Futures

NBA futures: sim fair value vs FanDuel

Simulated seasons

20,000

ran 2026-10-28 15:40 · 1.7s

FanDuel prices

2,147

pulled Oct 28 3:40 PM ET · 727 +EV

Team uncertainty

±2.5 net

Student-t, 5 df, per team per season

Shown

111

+EV bets passing the filters

Best by Kelly top 111 by full-Kelly fraction · ½ Kelly alongside

Type	Market	Bet	FanDuel	FD %	Fair	Fair %	Edge	EV %	Kelly %	½ Kelly %
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 6 Seed	Boston Celtics	-550	84.6	-2034	95.3	+10.7	+12.6	+69.5	+34.8
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 5 Seed	Boston Celtics	-360	78.3	-1156	92.0	+13.8	+17.6	+63.4	+31.7
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 4 Seed	Boston Celtics	-240	70.6	-691	87.4	+16.8	+23.7	+57.0	+28.5
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 3 Seed	Boston Celtics	-150	60.0	-392	79.7	+19.7	+32.8	+49.2	+24.6
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 6 Seed	Houston Rockets	-650	86.7	-1300	92.9	+6.2	+7.1	+46.4	+23.2
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 5 Seed	Houston Rockets	-350	77.8	-694	87.4	+9.6	+12.4	+43.3	+21.6
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 6 Seed	New York Knicks	-270	73.0	-514	83.7	+10.7	+14.7	+39.7	+19.9
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 2 Seed	Boston Celtics	+120	45.5	-200	66.6	+21.2	+46.6	+38.9	+19.4
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 4 Seed	Houston Rockets	-195	66.1	-380	79.2	+13.1	+19.8	+38.6	+19.3
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 5 Seed	New York Knicks	-175	63.6	-314	75.8	+12.2	+19.2	+33.5	+16.8
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 3 Seed	Houston Rockets	-105	51.2	-205	67.2	+15.9	+31.1	+32.7	+16.3
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 2 Seed	Houston Rockets	+210	32.3	-102	50.5	+18.2	+56.5	+26.9	+13.4
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 4 Seed	New York Knicks	-115	53.5	-185	64.9	+11.4	+21.4	+24.6	+12.3
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 1st Seed	Boston Celtics regular-season seed	+270	27.0	+130	43.5	+16.4	+60.8	+22.5	+11.3
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 6 Seed	Detroit Pistons	-340	77.3	-464	82.3	+5.0	+6.5	+22.0	+11.0
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 3 Seed	New York Knicks	+150	40.0	-105	51.2	+11.2	+27.9	+18.6	+9.3
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 1st Seed	Houston Rockets regular-season seed	+600	14.3	+250	28.6	+14.3	+99.9	+16.7	+8.3
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 5 Seed	Detroit Pistons	-230	69.7	-286	74.1	+4.4	+6.3	+14.4	+7.2
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 6 Seed	Golden State Warriors	+550	15.4	+292	25.5	+10.1	+65.9	+12.0	+6.0
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 4 Seed	Detroit Pistons	-145	59.2	-171	63.1	+3.9	+6.5	+9.5	+4.7
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 6 Seed	Denver Nuggets	-190	65.5	-219	68.6	+3.1	+4.8	+9.0	+4.5
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 2 Seed	New York Knicks	+260	27.8	+192	34.3	+6.5	+23.4	+9.0	+4.5
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 5 Seed	Golden State Warriors	+1000	9.1	+531	15.8	+6.8	+74.3	+7.4	+3.7
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 6 Seed	Orlando Magic	+230	30.3	+185	35.1	+4.8	+15.7	+6.8	+3.4
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 3 Seed	Detroit Pistons	+115	46.5	+100	49.9	+3.4	+7.3	+6.3	+3.2
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 6 Seed	Charlotte Hornets	+380	20.8	+295	25.3	+4.5	+21.4	+5.6	+2.8
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 6 Seed	Minnesota Timberwolves	-195	66.1	-212	68.0	+1.9	+2.8	+5.5	+2.7
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 5 Seed	Denver Nuggets	-110	52.4	-121	54.8	+2.4	+4.6	+5.1	+2.5
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 3 Seed	Denver Nuggets	+350	22.2	+284	26.0	+3.8	+17.1	+4.9	+2.4
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 4 Seed	Denver Nuggets	+170	37.0	+150	40.0	+2.9	+7.9	+4.7	+2.3
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 4 Seed	Golden State Warriors	+1900	5.0	+971	9.3	+4.3	+86.7	+4.6	+2.3
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 2nd Seed	Boston Celtics regular-season seed	+410	19.6	+331	23.2	+3.6	+18.3	+4.5	+2.2
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 2nd Seed	Houston Rockets regular-season seed	+440	18.5	+356	21.9	+3.4	+18.3	+4.2	+2.1
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 2nd Seed	New York Knicks regular-season seed	+550	15.4	+435	18.7	+3.3	+21.6	+3.9	+2.0
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 5 Seed	Orlando Magic	+350	22.2	+298	25.1	+2.9	+13.1	+3.7	+1.9
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 4 Seed	Minnesota Timberwolves	+170	37.0	+155	39.2	+2.1	+5.8	+3.4	+1.7
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 5 Seed	Charlotte Hornets	+600	14.3	+482	17.2	+2.9	+20.3	+3.4	+1.7
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 6th Seed	Golden State Warriors regular-season seed	+1400	6.7	+934	9.7	+3.0	+45.1	+3.2	+1.6
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 5th Seed	San Antonio Spurs regular-season seed	+1500	6.2	+991	9.2	+2.9	+46.7	+3.1	+1.6
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 2 Seed	Denver Nuggets	+750	11.8	+593	14.4	+2.7	+22.7	+3.0	+1.5
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 3rd Seed	New York Knicks regular-season seed	+600	14.3	+493	16.9	+2.6	+18.1	+3.0	+1.5
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 1st Seed	New York Knicks regular-season seed	+650	13.3	+542	15.6	+2.3	+16.9	+2.6	+1.3
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 4th Seed	Oklahoma City Thunder regular-season seed	+800	11.1	+646	13.4	+2.3	+20.7	+2.6	+1.3
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 8th Seed	Golden State Warriors regular-season seed	+600	14.3	+508	16.5	+2.2	+15.2	+2.5	+1.3
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 3 Seed	Golden State Warriors	+3500	2.8	+1836	5.2	+2.4	+85.9	+2.5	+1.2
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 7th Seed	Golden State Warriors regular-season seed	+750	11.8	+618	13.9	+2.2	+18.4	+2.5	+1.2
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 2 Seed	Minnesota Timberwolves	+700	12.5	+584	14.6	+2.1	+17.0	+2.4	+1.2
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 6th Seed	Philadelphia 76ers regular-season seed	+950	9.5	+755	11.7	+2.2	+22.8	+2.4	+1.2
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 5 Seed	Minnesota Timberwolves	-110	52.4	-115	53.5	+1.1	+2.2	+2.4	+1.2
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 5th Seed	Oklahoma City Thunder regular-season seed	+1300	7.1	+974	9.3	+2.2	+30.3	+2.3	+1.2
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 4th Seed	San Antonio Spurs regular-season seed	+800	11.1	+662	13.1	+2.0	+18.1	+2.3	+1.1
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 5th Seed	Golden State Warriors regular-season seed	+2200	4.3	+1436	6.5	+2.2	+49.7	+2.3	+1.1
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 7th Seed	Philadelphia 76ers regular-season seed	+1200	7.7	+936	9.7	+2.0	+25.5	+2.1	+1.1
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 7th Seed	San Antonio Spurs regular-season seed	+5500	1.8	+2528	3.8	+2.0	+113.1	+2.1	+1.0
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 6th Seed	San Antonio Spurs regular-season seed	+2500	3.8	+1624	5.8	+2.0	+50.8	+2.0	+1.0
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 2nd Seed	Detroit Pistons regular-season seed	+500	16.7	+447	18.3	+1.6	+9.6	+1.9	+1.0
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 6th Seed	Oklahoma City Thunder regular-season seed	+2000	4.8	+1420	6.6	+1.8	+38.2	+1.9	+1.0
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 3 Seed	Minnesota Timberwolves	+310	24.4	+288	25.8	+1.4	+5.8	+1.9	+0.9
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 7th Seed	Los Angeles Lakers regular-season seed	+700	12.5	+608	14.1	+1.6	+12.9	+1.8	+0.9
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 1st Seed	Denver Nuggets regular-season seed	+2200	4.3	+1547	6.1	+1.7	+39.6	+1.8	+0.9
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 8th Seed	Philadelphia 76ers regular-season seed	+1500	6.2	+1161	7.9	+1.7	+26.9	+1.8	+0.9
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 7th Seed	Oklahoma City Thunder regular-season seed	+4000	2.4	+2310	4.2	+1.7	+70.2	+1.8	+0.9
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 4 Seed	Orlando Magic	+550	15.4	+496	16.8	+1.4	+9.1	+1.7	+0.8
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 5th Seed	Philadelphia 76ers regular-season seed	+800	11.1	+696	12.6	+1.4	+13.0	+1.6	+0.8
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 7th Seed	Portland Trail Blazers regular-season seed	+800	11.1	+697	12.6	+1.4	+13.0	+1.6	+0.8
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 2 Seed	Golden State Warriors	+10000	1.0	+3783	2.6	+1.6	+160.1	+1.6	+0.8
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 1st Seed	Minnesota Timberwolves regular-season seed	+2000	4.8	+1503	6.2	+1.5	+31.0	+1.6	+0.8
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 4 Seed	Charlotte Hornets	+950	9.5	+817	10.9	+1.4	+14.5	+1.5	+0.8
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 8th Seed	Phoenix Suns regular-season seed	+600	14.3	+541	15.6	+1.3	+9.1	+1.5	+0.8
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 3rd Seed	Detroit Pistons regular-season seed	+550	15.4	+506	16.5	+1.1	+7.3	+1.3	+0.7
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 5th Seed	Orlando Magic regular-season seed	+1300	7.1	+1099	8.3	+1.2	+16.8	+1.3	+0.6
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 7th Seed	Cleveland Cavaliers regular-season seed	+950	9.5	+837	10.7	+1.2	+12.1	+1.3	+0.6
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 4th Seed	Golden State Warriors regular-season seed	+3300	2.9	+2298	4.2	+1.2	+41.8	+1.3	+0.6
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 8th Seed	Portland Trail Blazers regular-season seed	+1100	8.3	+968	9.4	+1.0	+12.4	+1.1	+0.6
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 7th Seed	Atlanta Hawks regular-season seed	+800	11.1	+727	12.1	+1.0	+8.8	+1.1	+0.5
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 8th Seed	Atlanta Hawks regular-season seed	+800	11.1	+729	12.1	+0.9	+8.5	+1.1	+0.5
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 6th Seed	Charlotte Hornets regular-season seed	+1300	7.1	+1133	8.1	+1.0	+13.5	+1.0	+0.5
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 6th Seed	Orlando Magic regular-season seed	+1000	9.1	+906	9.9	+0.9	+9.4	+0.9	+0.5
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 8th Seed	Los Angeles Lakers regular-season seed	+950	9.5	+866	10.3	+0.8	+8.7	+0.9	+0.5
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 8th Seed	Cleveland Cavaliers regular-season seed	+1100	8.3	+998	9.1	+0.8	+9.3	+0.8	+0.4
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 2nd Seed	Golden State Warriors regular-season seed	+12500	0.8	+6111	1.6	+0.8	+102.9	+0.8	+0.4
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 3rd Seed	Golden State Warriors regular-season seed	+5500	1.8	+3761	2.6	+0.8	+45.0	+0.8	+0.4
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 5th Seed	Cleveland Cavaliers regular-season seed	+750	11.8	+702	12.5	+0.7	+6.0	+0.8	+0.4
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 5th Seed	Charlotte Hornets regular-season seed	+1700	5.6	+1491	6.3	+0.7	+13.1	+0.8	+0.4
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 8th Seed	San Antonio Spurs regular-season seed	+8000	1.2	+4963	2.0	+0.7	+60.0	+0.8	+0.4
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 8th Seed	Oklahoma City Thunder regular-season seed	+6500	1.5	+4364	2.2	+0.7	+47.8	+0.7	+0.4
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 2nd Seed	Denver Nuggets regular-season seed	+1200	7.7	+1095	8.4	+0.7	+8.8	+0.7	+0.4
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 6th Seed	Toronto Raptors regular-season seed	+750	11.8	+710	12.3	+0.6	+5.0	+0.7	+0.3
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 3rd Seed	San Antonio Spurs regular-season seed	+470	17.5	+453	18.1	+0.5	+3.1	+0.7	+0.3
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 4th Seed	Orlando Magic regular-season seed	+1500	6.2	+1359	6.9	+0.6	+9.7	+0.6	+0.3
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 7th Seed	Orlando Magic regular-season seed	+800	11.1	+759	11.6	+0.5	+4.8	+0.6	+0.3
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 3rd Seed	Oklahoma City Thunder regular-season seed	+490	16.9	+474	17.4	+0.5	+2.9	+0.6	+0.3
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 6th Seed	Cleveland Cavaliers regular-season seed	+800	11.1	+761	11.6	+0.5	+4.5	+0.6	+0.3
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 6 Seed	Los Angeles Clippers	+3000	3.2	+2574	3.7	+0.5	+15.9	+0.5	+0.3
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 4th Seed	New York Knicks regular-season seed	+650	13.3	+626	13.8	+0.4	+3.3	+0.5	+0.3
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 8th Seed	Charlotte Hornets regular-season seed	+750	11.8	+720	12.2	+0.4	+3.7	+0.5	+0.2
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 3 Seed	Charlotte Hornets	+1600	5.9	+1481	6.3	+0.4	+7.5	+0.5	+0.2
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 3 Seed	Orlando Magic	+950	9.5	+907	9.9	+0.4	+4.3	+0.5	+0.2
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 7th Seed	Charlotte Hornets regular-season seed	+950	9.5	+913	9.9	+0.4	+3.7	+0.4	+0.2
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 4 Seed	Los Angeles Clippers	+12500	0.8	+8711	1.1	+0.3	+43.0	+0.3	+0.2
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 2 Seed	Phoenix Suns	+7000	1.4	+5731	1.7	+0.3	+21.8	+0.3	+0.2
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 1st Seed	Phoenix Suns regular-season seed	+22500	0.4	+13505	0.7	+0.3	+66.1	+0.3	+0.1
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 4th Seed	Charlotte Hornets regular-season seed	+2200	4.3	+2083	4.6	+0.2	+5.3	+0.2	+0.1
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 5 Seed	Los Angeles Clippers	+5500	1.8	+4888	2.0	+0.2	+12.3	+0.2	+0.1
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 8th Seed	Los Angeles Clippers regular-season seed	+1600	5.9	+1545	6.1	+0.2	+3.4	+0.2	+0.1
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 7th Seed	Toronto Raptors regular-season seed	+850	10.5	+835	10.7	+0.2	+1.6	+0.2	+0.1
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 8th Seed	Orlando Magic regular-season seed	+750	11.8	+745	11.8	+0.1	+0.6	+0.1	+0.0
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 5 Seed	Brooklyn Nets	+25000	0.4	+20953	0.5	+0.1	+19.2	+0.1	+0.0
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 2 Seed	Detroit Pistons	+200	33.3	+200	33.4	+0.0	+0.1	+0.1	+0.0
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 2nd Seed	Minnesota Timberwolves regular-season seed	+1100	8.3	+1093	8.4	+0.0	+0.6	+0.1	+0.0
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 4 Seed	Chicago Bulls	+25000	0.4	+24591	0.4	+0.0	+1.7	+0.0	+0.0

