POR Trail Blazers #9 of 30
Projected wins
48.1
FanDuel 48.5 (o-110 / u-115) · record 3-0
Net rating
+2.53
avg over remaining games · 50% DARKO DPM + 50% DARKO market · DARKO off +3.18 · def +0.79
Next game / full strength
+2.60 / +2.83
2026-10-29 vs MEM · out: Shaedon Sharpe
DARKO vs market
+2.63 / +2.43
net on DPM alone / market alone · wins 48.3 / 47.9
Minutes covered
18,960
of 18,960 remaining · fill 0 @ replacement
Roster
17
0 rookies on model/prior
Schedule
+0.02
avg opp net · 2 games unscheduled
ETR minutes mix
81% ETR
8% MPG from ETR FPPG · 11% ETR depth fill
ETR box (rated players)
99 pts
37 reb · 24 ast · 11.7 3pm · 81% of minutes
Roster assumptions minutes: per game: role MPG = mean of ETR + Monster ROS + ros_return, availability from Monster ROS (injury timelines); slate 10-28 (24 teams) on Monster daily minutes, pulled 10-28 15:39 · ETR per-game stats · rating = 50% DARKO DPM + 50% DARKO market per 100 poss · contrib = 5 × rating × minute share · names link to DataBallr
| Player | ETR slot | Pos | Age | GP | MPG | Min | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | 3PM | TO | FG% z | FT% z | FPPG | 9-cat rk | Share % | DPM | Mkt | Rating | O | D | O ctb | D ctb | Contrib |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toumani Camara | SF1 | F | 26 | 70 | 33.2 | 2,337 | 12.3 | 5.4 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 1.5 | -0.55 | -0.17 | 25.7 | 97 | 12.3 | +1.17 | +0.74 | +0.95 | +0.21 | +0.95 | +0.13 | +0.59 | +0.59 |
| Deni Avdija | PF1 | F | 25 | 66 | 33.4 | 2,207 | 22.3 | 7.4 | 5.1 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 3.2 | -0.14 | +0.24 | 40.0 | 59 | 11.6 | +2.00 | +1.68 | +1.84 | +2.54 | -0.54 | +1.47 | -0.31 | +1.07 |
| Donovan Clingan | C1 | C | 22 | 68 | 28.0 | 1,904 | 12.2 | 11.8 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.4 | +0.48 | -0.69 | 35.3 | 36 | 10.0 | +1.49 | +0.54 | +1.01 | +0.05 | +1.44 | +0.03 | +0.72 | +0.51 |
| Damian Lillard | PG1 | G | 36 | 56 | 32.6 | 1,842 | 21.8 | 3.9 | 5.8 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 3.0 | 2.2 | -0.90 | +1.81 | 36.1 | 63 | 9.7 | +0.52 | +3.80 | +2.16 | +1.62 | -1.10 | +0.78 | -0.53 | +1.05 |
| Jrue Holiday | SG2 | G | 36 | 60 | 28.7 | 1,719 | 14.6 | 4.5 | 4.9 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 2.2 | -0.44 | +0.25 | 29.3 | 122 | 9.1 | +1.29 | +2.82 | +2.06 | +1.29 | +0.00 | +0.59 | +0.00 | +0.93 |
| Ja Morant | SG1 | G | 27 | 54 | 30.2 | 1,632 | 21.5 | 3.8 | 6.7 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 3.4 | -0.90 | +0.75 | 36.8 | 134 | 8.6 | +2.15 | +2.83 | +2.49 | +2.54 | -0.40 | +1.09 | -0.17 | +1.07 |
| Scoot HendersonQ | PG2 | G | 22 | 60 | 25.5 | 1,536 | 15.0 | 3.1 | 4.1 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.9 | 2.7 | -0.85 | +0.28 | 25.8 | 223 | 8.1 | -0.65 | -1.89 | -1.27 | -0.02 | -0.64 | -0.01 | -0.26 | -0.52 |
