BOS Celtics #1 of 30
Projected wins
56.8
FanDuel 52.5 (o-135 / u+110) · record 3-1
Net rating
+6.30
avg over remaining games · 50% DARKO DPM + 50% DARKO market · DARKO off +4.68 · def +2.64
Next game / full strength
+5.90 / +6.31
2026-10-30 vs CHI · out: nobody (role 12+ mpg)
DARKO vs market
+5.98 / +6.63
net on DPM alone / market alone · wins 56.2 / 57.3
Minutes covered
18,720
of 18,720 remaining · fill 0 @ replacement
Roster
17
0 rookies on model/prior
Schedule
-0.28
avg opp net · 2 games unscheduled
ETR minutes mix
89% ETR
1% MPG from ETR FPPG · 10% ETR depth fill
ETR box (rated players)
102 pts
42 reb · 22 ast · 14.9 3pm · 89% of minutes
Roster assumptions minutes: per game: role MPG = mean of ETR + Monster ROS + ros_return, availability from Monster ROS (injury timelines); slate 10-28 (24 teams) on Monster daily minutes, pulled 10-28 15:39 · ETR per-game stats · rating = 50% DARKO DPM + 50% DARKO market per 100 poss · contrib = 5 × rating × minute share · names link to DataBallr
| Player | ETR slot | Pos | Age | GP | MPG | Min | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | 3PM | TO | FG% z | FT% z | FPPG | 9-cat rk | Share % | DPM | Mkt | Rating | O | D | O ctb | D ctb | Contrib |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum | PF1 | F | 28 | 66 | 35.2 | 2,339 | 28.1 | 8.6 | 5.9 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 3.5 | 3.0 | -1.55 | +0.85 | 48.6 | 8 | 12.5 | +4.47 | +4.90 | +4.68 | +4.21 | +0.26 | +2.63 | +0.16 | +2.93 |
| Derrick White | SG1 | G | 32 | 68 | 33.8 | 2,301 | 16.9 | 4.3 | 5.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 3.0 | 2.0 | -1.08 | +0.57 | 34.4 | 27 | 12.3 | +1.94 | +2.69 | +2.32 | +1.08 | +0.87 | +0.66 | +0.53 | +1.43 |
| Payton Pritchard | PG1 | G | 28 | 72 | 31.7 | 2,280 | 17.5 | 4.1 | 5.3 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 3.1 | 1.5 | -0.48 | +0.30 | 31.7 | 55 | 12.2 | +1.53 | +2.17 | +1.85 | +2.78 | -1.25 | +1.70 | -0.76 | +1.13 |
| Neemias Queta | C1 | C | 27 | 66 | 24.5 | 1,614 | 11.1 | 8.0 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 1.1 | +1.31 | -0.44 | 28.0 | 105 | 8.6 | +2.30 | +0.83 | +1.56 | -0.09 | +2.38 | -0.04 | +1.03 | +0.67 |
| Sam Hauser | SF2 | F | 28 | 67 | 24.0 | 1,610 | 9.8 | 3.5 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 2.7 | 0.5 | -0.51 | +0.00 | 17.7 | 198 | 8.6 | +0.58 | +0.77 | +0.67 | +0.80 | -0.23 | +0.34 | -0.10 | +0.29 |
| Paul GeorgeQ | SF1 | F | 36 | 48 | 32.1 | 1,553 | 20.3 | 5.2 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 2.9 | 2.1 | -0.87 | +0.62 | 36.1 | 66 | 8.3 | +1.55 | +2.12 | +1.83 | +0.62 | +0.93 | +0.26 | +0.39 | +0.76 |
| Baylor Scheierman | SG2 | G | 26 | 68 | 19.5 | 1,327 | 7.0 | 3.6 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 0.7 | -0.30 | +0.06 | 15.3 | 284 | 7.1 | -0.07 | +0.59 | +0.26 | -0.38 | +0.31 | -0.14 | +0.11 | +0.09 |