Best by EV top 111 by expected return per $1

Type	Market	Bet	FanDuel	FD %	Fair	Fair %	Edge	EV %	Kelly %	½ Kelly %
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 2 Seed	Golden State Warriors	+10000	1.0	+3783	2.6	+1.6	+160.1	+1.6	+0.8
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 7th Seed	San Antonio Spurs regular-season seed	+5500	1.8	+2528	3.8	+2.0	+113.1	+2.1	+1.0
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 2nd Seed	Golden State Warriors regular-season seed	+12500	0.8	+6111	1.6	+0.8	+102.9	+0.8	+0.4
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 1st Seed	Houston Rockets regular-season seed	+600	14.3	+250	28.6	+14.3	+99.9	+16.7	+8.3
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 4 Seed	Golden State Warriors	+1900	5.0	+971	9.3	+4.3	+86.7	+4.6	+2.3
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 3 Seed	Golden State Warriors	+3500	2.8	+1836	5.2	+2.4	+85.9	+2.5	+1.2
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 5 Seed	Golden State Warriors	+1000	9.1	+531	15.8	+6.8	+74.3	+7.4	+3.7
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 7th Seed	Oklahoma City Thunder regular-season seed	+4000	2.4	+2310	4.2	+1.7	+70.2	+1.8	+0.9
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 1st Seed	Phoenix Suns regular-season seed	+22500	0.4	+13505	0.7	+0.3	+66.1	+0.3	+0.1
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 6 Seed	Golden State Warriors	+550	15.4	+292	25.5	+10.1	+65.9	+12.0	+6.0
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 1st Seed	Boston Celtics regular-season seed	+270	27.0	+130	43.5	+16.4	+60.8	+22.5	+11.3
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 8th Seed	San Antonio Spurs regular-season seed	+8000	1.2	+4963	2.0	+0.7	+60.0	+0.8	+0.4
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 2 Seed	Houston Rockets	+210	32.3	-102	50.5	+18.2	+56.5	+26.9	+13.4
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 6th Seed	San Antonio Spurs regular-season seed	+2500	3.8	+1624	5.8	+2.0	+50.8	+2.0	+1.0
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 5th Seed	Golden State Warriors regular-season seed	+2200	4.3	+1436	6.5	+2.2	+49.7	+2.3	+1.1
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 8th Seed	Oklahoma City Thunder regular-season seed	+6500	1.5	+4364	2.2	+0.7	+47.8	+0.7	+0.4
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 5th Seed	San Antonio Spurs regular-season seed	+1500	6.2	+991	9.2	+2.9	+46.7	+3.1	+1.6
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 2 Seed	Boston Celtics	+120	45.5	-200	66.6	+21.2	+46.6	+38.9	+19.4
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 6th Seed	Golden State Warriors regular-season seed	+1400	6.7	+934	9.7	+3.0	+45.1	+3.2	+1.6
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 3rd Seed	Golden State Warriors regular-season seed	+5500	1.8	+3761	2.6	+0.8	+45.0	+0.8	+0.4
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 4 Seed	Los Angeles Clippers	+12500	0.8	+8711	1.1	+0.3	+43.0	+0.3	+0.2
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 4th Seed	Golden State Warriors regular-season seed	+3300	2.9	+2298	4.2	+1.2	+41.8	+1.3	+0.6
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 1st Seed	Denver Nuggets regular-season seed	+2200	4.3	+1547	6.1	+1.7	+39.6	+1.8	+0.9
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 6th Seed	Oklahoma City Thunder regular-season seed	+2000	4.8	+1420	6.6	+1.8	+38.2	+1.9	+1.0
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 3 Seed	Boston Celtics	-150	60.0	-392	79.7	+19.7	+32.8	+49.2	+24.6
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 3 Seed	Houston Rockets	-105	51.2	-205	67.2	+15.9	+31.1	+32.7	+16.3
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 1st Seed	Minnesota Timberwolves regular-season seed	+2000	4.8	+1503	6.2	+1.5	+31.0	+1.6	+0.8
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 5th Seed	Oklahoma City Thunder regular-season seed	+1300	7.1	+974	9.3	+2.2	+30.3	+2.3	+1.2
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 3 Seed	New York Knicks	+150	40.0	-105	51.2	+11.2	+27.9	+18.6	+9.3
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 8th Seed	Philadelphia 76ers regular-season seed	+1500	6.2	+1161	7.9	+1.7	+26.9	+1.8	+0.9
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 7th Seed	Philadelphia 76ers regular-season seed	+1200	7.7	+936	9.7	+2.0	+25.5	+2.1	+1.1
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 4 Seed	Boston Celtics	-240	70.6	-691	87.4	+16.8	+23.7	+57.0	+28.5
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 2 Seed	New York Knicks	+260	27.8	+192	34.3	+6.5	+23.4	+9.0	+4.5
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 6th Seed	Philadelphia 76ers regular-season seed	+950	9.5	+755	11.7	+2.2	+22.8	+2.4	+1.2
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 2 Seed	Denver Nuggets	+750	11.8	+593	14.4	+2.7	+22.7	+3.0	+1.5
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 2 Seed	Phoenix Suns	+7000	1.4	+5731	1.7	+0.3	+21.8	+0.3	+0.2
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 2nd Seed	New York Knicks regular-season seed	+550	15.4	+435	18.7	+3.3	+21.6	+3.9	+2.0
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 6 Seed	Charlotte Hornets	+380	20.8	+295	25.3	+4.5	+21.4	+5.6	+2.8
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 4 Seed	New York Knicks	-115	53.5	-185	64.9	+11.4	+21.4	+24.6	+12.3
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 4th Seed	Oklahoma City Thunder regular-season seed	+800	11.1	+646	13.4	+2.3	+20.7	+2.6	+1.3
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 5 Seed	Charlotte Hornets	+600	14.3	+482	17.2	+2.9	+20.3	+3.4	+1.7
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 4 Seed	Houston Rockets	-195	66.1	-380	79.2	+13.1	+19.8	+38.6	+19.3
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 5 Seed	Brooklyn Nets	+25000	0.4	+20953	0.5	+0.1	+19.2	+0.1	+0.0
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 5 Seed	New York Knicks	-175	63.6	-314	75.8	+12.2	+19.2	+33.5	+16.8
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 7th Seed	Golden State Warriors regular-season seed	+750	11.8	+618	13.9	+2.2	+18.4	+2.5	+1.2
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 2nd Seed	Houston Rockets regular-season seed	+440	18.5	+356	21.9	+3.4	+18.3	+4.2	+2.1
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 2nd Seed	Boston Celtics regular-season seed	+410	19.6	+331	23.2	+3.6	+18.3	+4.5	+2.2
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 4th Seed	San Antonio Spurs regular-season seed	+800	11.1	+662	13.1	+2.0	+18.1	+2.3	+1.1
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 3rd Seed	New York Knicks regular-season seed	+600	14.3	+493	16.9	+2.6	+18.1	+3.0	+1.5
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 5 Seed	Boston Celtics	-360	78.3	-1156	92.0	+13.8	+17.6	+63.4	+31.7
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 3 Seed	Denver Nuggets	+350	22.2	+284	26.0	+3.8	+17.1	+4.9	+2.4
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 2 Seed	Minnesota Timberwolves	+700	12.5	+584	14.6	+2.1	+17.0	+2.4	+1.2
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 1st Seed	New York Knicks regular-season seed	+650	13.3	+542	15.6	+2.3	+16.9	+2.6	+1.3
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 5th Seed	Orlando Magic regular-season seed	+1300	7.1	+1099	8.3	+1.2	+16.8	+1.3	+0.6
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 6 Seed	Los Angeles Clippers	+3000	3.2	+2574	3.7	+0.5	+15.9	+0.5	+0.3
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 6 Seed	Orlando Magic	+230	30.3	+185	35.1	+4.8	+15.7	+6.8	+3.4
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 8th Seed	Golden State Warriors regular-season seed	+600	14.3	+508	16.5	+2.2	+15.2	+2.5	+1.3
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 6 Seed	New York Knicks	-270	73.0	-514	83.7	+10.7	+14.7	+39.7	+19.9
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 4 Seed	Charlotte Hornets	+950	9.5	+817	10.9	+1.4	+14.5	+1.5	+0.8
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 6th Seed	Charlotte Hornets regular-season seed	+1300	7.1	+1133	8.1	+1.0	+13.5	+1.0	+0.5
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 5th Seed	Charlotte Hornets regular-season seed	+1700	5.6	+1491	6.3	+0.7	+13.1	+0.8	+0.4