| Vit Krejci | SF2 | G | 26 | 60 | 21.2 | 1,259 | 7.4 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 0.7 | -0.21 | -0.02 | 14.6 | 290 | 6.6 | -0.45 | -1.45 | -0.95 | -0.71 | +0.26 | -0.23 | +0.09 | -0.32 |
| Sidy Cissokompg from ETR FPPG | PF2 | G | 22 | 63 | 19.6 | 1,233 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 14.3 | – | 6.5 | -0.08 | -0.62 | -0.35 | -1.19 | +1.10 | -0.39 | +0.36 | -0.12 |
| Robert Williams | C2 | C | 29 | 50 | 18.6 | 921 | 7.1 | 7.3 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 0.8 | +0.72 | -0.25 | 23.4 | 161 | 4.9 | +2.17 | +0.99 | +1.58 | +0.17 | +2.00 | +0.04 | +0.49 | +0.38 |
| Micah PotterETR depth fill | C4 | C | 28 | 71 | 12.6 | 897 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 4.7 | -0.13 | -4.22 | -2.17 | +0.07 | -0.20 | +0.02 | -0.05 | -0.51 |
| Branden CarlsonQETR depth fill | PF3 | C | 27 | 46 | 10.7 | 489 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2.6 | -0.76 | -1.44 | -1.10 | -0.52 | -0.24 | -0.07 | -0.03 | -0.14 |
| Yang HansenETR depth fill | C3 | C | 21 | 46 | 8.9 | 411 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2.2 | -1.82 | -3.84 | -2.83 | -2.04 | +0.22 | -0.22 | +0.02 | -0.31 |
| Shaedon SharpeINJ 57g · back 02-26mpg from ETR FPPG | SF1 | G | 23 | 10 | 24.0 | 244 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 1.3 | +0.10 | +0.05 | +0.07 | +1.16 | -1.07 | +0.08 | -0.07 | +0.01 |
| Chris YoungbloodGLGETR depth fill | SG3 | G | 24 | 16 | 8.1 | 129 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 0.7 | -1.54 | +0.11 | -0.71 | -1.20 | -0.34 | -0.04 | -0.01 | -0.02 |
| John TonjeGLG | F | 25 | 22 | 5.0 | 110 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 0.6 | -2.26 | -2.87 | -2.56 | -1.48 | -0.78 | -0.04 | -0.02 | -0.07 | |
| Jayson KentGLGETR depth fill | SF3 | G | 24 | 22 | 4.0 | 89 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 0.5 | -2.66 | -1.71 | -2.19 | -2.19 | -0.47 | -0.05 | -0.01 | -0.05 |
| Team | 18,960 | 99.2 | 37.2 | 24.1 | 6.1 | 4.4 | 11.7 | 13.4 | 100 | +3.96 | +3.11 | +3.17 | +0.79 | +3.55 |
PTS–TO are ETR per-game projections (recovered from ETR's 9-cat z-scores; blank = outside ETR's 9-cat top 300; method on the Inputs page). Team row = Σ(per-game × games)/82. Rating = 50% DARKO DPM + 50% DARKO market rating (DARKO's player rating implied by closing betting spreads, per 100 poss); DPM alone where DARKO has no market rating. Team row under DPM / Mkt = Σ contrib on that rating alone. O/D ctb split DARKO's DPM (the market rating has no O/D split), so they add up to the DPM side, not the blended contrib. Fill of 0 minutes at replacement DPM (-2.2) contributes -0.00. GP / MPG / Min are expected over the remaining games: each game's 240 minutes go to whoever is available (see Injuries & availability), so a player's rating only counts in the games he is projected to play. League-relative centering shifts every team by the same constant.