| Jordan Walsh | PF2 | G | 22 | 65 | 18.9 | 1,231 | 6.2 | 4.3 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.7 | -0.07 | -0.07 | 15.9 | 274 | 6.6 | +0.13 | +0.05 | +0.09 | -0.68 | +0.81 | -0.22 | +0.27 | +0.03 |
| Mitchell RobinsonD | C2 | C | 28 | 52 | 23.0 | 1,197 | 7.4 | 8.2 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.8 | +0.78 | -1.68 | 24.7 | 192 | 6.4 | +2.15 | +1.63 | +1.89 | +0.02 | +2.13 | +0.01 | +0.68 | +0.60 |
| Hugo Gonzalez | SG3 | G | 20 | 66 | 18.0 | 1,180 | 7.0 | 4.8 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.9 | +0.00 | -0.10 | 16.9 | 267 | 6.3 | -0.21 | -0.60 | -0.40 | -1.19 | +0.98 | -0.38 | +0.31 | -0.13 |
| Luka GarzaETR depth fill | C3 | C | 27 | 70 | 9.0 | 627 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 3.3 | +1.20 | -2.26 | -0.53 | +1.44 | -0.23 | +0.24 | -0.04 | -0.09 |
| Ron Harper Jr.ETR depth fill | PG3 | G | 26 | 45 | 13.0 | 585 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 3.1 | +0.29 | -2.13 | -0.92 | +0.22 | +0.07 | +0.03 | +0.01 | -0.14 |
| Mike ConleyETR depth fill | PG2 | G | 39 | 31 | 14.0 | 434 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2.3 | -1.69 | +1.29 | -0.20 | -2.16 | +0.48 | -0.25 | +0.05 | -0.02 |
| Devin CarterINJ 3g · back 11-02mpg from ETR FPPG | PG4 | G | 24 | 37 | 5.0 | 184 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 1.0 | -0.27 | -2.19 | -1.23 | -0.13 | -0.14 | -0.01 | -0.01 | -0.06 |
| Chris CenacETR depth fill | PF3 | F | 19 | 21 | 5.6 | 117 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 0.6 | -2.62 | -1.46 | -2.04 | -2.43 | -0.19 | -0.07 | -0.01 | -0.06 |
| Amari WilliamsETR depth fill | C4 | F | 24 | 16 | 4.8 | 77 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 0.4 | -2.13 | -4.05 | -3.09 | -2.78 | +0.66 | -0.06 | +0.01 | -0.06 |
| Dillon Mitchell | F | 23 | 21 | 3.0 | 64 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 0.3 | -2.19 | – | -2.19 | -1.75 | -0.44 | -0.03 | -0.01 | -0.04 | |
| Team | 18,720 | 102.2 | 41.8 | 22.3 | 6.5 | 4.5 | 14.9 | 10.3 | 100 | +7.33 | +7.34 | +4.69 | +2.64 | +7.32 |
PTS–TO are ETR per-game projections (recovered from ETR's 9-cat z-scores; blank = outside ETR's 9-cat top 300; method on the Inputs page). Team row = Σ(per-game × games)/82. Rating = 50% DARKO DPM + 50% DARKO market rating (DARKO's player rating implied by closing betting spreads, per 100 poss); DPM alone where DARKO has no market rating. Team row under DPM / Mkt = Σ contrib on that rating alone. O/D ctb split DARKO's DPM (the market rating has no O/D split), so they add up to the DPM side, not the blended contrib. Fill of 0 minutes at replacement DPM (-2.2) contributes -0.00. GP / MPG / Min are expected over the remaining games: each game's 240 minutes go to whoever is available (see Injuries & availability), so a player's rating only counts in the games he is projected to play. League-relative centering shifts every team by the same constant.