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 5 Seed	Orlando Magic	+350	22.2	+298	25.1	+2.9	+13.1	+3.7	+1.9
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 5th Seed	Philadelphia 76ers regular-season seed	+800	11.1	+696	12.6	+1.4	+13.0	+1.6	+0.8
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 7th Seed	Portland Trail Blazers regular-season seed	+800	11.1	+697	12.6	+1.4	+13.0	+1.6	+0.8
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 7th Seed	Los Angeles Lakers regular-season seed	+700	12.5	+608	14.1	+1.6	+12.9	+1.8	+0.9
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 6 Seed	Boston Celtics	-550	84.6	-2034	95.3	+10.7	+12.6	+69.5	+34.8
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 8th Seed	Portland Trail Blazers regular-season seed	+1100	8.3	+968	9.4	+1.0	+12.4	+1.1	+0.6
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 5 Seed	Houston Rockets	-350	77.8	-694	87.4	+9.6	+12.4	+43.3	+21.6
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 5 Seed	Los Angeles Clippers	+5500	1.8	+4888	2.0	+0.2	+12.3	+0.2	+0.1
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 7th Seed	Cleveland Cavaliers regular-season seed	+950	9.5	+837	10.7	+1.2	+12.1	+1.3	+0.6
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 4th Seed	Orlando Magic regular-season seed	+1500	6.2	+1359	6.9	+0.6	+9.7	+0.6	+0.3
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 2nd Seed	Detroit Pistons regular-season seed	+500	16.7	+447	18.3	+1.6	+9.6	+1.9	+1.0
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 6th Seed	Orlando Magic regular-season seed	+1000	9.1	+906	9.9	+0.9	+9.4	+0.9	+0.5
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 8th Seed	Cleveland Cavaliers regular-season seed	+1100	8.3	+998	9.1	+0.8	+9.3	+0.8	+0.4
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 4 Seed	Orlando Magic	+550	15.4	+496	16.8	+1.4	+9.1	+1.7	+0.8
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 8th Seed	Phoenix Suns regular-season seed	+600	14.3	+541	15.6	+1.3	+9.1	+1.5	+0.8
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 2nd Seed	Denver Nuggets regular-season seed	+1200	7.7	+1095	8.4	+0.7	+8.8	+0.7	+0.4
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 7th Seed	Atlanta Hawks regular-season seed	+800	11.1	+727	12.1	+1.0	+8.8	+1.1	+0.5
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 8th Seed	Los Angeles Lakers regular-season seed	+950	9.5	+866	10.3	+0.8	+8.7	+0.9	+0.5
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 8th Seed	Atlanta Hawks regular-season seed	+800	11.1	+729	12.1	+0.9	+8.5	+1.1	+0.5
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 4 Seed	Denver Nuggets	+170	37.0	+150	40.0	+2.9	+7.9	+4.7	+2.3
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 3 Seed	Charlotte Hornets	+1600	5.9	+1481	6.3	+0.4	+7.5	+0.5	+0.2
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 3rd Seed	Detroit Pistons regular-season seed	+550	15.4	+506	16.5	+1.1	+7.3	+1.3	+0.7
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 3 Seed	Detroit Pistons	+115	46.5	+100	49.9	+3.4	+7.3	+6.3	+3.2
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 6 Seed	Houston Rockets	-650	86.7	-1300	92.9	+6.2	+7.1	+46.4	+23.2
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 4 Seed	Detroit Pistons	-145	59.2	-171	63.1	+3.9	+6.5	+9.5	+4.7
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 6 Seed	Detroit Pistons	-340	77.3	-464	82.3	+5.0	+6.5	+22.0	+11.0
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 5 Seed	Detroit Pistons	-230	69.7	-286	74.1	+4.4	+6.3	+14.4	+7.2
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 5th Seed	Cleveland Cavaliers regular-season seed	+750	11.8	+702	12.5	+0.7	+6.0	+0.8	+0.4
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 4 Seed	Minnesota Timberwolves	+170	37.0	+155	39.2	+2.1	+5.8	+3.4	+1.7
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 3 Seed	Minnesota Timberwolves	+310	24.4	+288	25.8	+1.4	+5.8	+1.9	+0.9
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 4th Seed	Charlotte Hornets regular-season seed	+2200	4.3	+2083	4.6	+0.2	+5.3	+0.2	+0.1
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 6th Seed	Toronto Raptors regular-season seed	+750	11.8	+710	12.3	+0.6	+5.0	+0.7	+0.3
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 7th Seed	Orlando Magic regular-season seed	+800	11.1	+759	11.6	+0.5	+4.8	+0.6	+0.3
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 6 Seed	Denver Nuggets	-190	65.5	-219	68.6	+3.1	+4.8	+9.0	+4.5
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 5 Seed	Denver Nuggets	-110	52.4	-121	54.8	+2.4	+4.6	+5.1	+2.5
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 6th Seed	Cleveland Cavaliers regular-season seed	+800	11.1	+761	11.6	+0.5	+4.5	+0.6	+0.3
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 3 Seed	Orlando Magic	+950	9.5	+907	9.9	+0.4	+4.3	+0.5	+0.2
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 7th Seed	Charlotte Hornets regular-season seed	+950	9.5	+913	9.9	+0.4	+3.7	+0.4	+0.2
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 8th Seed	Charlotte Hornets regular-season seed	+750	11.8	+720	12.2	+0.4	+3.7	+0.5	+0.2
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 8th Seed	Los Angeles Clippers regular-season seed	+1600	5.9	+1545	6.1	+0.2	+3.4	+0.2	+0.1
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 4th Seed	New York Knicks regular-season seed	+650	13.3	+626	13.8	+0.4	+3.3	+0.5	+0.3
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 3rd Seed	San Antonio Spurs regular-season seed	+470	17.5	+453	18.1	+0.5	+3.1	+0.7	+0.3
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 3rd Seed	Oklahoma City Thunder regular-season seed	+490	16.9	+474	17.4	+0.5	+2.9	+0.6	+0.3
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 6 Seed	Minnesota Timberwolves	-195	66.1	-212	68.0	+1.9	+2.8	+5.5	+2.7
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 5 Seed	Minnesota Timberwolves	-110	52.4	-115	53.5	+1.1	+2.2	+2.4	+1.2
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 4 Seed	Chicago Bulls	+25000	0.4	+24591	0.4	+0.0	+1.7	+0.0	+0.0
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 7th Seed	Toronto Raptors regular-season seed	+850	10.5	+835	10.7	+0.2	+1.6	+0.2	+0.1
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 8th Seed	Orlando Magic regular-season seed	+750	11.8	+745	11.8	+0.1	+0.6	+0.1	+0.0
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 2nd Seed	Minnesota Timberwolves regular-season seed	+1100	8.3	+1093	8.4	+0.0	+0.6	+0.1	+0.0
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 2 Seed	Detroit Pistons	+200	33.3	+200	33.4	+0.0	+0.1	+0.1	+0.0

Eastern Conference 1st Seed 11 prices · 2 +EV

Type	Market	Bet	FanDuel	FD %	Fair	Fair %	Edge	EV %	Kelly %	½ Kelly %
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 1st Seed	Boston Celtics regular-season seed	+270	27.0	+130	43.5	+16.4	+60.8	+22.5	+11.3
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 1st Seed	New York Knicks regular-season seed	+650	13.3	+542	15.6	+2.3	+16.9	+2.6	+1.3
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 1st Seed	Detroit Pistons regular-season seed	+490	16.9	+562	15.1	-1.8	-10.9	-2.2	-1.1
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 1st Seed	Philadelphia 76ers regular-season seed	+410	19.6	+1394	6.7	-12.9	-65.9	-16.1	-8.0
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 1st Seed	Toronto Raptors regular-season seed	+800	11.1	+1586	5.9	-5.2	-46.6	-5.8	-2.9
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 1st Seed	Cleveland Cavaliers regular-season seed	+750	11.8	+1728	5.5	-6.3	-53.5	-7.1	-3.6
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 1st Seed	Atlanta Hawks regular-season seed	+1900	5.0	+3916	2.5	-2.5	-50.2	-2.6	-1.3
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 1st Seed	Orlando Magic regular-season seed	+4500	2.2	+5108	1.9	-0.3	-11.7	-0.3	-0.1
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 1st Seed	Charlotte Hornets regular-season seed	+8000	1.2	+8411	1.2	-0.1	-4.8	-0.1	-0.0
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 1st Seed	Miami Heat regular-season seed	+4000	2.4	+10052	1.0	-1.5	-59.6	-1.5	-0.7
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 1st Seed	Indiana Pacers regular-season seed	+3000	3.2	+10317	1.0	-2.3	-70.2	-2.3	-1.2