Injuries & availability Monster return dates · games played so far · chance to play each game = half Monster, half ETR preseason · role MPG = ETR + Monster
| Player | Inj | Risk | Out until | Games out | Played | Mon % | ETR % | Avail % | Next % | Exp GP | Season G | ETR G | Mon G | ETR MPG | Mon MPG | Role MPG | Exp min | Monster note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shaedon Sharpe | INJ 57g | high | 2027-02-26 | 56 | 0 | 65 | 23 | 44 | 0 | 10.2 | 10.2 | 19 | 15 | 24.7 | 24.0 | 24.0 | 244 | Injured - knee (Injury) - Est. Return 02/26 |
| Deni Avdija | high | 0 | 3 | 84 | 84 | 84 | 84 | 66.0 | 69.0 | 69 | 66 | 33.9 | 33.0 | 33.4 | 2,207 | |||
| Toumani Camara | med | 0 | 3 | 90 | 89 | 89 | 89 | 70.5 | 73.5 | 73 | 71 | 33.3 | 33.0 | 33.1 | 2,337 | |||
| Damian Lillard | high | 0 | 3 | 78 | 65 | 72 | 72 | 56.5 | 59.5 | 54 | 62 | 32.2 | 33.0 | 32.6 | 1,842 | |||
| Ja Morant | high | 0 | 3 | 71 | 66 | 68 | 68 | 54.0 | 57.0 | 55 | 56 | 31.4 | 29.0 | 30.2 | 1,632 | |||
| Jrue Holiday | high | 0 | 3 | 84 | 68 | 76 | 76 | 60.0 | 63.0 | 57 | 66 | 30.3 | 27.0 | 28.6 | 1,719 | |||
| Donovan Clingan | med | 0 | 3 | 90 | 82 | 86 | 86 | 68.0 | 71.0 | 68 | 71 | 28.0 | 28.0 | 28.0 | 1,904 | |||
| Scoot Henderson | Q | high | 0 | 3 | 84 | 70 | 77 | 50 | 60.2 | 63.2 | 58 | 66 | 28.0 | 23.0 | 25.5 | 1,536 | Questionable - left ankle soreness (Injury) | |
| Vit Krejci | high | 0 | 3 | 84 | 67 | 75 | 75 | 59.5 | 62.5 | 56 | 66 | 20.3 | 22.0 | 21.1 | 1,259 | |||
| Sidy Cissoko | med | 0 | 3 | 90 | 70 | 80 | 80 | 63.0 | 66.0 | 58 | 71 | 18.1 | 21.0 | 19.6 | 1,233 | |||
| Robert Williams | high | 0 | 3 | 66 | 60 | 63 | 63 | 49.5 | 52.5 | 50 | 52 | 19.2 | 18.0 | 18.6 | 921 | |||
| Micah Potter | med | 0 | 1 | 90 | – | 90 | 90 | 71.0 | 72.0 | – | 71 | 11.9 | 15.0 | 13.5 | 897 | |||
| Branden Carlson | Q | med | 0 | 0 | 58 | – | 58 | 50 | 45.9 | 45.9 | – | 46 | 11.9 | 13.0 | 12.5 | 489 | Questionable - concussion protocol (Injury) | |
| Yang Hansen | med | 0 | 1 | 58 | – | 58 | 58 | 46.0 | 47.0 | – | 46 | 11.9 | 9.0 | 10.5 | 411 | |||
| Chris Youngblood | GLG | med | 0 | 0 | 20 | – | 20 | 20 | 16.0 | 16.0 | – | 16 | 11.9 | 7.0 | 9.5 | 129 | G-League | |
| John Tonje | GLG | med | 0 | 0 | 28 | – | 28 | 28 | 22.0 | 22.0 | – | 22 | – | 8.0 | 8.0 | 110 | G-League | |
| Jayson Kent | GLG | med | 0 | 1 | 28 | – | 28 | 28 | 22.0 | 23.0 | – | 22 | 11.9 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 89 | G-League |
Before his est. return a player gets none of this team's games (Q: half), so his rating comes out of exactly those games and his minutes go to whoever is available (bench first, starters stretch up to +20%). Once healthy he plays Avail % of games: half Monster's rest-of-season rate, half ETR's preseason games (less the games he has already played, which are settled; for a player coming back from an injury, ETR's per-game rate). Monster ROS dump 2026-10-27 11:46 ET (1.2 days old), 522 rostered, 58 with an est. return.