Injuries & availability Monster return dates · games played so far · chance to play each game = half Monster, half ETR preseason · role MPG = ETR + Monster
| Player | Inj | Risk | Out until | Games out | Played | Mon % | ETR % | Avail % | Next % | Exp GP | Season G | ETR G | Mon G | ETR MPG | Mon MPG | Role MPG | Exp min | Monster note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Carter | INJ 3g | high | 2026-11-02 | 2 | 0 | 54 | 43 | 48 | 0 | 36.7 | 36.7 | 35 | 41 | 19.1 | 10.0 | 10.0 | 184 | Injured - mononucleosis (Illness) - Est. Return 11/02 |
| Jayson Tatum | med | 0 | 4 | 90 | 81 | 85 | 85 | 66.5 | 70.5 | 67 | 70 | 35.3 | 35.0 | 35.1 | 2,339 | |||
| Derrick White | med | 0 | 4 | 90 | 85 | 87 | 87 | 68.0 | 72.0 | 70 | 70 | 33.7 | 34.0 | 33.8 | 2,301 | |||
| Paul George | Q | high | 0 | 4 | 64 | 60 | 62 | 50 | 48.4 | 52.4 | 51 | 50 | 32.2 | 32.0 | 32.1 | 1,553 | Questionable - Injury Maintenance - status for next game not specified yet | |
| Payton Pritchard | low | 0 | 4 | 95 | 90 | 92 | 92 | 72.0 | 76.0 | 74 | 74 | 32.3 | 31.0 | 31.6 | 2,280 | |||
| Neemias Queta | med | 0 | 4 | 90 | 80 | 85 | 85 | 66.0 | 70.0 | 66 | 70 | 24.9 | 24.0 | 24.4 | 1,614 | |||
| Sam Hauser | med | 0 | 4 | 90 | 82 | 86 | 86 | 67.0 | 71.0 | 68 | 70 | 23.0 | 25.0 | 24.0 | 1,610 | |||
| Mitchell Robinson | D | high | 0 | 4 | 78 | 56 | 67 | 20 | 52.0 | 56.0 | 48 | 61 | 22.3 | 23.0 | 23.0 | 1,197 | Doubtful - Injury Maintenance - Est. Return 10/30 - status for next game not specified yet | |
| Baylor Scheierman | med | 0 | 4 | 90 | 85 | 87 | 87 | 68.0 | 72.0 | 70 | 70 | 20.0 | 19.0 | 19.5 | 1,327 | |||
| Jordan Walsh | med | 0 | 4 | 90 | 77 | 83 | 83 | 65.0 | 69.0 | 64 | 70 | 19.9 | 18.0 | 18.9 | 1,231 | |||
| Hugo Gonzalez | med | 0 | 4 | 90 | 78 | 84 | 84 | 65.5 | 69.5 | 65 | 70 | 21.0 | 15.0 | 18.0 | 1,180 | |||
| Mike Conley | extreme | 0 | 1 | 40 | – | 40 | 40 | 31.0 | 32.0 | – | 31 | 12.0 | 16.0 | 14.0 | 434 | |||
| Ron Harper Jr. | med | 0 | 1 | 58 | – | 58 | 58 | 45.0 | 46.0 | – | 45 | 12.0 | 14.0 | 13.0 | 585 | |||
| Luka Garza | med | 0 | 4 | 90 | – | 90 | 90 | 70.0 | 74.0 | – | 70 | 12.0 | 13.0 | 12.5 | 627 | |||
| Chris Cenac | med | 0 | 1 | 27 | – | 27 | 27 | 21.0 | 22.0 | – | 21 | 12.0 | 10.0 | 11.0 | 117 |
Before his est. return a player gets none of this team's games (Q: half), so his rating comes out of exactly those games and his minutes go to whoever is available (bench first, starters stretch up to +20%). Once healthy he plays Avail % of games: half Monster's rest-of-season rate, half ETR's preseason games (less the games he has already played, which are settled; for a player coming back from an injury, ETR's per-game rate). Monster ROS dump 2026-10-27 11:46 ET (1.2 days old), 522 rostered, 58 with an est. return.
ETR notes Gallagher Top 150 + ETR depth chart
| Jayson Tatum | Gallagher #5 | BOS lacking usage puts huge workload on his plate; remarkably durable prior to Achilles tear at age 28 |
| Derrick White | Gallagher #34 | C&S craterted last year and needs to come back to hit ceiling; elite blocks from guard spot |
| Payton Pritchard | Gallagher #54 | Not many on BOS can scale up on usage; only 4 games missed combined last 3 years combined |
| Neemias Queta | Gallagher #123 | Stats got better late in year even when Tatum was back; could play a ton if/when Mitch Robinson is out |
| Paul George | Gallagher #79 | Mazzulla should manage him a bit but BOS system suits him well |
| Devin Carter | Depth chart | Vying for roster spot |
ETR depth chart ETR order · minutes the model uses
PG
Payton Pritchard
31.7 mpg × 72 g = 2,280
Mike Conley
14.0 mpg × 31 g = 434
Ron Harper Jr.