Eastern Conference 2nd Seed 12 prices · 3 +EV

Type	Market	Bet	FanDuel	FD %	Fair	Fair %	Edge	EV %	Kelly %	½ Kelly %
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 2nd Seed	Boston Celtics regular-season seed	+410	19.6	+331	23.2	+3.6	+18.3	+4.5	+2.2
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 2nd Seed	New York Knicks regular-season seed	+550	15.4	+435	18.7	+3.3	+21.6	+3.9	+2.0
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 2nd Seed	Detroit Pistons regular-season seed	+500	16.7	+447	18.3	+1.6	+9.6	+1.9	+1.0
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 2nd Seed	Philadelphia 76ers regular-season seed	+500	16.7	+890	10.1	-6.6	-39.4	-7.9	-3.9
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 2nd Seed	Toronto Raptors regular-season seed	+800	11.1	+1083	8.5	-2.7	-23.9	-3.0	-1.5
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 2nd Seed	Cleveland Cavaliers regular-season seed	+700	12.5	+1120	8.2	-4.3	-34.4	-4.9	-2.5
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 2nd Seed	Atlanta Hawks regular-season seed	+1200	7.7	+2481	3.9	-3.8	-49.6	-4.1	-2.1
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 2nd Seed	Orlando Magic regular-season seed	+2700	3.6	+2991	3.2	-0.3	-9.4	-0.3	-0.2
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 2nd Seed	Charlotte Hornets regular-season seed	+4500	2.2	+4814	2.0	-0.1	-6.4	-0.1	-0.1
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 2nd Seed	Indiana Pacers regular-season seed	+2000	4.8	+5262	1.9	-2.9	-60.8	-3.0	-1.5
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 2nd Seed	Miami Heat regular-season seed	+2700	3.6	+5395	1.8	-1.8	-49.0	-1.8	-0.9
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 2nd Seed	Washington Wizards regular-season seed	+12500	0.8	+86857	0.1	-0.7	-85.5	-0.7	-0.3

Eastern Conference 3rd Seed 12 prices · 2 +EV

Type	Market	Bet	FanDuel	FD %	Fair	Fair %	Edge	EV %	Kelly %	½ Kelly %
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 3rd Seed	New York Knicks regular-season seed	+600	14.3	+493	16.9	+2.6	+18.1	+3.0	+1.5
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 3rd Seed	Detroit Pistons regular-season seed	+550	15.4	+506	16.5	+1.1	+7.3	+1.3	+0.7
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 3rd Seed	Boston Celtics regular-season seed	+500	16.7	+667	13.0	-3.6	-21.7	-4.3	-2.2
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 3rd Seed	Philadelphia 76ers regular-season seed	+550	15.4	+717	12.2	-3.1	-20.4	-3.7	-1.9
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 3rd Seed	Cleveland Cavaliers regular-season seed	+700	12.5	+811	11.0	-1.5	-12.2	-1.7	-0.9
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 3rd Seed	Toronto Raptors regular-season seed	+750	11.8	+835	10.7	-1.1	-9.1	-1.2	-0.6
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 3rd Seed	Atlanta Hawks regular-season seed	+1000	9.1	+1641	5.7	-3.3	-36.8	-3.7	-1.8
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 3rd Seed	Orlando Magic regular-season seed	+1900	5.0	+1992	4.8	-0.2	-4.4	-0.2	-0.1
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 3rd Seed	Charlotte Hornets regular-season seed	+3000	3.2	+3110	3.1	-0.1	-3.4	-0.1	-0.1
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 3rd Seed	Indiana Pacers regular-season seed	+1500	6.2	+3307	2.9	-3.3	-53.0	-3.5	-1.8
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 3rd Seed	Miami Heat regular-season seed	+1900	5.0	+3617	2.7	-2.3	-46.2	-2.4	-1.2
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 3rd Seed	Washington Wizards regular-season seed	+8000	1.2	+90809	0.1	-1.1	-91.1	-1.1	-0.6

Eastern Conference 4th Seed 12 prices · 3 +EV

Type	Market	Bet	FanDuel	FD %	Fair	Fair %	Edge	EV %	Kelly %	½ Kelly %
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 4th Seed	New York Knicks regular-season seed	+650	13.3	+626	13.8	+0.4	+3.3	+0.5	+0.3
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 4th Seed	Philadelphia 76ers regular-season seed	+650	13.3	+656	13.2	-0.1	-0.9	-0.1	-0.1
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 4th Seed	Detroit Pistons regular-season seed	+650	13.3	+659	13.2	-0.2	-1.2	-0.2	-0.1
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 4th Seed	Cleveland Cavaliers regular-season seed	+650	13.3	+729	12.1	-1.3	-9.5	-1.5	-0.7
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 4th Seed	Toronto Raptors regular-season seed	+750	11.8	+762	11.6	-0.2	-1.4	-0.2	-0.1
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 4th Seed	Atlanta Hawks regular-season seed	+900	10.0	+1159	7.9	-2.1	-20.5	-2.3	-1.1
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 4th Seed	Boston Celtics regular-season seed	+700	12.5	+1206	7.7	-4.8	-38.8	-5.5	-2.8
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 4th Seed	Orlando Magic regular-season seed	+1500	6.2	+1359	6.9	+0.6	+9.7	+0.6	+0.3
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 4th Seed	Charlotte Hornets regular-season seed	+2200	4.3	+2083	4.6	+0.2	+5.3	+0.2	+0.1
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 4th Seed	Indiana Pacers regular-season seed	+1200	7.7	+2178	4.4	-3.3	-42.9	-3.6	-1.8
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 4th Seed	Miami Heat regular-season seed	+1400	6.7	+2270	4.2	-2.4	-36.7	-2.6	-1.3
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 4th Seed	Washington Wizards regular-season seed	+5000	2.0	+51182	0.2	-1.8	-90.1	-1.8	-0.9

Eastern Conference 5th Seed 14 prices · 4 +EV

Type	Market	Bet	FanDuel	FD %	Fair	Fair %	Edge	EV %	Kelly %	½ Kelly %
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 5th Seed	Philadelphia 76ers regular-season seed	+800	11.1	+696	12.6	+1.4	+13.0	+1.6	+0.8
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 5th Seed	Cleveland Cavaliers regular-season seed	+750	11.8	+702	12.5	+0.7	+6.0	+0.8	+0.4
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 5th Seed	Toronto Raptors regular-season seed	+700	12.5	+705	12.4	-0.1	-0.6	-0.1	-0.0
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 5th Seed	Detroit Pistons regular-season seed	+700	12.5	+808	11.0	-1.5	-11.9	-1.7	-0.8
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 5th Seed	New York Knicks regular-season seed	+700	12.5	+817	10.9	-1.6	-12.8	-1.8	-0.9
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 5th Seed	Atlanta Hawks regular-season seed	+800	11.1	+989	9.2	-1.9	-17.3	-2.2	-1.1
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 5th Seed	Orlando Magic regular-season seed	+1300	7.1	+1099	8.3	+1.2	+16.8	+1.3	+0.6
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 5th Seed	Charlotte Hornets regular-season seed	+1700	5.6	+1491	6.3	+0.7	+13.1	+0.8	+0.4
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 5th Seed	Indiana Pacers regular-season seed	+1000	9.1	+1648	5.7	-3.4	-37.1	-3.7	-1.9
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 5th Seed	Miami Heat regular-season seed	+1100	8.3	+1684	5.6	-2.7	-32.7	-3.0	-1.5
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 5th Seed	Boston Celtics regular-season seed	+900	10.0	+2032	4.7	-5.3	-53.1	-5.9	-2.9
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 5th Seed	Washington Wizards regular-season seed	+3500	2.8	+30203	0.3	-2.4	-88.1	-2.5	-1.3
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 5th Seed	Chicago Bulls regular-season seed	+17500	0.6	+45355	0.2	-0.3	-61.3	-0.4	-0.2
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 5th Seed	Milwaukee Bucks regular-season seed	+25000	0.4	+124900	0.1	-0.3	-79.9	-0.3	-0.2

Eastern Conference 6th Seed 15 prices · 5 +EV

Type	Market	Bet	FanDuel	FD %	Fair	Fair %	Edge	EV %	Kelly %	½ Kelly %
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 6th Seed	Toronto Raptors regular-season seed	+750	11.8	+710	12.3	+0.6	+5.0	+0.7	+0.3
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 6th Seed	Philadelphia 76ers regular-season seed	+950	9.5	+755	11.7	+2.2	+22.8	+2.4	+1.2
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 6th Seed	Cleveland Cavaliers regular-season seed	+800	11.1	+761	11.6	+0.5	+4.5	+0.6	+0.3
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 6th Seed	Atlanta Hawks regular-season seed	+700	12.5	+851	10.5	-2.0	-15.9	-2.3	-1.1
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 6th Seed	Orlando Magic regular-season seed	+1000	9.1	+906	9.9	+0.9	+9.4	+0.9	+0.5
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 6th Seed	Detroit Pistons regular-season seed	+900	10.0	+1120	8.2	-1.8	-18.0	-2.0	-1.0
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 6th Seed	Charlotte Hornets regular-season seed	+1300	7.1	+1133	8.1	+1.0	+13.5	+1.0	+0.5
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 6th Seed	New York Knicks regular-season seed	+750	11.8	+1168	7.9	-3.9	-33.0	-4.4	-2.2
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 6th Seed	Miami Heat regular-season seed	+950	9.5	+1196	7.7	-1.8	-19.0	-2.0	-1.0
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 6th Seed	Indiana Pacers regular-season seed	+850	10.5	+1270	7.3	-3.2	-30.6	-3.6	-1.8
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 6th Seed	Boston Celtics regular-season seed	+1100	8.3	+2953	3.3	-5.1	-60.7	-5.5	-2.8
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 6th Seed	Washington Wizards regular-season seed	+3000	3.2	+18082	0.5	-2.7	-83.0	-2.8	-1.4
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 6th Seed	Chicago Bulls regular-season seed	+12500	0.8	+22889	0.4	-0.4	-45.2	-0.4	-0.2
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 6th Seed	Brooklyn Nets regular-season seed	+25000	0.4	+46412	0.2	-0.2	-46.0	-0.2	-0.1
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 6th Seed	Milwaukee Bucks regular-season seed	+15000	0.7	+49900	0.2	-0.5	-69.8	-0.5	-0.2