ETR notes Gallagher Top 150 + ETR depth chart
| Toumani Camara | Gallagher #109 | A boring pick that has to play a ton because the Blazers don't have enough forwards |
| Deni Avdija | Gallagher #49 | Will face more usage competition but shouldn't lose too much after 24/7/7 on 60 TS% last year |
| Donovan Clingan | Gallagher #51 | Huge increase in minutes to 27.2 and would play even more if Robert Williams is on sidelines more (59 games last year) |
| Damian Lillard | Gallagher #67 | 18 months removed from Achilles tear and even won 3-point contest, but will have B2B management early |
| Jrue Holiday | Gallagher #130 | Jrue feels like a Nori guy and their team doesn't really work without his defense and connectivity |
| Ja Morant | Gallagher #100 | Should be healthy from Jan. elbow issue and minutes should come up without Iisalo, but fit is so weird |
| Shaedon Sharpe | Depth chart | Expected to miss most of the season |
ETR depth chart ETR order · minutes the model uses
PG
Damian Lillard
32.6 mpg × 56 g = 1,842
Scoot Henderson
25.5 mpg × 60 g = 1,536
SG
Ja Morant
30.2 mpg × 54 g = 1,632
Jrue Holiday
28.7 mpg × 60 g = 1,719
Chris Youngblood 2W
8.1 mpg × 16 g = 129
SF
Toumani Camara
33.2 mpg × 70 g = 2,337
Vit Krejci
21.2 mpg × 60 g = 1,259
Jayson Kent 2W
4.0 mpg × 22 g = 89
Shaedon Sharpe IR
24.0 mpg × 10 g = 244
PF
Deni Avdija
33.4 mpg × 66 g = 2,207
Sidy Cissoko
19.6 mpg × 63 g = 1,233
Branden Carlson
10.7 mpg × 46 g = 489
C
Donovan Clingan
28.0 mpg × 68 g = 1,904
Robert Williams
18.6 mpg × 50 g = 921
Yang Hansen
8.9 mpg × 46 g = 411
Micah Potter
12.6 mpg × 71 g = 897
Not on ETR's depth chart: John Tonje
Schedule 3 played · each remaining game uses both teams' nets for that date (who is out) · win prob from net-rating gap + 2.3 HCA, sd 12.5
| Date | Opp (net that game) | Our net | Win % | Result | Our players out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | vs PHX -0.7 | 67% | W 124-83 | ||
| 2026-10-23 | @ SAC -8.4 | 76% | W 128-120 | ||
| 2026-10-27 | @ LAL +2.4 | 43% | W 136-129 | ||
| 2026-10-29 | vs MEM -3.4 | +2.6 | 75% | Shaedon Sharpe | |
| 2026-10-31 | @ UTA -4.7 | +2.4 | 65% | Shaedon Sharpe | |
| 2026-11-02 | @ DEN +3.4 | +2.4 | 40% | Shaedon Sharpe | |
| 2026-11-04 | @ PHX -0.8 | +2.4 | 53% | Shaedon Sharpe | |
| 2026-11-06 | @ LAL +2.3 | +2.4 | 43% | Shaedon Sharpe | |
| 2026-11-07 | vs SAS +5.9 | +2.4 | 46% | Shaedon Sharpe | |
| 2026-11-10 | vs OKC +4.7 | +2.4 | 50% | Shaedon Sharpe | |
| 2026-11-11 | vs OKC +4.7 | +2.4 | 50% | Shaedon Sharpe | |
| 2026-11-13 | @ SAC -8.4 | +2.4 | 75% | Shaedon Sharpe | |
| 2026-11-16 | @ MIN +2.8 | +2.4 | 41% | Shaedon Sharpe | |
| 2026-11-17 | @ MIN +2.8 | +2.4 | 41% | Shaedon Sharpe | |
| 2026-11-19 | @ MIL -6.5 | +2.4 | 70% | Shaedon Sharpe | |
| 2026-11-21 | @ NYK +5.0 | +2.4 | 35% | Shaedon Sharpe | |
| 2026-11-23 | @ PHI +2.5 | +2.4 | 43% | Shaedon Sharpe | |
| 2026-11-25 | vs SAS +5.9 | +2.4 | 46% | Shaedon Sharpe | |
| 2026-11-27 | vs GSW -0.3 | +2.4 | 66% | Shaedon Sharpe | |
| 2026-11-29 | vs NOP -4.6 | +2.4 | 77% | Shaedon Sharpe | |
| 2026-12-01 | vs MIN +2.8 | +2.4 | 56% | Shaedon Sharpe | |
| 2026-12-03 | vs UTA -4.4 | +2.4 | 77% | Shaedon Sharpe | |
| 2026-12-12 | vs ATL +0.8 | +2.4 | 62% | Shaedon Sharpe | |
| 2026-12-15 | vs DEN +3.4 | +2.4 | 54% | Shaedon Sharpe | |
| 2026-12-17 | @ IND -0.0 | +2.4 | 50% | Shaedon Sharpe | |