13.0 mpg × 45 g = 585
Devin Carter
5.0 mpg × 37 g = 184
SG
Derrick White
33.8 mpg × 68 g = 2,301
Baylor Scheierman
19.5 mpg × 68 g = 1,327
Hugo Gonzalez
18.0 mpg × 66 g = 1,180
SF
Paul George
32.1 mpg × 48 g = 1,553
Sam Hauser
24.0 mpg × 67 g = 1,610
PF
Jayson Tatum
35.2 mpg × 66 g = 2,339
Jordan Walsh
18.9 mpg × 65 g = 1,231
Chris Cenac
5.6 mpg × 21 g = 117
C
Neemias Queta
24.5 mpg × 66 g = 1,614
Mitchell Robinson
23.0 mpg × 52 g = 1,197
Luka Garza
9.0 mpg × 70 g = 627
Amari Williams 2W
4.8 mpg × 16 g = 77
Not on ETR's depth chart: Dillon Mitchell
Schedule 4 played · each remaining game uses both teams' nets for that date (who is out) · win prob from net-rating gap + 2.3 HCA, sd 12.5
| Date | Opp (net that game) | Our net | Win % | Result | Our players out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-20 | @ DET +3.7 | 51% | L 113-121 | ||
| 2026-10-23 | vs NYK +5.0 | 61% | W 107-103 | ||
| 2026-10-26 | vs CHI -5.1 | 86% | W 134-99 | ||
| 2026-10-27 | vs BKN -5.7 | 87% | W 125-124 | ||
| 2026-10-30 | vs CHI -5.2 | +5.9 | 86% | ||
| 2026-11-01 | @ ORL -0.5 | +6.3 | 64% | ||
| 2026-11-02 | @ HOU +4.4 | +6.3 | 49% | ||
| 2026-11-04 | vs MIL -6.5 | +6.3 | 89% | ||
| 2026-11-06 | @ CHA -0.2 | +6.3 | 63% | ||
| 2026-11-08 | @ MIL -6.5 | +6.3 | 80% | ||
| 2026-11-10 | @ PHI +2.5 | +6.3 | 55% | ||
| 2026-11-11 | @ TOR +0.0 | +6.3 | 62% | ||
| 2026-11-15 | vs DAL -4.3 | +6.3 | 85% | ||
| 2026-11-16 | vs ORL -0.2 | +6.3 | 76% | ||
| 2026-11-18 | @ DEN +3.4 | +6.3 | 52% | ||
| 2026-11-21 | @ SAC -8.4 | +6.3 | 84% | ||
| 2026-11-22 | @ GSW -0.3 | +6.3 | 64% | ||
| 2026-11-24 | @ WAS -5.1 | +6.3 | 77% | ||
| 2026-11-27 | vs ATL +0.8 | +6.3 | 73% | ||
| 2026-11-29 | @ SAS +5.9 | +6.3 | 44% | ||
| 2026-11-30 | @ DAL -4.3 | +6.3 | 75% | ||
| 2026-12-02 | vs CHA -0.2 | +6.3 | 76% | ||
| 2026-12-13 | @ BKN -5.7 | +6.3 | 78% | ||
| 2026-12-14 | vs WAS -5.1 | +6.3 | 86% | ||
| 2026-12-16 | vs WAS -5.1 | +6.3 | 86% | ||
| 2026-12-18 | vs UTA -4.4 | +6.3 | 85% | ||
| 2026-12-20 | vs DET +3.8 | +6.3 | 65% | ||
| 2026-12-23 | vs POR +2.4 | +6.3 | 69% | ||
| 2026-12-25 | vs MIA +0.5 | +6.3 | 74% | ||
| 2026-12-28 | vs CLE +2.3 | +6.3 | 69% | ||
| 2026-12-30 | @ CHI -5.2 | +6.3 | 77% | ||
| 2027-01-01 | @ UTA -4.4 | +6.3 | 75% | ||
| 2027-01-02 | @ POR +2.4 | +6.3 | 55% | ||
| 2027-01-04 | @ PHX -0.8 | +6.3 | 65% | ||