Eastern Conference 7th Seed 15 prices · 6 +EV

Type	Market	Bet	FanDuel	FD %	Fair	Fair %	Edge	EV %	Kelly %	½ Kelly %
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 7th Seed	Atlanta Hawks regular-season seed	+800	11.1	+727	12.1	+1.0	+8.8	+1.1	+0.5
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 7th Seed	Orlando Magic regular-season seed	+800	11.1	+759	11.6	+0.5	+4.8	+0.6	+0.3
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 7th Seed	Toronto Raptors regular-season seed	+850	10.5	+835	10.7	+0.2	+1.6	+0.2	+0.1
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 7th Seed	Cleveland Cavaliers regular-season seed	+950	9.5	+837	10.7	+1.2	+12.1	+1.3	+0.6
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 7th Seed	Charlotte Hornets regular-season seed	+950	9.5	+913	9.9	+0.4	+3.7	+0.4	+0.2
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 7th Seed	Indiana Pacers regular-season seed	+700	12.5	+934	9.7	-2.8	-22.6	-3.2	-1.6
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 7th Seed	Philadelphia 76ers regular-season seed	+1200	7.7	+936	9.7	+2.0	+25.5	+2.1	+1.1
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 7th Seed	Miami Heat regular-season seed	+750	11.8	+938	9.6	-2.1	-18.1	-2.4	-1.2
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 7th Seed	Detroit Pistons regular-season seed	+1300	7.1	+1578	6.0	-1.2	-16.6	-1.3	-0.6
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 7th Seed	New York Knicks regular-season seed	+900	10.0	+1608	5.9	-4.1	-41.4	-4.6	-2.3
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 7th Seed	Boston Celtics regular-season seed	+1700	5.6	+5364	1.8	-3.7	-67.1	-3.9	-2.0
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 7th Seed	Washington Wizards regular-season seed	+1800	5.3	+9246	1.1	-4.2	-79.7	-4.4	-2.2
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 7th Seed	Chicago Bulls regular-season seed	+6500	1.5	+15404	0.6	-0.9	-57.4	-0.9	-0.4
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 7th Seed	Brooklyn Nets regular-season seed	+12500	0.8	+23156	0.4	-0.4	-45.8	-0.4	-0.2
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 7th Seed	Milwaukee Bucks regular-season seed	+8000	1.2	+34383	0.3	-0.9	-76.5	-1.0	-0.5

Eastern Conference 8th Seed 15 prices · 5 +EV

Type	Market	Bet	FanDuel	FD %	Fair	Fair %	Edge	EV %	Kelly %	½ Kelly %
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 8th Seed	Miami Heat regular-season seed	+700	12.5	+716	12.3	-0.2	-2.0	-0.3	-0.1
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 8th Seed	Charlotte Hornets regular-season seed	+750	11.8	+720	12.2	+0.4	+3.7	+0.5	+0.2
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 8th Seed	Atlanta Hawks regular-season seed	+800	11.1	+729	12.1	+0.9	+8.5	+1.1	+0.5
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 8th Seed	Orlando Magic regular-season seed	+750	11.8	+745	11.8	+0.1	+0.6	+0.1	+0.0
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 8th Seed	Indiana Pacers regular-season seed	+700	12.5	+762	11.6	-0.9	-7.2	-1.0	-0.5
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 8th Seed	Cleveland Cavaliers regular-season seed	+1100	8.3	+998	9.1	+0.8	+9.3	+0.8	+0.4
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 8th Seed	Toronto Raptors regular-season seed	+950	9.5	+1007	9.0	-0.5	-5.2	-0.5	-0.3
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 8th Seed	Philadelphia 76ers regular-season seed	+1500	6.2	+1161	7.9	+1.7	+26.9	+1.8	+0.9
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 8th Seed	Detroit Pistons regular-season seed	+1500	6.2	+2125	4.5	-1.8	-28.1	-1.9	-0.9
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 8th Seed	New York Knicks regular-season seed	+1200	7.7	+2301	4.2	-3.5	-45.9	-3.8	-1.9
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 8th Seed	Washington Wizards regular-season seed	+1300	7.1	+6189	1.6	-5.6	-77.7	-6.0	-3.0
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 8th Seed	Chicago Bulls regular-season seed	+3500	2.8	+7253	1.4	-1.4	-51.0	-1.5	-0.7
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 8th Seed	Boston Celtics regular-season seed	+2000	4.8	+9074	1.1	-3.7	-77.1	-3.9	-1.9
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 8th Seed	Brooklyn Nets regular-season seed	+6500	1.5	+14084	0.7	-0.8	-53.5	-0.8	-0.4
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference 8th Seed	Milwaukee Bucks regular-season seed	+4000	2.4	+17141	0.6	-1.9	-76.2	-1.9	-1.0

Eastern Conference Top 2 Seed 12 prices · 3 +EV

Type	Market	Bet	FanDuel	FD %	Fair	Fair %	Edge	EV %	Kelly %	½ Kelly %
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 2 Seed	Boston Celtics	+120	45.5	-200	66.6	+21.2	+46.6	+38.9	+19.4
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 2 Seed	New York Knicks	+260	27.8	+192	34.3	+6.5	+23.4	+9.0	+4.5
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 2 Seed	Detroit Pistons	+200	33.3	+200	33.4	+0.0	+0.1	+0.1	+0.0
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 2 Seed	Philadelphia 76ers	+180	35.7	+495	16.8	-18.9	-53.0	-29.4	-14.7
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 2 Seed	Toronto Raptors	+380	20.8	+595	14.4	-6.5	-31.0	-8.2	-4.1
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 2 Seed	Cleveland Cavaliers	+320	23.8	+632	13.7	-10.1	-42.6	-13.3	-6.7
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 2 Seed	Atlanta Hawks	+750	11.8	+1471	6.4	-5.4	-45.9	-6.1	-3.1
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 2 Seed	Orlando Magic	+1800	5.3	+1840	5.2	-0.1	-2.1	-0.1	-0.1
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 2 Seed	Charlotte Hornets	+3000	3.2	+3015	3.2	-0.0	-0.5	-0.0	-0.0
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 2 Seed	Indiana Pacers	+1200	7.7	+3440	2.8	-4.9	-63.3	-5.3	-2.6
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 2 Seed	Miami Heat	+1700	5.6	+3465	2.8	-2.8	-49.5	-2.9	-1.5
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 2 Seed	Washington Wizards	+10000	1.0	+43378	0.2	-0.8	-76.8	-0.8	-0.4

Eastern Conference Top 3 Seed 12 prices · 5 +EV

Type	Market	Bet	FanDuel	FD %	Fair	Fair %	Edge	EV %	Kelly %	½ Kelly %
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 3 Seed	Boston Celtics	-150	60.0	-392	79.7	+19.7	+32.8	+49.2	+24.6
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 3 Seed	New York Knicks	+150	40.0	-105	51.2	+11.2	+27.9	+18.6	+9.3
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 3 Seed	Detroit Pistons	+115	46.5	+100	49.9	+3.4	+7.3	+6.3	+3.2
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 3 Seed	Philadelphia 76ers	+100	50.0	+244	29.0	-21.0	-41.9	-41.9	-21.0
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 3 Seed	Toronto Raptors	+210	32.3	+299	25.1	-7.2	-22.3	-10.6	-5.3
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 3 Seed	Cleveland Cavaliers	+180	35.7	+306	24.6	-11.1	-31.0	-17.2	-8.6
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 3 Seed	Atlanta Hawks	+400	20.0	+726	12.1	-7.9	-39.5	-9.9	-4.9
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 3 Seed	Orlando Magic	+950	9.5	+907	9.9	+0.4	+4.3	+0.5	+0.2
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 3 Seed	Charlotte Hornets	+1600	5.9	+1481	6.3	+0.4	+7.5	+0.5	+0.2
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 3 Seed	Indiana Pacers	+650	13.3	+1636	5.8	-7.6	-56.8	-8.7	-4.4
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 3 Seed	Miami Heat	+900	10.0	+1720	5.5	-4.5	-45.1	-5.0	-2.5
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 3 Seed	Washington Wizards	+5000	2.0	+29312	0.3	-1.6	-82.7	-1.7	-0.8

Eastern Conference Top 4 Seed 14 prices · 6 +EV

Type	Market	Bet	FanDuel	FD %	Fair	Fair %	Edge	EV %	Kelly %	½ Kelly %
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 4 Seed	Boston Celtics	-240	70.6	-691	87.4	+16.8	+23.7	+57.0	+28.5
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 4 Seed	New York Knicks	-115	53.5	-185	64.9	+11.4	+21.4	+24.6	+12.3
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 4 Seed	Detroit Pistons	-145	59.2	-171	63.1	+3.9	+6.5	+9.5	+4.7
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 4 Seed	Philadelphia 76ers	-155	60.8	+137	42.3	-18.5	-30.5	-47.2	-23.6
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 4 Seed	Cleveland Cavaliers	+110	47.6	+172	36.7	-10.9	-22.9	-20.8	-10.4
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 4 Seed	Toronto Raptors	+135	42.6	+173	36.7	-5.9	-13.8	-10.2	-5.1
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 4 Seed	Atlanta Hawks	+240	29.4	+399	20.1	-9.4	-31.8	-13.3	-6.6
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 4 Seed	Orlando Magic	+550	15.4	+496	16.8	+1.4	+9.1	+1.7	+0.8
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 4 Seed	Charlotte Hornets	+950	9.5	+817	10.9	+1.4	+14.5	+1.5	+0.8
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 4 Seed	Indiana Pacers	+400	20.0	+885	10.2	-9.8	-49.2	-12.3	-6.2
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 4 Seed	Miami Heat	+500	16.7	+929	9.7	-7.0	-41.7	-8.3	-4.2
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 4 Seed	Washington Wizards	+2700	3.6	+18592	0.5	-3.0	-85.0	-3.1	-1.6
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 4 Seed	Chicago Bulls	+25000	0.4	+24591	0.4	+0.0	+1.7	+0.0	+0.0
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 4 Seed	Milwaukee Bucks	+25000	0.4	+58724	0.2	-0.2	-57.3	-0.2	-0.1

Eastern Conference Top 5 Seed 15 prices · 6 +EV

Type	Market	Bet	FanDuel	FD %	Fair	Fair %	Edge	EV %	Kelly %	½ Kelly %
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 5 Seed	Boston Celtics	-360	78.3	-1156	92.0	+13.8	+17.6	+63.4	+31.7
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 5 Seed	New York Knicks	-175	63.6	-314	75.8	+12.2	+19.2	+33.5	+16.8
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 5 Seed	Detroit Pistons	-230	69.7	-286	74.1	+4.4	+6.3	+14.4	+7.2
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 5 Seed	Philadelphia 76ers	-240	70.6	-121	54.8	-15.8	-22.3	-53.6	-26.8
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 5 Seed	Cleveland Cavaliers	-140	58.3	+103	49.2	-9.2	-15.7	-22.0	-11.0
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 5 Seed	Toronto Raptors	-115	53.5	+104	49.1	-4.4	-8.2	-9.5	-4.7
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 5 Seed	Atlanta Hawks	+155	39.2	+242	29.2	-10.0	-25.4	-16.4	-8.2
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 5 Seed	Orlando Magic	+350	22.2	+298	25.1	+2.9	+13.1	+3.7	+1.9
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 5 Seed	Charlotte Hornets	+600	14.3	+482	17.2	+2.9	+20.3	+3.4	+1.7
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 5 Seed	Indiana Pacers	+250	28.6	+530	15.9	-12.7	-44.5	-17.8	-8.9
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 5 Seed	Miami Heat	+320	23.8	+553	15.3	-8.5	-35.7	-11.1	-5.6
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 5 Seed	Washington Wizards	+1700	5.6	+11461	0.9	-4.7	-84.4	-5.0	-2.5
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 5 Seed	Chicago Bulls	+12500	0.8	+15900	0.6	-0.2	-21.2	-0.2	-0.1
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 5 Seed	Brooklyn Nets	+25000	0.4	+20953	0.5	+0.1	+19.2	+0.1	+0.0
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 5 Seed	Milwaukee Bucks	+12500	0.8	+39900	0.2	-0.5	-68.5	-0.5	-0.3