| 2026-12-19 | @ CHA -0.2 | +2.4 | 51% | Shaedon Sharpe | |
| 2026-12-21 | @ BKN -5.7 | +2.4 | 68% | Shaedon Sharpe | |
| 2026-12-23 | @ BOS +6.3 | +2.4 | 31% | Shaedon Sharpe | |
| 2026-12-26 | @ WAS -5.1 | +2.4 | 66% | Shaedon Sharpe | |
| 2026-12-27 | @ DET +3.8 | +2.4 | 38% | Shaedon Sharpe | |
| 2026-12-29 | vs BKN -5.7 | +2.4 | 80% | Shaedon Sharpe | |
| 2027-01-02 | vs BOS +6.3 | +2.4 | 45% | Shaedon Sharpe | |
| 2027-01-04 | vs NYK +5.0 | +2.4 | 49% | Shaedon Sharpe | |
| 2027-01-06 | @ NOP -4.6 | +2.4 | 65% | Shaedon Sharpe | |
| 2027-01-07 | @ DAL -4.3 | +2.4 | 64% | Shaedon Sharpe | |
| 2027-01-09 | vs CHA -0.2 | +2.4 | 65% | Shaedon Sharpe | |
| 2027-01-12 | vs ORL +1.0 | +2.4 | 62% | Shaedon Sharpe | |
| 2027-01-13 | vs LAL +2.3 | +2.4 | 57% | Shaedon Sharpe | |
| 2027-01-15 | vs SAC -8.4 | +2.4 | 85% | Shaedon Sharpe | |
| 2027-01-17 | @ OKC +4.7 | +2.4 | 36% | Shaedon Sharpe | |
| 2027-01-19 | @ MIA +0.5 | +2.4 | 49% | Shaedon Sharpe | |
| 2027-01-20 | @ ATL +0.8 | +2.4 | 48% | Shaedon Sharpe | |
| 2027-01-22 | @ ORL +1.0 | +2.4 | 47% | Shaedon Sharpe | |
| 2027-01-24 | @ SAS +5.9 | +2.4 | 32% | Shaedon Sharpe | |
| 2027-01-26 | vs WAS -5.1 | +2.4 | 78% | Shaedon Sharpe | |
| 2027-01-27 | vs GSW -0.2 | +2.4 | 65% | Shaedon Sharpe | |
| 2027-01-31 | @ DEN +3.4 | +2.4 | 40% | Shaedon Sharpe | |
| 2027-02-02 | vs MIN +2.8 | +2.4 | 56% | Shaedon Sharpe | |
| 2027-02-04 | vs CLE +2.3 | +2.4 | 58% | Shaedon Sharpe | |
| 2027-02-06 | @ MEM -3.4 | +2.4 | 61% | Shaedon Sharpe | |
| 2027-02-08 | @ MEM -3.4 | +2.4 | 61% | Shaedon Sharpe | |
| 2027-02-09 | @ OKC +4.7 | +2.4 | 36% | Shaedon Sharpe | |
| 2027-02-11 | @ DAL -4.3 | +2.4 | 64% | Shaedon Sharpe | |
| 2027-02-13 | vs DET +3.8 | +2.4 | 53% | Shaedon Sharpe | |
| 2027-02-14 | vs CHI -5.2 | +2.4 | 78% | Shaedon Sharpe | |
| 2027-02-16 | vs NOP -4.6 | +2.4 | 77% | Shaedon Sharpe | |
| 2027-02-18 | vs IND +0.1 | +2.4 | 64% | Shaedon Sharpe | |
| 2027-02-26 | vs DAL -4.3 | +2.8 | 78% | ||
| 2027-02-28 | @ LAC -3.0 | +2.8 | 61% | ||
| 2027-03-02 | vs LAC -3.0 | +2.8 | 74% | ||
| 2027-03-04 | @ CLE +2.3 | +2.8 | 44% | ||
| 2027-03-05 | @ TOR +2.8 | +2.8 | 43% | ||
| 2027-03-07 | @ CHI -5.2 | +2.8 | 68% | ||
| 2027-03-09 | @ GSW +1.2 | +2.8 | 48% | ||
| 2027-03-10 | vs DEN +3.4 | +2.8 | 55% | ||
| 2027-03-13 | vs LAC -3.0 | +2.8 | 74% | ||
| 2027-03-16 | vs LAL +2.3 | +2.8 | 59% | ||
| 2027-03-17 | vs MIA +0.5 | +2.8 | 64% | ||
| 2027-03-19 | @ GSW +1.2 | +2.8 | 48% | ||
| 2027-03-21 | @ PHX -0.5 | +2.8 | 53% | ||
| 2027-03-23 | vs TOR +2.8 | +2.8 | 57% | ||
| 2027-03-26 | vs PHI +2.5 | +2.8 | 58% | ||
| 2027-03-27 | vs MIL -6.5 | +2.8 | 82% | ||
| 2027-03-30 | vs HOU +5.3 | +2.8 | 50% | ||
| 2027-03-31 | vs HOU +5.3 | +2.8 | 50% | ||
| 2027-04-02 | vs UTA -4.4 | +2.8 | 78% | ||
| 2027-04-04 | @ UTA -4.4 | +2.8 | 65% | ||
| 2027-04-07 | vs DAL -4.3 | +2.8 | 78% | ||
| 2027-04-09 | @ HOU +5.3 | +2.8 | 35% | ||
| 2027-04-11 | @ SAS +5.9 | +2.8 | 33% |
ETR preseason breakdown usage · minutes · who plays together · player by player · pace & shots, from Gallagher's game-by-game change log (Sept 28 – Oct 16)
Bottom line: Nori's Blazers pair Ja Morant at the point with Damian Lillard off the ball, ride Deni Avdija in three short stints per half, and split center between Clingan and Robert Williams III, the preseason's top two shot blockers on its best halfcourt defense.