| 2027-01-07 | @ LAL +2.3 | +6.3 | 55% | ||
| 2027-01-09 | @ LAC -3.2 | +6.3 | 72% | ||
| 2027-01-11 | vs HOU +5.3 | +6.3 | 60% | ||
| 2027-01-13 | vs NYK +5.0 | +6.3 | 61% | ||
| 2027-01-16 | vs BKN -5.7 | +6.3 | 87% | ||
| 2027-01-18 | @ WAS -5.1 | +6.3 | 77% | ||
| 2027-01-20 | vs IND -0.0 | +6.3 | 76% | ||
| 2027-01-21 | vs PHI +2.5 | +6.3 | 69% | ||
| 2027-01-23 | vs CHA -0.2 | +6.3 | 76% | ||
| 2027-01-25 | vs TOR +2.8 | +6.3 | 68% | ||
| 2027-01-27 | vs LAC -3.2 | +6.3 | 83% | ||
| 2027-01-29 | vs PHX -0.8 | +6.3 | 77% | ||
| 2027-01-31 | @ TOR +2.8 | +6.3 | 54% | ||
| 2027-02-02 | vs LAL +2.3 | +6.3 | 69% | ||
| 2027-02-04 | @ CHA -0.2 | +6.3 | 63% | ||
| 2027-02-05 | @ ATL +0.8 | +6.3 | 60% | ||
| 2027-02-07 | @ PHI +2.5 | +6.3 | 55% | ||
| 2027-02-09 | vs DEN +3.4 | +6.3 | 66% | ||
| 2027-02-10 | vs GSW +1.2 | +6.3 | 72% | ||
| 2027-02-12 | vs MIN +2.8 | +6.3 | 68% | ||
| 2027-02-14 | vs TOR +2.8 | +6.3 | 68% | ||
| 2027-02-17 | @ OKC +4.7 | +6.3 | 48% | ||
| 2027-02-18 | @ MEM -3.4 | +6.3 | 72% | ||
| 2027-02-26 | vs CLE +2.3 | +6.3 | 69% | ||
| 2027-02-28 | @ MIN +2.8 | +6.3 | 54% | ||
| 2027-03-02 | @ IND +0.1 | +6.3 | 62% | ||
| 2027-03-05 | @ DET +3.8 | +6.3 | 51% | ||
| 2027-03-07 | vs PHI +2.5 | +6.3 | 69% | ||
| 2027-03-09 | @ CHI -5.2 | +6.3 | 77% | ||
| 2027-03-11 | vs MEM -3.4 | +6.3 | 83% | ||
| 2027-03-12 | vs OKC +4.7 | +6.3 | 62% | ||
| 2027-03-14 | @ NYK +5.0 | +6.3 | 47% | ||
| 2027-03-16 | vs SAC -8.4 | +6.3 | 91% | ||
| 2027-03-18 | vs ORL +1.0 | +6.3 | 73% | ||
| 2027-03-21 | vs NOP -4.6 | +6.3 | 85% | ||
| 2027-03-23 | @ BKN -5.7 | +6.3 | 78% | ||
| 2027-03-24 | vs SAS +5.9 | +6.3 | 59% | ||
| 2027-03-27 | @ MIA +0.5 | +6.3 | 61% | ||
| 2027-03-28 | @ NOP -4.6 | +6.3 | 75% | ||
| 2027-03-30 | @ IND +0.0 | +6.3 | 62% | ||
| 2027-04-01 | @ CLE +2.3 | +6.3 | 55% | ||
| 2027-04-02 | vs MIA +0.5 | +6.3 | 74% | ||
| 2027-04-04 | @ NYK +5.0 | +6.3 | 47% | ||
| 2027-04-07 | @ ORL +1.0 | +6.3 | 60% | ||
| 2027-04-09 | @ ATL +0.8 | +6.3 | 60% | ||
| 2027-04-11 | vs MIL -6.5 | +6.3 | 89% |
ETR preseason breakdown usage · minutes · who plays together · player by player · pace & shots, from Gallagher's game-by-game change log (Sept 28 – Oct 16)
Bottom line: Tatum and Paul George carry the usage, Pritchard is a sixth man with starter minutes, and the center job is split three ways. Mazzulla's three-point volume is intact.