Eastern Conference Top 6 Seed 15 prices · 5 +EV

Type	Market	Bet	FanDuel	FD %	Fair	Fair %	Edge	EV %	Kelly %	½ Kelly %
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 6 Seed	Boston Celtics	-550	84.6	-2034	95.3	+10.7	+12.6	+69.5	+34.8
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 6 Seed	New York Knicks	-270	73.0	-514	83.7	+10.7	+14.7	+39.7	+19.9
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 6 Seed	Detroit Pistons	-340	77.3	-464	82.3	+5.0	+6.5	+22.0	+11.0
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 6 Seed	Philadelphia 76ers	-350	77.8	-199	66.5	-11.3	-14.5	-50.7	-25.3
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 6 Seed	Toronto Raptors	-170	63.0	-159	61.4	-1.5	-2.4	-4.1	-2.1
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 6 Seed	Cleveland Cavaliers	-210	67.7	-155	60.8	-7.0	-10.3	-21.6	-10.8
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 6 Seed	Atlanta Hawks	+100	50.0	+152	39.8	-10.2	-20.5	-20.5	-10.2
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 6 Seed	Orlando Magic	+230	30.3	+185	35.1	+4.8	+15.7	+6.8	+3.4
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 6 Seed	Charlotte Hornets	+380	20.8	+295	25.3	+4.5	+21.4	+5.6	+2.8
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 6 Seed	Indiana Pacers	+165	37.7	+332	23.2	-14.6	-38.6	-23.4	-11.7
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 6 Seed	Miami Heat	+210	32.3	+334	23.0	-9.2	-28.6	-13.6	-6.8
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 6 Seed	Washington Wizards	+1000	9.1	+6967	1.4	-7.7	-84.4	-8.4	-4.2
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 6 Seed	Chicago Bulls	+7000	1.4	+9334	1.1	-0.3	-24.7	-0.4	-0.2
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 6 Seed	Brooklyn Nets	+12500	0.8	+14393	0.7	-0.1	-13.1	-0.1	-0.1
Exact / top-N seed	Eastern Conference Top 6 Seed	Milwaukee Bucks	+8000	1.2	+22122	0.4	-0.8	-63.5	-0.8	-0.4

Western Conference 1st Seed 8 prices · 4 +EV

Type	Market	Bet	FanDuel	FD %	Fair	Fair %	Edge	EV %	Kelly %	½ Kelly %
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 1st Seed	Houston Rockets regular-season seed	+600	14.3	+250	28.6	+14.3	+99.9	+16.7	+8.3
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 1st Seed	Oklahoma City Thunder regular-season seed	+160	38.5	+324	23.6	-14.9	-38.7	-24.2	-12.1
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 1st Seed	San Antonio Spurs regular-season seed	+170	37.0	+325	23.5	-13.5	-36.5	-21.5	-10.7
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 1st Seed	Minnesota Timberwolves regular-season seed	+2000	4.8	+1503	6.2	+1.5	+31.0	+1.6	+0.8
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 1st Seed	Denver Nuggets regular-season seed	+2200	4.3	+1547	6.1	+1.7	+39.6	+1.8	+0.9
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 1st Seed	Portland Trail Blazers regular-season seed	+1600	5.9	+1774	5.3	-0.5	-9.3	-0.6	-0.3
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 1st Seed	Los Angeles Lakers regular-season seed	+2000	4.8	+2157	4.4	-0.3	-7.0	-0.3	-0.2
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 1st Seed	Phoenix Suns regular-season seed	+22500	0.4	+13505	0.7	+0.3	+66.1	+0.3	+0.1

Western Conference 2nd Seed 10 prices · 4 +EV

Type	Market	Bet	FanDuel	FD %	Fair	Fair %	Edge	EV %	Kelly %	½ Kelly %
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 2nd Seed	San Antonio Spurs regular-season seed	+230	30.3	+345	22.5	-7.8	-25.9	-11.2	-5.6
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 2nd Seed	Houston Rockets regular-season seed	+440	18.5	+356	21.9	+3.4	+18.3	+4.2	+2.1
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 2nd Seed	Oklahoma City Thunder regular-season seed	+270	27.0	+376	21.0	-6.0	-22.2	-8.2	-4.1
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 2nd Seed	Minnesota Timberwolves regular-season seed	+1100	8.3	+1093	8.4	+0.0	+0.6	+0.1	+0.0
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 2nd Seed	Denver Nuggets regular-season seed	+1200	7.7	+1095	8.4	+0.7	+8.8	+0.7	+0.4
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 2nd Seed	Portland Trail Blazers regular-season seed	+1000	9.1	+1152	8.0	-1.1	-12.1	-1.2	-0.6
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 2nd Seed	Los Angeles Lakers regular-season seed	+1100	8.3	+1447	6.5	-1.9	-22.4	-2.0	-1.0
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 2nd Seed	Golden State Warriors regular-season seed	+12500	0.8	+6111	1.6	+0.8	+102.9	+0.8	+0.4
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 2nd Seed	Phoenix Suns regular-season seed	+8000	1.2	+10104	1.0	-0.3	-20.6	-0.3	-0.1
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 2nd Seed	Memphis Grizzlies regular-season seed	+12500	0.8	+33798	0.3	-0.5	-62.8	-0.5	-0.3

Western Conference 3rd Seed 11 prices · 3 +EV

Type	Market	Bet	FanDuel	FD %	Fair	Fair %	Edge	EV %	Kelly %	½ Kelly %
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 3rd Seed	San Antonio Spurs regular-season seed	+470	17.5	+453	18.1	+0.5	+3.1	+0.7	+0.3
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 3rd Seed	Oklahoma City Thunder regular-season seed	+490	16.9	+474	17.4	+0.5	+2.9	+0.6	+0.3
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 3rd Seed	Houston Rockets regular-season seed	+380	20.8	+499	16.7	-4.1	-19.9	-5.2	-2.6
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 3rd Seed	Denver Nuggets regular-season seed	+750	11.8	+764	11.6	-0.2	-1.6	-0.2	-0.1
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 3rd Seed	Minnesota Timberwolves regular-season seed	+700	12.5	+795	11.2	-1.3	-10.6	-1.5	-0.8
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 3rd Seed	Portland Trail Blazers regular-season seed	+600	14.3	+854	10.5	-3.8	-26.6	-4.4	-2.2
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 3rd Seed	Los Angeles Lakers regular-season seed	+700	12.5	+991	9.2	-3.3	-26.7	-3.8	-1.9
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 3rd Seed	Golden State Warriors regular-season seed	+5500	1.8	+3761	2.6	+0.8	+45.0	+0.8	+0.4
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 3rd Seed	Phoenix Suns regular-season seed	+4000	2.4	+6189	1.6	-0.8	-34.8	-0.9	-0.4
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 3rd Seed	Memphis Grizzlies regular-season seed	+8000	1.2	+20953	0.5	-0.8	-61.5	-0.8	-0.4
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 3rd Seed	Dallas Mavericks regular-season seed	+12500	0.8	+48680	0.2	-0.6	-74.2	-0.6	-0.3

Western Conference 4th Seed 14 prices · 3 +EV

Type	Market	Bet	FanDuel	FD %	Fair	Fair %	Edge	EV %	Kelly %	½ Kelly %
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 4th Seed	Denver Nuggets regular-season seed	+550	15.4	+617	13.9	-1.4	-9.4	-1.7	-0.9
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 4th Seed	Oklahoma City Thunder regular-season seed	+800	11.1	+646	13.4	+2.3	+20.7	+2.6	+1.3
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 4th Seed	Minnesota Timberwolves regular-season seed	+600	14.3	+647	13.4	-0.9	-6.3	-1.1	-0.5
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 4th Seed	San Antonio Spurs regular-season seed	+800	11.1	+662	13.1	+2.0	+18.1	+2.3	+1.1
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 4th Seed	Portland Trail Blazers regular-season seed	+500	16.7	+678	12.9	-3.8	-22.8	-4.6	-2.3
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 4th Seed	Los Angeles Lakers regular-season seed	+550	15.4	+723	12.2	-3.2	-21.0	-3.8	-1.9
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 4th Seed	Houston Rockets regular-season seed	+480	17.2	+733	12.0	-5.2	-30.4	-6.3	-3.2
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 4th Seed	Golden State Warriors regular-season seed	+3300	2.9	+2298	4.2	+1.2	+41.8	+1.3	+0.6
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 4th Seed	Phoenix Suns regular-season seed	+2200	4.3	+3325	2.9	-1.4	-32.8	-1.5	-0.7
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 4th Seed	Memphis Grizzlies regular-season seed	+4000	2.4	+12021	0.8	-1.6	-66.2	-1.7	-0.8
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 4th Seed	Los Angeles Clippers regular-season seed	+17500	0.6	+19317	0.5	-0.1	-9.4	-0.1	-0.0
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 4th Seed	Dallas Mavericks regular-season seed	+6000	1.6	+33233	0.3	-1.3	-81.7	-1.4	-0.7
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 4th Seed	Utah Jazz regular-season seed	+17500	0.6	+48680	0.2	-0.4	-63.9	-0.4	-0.2
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 4th Seed	New Orleans Pelicans regular-season seed	+15000	0.7	+58724	0.2	-0.5	-74.3	-0.5	-0.2