Usage & ball-handling
- Ja Morant: primary handler no matter the lineup, and Nori calls him "the point." His usage was only 23.8% in the preseason. He came off the bench once (Scoot started), but ETR still expects him to start.
- Damian Lillard: mostly off the ball, looking for catch-and-shoot chances. In the finale he played 19 first-half minutes with 11 FTAs and 18 points in that span, and says he feels 29.
- Deni Avdija: 29.4% usage and 23 points in one game. All of his two-point attempts were at the rim, and his 81.2 TS% led qualified players.
- Scoot Henderson: third in TS% among 20%+ usage players, but 71.4% of his points came on threes. He cooled late.
Minutes & rotation
- Starters: Morant, Lillard, Avdija, Toumani Camara, Donovan Clingan. Jrue Holiday started when Lillard sat.
- Robert Williams III should play 18–20 minutes when healthy, which trims Clingan. Clingan's minutes rose when Williams sat, with Yang Hansen behind him.
- Scoot played 9.5 first-half minutes in the opener. Nori finds him time, and he is the injury insurance for Lillard and Morant.
- Holiday played 12 first-half minutes. Sidy Cissoko and Vit Krejci have locked up the ninth and 10th spots.
Who plays together
- Morant and Lillard overlapped a ton. Nori called it "a bit clunky" early and doesn't want Morant off the ball when they share the floor.
- When Morant came off the bench, he and Scoot covered all 24 first-half PG minutes with some overlap (only 86 seconds with neither).
- Avdija plays three stints per half to stay fresh.
Pace & shot selection
- First in halfcourt defense in the preseason. Williams and Clingan finished first and second in blocks per 100.
- Avdija is driving at will. Lillard's diet is catch-and-shoot plus free throws.
Player by player
| Player | Model GP | Model MPG | Model min | Preseason read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja Morant | 54 | 30.2 | 1,632 | The point guard, about 24% usage. |
| Damian Lillard | 56 | 32.6 | 1,842 | Off-ball scorer, healthy and getting to the line. |
| Deni Avdija | 66 | 33.4 | 2,207 | Three stints per half, very efficient. |
| Donovan Clingan | 68 | 28.0 | 1,904 | Starting C. Minutes trimmed by Williams. |
| Robert Williams III | 50 | 18.6 | 921 | 18–20 minutes, elite shot-blocking. |
| Toumani Camara | 70 | 33.2 | 2,337 | Starting forward, defense first. |
| Jrue Holiday | 60 | 28.7 | 1,719 | Rotation guard. Spot starter. |
| Scoot Henderson | 60 | 25.5 | 1,536 | Backup PG. Hot shooting cooled late. |
| Sidy Cissoko | 63 | 19.6 | 1,233 | Ninth man, locked in. |
| Vit Krejci | 60 | 21.2 | 1,259 | 10th man, locked in. |
Preseason starting lineups
| Game | Opp | Starters | Out (ETR's noteworthy inactives) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7 | GSW | Ja Morant, Damian Lillard, Deni Avdija, Toumani Camara, Donovan Clingan | |
| Oct 12 | non-NBA | Ja Morant, Jrue Holiday, Deni Avdija, Toumani Camara, Donovan Clingan | Damian Lillard, Robert Williams |
| Oct 13 | SAC | Scoot Henderson, Damian Lillard, Deni Avdija, Toumani Camara, Donovan Clingan |
Summarized from ETR's 2026-27 Change Log and Preseason News (pulled Oct 18). Preseason minutes are mostly first-half numbers since starters rarely play second halves. Model GP/MPG/min are the ETR season projections this model uses, so the read shows where preseason usage agrees or disagrees with the minutes driving the win total. Projection moves ETR made during the preseason are noted under Minutes.