Usage & ball-handling
- Jayson Tatum: 29.4% usage vs PHI, and he kept that role all preseason.
- Paul George: 30.0% usage in his Boston debut (15.5 first-half minutes). Jumper-heavy, with only one shot at the rim. He missed shots in the finale.
- Payton Pritchard is the PG2 behind White.
- With the top seven resting vs CLE, Mike Conley ran the B team and Devin Carter handled the second unit (15 first-half points).
Minutes & rotation
- Starters: Derrick White, Paul George, Jayson Tatum, Jordan Walsh, Mitchell Robinson.
- Pritchard comes off the bench but led the team in first-half minutes (18) vs CHA. Last year he played about the same as a reserve (31.6 MPG) as he did as a starter (32.8).
- Walsh starts but plays a short opening stint, only the first five first-half minutes vs PHI.
- Center: Neemias Queta gets the biggest share. He played 12:41 in the first half vs PHI, and 15:19 vs CHA against Robinson's 7:51 and Garza's 4:50. Luka Garza has locked up C3.
- Sam Hauser is the lead bench wing. Hugo Gonzalez is the low man (4:34 in the first half vs CHA), eighth man at best.
- Conley is out of the rotation when Boston is healthy.
Who plays together
- Pritchard got about six minutes alongside White in the first half vs PHI, so two-guard looks are part of the plan.
- Gonzalez only plays in the minutes Tatum sits.
- Walsh's minutes come in the opening stint, then Hauser takes over the wing.
Pace & shot selection
- The B team led the preseason in three-point rate (46 3PA per 100) and rebound rate (61 TRB%) vs CLE. Mazzulla's system hasn't changed.
- George's jumper-heavy diet fits that offense.
Player by player
| Player | Model GP | Model MPG | Model min | Preseason read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum | 66 | 35.2 | 2,339 | Full role, about 29% usage. |
| Paul George | 48 | 32.1 | 1,553 | 30% usage in his debut, almost all jumpers. Missed shots late in the preseason. |
| Derrick White | 68 | 33.8 | 2,301 | Starter. Shares some backcourt minutes with Pritchard. |
| Payton Pritchard | 72 | 31.7 | 2,280 | Sixth man with starter minutes. Led the team in first-half minutes vs CHA. |
| Jordan Walsh | 65 | 18.9 | 1,231 | Starting forward on a short leash: five-minute opening stints. |
| Mitchell Robinson | 52 | 23.0 | 1,197 | Starts but plays the fewest minutes of the three centers (7.8–8.3 in first halves). |
| Neemias Queta | 66 | 24.5 | 1,614 | The real C1 by minutes off the bench. |
| Luka Garza | 70 | 9.0 | 627 | C3, spot minutes. 16 points in 17 first-half minutes in the B-team game. |
| Sam Hauser | 67 | 24.0 | 1,610 | Lead bench wing. |
| Hugo Gonzalez | 66 | 18.0 | 1,180 | Only the non-Tatum minutes. Eighth man at best. |
| Baylor Scheierman | 68 | 19.5 | 1,327 | Secondary handler in the B-team game. Not in the main rotation. |
Preseason starting lineups
| Game | Opp | Starters | Out (ETR's noteworthy inactives) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8 | CLE | Mike Conley, Hugo Gonzalez, Baylor Scheierman, Jordan Walsh, Luka Garza | Jayson Tatum, Derrick White, Payton Pritchard, Paul George, Neemias Queta, Sam Hauser, Mitchell Robinson, Ron Harper Jr. |
| Oct 10 | PHI | Derrick White, Paul George, Jayson Tatum, Jordan Walsh, Mitchell Robinson | Mike Conley |
| Oct 14 | CHA | Derrick White, Paul George, Jayson Tatum, Jordan Walsh, Mitchell Robinson |
Summarized from ETR's 2026-27 Change Log and Preseason News (pulled Oct 18). Preseason minutes are mostly first-half numbers since starters rarely play second halves. Model GP/MPG/min are the ETR season projections this model uses, so the read shows where preseason usage agrees or disagrees with the minutes driving the win total. Projection moves ETR made during the preseason are noted under Minutes.