Western Conference 5th Seed 14 prices · 3 +EV

Type	Market	Bet	FanDuel	FD %	Fair	Fair %	Edge	EV %	Kelly %	½ Kelly %
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 5th Seed	Denver Nuggets regular-season seed	+500	16.7	+574	14.8	-1.8	-11.0	-2.2	-1.1
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 5th Seed	Los Angeles Lakers regular-season seed	+500	16.7	+582	14.7	-2.0	-12.0	-2.4	-1.2
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 5th Seed	Minnesota Timberwolves regular-season seed	+500	16.7	+597	14.3	-2.3	-14.0	-2.8	-1.4
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 5th Seed	Portland Trail Blazers regular-season seed	+500	16.7	+599	14.3	-2.4	-14.2	-2.8	-1.4
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 5th Seed	Oklahoma City Thunder regular-season seed	+1300	7.1	+974	9.3	+2.2	+30.3	+2.3	+1.2
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 5th Seed	San Antonio Spurs regular-season seed	+1500	6.2	+991	9.2	+2.9	+46.7	+3.1	+1.6
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 5th Seed	Houston Rockets regular-season seed	+600	14.3	+1115	8.2	-6.1	-42.4	-7.1	-3.5
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 5th Seed	Golden State Warriors regular-season seed	+2200	4.3	+1436	6.5	+2.2	+49.7	+2.3	+1.1
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 5th Seed	Phoenix Suns regular-season seed	+1500	6.2	+1979	4.8	-1.4	-23.0	-1.5	-0.8
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 5th Seed	Memphis Grizzlies regular-season seed	+2500	3.8	+6150	1.6	-2.2	-58.4	-2.3	-1.2
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 5th Seed	Los Angeles Clippers regular-season seed	+10000	1.0	+11394	0.9	-0.1	-12.1	-0.1	-0.1
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 5th Seed	Dallas Mavericks regular-season seed	+3500	2.8	+15525	0.6	-2.1	-77.0	-2.2	-1.1
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 5th Seed	New Orleans Pelicans regular-season seed	+10000	1.0	+26567	0.4	-0.6	-62.1	-0.6	-0.3
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 5th Seed	Utah Jazz regular-season seed	+8000	1.2	+33798	0.3	-0.9	-76.1	-1.0	-0.5

Western Conference 6th Seed 14 prices · 3 +EV

Type	Market	Bet	FanDuel	FD %	Fair	Fair %	Edge	EV %	Kelly %	½ Kelly %
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 6th Seed	Portland Trail Blazers regular-season seed	+550	15.4	+576	14.8	-0.6	-3.9	-0.7	-0.4
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 6th Seed	Los Angeles Lakers regular-season seed	+550	15.4	+584	14.6	-0.8	-5.0	-0.9	-0.5
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 6th Seed	Minnesota Timberwolves regular-season seed	+500	16.7	+593	14.4	-2.2	-13.4	-2.7	-1.3
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 6th Seed	Denver Nuggets regular-season seed	+500	16.7	+623	13.8	-2.8	-17.0	-3.4	-1.7
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 6th Seed	Golden State Warriors regular-season seed	+1400	6.7	+934	9.7	+3.0	+45.1	+3.2	+1.6
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 6th Seed	Phoenix Suns regular-season seed	+1000	9.1	+1185	7.8	-1.3	-14.4	-1.4	-0.7
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 6th Seed	Oklahoma City Thunder regular-season seed	+2000	4.8	+1420	6.6	+1.8	+38.2	+1.9	+1.0
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 6th Seed	San Antonio Spurs regular-season seed	+2500	3.8	+1624	5.8	+2.0	+50.8	+2.0	+1.0
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 6th Seed	Houston Rockets regular-season seed	+850	10.5	+1733	5.5	-5.1	-48.2	-5.7	-2.8
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 6th Seed	Memphis Grizzlies regular-season seed	+1500	6.2	+3446	2.8	-3.4	-54.9	-3.7	-1.8
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 6th Seed	Los Angeles Clippers regular-season seed	+5000	2.0	+5664	1.7	-0.2	-11.5	-0.2	-0.1
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 6th Seed	Dallas Mavericks regular-season seed	+2000	4.8	+8303	1.2	-3.6	-75.0	-3.8	-1.9
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 6th Seed	Utah Jazz regular-season seed	+4500	2.2	+15052	0.7	-1.5	-69.6	-1.5	-0.8
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 6th Seed	New Orleans Pelicans regular-season seed	+5000	2.0	+16707	0.6	-1.4	-69.7	-1.4	-0.7

Western Conference 7th Seed 14 prices · 5 +EV

Type	Market	Bet	FanDuel	FD %	Fair	Fair %	Edge	EV %	Kelly %	½ Kelly %
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 7th Seed	Los Angeles Lakers regular-season seed	+700	12.5	+608	14.1	+1.6	+12.9	+1.8	+0.9
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 7th Seed	Golden State Warriors regular-season seed	+750	11.8	+618	13.9	+2.2	+18.4	+2.5	+1.2
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 7th Seed	Portland Trail Blazers regular-season seed	+800	11.1	+697	12.6	+1.4	+13.0	+1.6	+0.8
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 7th Seed	Minnesota Timberwolves regular-season seed	+650	13.3	+713	12.3	-1.0	-7.8	-1.2	-0.6
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 7th Seed	Denver Nuggets regular-season seed	+650	13.3	+745	11.8	-1.5	-11.2	-1.7	-0.9
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 7th Seed	Phoenix Suns regular-season seed	+700	12.5	+785	11.3	-1.2	-9.6	-1.4	-0.7
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 7th Seed	Memphis Grizzlies regular-season seed	+950	9.5	+1872	5.1	-4.5	-46.8	-4.9	-2.5
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 7th Seed	Oklahoma City Thunder regular-season seed	+4000	2.4	+2310	4.2	+1.7	+70.2	+1.8	+0.9
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 7th Seed	San Antonio Spurs regular-season seed	+5500	1.8	+2528	3.8	+2.0	+113.1	+2.1	+1.0
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 7th Seed	Houston Rockets regular-season seed	+1600	5.9	+3035	3.2	-2.7	-45.8	-2.9	-1.4
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 7th Seed	Los Angeles Clippers regular-season seed	+2500	3.8	+3141	3.1	-0.8	-19.8	-0.8	-0.4
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 7th Seed	Dallas Mavericks regular-season seed	+1200	7.7	+4617	2.1	-5.6	-72.4	-6.0	-3.0
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 7th Seed	New Orleans Pelicans regular-season seed	+2200	4.3	+7447	1.3	-3.0	-69.5	-3.2	-1.6
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 7th Seed	Utah Jazz regular-season seed	+2000	4.8	+9032	1.1	-3.7	-77.0	-3.9	-1.9

Western Conference 8th Seed 15 prices · 7 +EV

Type	Market	Bet	FanDuel	FD %	Fair	Fair %	Edge	EV %	Kelly %	½ Kelly %
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 8th Seed	Golden State Warriors regular-season seed	+600	14.3	+508	16.5	+2.2	+15.2	+2.5	+1.3
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 8th Seed	Phoenix Suns regular-season seed	+600	14.3	+541	15.6	+1.3	+9.1	+1.5	+0.8
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 8th Seed	Los Angeles Lakers regular-season seed	+950	9.5	+866	10.3	+0.8	+8.7	+0.9	+0.5
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 8th Seed	Portland Trail Blazers regular-season seed	+1100	8.3	+968	9.4	+1.0	+12.4	+1.1	+0.6
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 8th Seed	Denver Nuggets regular-season seed	+900	10.0	+1033	8.8	-1.2	-11.7	-1.3	-0.7
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 8th Seed	Memphis Grizzlies regular-season seed	+750	11.8	+1040	8.8	-3.0	-25.5	-3.4	-1.7
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 8th Seed	Minnesota Timberwolves regular-season seed	+900	10.0	+1061	8.6	-1.4	-13.9	-1.5	-0.8
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 8th Seed	Los Angeles Clippers regular-season seed	+1600	5.9	+1545	6.1	+0.2	+3.4	+0.2	+0.1
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 8th Seed	Dallas Mavericks regular-season seed	+850	10.5	+2137	4.5	-6.1	-57.5	-6.8	-3.4
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 8th Seed	New Orleans Pelicans regular-season seed	+1500	6.2	+3590	2.7	-3.5	-56.6	-3.8	-1.9
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 8th Seed	Utah Jazz regular-season seed	+1400	6.7	+3900	2.5	-4.2	-62.5	-4.5	-2.2
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 8th Seed	Oklahoma City Thunder regular-season seed	+6500	1.5	+4364	2.2	+0.7	+47.8	+0.7	+0.4
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 8th Seed	San Antonio Spurs regular-season seed	+8000	1.2	+4963	2.0	+0.7	+60.0	+0.8	+0.4
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 8th Seed	Houston Rockets regular-season seed	+2200	4.3	+5205	1.9	-2.5	-56.6	-2.6	-1.3
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference 8th Seed	Sacramento Kings regular-season seed	+15000	0.7	+60506	0.2	-0.5	-75.1	-0.5	-0.3

Western Conference Top 2 Seed 9 prices · 5 +EV

Type	Market	Bet	FanDuel	FD %	Fair	Fair %	Edge	EV %	Kelly %	½ Kelly %
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 2 Seed	Houston Rockets	+210	32.3	-102	50.5	+18.2	+56.5	+26.9	+13.4
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 2 Seed	San Antonio Spurs	-185	64.9	+118	46.0	-18.9	-29.2	-54.0	-27.0
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 2 Seed	Oklahoma City Thunder	-175	63.6	+124	44.6	-19.0	-29.9	-52.3	-26.2
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 2 Seed	Minnesota Timberwolves	+700	12.5	+584	14.6	+2.1	+17.0	+2.4	+1.2
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 2 Seed	Denver Nuggets	+750	11.8	+593	14.4	+2.7	+22.7	+3.0	+1.5
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 2 Seed	Portland Trail Blazers	+600	14.3	+650	13.3	-1.0	-6.7	-1.1	-0.6
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 2 Seed	Los Angeles Lakers	+700	12.5	+818	10.9	-1.6	-12.8	-1.8	-0.9
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 2 Seed	Golden State Warriors	+10000	1.0	+3783	2.6	+1.6	+160.1	+1.6	+0.8
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 2 Seed	Phoenix Suns	+7000	1.4	+5731	1.7	+0.3	+21.8	+0.3	+0.2

Western Conference Top 3 Seed 13 prices · 4 +EV

Type	Market	Bet	FanDuel	FD %	Fair	Fair %	Edge	EV %	Kelly %	½ Kelly %
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 3 Seed	Houston Rockets	-105	51.2	-205	67.2	+15.9	+31.1	+32.7	+16.3
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 3 Seed	San Antonio Spurs	-400	80.0	-178	64.0	-16.0	-19.9	-79.8	-39.9
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 3 Seed	Oklahoma City Thunder	-350	77.8	-164	62.1	-15.7	-20.2	-70.8	-35.4
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 3 Seed	Denver Nuggets	+350	22.2	+284	26.0	+3.8	+17.1	+4.9	+2.4
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 3 Seed	Minnesota Timberwolves	+310	24.4	+288	25.8	+1.4	+5.8	+1.9	+0.9
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 3 Seed	Portland Trail Blazers	+260	27.8	+320	23.8	-4.0	-14.3	-5.5	-2.7
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 3 Seed	Los Angeles Lakers	+310	24.4	+399	20.1	-4.3	-17.8	-5.7	-2.9
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 3 Seed	Golden State Warriors	+3500	2.8	+1836	5.2	+2.4	+85.9	+2.5	+1.2
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 3 Seed	Phoenix Suns	+2700	3.6	+2926	3.3	-0.3	-7.5	-0.3	-0.1
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 3 Seed	Memphis Grizzlies	+5000	2.0	+10156	1.0	-1.0	-50.3	-1.0	-0.5
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 3 Seed	Dallas Mavericks	+10000	1.0	+21639	0.5	-0.5	-53.5	-0.5	-0.3
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 3 Seed	Utah Jazz	+25000	0.4	+38362	0.3	-0.1	-34.7	-0.1	-0.1
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 3 Seed	New Orleans Pelicans	+22500	0.4	+49900	0.2	-0.2	-54.8	-0.2	-0.1

