 62% | ||
| 2027-02-07 | @ SAC -8.4 | +5.3 | 82% | ||
| 2027-02-09 | @ UTA -4.4 | +5.3 | 72% | ||
| 2027-02-11 | vs SAC -8.4 | +5.3 | 90% | ||
| 2027-02-12 | @ NOP -4.6 | +5.3 | 73% | ||
| 2027-02-14 | vs DEN +3.4 | +5.3 | 63% | ||
| 2027-02-16 | @ LAC -3.2 | +5.3 | 69% | ||
| 2027-02-18 | @ LAL +2.3 | +5.3 | 52% | ||
| 2027-02-26 | vs CHA -0.2 | +5.3 | 73% | ||
| 2027-02-28 | vs MIA +0.5 | +5.3 | 72% | ||
| 2027-03-01 | vs GSW +1.2 | +5.3 | 70% | ||
| 2027-03-03 | vs NOP -4.6 | +5.3 | 84% | ||
| 2027-03-05 | vs SAS +5.9 | +5.3 | 55% | ||
| 2027-03-07 | @ GSW +1.2 | +5.3 | 56% | ||
| 2027-03-08 | @ LAC -3.0 | +5.3 | 68% | ||
| 2027-03-10 | @ UTA -4.4 | +5.3 | 72% | ||
| 2027-03-13 | vs IND +0.0 | +5.3 | 73% | ||
| 2027-03-16 | vs SAS +5.9 | +5.3 | 55% | ||
| 2027-03-17 | vs BKN -5.7 | +5.3 | 86% | ||
| 2027-03-19 | @ NOP -4.6 | +5.3 | 73% | ||
| 2027-03-22 | @ CLE +2.3 | +5.3 | 52% | ||
| 2027-03-24 | @ NYK +5.0 | +5.3 | 44% | ||
| 2027-03-25 | @ DET +3.8 | +5.3 | 47% | ||
| 2027-03-28 | vs LAL +2.3 | +5.3 | 66% | ||
| 2027-03-30 | @ POR +2.8 | +5.3 | 50% | ||
| 2027-03-31 | @ POR +2.8 | +5.3 | 50% | ||
| 2027-04-02 | vs MEM -3.4 | +5.3 | 81% | ||
| 2027-04-04 | vs CHI -5.2 | +5.3 | 85% | ||
| 2027-04-07 | vs SAC -8.4 | +5.3 | 90% | ||
| 2027-04-09 | vs POR +2.8 | +5.3 | 65% | ||
| 2027-04-11 | @ MIN +3.4 | +5.3 | 49% |
ETR preseason breakdown usage · minutes · who plays together · player by player · pace & shots, from Gallagher's game-by-game change log (Sept 28 – Oct 16)
Bottom line: Fred VanVleet is back with no visible minutes limit, and the offense runs through him and Sengun. Udoka runs a tight nine, and Tari Eason is pushing Jabari Smith Jr. for minutes.
Usage & ball-handling
- Fred VanVleet: hit three 3s in his first three minutes back. All 12 of his shots were threes, he had seven assists, and the offense got more space and ran more sets.
- Alperen Sengun: triple-double in 22 minutes, with a smoother jumper.
- Kevin Durant: fewer touches with VanVleet back, but still attacked Flagg. His assists may dip.
- Amen Thompson: lost a large share of the handling to VanVleet and played off the ball (12 first-half points vs OKC, five of his six makes assisted at the rim). He went 1-of-5 from three in the preseason, so ETR expects a small step back in assists.
Minutes & rotation
- Starters: VanVleet, Thompson, Durant, Jabari Smith Jr., Sengun.
- VanVleet matched Thompson in average first-half minutes (17.2 vs 17.3). The early back-to-back limit (ETR first guessed mid-November) may already be gone.
- Nine-man rotation: Steven Adams behind Sengun, Bogdan Bogdanovic behind Durant, Reed Sheppard behind VanVleet, and Tari Eason.
- Tari Eason: 20/9/2 in 24 minutes, a 70 TS%, and 15.5 first-half minutes. He is cutting into Smith's minutes.
- Reed Sheppard gets only about 7 minutes per first half when VanVleet plays, though he had the third-highest 3PA per 100.
- Marcus Smart didn't play in the full-strength game. Udoka has little trust past his top nine (starters at 15:50+ and Eason at 15:31 in one first half).
Who plays together
- Adams for Sengun is a straight swap. Bogdanovic and Sheppard have some overlap with Durant and VanVleet.
- With no Sengun or Adams, Houston went small with Eason up front.
Pace & shot selection
- Dominant on the offensive glass and led the preseason with a 129.8 offensive rating (one game).
- Thompson's offense lives at the rim; the jumper isn't there yet.
Player by player
| Player | Model GP | Model MPG | Model min | Preseason read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred VanVleet | 58 | 32.8 | 1,914 | Back, no limit visible. Runs the offense and shoots threes. |
| Alperen Sengun | 67 | 33.4 | 2,226 | Co-hub. Triple-double in 22 minutes. |
| Kevin Durant | 64 | 35.7 | 2,277 | Slightly fewer touches, same scorer. |
| Amen Thompson | 67 | 36.5 | 2,451 | Off-ball cutter now. Fewer assists. |
| Jabari Smith Jr. | 69 | 32.8 | 2,269 | Starter, losing some minutes to Eason. |
| Tari Eason | 60 | 26.0 | 1,569 | Bench energy, very efficient. Pushing for more minutes. |
| Steven Adams | 42 | 22.0 | 920 | Straight backup to Sengun. |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | 54 | 18.4 | 991 | Seventh man, backs up Durant. |
| Reed Sheppard | 69 | 21.9 | 1,504 | Ninth man. Shoots on sight in limited minutes. |
Preseason starting lineups
| Game | Opp | Starters | Out (ETR's noteworthy inactives) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | DAL | Fred VanVleet, Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant, Jabari Smith Jr., Alperen Sengun | |
| Oct 11 | DAL | Reed Sheppard, Marcus Smart, Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Clint Capela | KeviN Durant, Fred VanVleet, Alperen Sengun, Steven Adams |
| Oct 15 | OKC | Fred VanVleet, Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant, Jabari Smith Jr., Alperen Sengun | Steven Adams |
Summarized from ETR's 2026-27 Change Log and Preseason News (pulled Oct 18). Preseason minutes are mostly first-half numbers since starters rarely play second halves. Model GP/MPG/min are the ETR season projections this model uses, so the read shows where preseason usage agrees or disagrees with the minutes driving the win total. Projection moves ETR made during the preseason are noted under Minutes.