Western Conference Top 4 Seed 14 prices · 5 +EV

Type	Market	Bet	FanDuel	FD %	Fair	Fair %	Edge	EV %	Kelly %	½ Kelly %
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 4 Seed	Houston Rockets	-195	66.1	-380	79.2	+13.1	+19.8	+38.6	+19.3
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 4 Seed	San Antonio Spurs	-900	90.0	-338	77.2	-12.8	-14.2	-128.2	-64.1
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 4 Seed	Oklahoma City Thunder	-650	86.7	-307	75.5	-11.2	-12.9	-84.0	-42.0
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 4 Seed	Denver Nuggets	+170	37.0	+150	40.0	+2.9	+7.9	+4.7	+2.3
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 4 Seed	Minnesota Timberwolves	+170	37.0	+155	39.2	+2.1	+5.8	+3.4	+1.7
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 4 Seed	Portland Trail Blazers	+135	42.6	+173	36.7	-5.9	-13.8	-10.2	-5.1
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 4 Seed	Los Angeles Lakers	+160	38.5	+210	32.2	-6.3	-16.3	-10.2	-5.1
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 4 Seed	Golden State Warriors	+1900	5.0	+971	9.3	+4.3	+86.7	+4.6	+2.3
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 4 Seed	Phoenix Suns	+1200	7.7	+1506	6.2	-1.5	-19.1	-1.6	-0.8
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 4 Seed	Memphis Grizzlies	+2500	3.8	+5456	1.8	-2.0	-53.2	-2.1	-1.1
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 4 Seed	Los Angeles Clippers	+12500	0.8	+8711	1.1	+0.3	+43.0	+0.3	+0.2
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 4 Seed	Dallas Mavericks	+4000	2.4	+13058	0.8	-1.7	-68.8	-1.7	-0.9
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 4 Seed	Utah Jazz	+10000	1.0	+21405	0.5	-0.5	-53.0	-0.5	-0.3
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 4 Seed	New Orleans Pelicans	+10000	1.0	+26927	0.4	-0.6	-62.6	-0.6	-0.3

Western Conference Top 5 Seed 14 prices · 5 +EV

Type	Market	Bet	FanDuel	FD %	Fair	Fair %	Edge	EV %	Kelly %	½ Kelly %
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 5 Seed	Houston Rockets	-350	77.8	-694	87.4	+9.6	+12.4	+43.3	+21.6
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 5 Seed	San Antonio Spurs	-2000	95.2	-632	86.3	-8.9	-9.3	-186.8	-93.4
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 5 Seed	Oklahoma City Thunder	-1500	93.8	-557	84.8	-9.0	-9.6	-143.7	-71.8
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 5 Seed	Denver Nuggets	-110	52.4	-121	54.8	+2.4	+4.6	+5.1	+2.5
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 5 Seed	Minnesota Timberwolves	-110	52.4	-115	53.5	+1.1	+2.2	+2.4	+1.2
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 5 Seed	Portland Trail Blazers	-140	58.3	-104	51.0	-7.4	-12.6	-17.7	-8.8
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 5 Seed	Los Angeles Lakers	-120	54.5	+113	46.9	-7.7	-14.1	-16.9	-8.4
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 5 Seed	Golden State Warriors	+1000	9.1	+531	15.8	+6.8	+74.3	+7.4	+3.7
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 5 Seed	Phoenix Suns	+650	13.3	+806	11.0	-2.3	-17.2	-2.7	-1.3
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 5 Seed	Memphis Grizzlies	+1200	7.7	+2841	3.4	-4.3	-55.8	-4.7	-2.3
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 5 Seed	Los Angeles Clippers	+5500	1.8	+4888	2.0	+0.2	+12.3	+0.2	+0.1
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 5 Seed	Dallas Mavericks	+2000	4.8	+7043	1.4	-3.4	-70.6	-3.5	-1.8
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 5 Seed	Utah Jazz	+5000	2.0	+13058	0.8	-1.2	-61.2	-1.2	-0.6
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 5 Seed	New Orleans Pelicans	+5500	1.8	+13323	0.7	-1.0	-58.3	-1.1	-0.5

Western Conference Top 6 Seed 14 prices · 5 +EV

Type	Market	Bet	FanDuel	FD %	Fair	Fair %	Edge	EV %	Kelly %	½ Kelly %
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 6 Seed	Houston Rockets	-650	86.7	-1300	92.9	+6.2	+7.1	+46.4	+23.2
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 6 Seed	San Antonio Spurs	-4000	97.6	-1173	92.1	-5.4	-5.6	-222.1	-111.0
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 6 Seed	Oklahoma City Thunder	-3000	96.8	-1056	91.3	-5.4	-5.6	-168.2	-84.1
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 6 Seed	Denver Nuggets	-190	65.5	-219	68.6	+3.1	+4.8	+9.0	+4.5
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 6 Seed	Minnesota Timberwolves	-195	66.1	-212	68.0	+1.9	+2.8	+5.5	+2.7
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 6 Seed	Portland Trail Blazers	-240	70.6	-192	65.8	-4.8	-6.8	-16.4	-8.2
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 6 Seed	Los Angeles Lakers	-210	67.7	-160	61.5	-6.2	-9.2	-19.4	-9.7
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 6 Seed	Golden State Warriors	+550	15.4	+292	25.5	+10.1	+65.9	+12.0	+6.0
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 6 Seed	Phoenix Suns	+350	22.2	+431	18.8	-3.4	-15.3	-4.4	-2.2
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 6 Seed	Memphis Grizzlies	+650	13.3	+1508	6.2	-7.1	-53.3	-8.2	-4.1
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 6 Seed	Los Angeles Clippers	+3000	3.2	+2574	3.7	+0.5	+15.9	+0.5	+0.3
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 6 Seed	Dallas Mavericks	+1000	9.1	+3761	2.6	-6.5	-71.5	-7.2	-3.6
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 6 Seed	Utah Jazz	+2700	3.6	+6942	1.4	-2.2	-60.2	-2.2	-1.1
Exact / top-N seed	Western Conference Top 6 Seed	New Orleans Pelicans	+2700	3.6	+7363	1.3	-2.2	-62.5	-2.3	-1.2

Simulated season by team means over the simulated seasons

Team	Wins	± sd	Seed	Play-in %	Playoffs %	2nd rd %	Conf finals %	Finals %	Title %	Playoff net
OKC	54.3	6.6	3.3	8	98	82	60	42.1	28.7	+9.2
BOS	56.3	6.4	2.4	4	98	79	55	35.0	17.5	+7.3
SAS	54.7	6.5	3.2	7	98	72	42	22.1	12.5	+6.9
NYK	51.4	6.7	4.0	14	94	65	39	20.6	8.8	+5.9
HOU	55.2	6.6	3.0	7	98	62	29	11.0	5.5	+4.8
TOR	46.9	6.9	5.8	32	82	45	22	10.7	4.1	+4.4
PHI	47.8	6.9	5.4	28	85	47	23	10.6	4.0	+4.3
DET	51.1	6.8	4.1	16	92	54	25	10.7	3.8	+4.0
DEN	48.5	6.9	5.3	29	89	45	19	7.4	3.5	+4.3
MIN	48.4	6.9	5.3	29	89	43	18	6.8	3.3	+4.2
POR	48.0	6.9	5.5	31	87	37	14	4.9	2.3	+3.3
LAL	47.2	6.9	5.8	35	85	31	11	3.5	1.5	+2.5
CLE	46.9	7.0	5.8	33	80	34	13	4.7	1.3	+2.2
GSW	41.2	6.9	8.1	58	59	16	5	1.6	0.7	+1.4
ATL	43.4	7.0	7.2	46	63	20	7	2.2	0.7	+0.6
MIA	40.3	7.0	8.6	50	46	14	5	1.5	0.5	+0.5
IND	40.3	7.0	8.6	50	46	14	4	1.5	0.4	+0.5
CHA	40.7	7.0	8.4	50	47	12	4	1.1	0.3	-0.4
ORL	42.5	7.1	7.6	47	56	14	4	1.1	0.3	-0.7
PHX	39.5	7.1	8.7	58	42	5	1	0.2	0.1	-3.0
MEM	34.8	6.8	10.3	44	21	2	1	0.1	0.1	-3.5
WAS	29.1	6.6	12.5	11	4	1	0	0.1	0.1	-5.2
LAC	32.7	6.9	11.1	33	13	2	0	0.1	0.0	-4.5
BKN	25.7	6.5	13.4	5	2	0	0	0.1	0.0	-6.6
DAL	31.4	6.8	11.5	26	10	1	0	0.1	0.0	-5.3
CHI	27.8	6.6	12.8	8	3	0	0	0.1	0.0	-6.5
UTA	29.1	6.6	12.3	16	5	1	0	0.0	0.0	-6.5
NOP	28.9	6.7	12.3	17	6	1	0	0.0	0.0	-6.1
MIL	25.2	6.3	13.5	4	1	0	0	0.0	0.0	-7.4
SAC	20.5	6.0	14.3	2	0	0	0	0.0	0.0	-10.5

Each simulated season draws a fat-tailed rating shock per team, then plays every remaining game with that date's team nets (who is out, from the minutes model) + 2.3 home court, sd 12.5; the 2 unscheduled games sit in the Dec 4-11 Cup window. Standings: wins, 2-team head-to-head, conference record, point differential. NBA Cup: FanDuel's groups, group record / head-to-head / point differential, best 2nd place per conference as wild card. Play-in, then best-of-7 series with home court to the better seed; playoff nets use DARKO's market playoff rating, a tighter rotation, and anyone back from injury by 2027-04-18. Seeds and division places are regular-season standings. "More wins than" ties are treated as a push and most / fewest wins ties as dead heats (check FanDuel's rules). Kelly = (p x decimal - 1) / (decimal - 1). Not priced (not team outcomes): Clutch Player Of The Year (1), Coach Of The Year (1), Defensive Player Of The Year (1), Eastern Conference Finals Mvp (1), Finals Mvp (1), In Season Tournament Mvp (1), Most Improved Player (1), Most Valuable Player (1), Rookie Of The Year (1), Sixth Man Of The Year (1), Western Conference Finals Mvp (1).